Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, May 04, 2013
Gold and Silver Bullion Shortage Could Benefit Undervalued Mining Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013
When it looks as though things couldn't get worse for precious metal mining equities (GDX), that may be just the time to buy for contrarians. Not only are the junior miners (GDXJ) sloping to historic decade lows, but gold (GLD) bullion which has held up considerably well in comparison has been hit hard recently by short selling, bearish bank reports and margin calls.
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Friday, May 03, 2013
Gold Mining Stocks Profit Margins / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013
Gold mining is a very tough business. Not only is it highly capital-intensive and chock-full of environmental risks, its revenues are entirely at the mercy of a volatile commodity. It requires some serious mettle to succeed mining gold.
But despite super-high barriers to entry and the countless risk factors that come with mining, the world needs gold, and somebody’s got to produce it. And believe it or not, a lot of money can be made in this business.
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Friday, May 03, 2013
How a Fibonacci Cluster Showed an Important Resistance Level in Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Senior Analyst Jeffrey Kennedy shares techniques that helped spot a trading opportunity.
By Elliott Wave International
If you use Elliott in your technical analysis, you may already use Fibonacci ratios to determine targets and retracement levels in your charts.
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Friday, May 03, 2013
Will the Breakout in the USD Index Hurt Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
We haven’t touched on currencies for quite some time (our latest essay was dedicated entirely to gold: Gold Price in May 2013) now but last time we did, we mentioned the long-term breakout in the USD Index, which at that time was starting to take shape, but as the time wore on it became more and more significant. This is why in today’s essay we’ll focus mostly on the U.S. currency, review its current technical situation and its implications for gold and silver. Let us then jump straight into the chart analysis – we’ll start with the very long-term chart where the breakout is most clearly visible (charts courtesy by http://stockcharts.com.)
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Friday, May 03, 2013
Silver, Little Cracks in Confidence / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
It looks as if the silver market has finally bottomed, as the tarnished price of silver recovered some of its luster over the last two weeks.
The big silver shorts have continued to exit their futures positions, yet there remain some elephants in the market — as evidenced by yesterday's non-economic volatility.
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Friday, May 03, 2013
Gold And Silver Bullion Coin And Bar Shortages Continue / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,476.50, EUR 1,124.95 and GBP 949.34 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,456.00, EUR 1,106.22 and GBP 935.07 per ounce.
Thursday, May 02, 2013
Gold Recovers Amidst Economic Uncertainty / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The selloff in gold that captured the world's attention in mid-April has revealed some truths about how the market trades and the sentiments of many of the investors who have piled into the trade over the past few years. While the correction does highlight a higher degree of uncertainty than many of the most ardent gold advocates had anticipated, it does not represent the historic "end of an era" reversal that the many in the media have so gleefully suggested. In many ways, the market has shown a resiliency that its detractors do not understand.
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Thursday, May 02, 2013
The Great Gold Redemption / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The most puzzling part of the investment business is seeing how the vast and largely economically illiterate masses interpret any given piece of news. Take the recent gold selloff: many large players were motivated to sell by news that Cyprus will have to liquidate its gold stockpiles to pay off acute debt obligations. But just a moment's reflection shows this reaction to be knee-jerk.
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Thursday, May 02, 2013
China Shanghai's Gold Premium Crash / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
LONDON PRICES for gold and silver both ticked higher Thursday morning, recovering half of Wednesday's 2.4% and 4.6% falls respectively.European stock markets reversed earlier losses and commodities also bounced after the European Central Bank decided – as widely expected – to cut its key interest rate to a new all-time low of 0.5%.
Thursday, May 02, 2013
Gold Mining Stocks Dead Cat Bounce? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
In the last seven months or so we have seen the Gold Bugs index, HUI, fall from 520 in October 2012 to 283 today 01 May 2013, registering a loss of 45% in the value of its constituents. The last four weeks has seen the HUI drop 100 points followed by a bounce of 23 points. Many are of the opinion that the bottom is in and are hopeful of a decent rally from this point in order to restore some normality to this tiny sector and repair their investment accounts. The chart below depicts the plight of the gold miners and the severity of the recent carnage that has decimated the stock prices at a time when they need all the friends they can get.
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Thursday, May 02, 2013
How to Stress Test Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
Gold prices are down in the short term, but the commodity metal is here to stay, says geologist Joe Mazumdar. In this interview with The Gold Report, the Canaccord Genuity analyst assesses the current situation and compares the performance potential of the majors with the mid caps. He backs up his analysis and predictions with a few solid companies that are positioned to weather the storm.
The Gold Report: Where can long-term gold investors look for safety during times of market turbulence?
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Wednesday, May 01, 2013
Chocolate for Cocoa, Or What's Gold Really Worth? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Spying direction is hard enough in precious metals right now without confusing form and location...
SO WHAT'S your gold or silver really worth today? Like everything else, it's worth the most that somebody else will pay you for it, right here and now. That's the simple truth, as last month's crash proved all too plainly.
There were no gold buyers in size on Friday 12th and Monday 15th April, not between $1550 and $1325 per ounce. But gold has found plenty of buyers since then, after finding a floor more than 30% below its peak of September 2011.
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Wednesday, May 01, 2013
U.S. Corn Crop - Too Cold or Wet Yet / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities
Let us start by remembering the most important aspect of Agri-Commodities. They are not produced in a factory. Corn, today's example, is produced by placing a seed in dirt with the proper amount of water and nutrients. Of that complete process nothing happens til the seed is planted. If no seeds are planted, no corn. All that happens only once a year.
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Wednesday, May 01, 2013
Gold - CME President “They Don’t Want Certificates, They Want the Real Product” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Today’s AM fix was USD 1,469.50, EUR 1,113.60 and GBP 942.95 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,472.75, EUR 1,126.13 and GBP 950.04 per ounce.
Gold climbed $5.60 or 0.38% yesterday to $1,476.00/oz and silver finished down 0.27%.
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Wednesday, May 01, 2013
Gold - 15 Days in April / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
Editor's note: Assembled below are fifteen of the best insights and observations on one of the strangest and confusing fifteen day periods in the history of the gold market -- a flash crash, a global rush to purchase and a healthy bounce.
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Tuesday, April 30, 2013
Treachery, Fraud, Protection, Gold Mega-Action and Mega-Consequence / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The Fascist Business Model came into vogue in 2001. The merger of state with the largest of corporations, primarily the big banks, the big defense contractors, the big news media networks, and the big pharmaceuticals, has created a chokehold around the neck of the nation, without 5% recognizing the function of the model during the strangulation in progress. The merger with the deeply corrupted corporations in power became standard fixtures following the 911 attacks, an elaborate self-destruction of the fundamental structure of the nation and its priorities by the syndicate. Think a massive elaborate bank heist of gold bars, bearer bonds, and diamonds, but such discussion belongs in other venues. Let it be said that the events of September 2001 were the syndicate coming out party and the Patriot Act their Nazi Manifesto, with painfully little recognition of events by the sheeple masses or the subservient press talking heads. The national socialists are back in force after a 70-year hiatus, with far more toys and devices. Their telltale signals are bank welfare and a flag wrapped in a cross with unending press coverage of terrorism. During the last twelve years, financial treachery and banking criminality have run rampant in a true global spectacle, their stock & trade. However, treachery with permitted bank and bond fraud, rigged financial markets, naked short ambushes, flash crashes, and lawsuits that convert criminal procedures into standard low business costs all have resulted in profound consequences.
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Tuesday, April 30, 2013
U.S. States Start Shutting Down Gold Bullion Dealers / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
If you don't own gold yet, you might really want to hurry up and get some. We keep saying it, but this time it's not just because physical precious metals are getting incredibly scarce. Purchasing gold may become outright illegal if what's going on in Connecticut is any indication. Even if Connecticut's plan to track all gold sales isn't a harbinger for a modern day Roosevelt-like ban on gold ownership, it will at the very least drive gold bullion dealers out of business with the cost of complying with the new regulation. That will create artificial scarcity in Connecticut and could set a precident for other US States.
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Tuesday, April 30, 2013
Buy Gold NOW! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
You've undoubtedly read about the dramatic increase in demand for gold and silver bullion products since the big correction two weeks ago. Supply has gotten tight, premiums are rising, and inventory is hard to come by, especially for certain silver products.
But it's worse than you may know. Many of these reports come from the retail side of the business, including those from sovereign mints. This information is indicative, but more important is the activity among the wholesalers. It's possible the retail trade is just experiencing a giant bottleneck, which would come with a different set of conclusions than if behind the scenes the wholesale industry is seeing net sales.
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Tuesday, April 30, 2013
The Gold Price Crash BEFORE the Climb / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The NASDAQ 100 index peaked at 1,485 in July 1998. It subsequently crashed to below 1,070 in October 1998, a loss of about 28%. But, it climbed back to nearly 5,000 in March 2000, a rally off the low of over 350% in 17 months.
The S&P 500 index peaked in October 2007 around 1,575. It subsequently crashed below 670 in March 2009, a loss of about 57%. But, it climbed back to nearly 1,600 in April 2013, a rally off the low of over 135% in 49 months.
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Tuesday, April 30, 2013
Silver’s Bullish Cup Price Pattern Formation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013
The most significant fact about silver, from a charting point of view, is the mega cup pattern formed over a period of more than 30 years.These cup (or cup and handle) patterns are very bullish formations. Below is a long-term silver chart showing the mega cup formation as well as two smaller cup formations:Read full article... Read full article...