Friday, September 07, 2018
The Most Important Chart To Explain Why Stock Market Bears Lose Money / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
I have spoken about this many times in the past, but the fact is that very few understand our financial markets. While no one is perfect when it comes to being able to identify turning points in the market, I think we all know that there has been a significant increase in that lack of perfection when it comes to the US stock market over the last three years.
You see, many focus on the wrong factors when making decisions about the stock market. While events such as Brexit, Frexit, Grexit, rise in interest rates, cessation of QE, terrorist attacks, Crimea, Trump, Syrian missile attack, North Korea, record hurricane damage in Houston, Florida, and Puerto Rico, quantitative tightening, trade wars, and many more have scared investors into believing the bull market will come to an end, none of these events have even put a dent in this bull market as it has rallied 50% during this period.
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Friday, September 07, 2018
UK Retail Sector Catastrophe - Toys R Us Woolworth's Moment - ALL Stores Closed Down! / Companies / Retail Sector
By: Nadeem_Walayat
I have been warning for several years now that the UK retail sector was facing a crisis that would result in several Woolworth moments of giant retailers going bust, closing down ALL of their stores. This year has seen the retail sector crisis turn into a catastrophe with several popular chains such as Maplins and Toys closing down ALL of their stores, with many more chains such as New Look, Debenhams and Marks and Spencer teetering on the brink, and not even the pound stores are immune to the unfolding high street catastrophe as illustrated by the fate of Poundstretcher.
Thursday, September 06, 2018
Crude Oil Price Likely To Find Support In Uptrend / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Chris_Vermeulen
I have focused my attention on the recent price rotation in the Crude Oil market. I believe the recent downside rotation in price, while technically still in a bullish trend, is an excellent opportunity for traders to identify entry positions for a potential price rally to levels near of above $70~71 ppb.
My proprietary price modeling systems and price cycle systems are clearly illustrating that Oil prices should find support, bottom and rotate higher within the next 5~7+ days. I rely on these proprietary indicators and modeling systems to help understand when opportunities exist in the markets. When I can determine that price is moving counter to a primary trend and creating what I call a “price anomaly”, where enhanced opportunity exists for a profitable outcome, I attempt to determine if this trigger warrants alerting our followers. In this case, I believe the opportunity for upside price action following this price rotation is exceptional.
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Thursday, September 06, 2018
Gold-Acquiring Foreign Powers Put Petro-Dollar in Jeopardy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: MoneyMetals
President Donald Trump’s administration is playing a game of high-stakes international chess with Russia, Iran, Turkey, China, and other countries viewed as adversaries in trade and geopolitics.
It’s not necessarily the case that tariffs, sanctions, and blustering will result in a hot war. More likely, escalating strife between the U.S. and a bloc of much more populous adversaries will push them to unite more closely to undermine and ultimately dethrone King Dollar.
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Thursday, September 06, 2018
Are Bitcoin and Gold Bottoming? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Bitcoin plunged from 7385 to 6830, or 7.5%, Wednesday in reaction to a Business Insider report that Goldman Sachs has decided to drop a year-ago decision to create a crypto-currency trading desk.
Apparently, Goldman is "uncertain" about the regulatory environment. Hmm, really? Since when has Goldman shied away from forging a new path while it influences the architecture of a new regulatory environment?
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Thursday, September 06, 2018
Mixed Stock Market, Topping Pattern or Just Pause Within a Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Paul_Rejczak
Stocks were mixed on Wednesday, as investors continued to take profits off the table following the recent rally. The broad stock market remains relatively close to its new record high. Is this a topping pattern or just pause before another leg up?
The U.S. stock market indexes were mixed between -1.2% and +0.1% on Wednesday, as investors hesitated following the recent record-breaking rally. The S&P 500 index has reached the record high of 2,916.50 last week. It currently trades below 2,900 mark. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.1% and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 1.2% yesterday.
The nearest important level of support of the S&P 500 index is at 2,875-2,885, marked by last week's Monday's daily gap up of 2,876.16-2,884.69 and yesterday's daily low of around 2,877. The support level is also at 2,860-2,865. On the other hand, the nearest important level of resistance is at 2,900. The next resistance level is at 2,910-2,915, marked by the mentioned last Wednesday's record high.
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Thursday, September 06, 2018
China Contagion Risk is Now Spreading, And US Stock Market is NOT Immune / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Graham_Summers
As we noted yesterday, the global financial system is beginning to experience its first taste of “contagion” risk in years.
US stocks remains clueless to this… but it’s doubtful that will continue
China (black line in chart below) has imploded and is in a full-blown bear market. The odds that the US stock market (blue line in charts below) can avoid what’s affecting China are low.
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Thursday, September 06, 2018
China Economy Sneezed… Will the World Catch Cold? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Graham_Summers
The markets are getting downright ugly. If things don’t turn up soon we could be at the point at which the Everything Bubble begins to burst.
While US stocks have performed relatively well recently, globally things are looking worse and worse.
Germany’s DAX never reclaimed its former high established back in January. Instead it’s been carving out a massive Head and Shoulders pattern. Germany is the fourth largest economy in the world and heavily reliant on exports for growth. This chart pattern doesn’t bode well for global trade or growth.
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Wednesday, September 05, 2018
Precious Metals Sector Now on a Long-term Sell Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: The_Gold_Report
In his weekly precious metals market update, technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is down.
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Wednesday, September 05, 2018
GBP/CAD Could Gain Traction / Currencies / British Pound
By: FXOpen
GBP/CAD is trading nicely and it may perhaps rise towards the 1.7000 resistance.
Key Points
- GBP/CAD found support near 1.6600 and started an upside move.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.6790 on the daily chart.
Wednesday, September 05, 2018
S&P Made a New Stock Market High in August. Pullback in September? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The S&P 500 made a monthly closing all-time high in August. This is uncommon, because the U.S. stock market is usually more volatile from May – September.
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Wednesday, September 05, 2018
Why Would You Even Think About Buying Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Avi_Gilburt
Gold is a relic of the past. There is no interest from the millennials for gold. The cryptocurrencies are taking demand away from gold. Central banks have been selling gold over the last few years. Interest rates do not support a rally in gold. Gold funds have been closing of late, which evidences the lack of demand for gold.
We have heard so many reasons as to why no one should buy gold. In fact, the people you speak with about gold either view it with disgust (those who own it) or complete indifference (those who do not).
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Wednesday, September 05, 2018
Gold and Silver’s Stormy September / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: P_Radomski_CFA
There were only a few analyses that we started with a quote, and there were even fewer that we began by quoting a song. It may even be the first one ever.
I am the storm and I am the wonder
And the flashlights, nightmares
And sudden explosions
- Royksopp, “What Else Is There”
And you will have all the above in September. At least if you’re going to pay attention to gold, silver and mining stocks.
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Wednesday, September 05, 2018
Will the Indonesian Rupiah Heading Towards the 16,500 level? / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: Sam_Chee_Kong
As of late, Emerging Markets have been garnering much attention. Unfortunately it was for the wrong reason. Emerging Market currencies like the Turkish Lira, Argentinian Pesos and the South African Rand have been almost in free fall mode.
What is the narrative behind this?
It all started right after the Global Financial Crisis in 2008. Needless to say recent financial crisis such as the Asian Financial Crisis in 1998 and the Global Financial Crisis originated from having too much money in the economy. As in the Asian Financial Crisis there were just too much easy money going around in the economy. Banks have been lending out money to unqualified borrowers which in turn used the money to speculate in the housing and stock markets. This eventually pushes up asset prices way beyond their fundamental values. Hence, bubbles are created and the authorities are slow in tackling the problem. They only acted when the crisis is almost out of control. Sounds familiar to the causes of the Global Financial Crisis and the current Emerging Market Crisis?
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Tuesday, September 04, 2018
Top Tips for Winning Cadbury Match and Win Premier league Football Tickets / Personal_Finance / Freebies and Comps
By: Anika_Walayat
Here's our top tip for maximising wins in Cadbury's Premier League Football Match and Win promotion which features well over 1 million prizes that range from the top prize of a pair of VIP match day tickets (X10), all the way to 1 million Cadbury FC Goodies. But before you head out to the shops to buy loads of cadbury's products, watch our video for a top tip that WILL save you a lot of money whilst maximising your chances of winning a prize!
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Tuesday, September 04, 2018
Gold Price Analysis: 3 Ideas Make Tough Trading / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: WavePatternTraders
If you have been following Gold over the last few years you are probably frustrated like most Gold bulls are, essentially Gold and Gold stocks have gone nowhere for the past two years, although you could argue that the many Gold stocks have a downwards bias the past two years, but Gold is still above the Dec 2016 lows.There are a number of patterns that I am currently watching and no one idea has a strong foothold, although if any upside fails to move above $1340, then it will make a better case for Idea 3 and a large triangle has been in progress over the last 2 years.
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Tuesday, September 04, 2018
GBP/USD Remains Bearish / Currencies / British Pound
By: FXOpen
The daily chart of GBP/USD suggests that the pair is in a major downtrend below 1.3000 and it could decline further.
Key Points
- The British Pound failed recently to break a crucial resistance near 1.3000/40 against the US Dollar.
- The GBP/USD pair is following a major bearish trend line with resistance at 1.2970 on the daily chart.
Tuesday, September 04, 2018
Stock Market VIX & S&P: This Bearish Study isn’t as Bad as You Think / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
VIX and the S&P trend higher together during the final innings of a bull market.
Here’s VIX and the S&P 500 before the stock market’s top in 2007.
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Tuesday, September 04, 2018
We Have Had 9 Years To 'Prepare For The Stock Market Crash,' So Are We There Yet? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Avi_Gilburt
This past week, I read an article entitled “When Will S&P 500 Valuations Matter Again?,” written by Gary Gordon.
And, in his first bullet point, he said “truth be told, valuations have not mattered for the public markets for three-and-a-half years.” He then goes on to state that “on virtually any methodology one employs, the U.S. stock market is extremely overpriced.”
In coming to this conclusion, he has reviewed price-to-free-cash-flow, price-to-sales, market-cap-to-GDP, and other valuation matrices. Yet, as he noted in his bullet point, these valuations have not mattered for the three and half years where the market added 50% to its price. Yes, that is a 50% return which cannot be supported by traditional valuation methodologies.
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Tuesday, September 04, 2018
Financial Crisis 10 Years Later – No Lessons Learned / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: James_Quinn
“A variety of investors provided capital to financial companies, with which they made irresponsible loans and took excessive risks. These activities resulted in real losses, which have largely wiped out the shareholder equity of the companies. But behind that shareholder equity is bondholder money, and so much of it that neither depositors of the institution nor the public ever need to take a penny of losses. Citigroup, for example, has $2 trillion in assets, but also has $600 billion owed to its own bondholders. From an ethical perspective, the lenders who took the risk to finance the activities of these companies are the ones that should directly bear the cost of the losses.” – John Hussman – May 2009
This month marks the 10th anniversary of the Wall Street/Fed/Treasury created financial disaster of 2008/2009. What should have happened was an orderly liquidation of the criminal Wall Street banks who committed the greatest control fraud in world history and the disposition of their good assets to non-criminal banks who did not recklessly leverage their assets by 30 to 1, while fraudulently issuing worthless loans to deadbeats and criminals. But we know that did not happen.
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