Monday, November 13, 2017
The One Chart All Investors Should See Before 2018 / Commodities / Cobalt
Pay close attention to this cobalt chart. Demand could be about to surge from 2k tonnes today... to over 300k tonnes in 2030. That’s a 14,900% increase in demand.
Monday, November 13, 2017
What President Trump and the West Can Learn from China / Politics / GeoPolitics
Instead of a demonstration of its overwhelming military might intended to intimidate tiny North Korea and pressure China to lean on its defiant communist neighbor, President Trump and the West should try to learn a few things from China.
The President’s trip to the Far East came on the heels of the completion of China’s 19th National Congress where the current president, Xi Jinping, has cunningly positioned himself as China’s unchallenged leader. In an address at the opening of the Congress, Xi cautioned that the country faced “challenges” that are “extremely grim” yet, despite these, the nation’s future is “extremely bright.”*
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Monday, November 13, 2017
Short-Term Stock Market Uncertainty Following Recent Rally, Will Stocks Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Friday's intraday trading outlook was bearish. It proved partly wrong because the S&P 500 index lost 0.1% (neutral), following slightly lower opening of the trading session. The market remained within relatively narrow intraday trading range. We still can see technical overbought conditions along with negative divergences. Therefore, intraday short position is favored again. Stop-loss is at the level of 2,600 and potential profit target is at 2,555 (S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish today. Our short-term outlook is neutral, and our medium-term outlook is neutral:
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Monday, November 13, 2017
Say Goodbye to Sub-1% Mortgage Tracker Interest Rates / Housing-Market / Mortgages
Mortgage providers have reacted quickly to the Bank of England’s base rate announcement on 2 November, with the majority having already increased their variable tracker rates. In fact, the latest research from moneyfacts.co.uk shows that not only has the average two-year variable tracker rate increased by 0.20% since 1 November, but the sub-1% two-year tracker is now no longer on offer.
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Sunday, November 12, 2017
Is Hillary Just the “Fall Guy” for the Intel Agencies and their Moneybags Bosses? / Politics / US Presidential Election 2016
For nearly a year, Hillary Clinton failed to admit that her campaign and the Democratic National Committee had provided funding for the notorious dossier that alleged Trump colluded with Russia to win the 2016 presidential election. Then, two weeks ago, the Washington Post published a blockbuster article that proved that Clinton had been misleading the public about her Campaign’s role in producing the report. Here’s a snippet from the article in the Post:
Read full article... Read full article...“The Hillary Clinton campaign and the Democratic National Committee helped fund research that resulted in a now-famous dossier containing allegations about President Trump’s connections to Russia and possible coordination between his campaign and the Kremlin, people familiar with the matter said.”
Sunday, November 12, 2017
Anyone Else Want To Call For A Stock Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Hindenburg omens. Market valuations. Record low volatility. And, I am only scratching the surface of all the reasons paraded before investors as to why this market is, in their opinion, “too high.”
So, is this time different? Have we finally conquered the business cycle and the stock market will rally on forever?
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Sunday, November 12, 2017
Stock Market Correction Phase / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current position of the market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with no sign of a major top in sight.
Intermediate trend – Soon coming to an end.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, November 12, 2017
Who Are You Going to Trust, the Fed or $76 Trillion in”Smart Money”? / Stock-Markets / Inflation
Let’s talk about inflation.
There are two types of inflation in the world… the “inflation” that you and I experience in the form of a rising cost of living induced by Central Banks devaluing our currencies…
…and the inflation that Central Banks are “targeting” in the bizarre claim that somehow hitting said targets will unleash economic growth.
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Sunday, November 12, 2017
Finally, The Fall Of The House Of Saud / Politics / Saudi Arabia
*** COLLAPSE OF THE KINGDOM ***
The Saudi Kingdom will fall, a longstanding Jackass forecast, an inevitable event
The Saudi Kingdom will fall alongside the ruined collapsing Petro-Dollar
The Saudi foundation has been the primary element to entire Petro-Dollar system
This Saudi situation is loaded with intrigue, corruption, cunning, collusion, criminality
The Saudi region will erupt in chaos ruin decay and gross destabilization
The entire Saudi situation is a grand mixture of deep corruption and wreckage
The Saudi Royals will scatter and escape with stolen wealth, an absolute guarantee
Saturday, November 11, 2017
Bitcoin War Begins – Bitcoin Cash Rises 50% While Bitcoin Drops $1,000 In 24 Hours / Currencies / Bitcoin
Don’t be fooled… there is a war going on for bitcoin.
I posited to TDV subscribers months ago that factions of Bitcoin Core and Blockstream are a globalist attempt at taking over or destroying bitcoin. Or at the very least, an attempt to profit from it being slow and expensive.
How else can you make sense of a group that thinks it is totally fine for bitcoin to have transaction fees in the hundreds of dollars. In fact, they prefer it to be expensive!
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Saturday, November 11, 2017
E-franc, E-krona... E-volution? / Currencies / BlockChain
By Murray Gunn: With all the speculation around the future of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, we thought you'd find this interesting.
Dam Square, Amsterdam 1636. Rue de Quincampoix, Paris 1719. 'Change Alley, London 1720. Is Zug, Switzerland 2017 about to be added to this roll call of bubble epicenters?
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Saturday, November 11, 2017
Unemployment Rate Reaches Record Low, Positive for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The U.S. Unemployment rate has just reached a level not seen in over forty years.
In early November, the seasonally adjusted claims was 239,000. The 4-week moving average sat at 231,250 which is the lowest level since March 31, 1973 when it was 227,750.
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Saturday, November 11, 2017
Gold Investment Stalled / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Gold has largely been drifting sideways for the better part of a couple months now, sapping enthusiasm. Gold investment demand has stalled due to extreme stock-market euphoria. Investors aren’t interested in alternative investments led by gold when stocks seemingly do nothing but rally indefinitely. But once stock-market volatility inevitably returns, so will gold investment demand which fuels major gold uplegs.
Like nearly everything else in the global markets, gold prices are heavily dependent on investment capital flows. When investors are buying gold in a meaningful way, demand exceeds supply which drives gold’s price higher. When they’re materially selling, supply trumps demand thus gold’s price naturally retreats. The past couple months have been stuck in the middle, with gold investment flows neutral on balance.
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Saturday, November 11, 2017
Smart Ways to Get Loans Online / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans
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Friday, November 10, 2017
What Can Pot Teach Us About Economics and Government? / Politics / Cannabis
Whether for it or against it, we can all learn something from marijuana, or pot.
Specifically, we can see how government interferes with and impedes both the will of the citizens and the heart of economics - capitalism.
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Friday, November 10, 2017
Can Stocks and Bonds go Down at the Same Time? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
TNX gapped up this morning in a possible Wave [iii] of 3 of (5). I spent a considerable amount of time evaluating the Waves and Cycles to arrive at this construction of the Wave pattern. The fact that the Wave had become very oversold alerted me to the possibility of stocks and bonds both in decline. An index may often rally an average of 3 weeks after a Master Cycle low.
The view that bonds go higher as stocks go down is only a recent phenomenon. What if both go down in a liquidity crisis? For example, Japan or China may sell their treasuries to forestall their stock market declines.
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Friday, November 10, 2017
Gold Market 2017 Will We See a Replay of 2015 and 2016? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
In both 2015 and 2016, the price of gold bottomed in December, as one can see in the chart below.
Chart 1: Gold prices (London P.M. Fix) from January 2015 to October 2017.
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Friday, November 10, 2017
First Solar FSLR Recovery in Progress / Companies / Solar Energy
First Solar (NASDAQ: FSLR) designs and manufactures solar modules using a proprietary thin film semiconductor technology. The company has developed, financed, engineered, constructed and currently operates many of the world’s largest grid-connected PV power plants.
First Solar relies almost entirely on utility-scale projects which accounts for over half of the U.S. solar market and can be affected by the potential solar import tariffs by the Trump administration. However, preparation were already made to avoid such a step-back and the company booked 4.5 GW of panel and system sales in the previous quarter, more than it makes in a year.
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Friday, November 10, 2017
Oil markets turn bullish with shift to backwardation / Commodities / Crude Oil
This week both Brent Crude and WTI (Light Sweet Crude Oil) made a new price high in more than 2 years with Brent Crude rising to $64 per barrel and WTI to $57 per barrel. These price gains come before the OPEC’s meeting later this month on Nov 30. In the past two years, OPEC has imposed production cuts in its member countries in order to remove excess inventory and halt the price drop. In their last meeting on May, the cartel agreed to extend 1.8 million barrel a day cuts into the first quarter of 2018.
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Friday, November 10, 2017
STOCKS HIT AN AIR POCKET……AGAIN! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Stocks got their fist little taste of pain yesterday as we close out this half cycle.
Full cycle losses in the coming bearmarket will extend to at least 60% in my estimation.
But it remains to be seen if this new decline is the beginning of something greater.
The DOW was down more than 250 points today in a possible series of 1,2 waves.
It is too early to say just yet,
But If I were a bull,
I might ask this question:
why do stocks nose dive, when everything is supposedly so great?
It has got to be a head sctratcher!