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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, February 27, 2013

Goldman Sachs Cuts Gold Forecast AFTER Price Plunge, Purposely Late? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Mike_Shedlock

In the less than useless category, Goldman Sachs lowered its gold price targets by over $200 an ounce following the recent plunge. Goldman now says Gold's Cycle Seen Turned.

The cycle for gold prices, which climbed for 12 straight years, has probably turned as the recovery in the U.S. economy gathers momentum and investment holdings collapse, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc., which reduced forecasts for the metal.

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Commodities

Wednesday, February 27, 2013

Political Considerations for Silver Prices / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Bob_Kirtley

Silver prices have now traded sideways for around 16 months. The lower end of this trading range is $27.00/oz and the higher end is $35.00/oz. As of today the price stands at $29.33 having bottomed at $28.50, it’s taken 4 trading sessions of small but positive gains to reverse the downward spiral from $32.00/oz. Not much to write home about here, but it is encouraging that the carnage is showing signs that it might be over, for now at least. It could of course be a relief rally with more downside selling pressure waiting in the wings a little further down the track. Either way we are still a long way down from the heady days of $48.00/oz.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Rusty Old Tin Can of Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

Gold has turned, apparently. Leveraged speculators in the futures market said so...

"To hoarders and speculators," says Time magazine, "gold lately has had about as much luster as a rusty tin can."

Rings true here in Feb. 2013. But this clanging bell - entitled The Great Gold Bust, and drowned out as a signal to fill your boots only by the New York Times' infamous Who Needs Gold When We Have Greenspan? of May 1999 - was rung back in Aug. 1976, right at the bottom of a 50% pullback in the 1970s' long bull market in gold.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 26, 2013

How to Play the Current Gold and Silver Bear Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Casey_Research

Given the profoundly bearish sentiment that has gripped so many participants in the resource sector, particularly gold investors, we decided to poll the chief editors at Casey Research regarding the current sell-off. We recognize the severity of the situation and want readers to know we're taking it very seriously.

We also want readers to know that the "Casey consensus" is not a single view imposed on all, but the result of a constant conversation we have among ourselves, questioning our own premises, making sure we don't ignore new data if and when it contradicts our expectations. This is why some of the thoughts below will seem less positive than others; we see this sort of open discourse as a good and healthy thing for out business.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Copper An Early Warning Sign for a Pullback in Stock Prices / Commodities / Copper

By: GrowthStockWire

Jeff Clark writes: Copper dropped 5% last week.

The metal has long been viewed as a leading indicator of stock prices. Investors should pay attention, because when copper catches a cold, the stock market gets the flu. And last week, copper sneezed...

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Gold Rises and Renewed Euro-zone Contagion Concern After Italian Election / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,597.25, EUR 1,219.65 and GBP 1,052.07 per ounce. Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,592.50, EUR 1,201.89 and GBP 1,051.85 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $28.79/oz, €22.11/oz and £19.09/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,600.50/oz, palladium at $729.00/oz and rhodium at $1,200/oz.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Inconclusive Italian Election Result Sparks Higher Gold Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Ben_Traynor

U.S. DOLLAR prices for buying gold rose briefly above $1600 per ounce Tuesday morning before falling back, while silver failed to hold above $29 an ounce and stock markets fell following the inconclusive Italian election result.

Italian markets were especially affected, with stocks and government bonds seeing sell-offs, while on the currency markets the Euro hovered near seven-week lows against the Dollar following yesterday's 2% drop.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Australia Set for Largest Shale Oil Find of All Time / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: Over the past few days, I have released information on what could be the largest shale oil find ever recorded.

It's located in an area of Australia called the Arckaringa Basin and contains as much as 233 billion barrels (or more) of recoverable shale oil.

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 26, 2013

The Coming Water Wars / Commodities / Water Sector

By: Alex_Daley

Water is not scarce. It is made up of the first and third most common elements in the universe, and the two readily react to form a highly stable compound that maintains its integrity even at temperature extremes.

Hydrologist Dr. Vincent Kotwicki, in his paper Water in the Universe, writes:

"Water appears to be one of the most abundant molecules in the Universe. It dominates the environment of the Earth and is a main constituent of numerous planets, moons and comets. On a far greater scale, it possibly contributes to the so-called 'missing mass' [i.e., dark matter] of the Universe and may initiate the birth of stars inside the giant molecular clouds."

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Commodities

Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Test of Strength for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Frank_Holmes

When investing in gold, I often say diverse opinions promote critical thinking and a healthy market. I believe elevated groups of buyers and sellers create a competitive tug-of-war in the bid and ask price of the precious metal.

Last week, we saw the gold bears growling louder and gaining strength, as the world's largest gold-backed ETF, the SPDR Gold Trust, experienced its largest one-day outflows since August 2011. The Fear Trade fled the sector following the Federal Reserve's meeting that revealed a growing dissension among some of its members over the central bank's bond-buying program.

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Commodities

Monday, February 25, 2013

Gold Uptrend "Could See Significant Damage", Recent Falls "Largely Down to Futures Traders" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Ben_Traynor

U.S. DOLLAR gold prices climbed back above $1590 an ounce Monday morning, extending gains from Friday following sharp losses last week, while stock markets also rallied, although the FTSE 100 in London saw smaller gains that other European indexes following news of a downgrade to Britain's credit rating.

"Support [for gold] sits at $1522, the low from December 2011," says the latest technical analysis from Scotia Mocatta.

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Commodities

Monday, February 25, 2013

Out of Control U.S. Government Spending Means It's Time to Hedge Against Inflation / Commodities / Inflation

By: Money_Morning

Jeff Uscher writes: Uncontrolled government spending could force the Fed to monetize the government's debt, creating runaway inflation, former Federal Reserve Governor Frederic Mishkin warned in a report.

If these circumstances were to occur, the Fed would be unable to do much, if anything, to control inflation, Mishkin said in the report, presented at a conference at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business.

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Commodities

Monday, February 25, 2013

How to Invest in Graphene Miracle World Changing Material / Commodities / Graphene

By: Money_Morning

Want to know why everyone is asking how to invest in graphene?

For starters: It's one of the strongest materials ever known.

It's also as light as a feather. And completely flexible.

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Commodities

Monday, February 25, 2013

Sterling Falls On UK Credit Ratings Downgrade, Gold In GBP 1.8% Higher YTD / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,592.50, EUR 1,201.89 and GBP 1,051.85 per ounce.
Friday’s AM fix was USD 1,580.00, EUR 1,196.15 and GBP 1,034.78 per ounce.

Silver is trading at $29.27/oz, €22.14/oz and £19.41/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,631.50/oz, palladium at $749.00/oz and rhodium at $1,175/oz.

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Commodities

Monday, February 25, 2013

Gold and the Developed World in the Face of Massive Change in the Next Two Decades / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

In the last five years, we have seen the start of the decline of the developed world and the real impact of the economic rise of China on that world. What lies ahead? James Wolfensohn, the ex-president of the World Bank gave a short lecture in which he forecasts what the world's cash flows would be like in 2030:

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Commodities

Monday, February 25, 2013

AMEX Gold BUGS Index Chart and Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: David_Petch

The following article was posted one week ago with analysis of the AMEX Gold BUGS Index (HUI), except the chart has been updated. Below is the only Figure present in this update, with further explanations of what each coloured line represents. Potential outcomes for the HUI are examined, with the strongest being to the upside rather than downside. Upside targets are discussed and what must happen for them to be met.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 24, 2013

Takes Courage to buy Gold and Silver Here / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Clive_Maund

There is now such an overwhelming array of technical evidence that the Precious Metals sector is forming a major bottom, that by the end of reading this update you will, or should unless you are stupid, understand why we now have no choice but to turn strongly and unequivocally bullish on the sector. Up until now we have had some reservations, but these have been swept away by the latest truly extraordinary data.

You may recall that in the last update posted on the 10th we called for a drop. As you won't need reminding, we got it. On its 7-month chart we can see that gold sliced straight through support at its early January bull hammer low and then dropped steeply into last Wednesday - Thursday, where a high volume selling climax occurred at a parallel trendline target. Gold is now quite deeply oversold, with many oscillators at extreme readings. This 7-month chart cannot provide the big picture of what is going on, only recent detail, so let's now move on to the longer-term charts.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 24, 2013

Silver Back in Buying Territory Ahead of Powerful Uptrend / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Clive_Maund

Even though the technical indications for silver are not as strongly bullish as those for gold, they are now sufficiently positive that silver is likely to take off higher before much longer, encouraged by the strength that we should soon see reappear in gold. Of course, it will probably take some weeks for sentiment to recover sufficiently to drive a significant rally after the latest sharp drop, so we may see some backing and filling before a sustainable uptrend can get going, but that is normal.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 24, 2013

Copper – Huge Sell-Off. Who Is Doing The Buying? / Commodities / Copper

By: Michael_Noonan

Market activity rules! It is the basis for understanding the motivation for all moves, up or down. If you want to know what smart money [controlling influences] is doing, watch when volume activity picks up, especially at highs and lows for that is when a transfer of risk from weak into strong hands occurs.

You do not have to pay attention to news, what others are saying about the market. You get far more accurate, and current information on where the market is headed by reading what the market is saying about others. This comes in the form of price/volume behavior. Smart money is very deft at hiding their hand. They move much larger positions, so it is during high volume activity when one can best determine when they are active, and what they may be doing.

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Commodities

Sunday, February 24, 2013

Gold And Silver - Market Says Decline Not Over. Silver More Pivotal Than Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

Developing market activity is the best and most reliable source for market information. All you have to do is follow what the activity is saying, and you will have the clearest idea of where the market is headed. For the near term, of heightened concern for many, the market says the current decline is far from over. Price may not be far from the low of the decline, but the trend is down, and it takes time to turn a trend around, so do not expect to see a dramatic rise in the price of either gold or silver.

Our downside target of $1600 gold has been exceeded, while the $28 target for silver has not been met, although in horseshoes, it would be a leaner. [See Decline Not Over, 1st and 3rd charts, click on http://bit.ly/WWXFlt]. Next week, who knows?

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