Friday, May 04, 2018

When Will Electric Cars Take Over The Roads? / Companies / Auto Sector

By: OilPrice_Com

The age of the electric vehicle (EV) will be here sooner than you think.

Out of 1 billion cars in the world, only 2 million are electric. But that will soon change, as costs diminish, and more governments encourage the adoption of EVs to cut carbon emissions and fight urban pollution.

According to Bloomberg, by 2040, 54 percent of all new car sales will be for EVs. Millions of new EVs will take a big bite out of oil demand and displace 8 million barrels of transport fuel (gasoline and diesel) every day.

Friday, May 04, 2018

US Dollar Cycle Rotation To Boost Oil & Other Commodities / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our recent analysis of the US Dollar has presented a very unique and interesting setup for traders – an opportunity for a general commodity rally with Oil leading the way.

Taking a look at this Daily chart of the UUP (US Dollar Index Bullish Fund) with our Advanced Dynamic Learning Cycles price modeling system applied to it, we can see that the cycle analysis is predicting a rotational top in the US Dollar over the next 2~5+ trading days before a new bearish price trend pushes this US Dollar fund back to below the $24 level.  We have highlighted the Resistance Zone in red and we believe this rotating top will play out fairly quickly as an excellent opportunity for traders.

Friday, May 04, 2018

Platinum Price Cycles Predict Big Upside Move / Commodities / Platinum

By: Chris_Vermeulen

I wanted to take a moment to alert everyone to a price cycle setup that may turn out to be one of the most dramatic price moves we've seen since 2008. The metals markets have recently made some news by breaking to new recent price highs. This price move prompted a number of major firms to announce new bullish directional forecasts for gold with predictions of $2500 to $3000 price levels in the near future. These future price predictions led me to consider what it would take for metals to rally more than 30% from current levels – and the answer became clear to me.

Friday, May 04, 2018

Sheffield Local Elections Full Results - Labour Loses Seats to Tree Felling Protests / ElectionOracle / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

Labour paid the electoral price for their arrogance against the expressed wishes of tens of thousands of Sheffielders, increasingly angry at the felling of thousands of healthy street trees as the local elections saw the Labour ruling regime lose a net 3 councilors, 1 to the Liberal Democrats and 2 to the Green Party, whilst UKIP lost their only standing councillor at these elections to the Lib Dems.

Friday, May 04, 2018

UK Local Election Results - Pollsters and Pundits Wrong Again! Trees Fell Sheffield Labour Council / ElectionOracle / UK Local Elections

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The mainstream press backed up by the polling industry had once more built themselves up into a frenzy of reporting with much certainty that the Conservatives were heading for an electoral blood bath in the local elections, with the London epicentre expected to ripple out across the regions as Corbyn's Labour party was expected to build on last years shock General Election results that crippled Theresa May's government which had the effect of throwing the Tories into a state of panic that had many Labour councils already counting their electoral chickens before they were hatched.

Thursday, May 03, 2018

Fed FOMC Update: Stagflation on the Horizon / Economics / Inflation

By: Graham_Summers

The Fed is fast approaching its worst nightmare.

Stag-flation.

Stagflation is when inflation is rising at the same time that the economy is weakening, if not contracting.

The Fed has always argued that low levels of inflation (2%) were acceptable provided the economy was also growing. Indeed, this is the very gimmick the Fed has utilized to mask the fact that quality of life has been falling in the US since the early ‘70s (by understating inflation, the Fed has overstated economic/ income growth).

Thursday, May 03, 2018

Global Currency RESET Challenge: Ultimate Twist / Currencies / Global Financial System

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The Global Currency RESET has 100 steps and the first 10-12 appear complete. This is not a fantasy, but very real and in progress. Its progress is not very visible to most observers. Some important steps are seeing tremendous progress, but they are executed in the East with very little press coverage by the insidious lapdog Western press networks. Review many of the RESET features, but in summary form. These are covered steadily in the Hat Trick Letter reports.

Thursday, May 03, 2018

Top Tips for Beating Spinning Pull Up Bar 2Min Challenge at Alton Towers Theme Park / Personal_Finance / Theme Parks

By: Anika_Walayat

Britain's summer theme park season is about to begin, when theme parks will be packed full of visitors where you are likely to see the pull up bar challenge such as at Alton Towers. Basically you have to hold on with both hands palms in the same direction for 2 minutes. If you win you get giant cuddly toy. Current price for a go at Alton Towers is £3. So, here Adnaan aged 16 and Anika aged 9, who can hold onto a standard pull up bar for a good 3 minutes thought it should be pretty straightforward to hang on for 2 mins and win the challenge.

Thursday, May 03, 2018

Too Many Stock Investors on the Same Side of the Boat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX futures are down and appear to have declined beneath the May 1 low. The Dow is the first major Index to break its 200-day Moving Average on no news.

ZeroHedge observes, “Dow futures suddenly dropped at around 0745ET - led by a drop in the dollar and Treasury yields - breaking below its 200-day moving average...

Thursday, May 03, 2018

Stock Market “Sell in May and go away” Study When Stocks Are Down YTD / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

As you probably know, “Sell in May and go away’ states that the stock market is seasonally weak from May – September. We already demonstrated that it isn’t as weak as investors think in this study.

Some investors believe that May-September is not seasonally bearish IF…

1. The stock market falls from January – April, AND…
2. There’s no recession that year (a recession in 2018 is highly unlikely).

Thursday, May 03, 2018

A Long Term Gold Very Unpopular View / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Rambus_Chartology

Since roughly the middle of January of this year we’ve seen some big changes in character taking place in many different areas of the markets. After nearly two years of low volatility, which is much easier to take, volatility has come back with a vengeance and doesn’t seem to be slowing down much. Its been most obvious in the stock markets, but now the US dollar’s volatility has spiked which may be suggesting something is in the wind. What that something is can be anyone’s guess, but something changed in mid January of this year.

Tonight I would like to show you some old long term charts I built out four years or so ago after the top in the PM complex was established. Some of the longer term subscribers will remember them as they had a long term bearish tone to them if they played out. It’s been a long time since I posted some of these charts because for the last several years nothing much has changed which maybe coming to an end.

Thursday, May 03, 2018

Will Rising Bond Yields Send Stock Prices Tumbling? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: EWI

Conventional Wall Street wisdom says "rising rates are bad for stocks." Let's put that belief to a test.

One of the big financial news stories on April 24 was that the 10-year Treasury yield hit 3% for the first time since 2014.

The other big financial news story was that the DJIA closed 424 points lower on that day.

As you probably know, the conventional wisdom on Wall Street is that investors will sell stocks in favor of bonds when yields reach an attractive level. So, it's not surprising that many pundits blamed the DJIA's triple-digit decline on rising bond yields.

Thursday, May 03, 2018

Global Stock Markets “Turn-of-the-Month” Effect Returns Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Dimitri_Speck

In Other Global Markets the “Turn-of-the-Month” Effect Generates Even Bigger Returns than in the US

Dear Investor,

the “turn-of-the-month” effect is one of the most fascinating stock market phenomena.

It describes the fact that price gains primarily tend to occur around the turn of the month. By contrast, the rest of the time around the middle of the month is typically less profitable for investors. 

The effect has been examined extensively in the US market. In the last issue of Seasonal Insights I have shown the extent of the “turn-of-the-month” effect in the eleven largest international stock markets.

Thursday, May 03, 2018

The Case for Gold in the Era of Financial Virtual Reality / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Michael_J_Kosares

On the holodeck the markets are telling us something but we know not what

"John Locke, the British philosopher whose ideas fuelled the American Revolution, had a theory of knowledge and perception, which I always found annoying. Asked if we have an idea of the substance behind our perceptions, he said we had 'no such clear idea at all, and therefore signify nothing by the word substance but only an uncertain supposition of we know not what'. The philosophical debate has moved on in the centuries since Locke wrote. But his idea captures well the uneasy state of the world's financial markets. They are driven in the short run by perceptions, not reality. If many have the wrong impression, markets will move on that. But in the long run, markets move on matters of substance. And at present the economic substance is a 'something we know not what.'" - John Authers, Financial Times

Thursday, May 03, 2018

4 Biotech Stock Movers to Watch / Companies / BioTech

By: Harry_Boxer

Biotechs continue to dominate our list of top charts to watch.

CASI Pharmaceuticals Inc. (CASI) rose 48 cents, or 7.2%, to $7.14 on 773,700 shares Tuesday. The move came on no news, although the stock soared in early April on news that China's Food and Drug Administration (CFDA) would convene a panel to discuss its cancer therapy, Evomela. The stock has been flagging since that move, but may be positioning to break out, with the next target at $10.

Wednesday, May 02, 2018

Trumps Next Target, the Great Amazon / Tech Stocks Tax Dodge / Companies / Taxes

By: Richard_Mills

Donald Trump’s enmity towards Amazon and its founder Jeff Bezos, the richest man on Earth, has indeed been going on for a long time, and it’s easy to frame the tiff as two billionaires marking their territory like two pit bulls in a fight ring.
After all, Trump is a billionaire capitalist too, and it’s not as though he hasn’t done his fair share of tax dodging.

But the success of Amazon and other giant tech companies - Facebook, Twitter, Google, Apple and Microsoft come to mind - does run up against Trump’s vision of America, where jobs are created or brought back to the United States, corporate taxes are kept low and companies pay them, and trade deals are fairly negotiated that do not put US firms at a disadvantage. It’s all part of “Making America Great Again”. Amazon represents the new economy where commerce is done online, the business is global, and tens of thousands of employees work for Amazon outside of the US.

Wednesday, May 02, 2018

The Evils Of Leveraged ETF’s and Those That Suggest Them / Companies / Exchange Traded Funds

By: Avi_Gilburt

As some of you may know me by now, I run a trading room with over 3500 traders, have over 450 money manager clients, have over 23,000 followers on Seeking Alpha, and have the 6th largest service out of the 169 that are offered in the Seeking Alpha Marketplace (even though I am a technical analyst on that fundamental analysis web site). I have certainly come a long way since I first opened the doors to my trading room a little over 6 years ago.

During the 6 years I have been running my trading room, I have seen what traders do right and what traders do wrong. One of the biggest pitfalls I have seen that trip traders and investors up is the inappropriate use of leverage.

Wednesday, May 02, 2018

Stock Market on FOMC Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX futures are trading in a narrow range around yesterday’s closing value. The FOMC concludes its meeting today and only leaves a policy statement for its trouble. It is possible that the policy statement may be used to shape expectations about the course of future rate hikes.

Be prepared for more upside as the Cycles Model suggests a “bump” higher before turning down. Short-term resistance at 2664.73 may be the target for today’s action, but a run at the 50-day Moving Average at 2688.85 isn’t out of the question.

Wednesday, May 02, 2018

Two Charts That Argue Inflation, NOT Deflation, is Now the Dominant Trend / Economics / Inflation

By: Graham_Summers

The markets are moving into their first MAJOR inflationary shift in TEN years.

Perhaps the single best metric for measuring inflation vs. deflation in the bond markets is the TIPs to Long US Treasury ratio. In its simplest rendering when this ratio rises, it means inflation is on the rise. When it falls it means deflation is dominating the bond markets.

Wednesday, May 02, 2018

UK Pension Funds Performance Deteriorates in Q1 2018 / Personal_Finance / Pensions & Retirement

By: MoneyFacts

New data from the latest Moneyfacts UK Personal Pension Trends Treasury Report has revealed deteriorating pension fund performance in Q1 2018 at a time when members of auto-enrolment schemes are seeing their mandatory minimum contribution rates rise from 1% to 3%.

The report shows how after a run of positive gains in the previous nine quarters the average pension fund registered a loss for the first time since Q3 2015, falling by 3.8%.