Wednesday, July 03, 2019
Freight Slowdown Is a Terrible Sign for the Economy / Economics / US Economy
By: Patrick_Watson
Just as an army moves on its stomach, an economy moves on ships, trucks, and planes. They carry the goods whose purchase adds up to growth.Nowadays many goods are digital, delivered electronically. But we still need lots of physical stuff which must travel to the customer.
Fewer goods in motion mean lower growth… and that’s exactly what is happening.
With technology, businesses have grown adept at managing inventory. Goods don’t typically sit on store shelves very long. Retailers stop ordering quickly when demand falls.
Lower freight volume is a symptom of a disease that’s getting worse.
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Wednesday, July 03, 2019
New US-Sino Trade Truce: Tougher Talks, More Economic Damage / Economics / Protectionism
By: Dan_Steinbock
During the G20 summit, China and US agreed to re-start the trade talks. As the US trade war is slowing China’s growth, the collateral damage is now spreading in the US economy, while undermining global prospects.Despite the White House’s efforts to lobby other countries against Huawei, President Trump also said that US companies can supply the technology giant, which the US, Department of Commerce blacklisted last month.
After Osaka, the negotiators face challenging obstacles, despite still another temporary timeout. Deep bilateral disagreements prevail about major structural issues.
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Wednesday, July 03, 2019
Re-examining a Popular Stock Market Long Term Bearish Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
The stock market has been very choppy in the past year. Over the past few months, the yield curve has been extremely hyped-up in the media and social media. I found some interesting data that makes you re-think how useful the yield curve really is for marketing timing. Today’s headlines:
- Long term volatility is high
- VVIX tanked
- Weekend gap up
- Few -1% down days
- ISM PMI
- Gold’s sentiment is retreating
- How useful is the yield curve?
Wednesday, July 03, 2019
Playing the Stocks Bull Market Till the Music Stops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Submissions
The last week of June completed as an inside week that traded very close to within our expected 2969-2915 high-level consolidation range on the Emini S&P 500 (ES). The actual range for the week was 2961.75-2914.5.
Essentially, the market action started the consolidation late Monday. It backtested against 2915, a major must-hold level, with 2914.5 printed as the "sticksave" to become the low of the week by Wednesday June 26.
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Wednesday, July 03, 2019
Stock Index Trend Trading Strategy / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Last week was a great week for trading as we locked in profits on a trade and raised our stops to protect the rest of our open positions.
take a look at how my trading system identifies trends, trades, and targets in the chart below.
Tuesday, July 02, 2019
GOOGLE Deep Mind Stock Investing to Profit from Machine Learning / Companies / Google
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Where to invest to profit from the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend. I have ranked these stocks in in terms of risk vs reward and volatility. Do remember that when investing in the stock market that your capital is at risk. There are NO SURE BETS!
If you've not already done so then watch my following video from November 2016 which illustrates why everything will start to change exponentially by 2021.
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Tuesday, July 02, 2019
Silver Price Is on the Launching Pad, Waiting for Ignition / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: MoneyMetals
Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.
Coming up we have an interview with Greg Weldon that you absolutely are not going to want to miss. Hear what Greg has to say now about gold after accurately predicting the recent breakdown point to the dollar on this very podcast a little over a month ago. We’ll also get his thoughts on lagging silver, hear his breakdown the generational high we’re seeing in the gold to silver ratio right now and why he is on the verge of making a major trading decision in the white metal ahead of a big move he sees coming. All that and more coming up in our interview with Greg Weldon, right after this week’s market update.
Precious metals markets are set to close out the week, the month, and the quarter with underlying strength building for some big moves ahead.
The standout performer this month has been gold, breaking above $1,400 an ounce. Meanwhile, the raging palladium bull market is still powering ahead – with prices on the verge of posting new all-time highs. Even the lagging metals, silver and platinum, are showing signs of lifting off major bottoms.
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Tuesday, July 02, 2019
Are US Real Estate ETF’s The Next Big Trade? Part II / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Chris_Vermeulen
In part I of this research post, we highlighted how the shifting landscape of the US real estate market may be setting up an incredible trading opportunity for technical traders. It is our belief that the continued capital shift which has been driving foreign investment into US assets, real estate, and other investments may be shifting away from US real estate as tell-tale signs of stress are starting to show. Foreclosures and price drops are one of the first signs that stress exists in the markets and we believe the real estate segment could be setting up for an incredible trade opportunity.
SRS, the Proshares Ultrashort Real Estate EFT has recently completed a unique “washout low” price bottom that we believe may become an incredible trading opportunity for technical traders. If the US Fed pushes the market into a panic mode, sellers will become even more desperate to offload their homes and buyers will become even more discerning in terms of selecting what and when to buy.
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Tuesday, July 02, 2019
This Could Depress The Price Of Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Avi_Gilburt
I have to be honest and tell you that I am literally chuckling while I write some of my articles. My last gold article was one where I was certainly chuckling while writing it. Yet, I cannot tell you how many other “analysts” across the internet took me to task for something about which they thought I was being serious. I guess a sense of humor is not something that every reader possesses.
You see, so many of these gold writers have their heads buried so deeply in the sand (or elsewhere) that they cannot even understand when someone is poking fun at their conspiracy or manipulation theories. And, to think that they view my theory of aliens causing a rise in gold as any different than some of the conspiracy theories they present is nothing less than laughable. But, everyone has their theories, just as they say that everyone has an armpit. And, many stink.
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Tuesday, July 02, 2019
Bitcoin Cycle Bullish / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: readtheticker
Dear Mr and Mrs Middle class you have been plucked and buttered ready for the oven of the next financial crisis.
Previous Posts, and notice the change in view due to bitcoin price strong move; The Coming Bitcoin Ambush , The Great Bitcoin Slide
The lessons of Cyprus should remind us all that the big losers during a banking crisis are the savers, and if a bank is currently deducting interest from your savings account (i.e negative interest rate) why would you keep money in a bank when recession risks grow. Banks go bust in a recession and bank bail ins are to be expected to be the norm during a crisis.
Tuesday, July 02, 2019
Will Some Toys R Us UK Stores Re-Open for Christmas? / Companies / Retail Sector
By: Anika_Walayat
Toys R Us went bankrupt last year and closed down ALL of it's stores not just in the UK but across the world. Unfortunately children don't understand the dynamics of highly indebted corporate balance sheets. So Eliza was upset on her 4th birthday drip to discover the store shuttered and closed , so here's a trip down memory late of what it was like to shop at Toys R Us before our local store in Sheffield closed down mid 2018.
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Tuesday, July 02, 2019
G20 News Drive Big Moves In The Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This past weekend was full of exciting news and information. Combine this with the strong US economic activity, the potential for some type of reprieve in the US/China trade issues and the historic meeting in North Korea between President Trump and Kim Jun Un, and the markets were set up for a big move at the open of trading in Tokyo.
The other big news originated from the Bank of International Settlements (BIS). This Swiss-based central banking committee for “central banks” released an annual report on the progress of global central banks and the global economy last weekend. They urged central banks not to chase easy money policies any longer and to focus on core policy changes, practical economic practices, and real leadership to help drive future growth. They urged nations that easy money policies may help to show some types of immediate economic improvements – but that the risks of continuing such policies and lack of true economic reforms do nothing but pack risk into the back end of these efforts.
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Tuesday, July 02, 2019
Olympus TG-5 Camera Picture Modes for Best Image Settings Test Review / Personal_Finance / Reviews
By: HGR
In this video we take a look at the Olympus TG-5 Toughs 35 picture modes to determine which modes are the best to take note of to use when out and about as well as for ideas for setting up shots to capitalise on the camera's capabilities.
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Tuesday, July 02, 2019
FACEBOOK FB Social Media Giant for Artificial Intelligence Stock Investing - Video / Companies / AI
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Are you ready for the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend?
In this series of videos I present my Top 10 AI stocks to invest in to profit from the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend.
My Top 10 AI stocks are ranked in terms of risk vs reward and volatility. So I consider my Top 5 stocks as primary, then the next 3 as secondary and the last 2 as far more risky tertiary stocks. And remember that when investing in the stock market that your capital is at risk. There are NO SURE BETS!
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Tuesday, July 02, 2019
Debt Consolidation Process can help with Debt Crisis / Personal_Finance / Debt & Loans
By: Sumeet_Manhas
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Monday, July 01, 2019
AMAZON - AMZN AI Machine Learning Stock Investing / Companies / Amazon
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Where to invest to profit from the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend. I have ranked these stocks in in terms of risk vs reward and volatility. Do remember that when investing in the stock market that your capital is at risk. There are NO SURE BETS!
If you've not already done so then watch my following video from November 2016 which illustrates why everything will start to change exponentially by 2021.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, July 01, 2019
Gold Huge Upside if Breakout Holds / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
As I pen this article, Gold is set to close the month and the quarter above $1400/oz and holding the majority of its recent gains. That does not necessitate continued strength but it is a good sign.
The technicals and fundamentals are finally in place for Gold.
It is outperforming all major currencies and the Federal Reserve is weeks away from beginning a new cycle of rate cuts. The US Dollar has broken its uptrend.
The near-term outlook is very strong but if the Federal Reserve cuts three or four times and Gold strongly outperforms the stock market then this move can go to $1900/oz.
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Monday, July 01, 2019
Are Real Estate ETF’s The Next Big Trade? / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Chris_Vermeulen
A subscriber recently mentioned getting into a real estate ETF so we started going over the data which may suggest the Real Estate sector could become the next big trade over the next 12+ months. The news that the US Fed may decrease rates in an attempt to front-run global economic weakness and real estate market weakness may result in a waterfall event in local and regional real estate markets. This type of event could become a fantastic trading opportunity for technical traders.
Recently we have been talking about the unit and very different opportunities in other physical assets like precious metals. Each metal is unique for market timing has its own personality. Our gold predictions are an eye-opener, why silver is awesome, and our most recent analysis on platinum is timely.
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Monday, July 01, 2019
Zimbabwe's Inflation is Still Surging / Economics / Inflation
By: Steve_H_Hanke
The most important price in an economy is the exchange rate between the local currency and the world’s reserve currency — the U.S. dollar. As long as there is an active black‐market (read: free market) for currency and the data are available, changes in the black‐market exchange rate can be reliably transformed into accurate estimates of countrywide inflation rates—if the annual inflation rates exceed 25%. The economic principle of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) allows for this transformation.
I compute the implied annual inflation rates with high‐frequency data and report them on a daily basis. PPP is used to translate changes in the black‐market exchange rates into annual inflation rates. For the countries that I follow each day, the table below shows the annual rates for the five countries with the highest inflation rates.
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Monday, July 01, 2019
China’s Rare Earths, Locked And Loaded / Commodities / Rare Earths
By: Steve_H_Hanke
President Trump has picked a fight with China on trade. This has run the gamut of badgering to the imposition of tariffs on Chinese exports to the United States. And, if that is not enough, the President threatens to lay on more tariffs if China fails to comply with a host of U.S. demands. China will not stand idly by and be beaten with a stick, but will they pull the trigger?
One weapon that China has in its arsenal is rare earths. As the Global Times, a state-owned Chinese newspaper, put it: rare earths are “an ace in China’s hand.” Rare earths cover 17 important elements on the periodic table. And, they are elements in which China occupies a dominant position. Furthermore, the Chinese leadership is well aware of the strategic importance of rare earths. As far back as 1992, Deng Xiaoping stressed that “the Middle East has oil; China has rare earths.”
And that is not all. China knows that rare earths can be used to counterpunch. Last month, China’s Natural Development and Reform Commission, a body that oversees Chinese policy shifts, pointedly brought up rare earths in a question-and-answer bulletin on the threat of a rare earths export ban. The notice read: “Will rare earths become China’s counter-weapon against the US’s unwarranted suppression? What I can tell you is that if anyone wants to use products made from rare earth to curb the development of China, then the people of the revolutionary soviet base and the whole Chinese people will not be happy.”
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