Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, May 09, 2013
Silver Bull Market Following Structure Of 1970's Bull Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The 70s silver bull took place during a period from a major peak in the Dow/Gold ratio (1966) to a major bottom in Dow/Gold ratio (1980). The silver bull market started in 1971 and ended at the beginning of 1980.The current silver bull market also started after a major peak in the Dow/Gold ratio (peak was at the end of 1999).The current silver bull market started in 2001, and it is also likely to end when the Dow/Gold ratio makes a major bottom. See the chart below, as illustration:
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Thursday, May 09, 2013
Gold Still Bearish as Western Buying Cools / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
SPOT GOLD PRICES slipped back below $1470 per ounce Thursday morning in London, drifting as world stock markets failed to follow Wall Street higher, where equities yesterday hit new all-time highs.
Silver held above $24.00 per ounce, just shy of last week's finish, as commodities slipped overall.
A rise in Sterling after the Bank of England held its monetary policy unchanged drove gold prices down to £942 per ounce for UK investors.
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Wednesday, May 08, 2013
The Real Reason Gold Price Fell / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Things are upside down in the gold market. Valuations are irrationally low, while global consumerism fuels demand and supply comes up short. Lawrence Roulston, editor and publisher of Resource Opportunities, advises people to trust their guts as well as the numbers when weeding through prospective investments. In this interview with The Gold Report, he skirts around conspiracy theories regarding the recent gold sell-off and keeps his advice simple: lower expectations, get rid of poorly performing investments and load up on the companies going cheap. If you push against the trend, you might come out with your feet on the ground.
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Wednesday, May 08, 2013
Peak Oil Revisited - Oil Limits Are Now Debt Limits / Commodities / Crude Oil
LIMITS TO GROWTH
Oil and energy limits are more complex than what we have imagined so far. The crossover from OECD Old World dominance of oil market demand, to Rest Of World dominance was more than 7 years ago, but the perception of what this means has been slow. Very slow.
Wednesday, May 08, 2013
India Aims to Restrict Gold Imports As China Breaks New Records / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,454.00, EUR 1,108.74 and GBP 939.09 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,463.00, EUR 1,118.67 and GBP 941.74 per ounce.
Wednesday, May 08, 2013
Gold: Who’s Selling Who’s Buying Who’s Lying / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Although the Pharisees of paper money successfully forced down the price of gold, like those who lobbied Pontius Pilate to crucify Jesus, the consequences of their actions will backfire beyond their wildest imagination.
The decision of the paper money cabal to force down the price of gold is akin to Japan’s decision to attack Pearl Harbor. Although the attack was successful, the eventual consequences were not what Japan had envisioned.
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Wednesday, May 08, 2013
Gold Prices Start to Weaken Again / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Following the May 1, 2013 Market Minute titled "Has gold's bounce reached the peak?", the yellow metal has stalled at the $1487-$1485 resistance level for almost two weeks. Today's trading suggests the main downward trend is still in force and that another rollover maybe starting.
Gold's trading direction changed in October 2012 after the metal reached $1798.10. Since then, gold has steadily drifted lower with a series of declining price lows.
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Tuesday, May 07, 2013
Gold and Silver Holding the Line / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The mouthpieces in the media are maintaining a steady drumbeat against gold and silver.
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Tuesday, May 07, 2013
Gold Warning - Financial Reporting of U.S. Citizens Coming. Will it Include Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Commodity Futures Trading Commission New Regulations Reporting Overseas Transactions
Since the start of the credit crunch in mid-2007 we have seen a steady move forward by government to place greater control over the financial aspects of people's lives. One of the biggest milestones from an investor's point of view has been the establishment of the Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FATCA). This is consistent with the intentions expressed by President Obama that U.S. Citizen's financial successes at home and abroad should be subject to U.S Taxation so that the U.S., as a nation, can benefit. The Patriot Act was the first to employ this approach but now we are moving several steps forward from these measures.
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Tuesday, May 07, 2013
Catching a Commodity Falling Price Knife / Commodities / Commodities Trading
The April collapse in gold has drawn attention to the two-year decline in the commodity sector. Since gold’s collapse both it and crude oil have experienced a strong rally over the last two weeks. Many want to know if commodities have bottomed.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 07, 2013
Bank Depositors Beware, Deposits Over €100,000 Are At Risk! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,463.00, EUR 1,118.67 and GBP 941.74 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,476.50, EUR 1,124.95 and GBP 949.34 per ounce.
Tuesday, May 07, 2013
Gold Struggles in Sideways Resistance Price Range / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
WHOLESALE gold market prices fell to $1460 an ounce Tuesday morning, around ten Dollars lower than where it closed last week, as the FTSE in London ticked higher following yesterday's UK bank holiday.
Other European stock markets also edged higher, while the Euro gained against the Dollar immediately following the release of better-than-expected German factory orders data.
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Tuesday, May 07, 2013
American Gold and Silver Eagle Coin Sales Show Safe-haven Public Mind Set / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
This chart on American Gold Eagle Coin Sales illustrates a point I made over the weekend in response to a question from JFT about gold as a deflation hedge. As you can see, the demand for American Gold Eagles, a bellwether for international physical demand, grew significantly in the period 2008 to present — a disinflationary period marked by widespread concern over the health of the financial system and the banks.
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Tuesday, May 07, 2013
Protect Your Gold and Silver Bullion in a World of Paper Theft / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Lately there has been a lot more news on how the physical demand for precious metals is off the charts. It seem like the physical off-take of bullion from dealers has only accelerated during this recent price drop in the metals. Inventory shortages are now a common occurrence at many dealers and premiums are rising until more supply comes to market.
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Monday, May 06, 2013
How to Trade Gold, Silver and Mining Stocks Long-term Trend Forecasts / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
How to trade Gold and other precious metals related investments is not that complex. But you must be willing to wait for price to provide low risk entry points before getting involved. Precious metals are like any other investment in respect to trading and investing in them. There are times when you should be long, times to be in cash and times to be short (benefit from falling prices).
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Monday, May 06, 2013
Gold and Silver Inevitable Sentiment Reversal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The usefulness of sentiment's stealth crystal ball is about to be revealed to the litany of unsuspecting precious metal bears and skeptics who have convinced themselves that gold's bull market is either over or, at the minimum, in need of lengthy ongoing retesting, restructuring and consolidation.
This article will bring us up to date as to the degree of current bearish sentiment regarding both gold and silver using no fewer than 5 sentiment indicators (with 9 illustrative charts), as well as provide the reader with an opportunity to observe the price outcome of previous bearish extremes using these sentiment indicators.
Monday, May 06, 2013
Gold Gold Bugs and Stock Market Index Trend Forecasts / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013
The daily chart of the Gold Miner's Bullish Percent Index is shown below, with the HUI denoted in green. The ratio has managed to rise to 6.67, accompanied by a small bounce in the HUI. Full stochastics 1, 2 and 3 are shown below in order of descent, with the %K above the %D in all three instances. Although there is somewhat of a bounce, trends suggest that one more leg down is pending...
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Sunday, May 05, 2013
Gold and Silver Bears Advance To Stalingrad - How Are the Mighty Fallen / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
“To understand reality is not the same as to know about outward events. It is to perceive the essential nature of things.
The best-informed man is not necessarily the wisest. Indeed there is a danger that precisely in the multiplicity of his knowledge he will lose sight of what is essential. But on the other hand, knowledge of an apparently trivial detail quite often makes it possible to see into the depths of things.
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Sunday, May 05, 2013
Gold Price Recovery Is Incomplete, 1490/1500-Elliott Wave Forecast / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Gold made a deeper pull-back this week, finding a support around 1440 at the parallel trend-line that represents lower side of a corrective channel. Note that decline from 1485 has been made in three waves, and that 1419 support is still in place. The pull-back from latest high was corrective wave b) that is part of a complex double zig-zag from the mid April low. With that in mind, price could test the 1490 or even 1500 level before complex corrective is complete.
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Sunday, May 05, 2013
Gold And Silver - Are You A Lion Or A Gazelle? You Had Better Know! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Every morning in Africa, a Gazelle wakes up knowing it must outrun the fastest lion, or it will be killed and eaten. Every morning a lion wakes up knowing it must outrun the slowest Gazelle, or it will starve to death. It does not matter if you are a lion or a Gazelle...when the sun comes up each morning, you'd better be running. African Proverb
We see the lions as issuers of fiat, Gazelles as owners of gold, and if you are uncertain as to which you are, the issuers of fiat will financially eat you alive. Cyprus was an overt wake up call. Many people in the U S think it will not happen to them. It already has. Each morning, when the sun comes up, you must decide if you want fiat or specie. One will slow down your ability to "run," the other will give you the ability to "outrun."
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