Friday, September 13, 2019
Crude Oil Price Setting Up For A Downside Price Rotation / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Crude Oil has been trading in a fairly narrow range since mid-August – between $52 and $57 ppb. Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system suggested the downside price move in late July/early August was expected and the current support aligns very well with our ADL predictions of higher price rotation throughout most of September/October. Please take a minute to review the original research post below :
Friday, September 13, 2019
A “Looming” Recession Is a Gold Golden Opportunity / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
It’s the most widely anticipated recession in history. The recession hasn’t arrived yet – and may not do so anytime soon – but the mainstream media still can’t stop talking about it.
Consider this strange article from NBC News. It purports to show that young adults are posting dark, ironic memes to social media in reaction to a “possible recession looming.” It’s a possible, undated, undefined downturn of unknown severity that millennials are supposedly now coping with in advance!
CNN, meanwhile, sees “signs of a potential looming recession” – more severe in scope, presumably, than the network’s actual viewer ratings recession.
Friday, September 13, 2019
Is 2019 Similar to 2007? What Does It Mean For Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The Fed cut the interest rates at the end of July. As the previous easing cycle started in September 2007, many analysts are saying that the current year looks more and more like 2007. We invite you to read our today’s article that compares the current year with 2007 and find out what are the implications for the gold market.
The Fed cut the interest rates at the end of July. As the previous easing cycle started in September 2007, many analysts are saying that the current year looks more and more like 2007. We invite you to read our today’s article that compares the current year with 2007 and find out what are the implications for the gold market.
The recent Fed’s interest rate cut has been the first such since December 2008, when the U.S. central bank slashed the federal funds rate to almost zero. However, the Fed started its previous easing cycle in September 2007, when it cut interest rates by 50 basis points amid the severe slump in housing prices. Is this why many analysts are saying that the current year looks more and more like 2007? Are they right? And what would it mean for the gold market?
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Friday, September 13, 2019
How Did the Philippines Establish Itself as a World Leader in Call Centre Outsourcing? / Companies / Phillippines
By: Submissions
It’s hard to ignore the presence of the Philippines on the global market for call centre outsourcing at this point, and the country has made a very noticeable mark on the industry. And it looks like we’re only seeing the tip of the iceberg too, as there are various indications that the Philippines is going to continue pushing forward in this field.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 13, 2019
UK General Election Forecast 2019 - Betting Market Odds / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the current state of the parties after Boris Johnson ejected 21 MP's from the Tory party last week.
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Friday, September 13, 2019
Energy Sector Reaches Key Low Point – Start Looking For The Next Move / Commodities / Energy Resources
By: Chris_Vermeulen
|The Energy Sector ETF has been on fire recently with big price trends. We called a bottom/buy trigger in ERY in early July that resulted in a nearly +20% rally. Then, on August 29th, we called for ERY to rotate lower, targeting the $46 to $47 level – setting up another price momentum base before another attempt to move higher. You can read that research post here :
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Friday, September 13, 2019
Weakening Shale Productivity "VERY Bullish" For Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
After years of improvements in drilling techniques and impressive "efficiency gains," there is now evidence that the U.S. shale industry is reaching the end of the road on well productivity.
A report earlier this month from Raymond James & Associates finds that the U.S. shale industry may struggling to achieve further productivity gains. If these improvements begin to fizzle out, it could result in "an inflection point in future global oil supply/demand balances," the investment bank said.
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Friday, September 13, 2019
Stock Market Dow to 38,000 by 2022 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: readtheticker
President Trump said the Dow would be 10,000 points higher if it was not for the FED. In truth if the Dow breaks to new all time highs the next stop is 38,000 and he may be proven correct. Is there an election on?
Of course who knows? But lets continue.
The fundamentals behind this may be:
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Thursday, September 12, 2019
UK General Election 2019 - Opinion Polls / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The latest opinion polls (for what they are worth) show the Tories gaining ground under Boris Johnson's clear cut do or die Brexit leadership, rising from 26% in July to 34% today, virtually all of the gains coming from the Brexit party which fell from 20% to 13%. Whilst the Labour party has stagnated on 24%.
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Thursday, September 12, 2019
Gold under NIRP? | Negative Interest Rates vs Bullion / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Submissions
President Trump today called for the Federal Reserve to drop interest rates to zero and beyond into negative interest rate policy levels.
Some onlookers might be shocked to see this strong suggestion by the USA's commander and chief.
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Thursday, September 12, 2019
Land Rover Discovery Sport Brake Pads and Discs's Replace, Dealer Check and Cost / Personal_Finance / Land Rover
By: HGR
For how many miles of driving can you expect your Land Rover Discovery sports brake pads and discs to last? Given experience one other cars one would have thought they would be good for about 30,0000 miles. Instead up pops the worn pads dash warning at half the mileage. So watch the video to see what happens when they approach the time to replace pads and discs when you start to get a dashboard Worn Pads warning. Here we take a Land Rover discovery sport to a dealer to get the brakes checked and costed for replacement of pads and discs.
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Thursday, September 12, 2019
Stock Market Crash Black Swan Event Set Up Sept 12th? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The charts below are telling me we crash lower on 9/12 and again on 9/18-19ish.The expected 9/12 bottom should hold the SPX 2870 area. The 9/18 to 9/19 or the 20th move should go down below the 8/5 low to create an irregular bottom either on 9/19 or 9/20.
This is telling me that we likely go to new highs (double top?) around Oct 18, 2019 monthly Oct Option Expiry and then crash into early November to finish out the cycle 10 month low from Dec 24/26, 2018.
It is going to get interesting, because should an October 18th “Double Top” happens, we may see new highs by mid December, 2019 (e-wave read and 4 year cycle) and then go down harder into early 2020 around Feb/March to sync with the 4 year cycle from 2015-16. WOW!!
Benner's Cycle is telling me we see another top likely around late summer 2020 and a final crash into late 2020 with a possible double bottom in early 2021 like 2000 to 2002/03.
Thursday, September 12, 2019
Increased Pension Liabilities During the Coming Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement
By: Nick_Barisheff
Many Canadian companies have significant unfunded pension liabilities on their balance sheets. With the traditional 60/40 allocation to stocks and bonds, pension deficits may become unmanageable during the next market correction if they are not dealt with urgently. Governments can afford to ignore this looming disaster and act irresponsibly largely because they can print money; however, corporations cannot afford the risk of unfunded liabilities nor can they eliminate pension deficits as easily. We would like to take this opportunity to illustrate how these pension deficits can be taken in hand.
President Barack Obama’s administration racked up nearly as much debt in eight years as in the entire 232-year history of the US before he took office. He entered office with $10.7 trillion in total debt, and he bowed out with the country owing $19.9 trillion. That’s an average tab of $1.15 trillion a year.
Under President Donald Trump, the debt has continued to climb. The $2.18 trillion increase works out to about $1.05 trillion a year, or slightly less than the pace Obama set.
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Thursday, September 12, 2019
Gold at Support: the Upcoming Move / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Gold and gold stocks declined yesterday, but silver hesitated. Does this, plus the fact that gold is up so far in today’s pre-market trading indicate a short-term bottom? Or is the picture even on the verge of turning bullish?
Not at all. Let’s take a look at the chart below for details.
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Thursday, September 12, 2019
Precious Metals, US Dollar, Stocks – How It All Relates – Part II / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This research post continues our effort to keep investors aware of the risks and shifting capital opportunities that are currently taking place in the global markets. We started in PART I of this article by attempting to highlight how shifting currency valuations have played a very big role in precious metals pricing and how these currency shifts may ultimately result in various risk factors going forward with regards to market volatility.
Simply put, currency pricing pressures are likely to isolate many foreign markets from investment activities as consumers, institutions and central governments may need more capital to support localized economies and policies while precious metals continue to get more and more expensive.
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Wednesday, September 11, 2019
Boris Johnson's "Do or Die, Dead in a Ditch" Brexit Strategy / Politics / BrExit
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Boris Johnson's strategy towards achieving an exit from the EU by the deadline of 31st October (extended from 29th March) is to prorogue Parliament for 5 weeks as of midnight 9th September, returning on the 14th of October in attempts at preventing the remain establishment from subverting the exit date of 31st of October.
However, this has galvanised the Remain establishment to erase Boris Johnson's meager majority of 1. That and 21 remain Tory MP's betrayed their party by voting against the government in last weeks vote to force Boris Johnson to go and beg the EU for another extension, likely for at least 3 months though the decision as to how long will be in the EU's hands.
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Wednesday, September 11, 2019
Precious Metals, US Dollar: How It All Relates – Part I / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The recent movement in the precious metals markets, an incredible 33% upside price move since August 2018, has reflected an increased level of fear and greed throughout the global markets. Particularly, throughout the foreign markets. Precious metals, specifically Gold, has skyrocketed to some of the highest levels in recent times as foreign currencies devalue against the US Dollar. Still, consumers, institutions and central governments/banks are buying as much as they can right now.
Wednesday, September 11, 2019
Now That Bonds Have Pulled Back As Expected, Maybe We Can Set Up Another Rally / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Avi_Gilburt
I think this market has been providing many investors with whipsaw and head aches, which has also caused much head scratching. (And, yes, that little itch may be telling you something.)
Back in November of 2018, no one even considered the possibility of a bond rally because the Fed was raising rates. And, recently, no one even considered the possibility of any type of top in bonds because the Fed is now lowering rates. Has anyone considered that maybe the Fed does not control the bond market? (See my prior articles for thoughts on this).
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Wednesday, September 11, 2019
Bank of England’s Carney Delivers Dollar Shocker at Jackson Hole meeting / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Michael_J_Kosares
Bank of England governor Mark Carney, in something of a shocker, told the recent Jackson Hole central bankers’ conference that the world’s reliance on the US dollar ‘won’t hold’ and needs to be replaced by a new international monetary and financial system based on many more global currencies,” according to a Financial Times report. The greatest impact of Carney’s bombshell, though, came not from his opinion on the look and feel of some futuristic global monetary system. It came instead from his seeming tacit approval of the escalating movement to dethrone the dollar as the world’s reserve currency in the here and now. A good many in that audience were no doubt surprised – even rattled – by Carney’s remarks.
“Something is going on,” said St. Louis Fed President James Bullard in a Financial Times report, “and that’s causing I think a total rethink of central banking and all our cherished notions of what we think we’re doing. We just have to stop thinking that next year things are going to be normal.” To which FT added: “Interest rates are not going back up anytime soon, the role of the dollar is under scrutiny – both as a haven asset and as a medium of exchange – and trade uncertainty has become a permanent feature of policymaking.”
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Wednesday, September 11, 2019
Gold and Silver Wounded Animals, Indeed / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Clive_Maund
Sector expert Michael Ballanger offers his observations of recent activity in the gold and silver markets. "The permabulls will tell you that the bullion banks and their treasury department conspirators have lost all power in this 'new paradigm' and we should relax and refrain from worry. I tend to disagree because wounded animals are the singular most dangerous of all creatures on this debt-ravaged planet, and with gold at $1,552, these cartel cretins are now wounded, angry and very desperate animals." —Michael Ballanger, Sept. 2, 2019; silver at $19.00 one day before the top
OK, so now that there is zero doubt surrounding the recent demise of the bullion banks, I was reminded yesterday (amidst the gnarling and gnashing of many a silver bulls' incisors) of a famous Mark Twain quote surrounding rumors of his passing: "The reports of my death are greatly exaggerated."
That is exactly the reply of the criminal cartel last week as bullion bank shenanigans took a page out of the Carpe Diem playbook and absolutely pounded the precious metals with such feral ferocity that they quite predictably set off a retail panic of the highest order. One very prominent gold and silver bull tweeted out, "It should be noted that Crimex silver is still up on the week!", to which I quickly and cynically replied, "Tell that to my margin clerk."
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