Friday, July 10, 2015

Stock Market Sentiment Reset / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Gary_Tanashian

Excerpted from an extensive multi-market NFTRH update (including global stocks, commodities and precious metals) yesterday morning:

Volatility.  It is what we expected and it is what we have with Tuesday’s big down and upward reversal, down hard again yesterday and today very green in pre-market.  This volatility applies to most assets markets including the precious metals.  It is the nature of the beast during a news-rich summer, with many operators on vacation or semi-vacation (with some players not able to resist peeking?).

Friday, July 10, 2015

The Central Bankers Dilemma / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

We are playing with fire.

How quickly we forget about the power of compounding interest - in reverse.

The world is limping along at ultra low interest rates. Otherwise benign movements from such extreme lows are magnified beyond comprehension. An equivalent interest rate move up from 10% has a tiny overall effect, compared with the same move up from lower rates.

Friday, July 10, 2015

Greece Crisis - Someone Pull The Plug or This Will End in War / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Raul_I_Meijer

I was going to write up on the uselessness of Angela Merkel, given that she said on this week that “giving in to Greece could ‘blow apart’ the euro”, and it’s the 180º other way around; it’s the consistent refusal to allow any leniency towards the Greeks that is blowing the currency union to smithereens.

Merkel’s been such an abject failure, the fullblown lack of leadership, the addiction to her right wing backbenchers, no opinion that seems to be remotely her own. But I don’t think the topic by itself makes much sense anymore for an article. It’s high time to take a step back and oversee the entire failing euro and EU system.

Friday, July 10, 2015

Gold and Silver Stocks More Weakness Ahead / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The precious metals sector is enduring losses for the third straight week. The gold miners and Silver have led the way down, though Silver has rallied over the past two sessions. Gold has also rallied yet remains dangerously close to making a new weekly low for the bear market. While the metals recovered some losses on Wednesday and Thursday, the gold miners failed to generate anything positive and closed near their lows for each session. The inability of the miners to recover to even a small degree augurs badly for the entire sector in the days ahead.

Friday, July 10, 2015

Forget about Reaching a Deal with Greece, Europe Needs a deal with... Europe! / Politics / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Atlantic_Perspective

Mathematically speaking, Greece needs debt relief. There´s no other option. The country can´t pay back its debts. But there is a nasty “but” in this statement...
If Europe lets Greece off the hook, then all the other “emerging Greeces” of the UE will want the same. Far-left governments would start winning elections all over the place, starting with Portugal and Spain - just a few months away from electing a new government. And that would be the end of the European Union.

Friday, July 10, 2015

China and Greece – Implications on the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Puru_Saxena

The global financial markets are still jittery and the twin worries (Greece and China) are playing on investors’ minds. Although anything can happen, it now appears as though a last minute deal between Greece and its creditors will materialise (gasp). If a deal is done on the creditors’ terms, the referendum will turn out to be a pointless and expensive exercise.  Why bother with an anti-austerity referendum vote if you will eventually cave in to a similar deal!?

Friday, July 10, 2015

Silver at the Mercy of China’s Stock Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

Silver's fate will be determined over the next few weeks by the events unfolding around China's stock market.

If their equity markets stabilize, and if it looks as if the worst is over, silver will stabilize as well. If not, then neither will silver.

Friday, July 10, 2015

USDJPY Correction Underway / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: Austin_Galt

The USDJPY currency pair has traded exactly as laid out in previous client analysis and a correction now appears underway. Let's analyse both the medium term and long term pictures using the weekly and yearly charts.

Friday, July 10, 2015

Puerto Rico Debt Crisis: Should U.S. Investors Care? (Video) / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2015

By: EWI

White House: No U.S. bailout for Puerto Rico

Editor's note: You'll find the text version of the story below the video.

Friday, July 10, 2015

China: What Deflation Looks Like / Stock-Markets / Deflation

By: EWI

Why the 32% slide in the Shanghai Composite is more than just a "hiccup"

The Shanghai Composite fell another 8% at the open on Wednesday (July 8). Trading was soon halted by the authorities. (But for a different reason that the trading halt on the NYSE the same day.)

From its all-time high on June 12, China's main stock index is down 32%. Using the word "crash" is becoming appropriate.

Friday, July 10, 2015

China, Greece and the NYSE: Black Swans or Red Flags? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

Scary. That is the word that kept coming up over and over as the news came in this week. Greece technically defaulted. The Shanghai Composite index dropped some 30%. And then a computer glitch caused the NYSE to be down for three hours. Are these headlines just blips on the equities markets? Do they have long-term implications for resource stocks? To answer these questions, we did what we do best at The Gold Report and asked the experts what is causing all the black swans and what they are doing to protect themselves.

Friday, July 10, 2015

Now Is A Good Time To Pick Up Some Oil Stocks / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: OilPrice_Com

Oil's oversized reaction to negative news from Greece and China on Monday should really have come as no surprise with the value of 20/20 hindsight. I have been writing for some time now that the commodity would break out of its narrowing range and that the more times it failed to break the resistance point at $62, the more likely it was that that break would be in a downward direction. It is logical that the longer that it took, the more violent that break would be.

Friday, July 10, 2015

Labour Productivity Misconceptions / Economics / Economic Theory

By: Alasdair_Macleod

In the media warm-up for Wednesday's UK budget, we were told of Britain's poor productivity and Chancellor Osborne subsequently confirmed that his priority is to address it. Comparative figures for Europe quoted by the BBC were sourced from the OECD and are replicated in the chart below.

Thursday, July 09, 2015

The Great Train Wreck Of 2015 – 2016 Is Beginning / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

Ninety seven years ago in Tennessee a train wreck killed 101 people.  It was shocking, unexpected, and devastating.

In the year 2000 the Tech-Wreck was unexpected, the NASDAQ market crashed, and $Trillions of paper wealth disappeared.   Most investors were shocked and their savings were devastated.

Thursday, July 09, 2015

U.S. Economy Slouches toward Recession as Eurozone Crisis Widens / Economics / US Economy

By: MoneyMetals

Stefan Gleason writes: Federal Reserve chair Janet Yellen may have missed her window of opportunity to raise interest rates. The economic data no longer paint a picture of even a tepid recovery. Since the start of the year, key indicators for the economy began pointing toward recession.

Add to that the recent Eurozone chaos surrounding the Greek default and a 30% crash in the Chinese stock market, and economic pressures are growing by the day.

Thursday, July 09, 2015

Are Roth IRA Owners Likely To Be Subject To Double Taxation? / Personal_Finance / Pensions & Retirement

By: Dan_Amerman

Roth Individual Retirement Accounts are an uncommonly attractive and powerful method of creating wealth for retirement when viewed from the usual financial perspective. What sets them apart is that contributions are made with after-tax dollars, but withdrawals are made on a tax-free basis – which is the reverse of most other retirement accounts.

This is among the reasons why Roth IRAs are enormously popular with many millions of retirement investors in the United States and why they are so widely recommended by financial planners, CPAs and many other financial professionals.

Thursday, July 09, 2015

Growth of Chinese Margin Accounts Drove Bubble – Now Drives the Crash / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: GoldCore

- Restrictions on borrowing to speculate were eased in 2010
- Middle class savers gradually saturated the market trading on leverage
- Market crash began as government tried to reign in leverage in overheated markets
- Leverage amplified gains on the up-leg, amplifies losses on down-leg forcing further sell offs
- Policy u-turns could not halt crash

Thursday, July 09, 2015

Budget 2015 - New 7.5% Tax on Dividends, Government Targets Small Limited Company Owners / Personal_Finance / UK Tax & Budget

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Whilst most eyes are on the deep tax credits cuts that amount to an average of £2k for 4 million households from April 2016 onwards. The Chancellor also announced changes to the taxation of dividends which will impact on small company owners who through limited companies currently are able to vastly reduced their tax bills through by a minimal salary so as to soak up the annual £10k tax free allowance and then pay the reminder of upto an additional £30k in dividends without paying any extra tax, due to the 10% dividend tax credit rule i.e. that for basic rate tax payers no additional tax is due on dividend income.

Thursday, July 09, 2015

China Crisis Stock Market Hyper-Oversold Condition Calls for Bounce - Target... / Stock-Markets / China Stocks

By: Clive_Maund

It's a shame more Chinese investors didn't get to read our timely warning of an impending mega-smash in the Chinese stockmarket - it would have been worth the cost of a subscription TO AVOID LOSING THEIR LIFE'S SAVINGS.

It was mentioned as an aside yesterday's update on the oil sector, in which we took huge profits in United States Oil Fund Puts, that the Chinese market was massively oversold and now exhibiting extreme technical compression and thus starting to look attractive for a rebound, and we will now proceed to see exactly why that is on the charts for the Shanghai Composite Index.

Thursday, July 09, 2015

China Stock Market Crash Echoes of 1929 / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: You've heard the stories about the 1929 stock market crash, how investors should have figured out that, when taxi drivers and shoe-shine boys hawked stock tips, the end was near.

The lesson we're supposed to have learned was that cheap margin – the debt that investors can use to finance stock purchases, when wielded by uneducated, blindly optimistic "plungers," can drive stocks up and up over a cliff into an abyss.