Monday, April 09, 2018
Stock Market Retest of the Low? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
Intermediate trend – The intermediate correction from 2873 should now continue until May.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, April 09, 2018
A Handy Guide to Congressional Budget Office CBO Report / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: F_F_Wiley
Tomorrow we’ll get the Congressional Budget Office’s first look at the budgetary consequences of Donald Trump.
That is, the CBO will release its 10-year budget outlook, which was delayed by a few months to allow enough time to assess recent legislation.
Expect the media to respond in a variety of ways, including matter-of-fact reporting and editorials slamming Trump and the GOP for fiscal profligacy. But whatever the perspective, most responses will have one thing in common—they’ll accept the CBO’s figures as being accurate and authoritative.
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Sunday, April 08, 2018
The Bayer-Monsanto Merger Is Bad News for the Planet / Companies / Food Crisis
By: Ellen_Brown
Two new studies from Europe show that the number of birds in agricultural areas of France has crashed by a third in just 15 years, with some species being almost eradicated. The collapse in the bird population mirrors the discovery last October that more than three quarters of all flying insects in Germany have vanished in just three decades. Insects are the staple food source of birds, the pollinators of fruits and the aerators of the soil.
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Sunday, April 08, 2018
Political Posturing Distracts – Trade The Stock Market Wall Of Worry / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recent news about the US and China posturing for Trade Deals and the continued increase in rhetoric has weighed heavily on the markets these past few weeks. Yes, trade issues are a concern for nations and fair trade is essential to support both economies. Yet, the news seems to be exaggerated in scale and scope when one considers the totality of it all. Our research team at Technical Traders Ltd. has recently completed a detailed analysis of the Chinese economy including a study of the expected pressures that are mounting throughout most of China/Asia. A property market cycle, extended debt issues, foreign capital projects, military tensions and now “trade tariffs” are adding up to quite a bit of headwind for the Chinese.
Sunday, April 08, 2018
Legoland, Alton Towers Theme Parks ... Grown Ups and Mates Go FREE 2018 on Kellogg's, Crunchy Nut... / Personal_Finance / Theme Parks
By: Anika_Walayat
We still have another week to go for the easter school holidays 2018 and with the summer holidays just around the corner parents are seeking ways to keep their kids entertained during holiday season that will likely include several trips to the major UK theme parks. We'll here is some great news for you all as many breakfast serial and chocolate snack bar producers such as Kellogg's are running promotions that allow entry into the UK's top theme parks for ther whole of 2018 for FREE! So plenty of time to use the vouchers to gain entry into 14 UK theme parks that include Alton Towers, Legoland, Chessington, the Dungeon, Sea Life, Shreks Adventure and Madame Tussaud's etc...
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Sunday, April 08, 2018
Stock Market’s High Uncertainty is Medium Term Bullish for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Troy_Bombardia
The stock market’s volatility has been crazy recently. It’s clear that the majority of investors and traders are undecided. It soars a few percent over 2 days, then tanks a few percent over 2 days, then soars, then tanks…
We can see this uncertainty in the market’s breadth as well. The NYSE’s Up Volume indicates the number of stocks that went up today.
8 out of the past 11 trading days have seen Up Volume either above 80% (i.e. most stocks surging) or below 20% (i.e. most stocks going down). This is a rare medium term bullish sign for the stock market.
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Sunday, April 08, 2018
US Dollar Index Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Austin_Galt
Pattern – price looks to be in a consolidating the downtrend. Once this consolidation is over, which I believe is imminent, the downtrend should resume and see price crack to new lows.Bollinger Bands – these bands clearly show the sideways action in play currently. Price looks like it has just turned down failing to reach the upper band. The lower band has already been hit three times during this consolidation phase and the fourth attempt is usually successful at breaking through.
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Sunday, April 08, 2018
America 2.0 / Politics / US Politics
By: Raul_I_Meijer
It’s Dr. D again. Told you he’s on a roll. He remains convinced America can re-invent itself. If only because it must.
Dr. D: Herbert Stein’s Law states “What Can’t Go On Forever, Doesn’t.” This is a neat summary of the present trade and currency imbalance. China makes real goods and the U.S. consumes them by typing digits on a keyboard. This is the very definition of what cannot go on forever.
• How long do you expect a nation can make nothing and consume everything?
• How long do you expect a nation without manufacturing, without a workforce, and now without a viable military to remain pre-eminent?
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Saturday, April 07, 2018
The Biggest Weakness Facing US Real Estate / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Harry_Dent
Right now, Millennials are the largest cohort of homebuyers in America.And even though they’re waiting longer to get married, start a family, and buy a home… and they’re more likely to skip buying a starter home and opt for a larger property…
They have almost ZERO interest in the massive McMansions the Baby Boomers built. Those behemoths cost a fortune to maintain, they typically lack the desirable open floor plans and high-end amenities Millennials want, and they’re usually located in hellish suburbia, far away from the hip neighborhoods and fun activities.
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Saturday, April 07, 2018
Looking at My US Housing Market “Doomsday” Map / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Harry_Dent
Jeff was a small business owner in New Hampshire. One Tuesday afternoon, his neighbor called…“You need to get home NOW! There’s a dumpster in your yard, a padlock on your door, and a bunch of guys are ransacking your house!”
Completely panicked, Jeff dropped everything and raced home. When he got there, he found most of his family’s possessions either in a heap in the front yard or tossed inside the dumpster.
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Saturday, April 07, 2018
Why is US Healthcare So Costly? / Politics / Healthcare Sector
By: Harry_Dent
One of the Baby Boomers biggest concerns about retirement is the cost of healthcare.It’s a big problem.
I have a concierge doctor, who I pay a fixed annual fee. This gets me free visits and discounts on blood tests and other things I need. On top of that, I have a high–deductible insurance policy that only covers unexpected costs over $6,000, like if I have a heart attack or something.
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Saturday, April 07, 2018
Jarvis Cocker Addresses the Crowd at Sheffield City Hall Anti Tree Felling Protest / Local / Sheffield
By: N_Walayat
Pulp front man Jarvis Cocker addresses an estimated crowd of 4000 Sheffield anti street tree fellings campaigners at the "Get Off My Tree!" protest at Sheffield City Hall after the campaigners had marched around the city centre on the 7th April 2018.
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Saturday, April 07, 2018
Looking at Real Estate Prices in Major World Cities / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Harry_Dent
£593,369 – the average price of a house in London in January! (That’s about $829,000.)$1 million plus – what 400 square foot condos go for in Vancouver!
$1.5 million – the cost of a median house in San Francisco!
$20 million – for a 2,000-square foot penthouse condo with a view of Central Park!
Who the hell can afford prices like these?
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Saturday, April 07, 2018
U.S. Dollar: Why It Pays to Use the Elliott Wave Model / Currencies / US Dollar
By: EWI
See the signs that could’ve helped you nail two junctures in the greenback's trend
The legendary football coach Vince Lombardi believed that a winning team is built on mastering the game's basics -- so much so that at the start of the season he would "remind" veteran players, "Gentlemen, this is a football."
Lombardi would even take them out to the field, discuss the boundaries and remind the players that the goal is to get the football into the end zone.
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Saturday, April 07, 2018
As the Gold, Stocks, and Bond Markets Macro Turns… / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2018
By: Gary_Tanashian
We began months ago, noting the 3 Amigos destined for their goals. Here’s a post from November 2017 explaining the macro fundamentals involved:
Updating the 3 Amigos of the Macro
- Amigo #1 (SPX vs. Gold): Either reach major theoretical resistance (it’s a ratio, after all) or abort mission by establishing a downtrend.
- Amigo #2 (10yr yield to 2.9% and 30yr yield to 3.3%): Destinations reached!
- Amigo #3 (also known as the slower, dumber Amigo, the 10yr-2yr Yield Curve): Still on his journey, flattening. The trouble would be indicated by steepening.
Saturday, April 07, 2018
New Silver Bull Market Coming / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Zeal_LLC
Silver has been dead money over the past year or so, relentlessly grinding sideways to lower. That weak price action has naturally left this classic alternative investment deeply out of favor. Silver is extremely undervalued relative to gold, while speculators’ silver-futures positions are extraordinarily bearish. All this has created the perfect breeding ground to birth a major new silver bull market, which could erupt anytime.
Silver’s price behavior is unusual, making it a challenging investment psychologically. Most of the time silver is maddeningly boring, drifting listlessly for months or sometimes years on end. So the vast majority of investors abandon it and move on, which is exactly what’s happened since late 2016. There’s so little interest in silver these days that even traditional primary silver miners are actively diversifying into gold!
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Saturday, April 07, 2018
21 Trillion Reasons to Own Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Do you know how much a trillion is (we refer here to the short scale)? A billion is hard enough to imagine, much less a trillion. But let’s try. We can write it as 1,000,000,000,000 – that’s a 1 with twelve zeroes. In other words it’s million million, or ten to the twelfth (1012). One trillion of dollars in $100 dollar bills would stack up to about 631 miles high. Given that the average annual income in the U.S. is around $50,000, Joe Schmo would have to save 20 million of years (and not consuming at all) to stockpile a trillion dollars. Sounds enormous, right? So now multiply it by 21 and you will obtain the new level of the U.S. federal debt (here you can watch a movie visualizing the U.S. debt of $20 trillion).
Friday, April 06, 2018
Bitcoin Not Quite Worthless, Potentially Profitable / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
Is Bitcoin worthless? Depreciation brings such questions as it has in the past. Bitcoin traders might be worried by such statements. But should they be anxious? In the whirlwind of opinions, we can find a theme which might allow profits on our hypothetical positions to grow even further.
The fact that Bitcoin is going down prompts all sort of analyses to come out. No big surprise that some of them are pretty bearish. In a piece on CNBC, we read:
Bitcoin is likely to fare worse than other assets in the coming months because it has no fundamental worth, an investment research firm said in a note Thursday.
London-based Capital Economics explained that the cryptocurrency has been quite closely correlated to the S&P 500 since the price started to fall from its record high at the end of last year.
Friday, April 06, 2018
Soccer World Cup: Will it help the Russian Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018
By: Dimitri_Speck
Dear Investor,
You may be following sporting events as passionately as you follow market price trends. Or perhaps you’re not a sports fan, and you’re only interested in the stock market?
Either way, there is an exciting question about what effect big international sporting events have on share prices. The country that hosts Olympic Games or soccer World Cup draws huge media attention, the domestic mood improves, and big investment projects are carried out. All of this can affect the stock market.
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Friday, April 06, 2018
Why Are Markets Going Bonkers? Central Bankers Tried to Corner the Bond Market / Interest-Rates / US Bonds
By: Graham_Summers
The big questions being tossed around Wall Street today are: why are markets such a mess? Why are we getting these wild swings?
The reality is that the markets are NOT a mess. These are actually normal healthy markets. Healthy markets move, sometimes a lot in a small span of time.
The real issue is that from ’09 until recently, the market was completely artificial because Central Banks cornered ALL risk by cornering the sovereign bond market.
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