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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, October 21, 2016

Gold Green Lights Upleg / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold’s early-October plunge on futures speculators’ stop losses being run has naturally left this metal mired in battered technicals and bearish sentiment.  But that sharp selloff has already accomplished its rebalancing mission.  The excessive gold-futures trading positions that triggered that stop running have already reversed, and the investors fueling gold’s bull are starting to buy again.  Gold is green lighting its next upleg.

Gold’s price action in recent years has been overwhelmingly dominated by just two groups of traders.  Gold-futures speculators effectively control gold’s short-term behavior, as futures’ extreme inherent leverage gives their capital wildly-outsized influence.  And investors, specifically American stock investors buying and selling shares in the flagship GLD SPDR Gold Shares gold ETF, have commanded gold’s longer-term moves.

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Commodities

Friday, October 21, 2016

Demand for US Mints Silver Eagles has ‘Returned with a Vengeance’ / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

As gold and silver step back slightly to sit and wait for US economic data to be released later today we bring you news of the US Mint Silver Eagle demand that has ‘Returned with a Vengeance’ as reported by silverseek.com.

Last month it seemed some of the heat had come out of the US Mint Silver market when sales had failed to maintain the momentum seen in the first five months of the year when between 5.9m and 4 million coins had been sold each month.

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Commodities

Friday, October 21, 2016

Quantitative Easing, Helicopter Money and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

To properly understand helicopter money and its potential effects for the gold market, it is necessary to analyze differences between it and quantitative easing. In some senses, both tools are similar as they support the government budget. Some analysts even call quantitative easing in ‘helicopter money in disguise’. However, there are a few important differences between these two monetary policies, as one can see in the table below.

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Commodities

Friday, October 21, 2016

Preparing for Post-Election US Social Unrest / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

By Stefan Gleason : The 2016 election year is bringing out the worst among some elements of society. From vandalism to physical assaults to large scale race riots to terrorist bombings and mall stabbings, social disorder has become a more prominent feature of life in a polarized America.

It’s easy (and politically convenient) for the establishment media to blame Donald Trump for inflaming the political divide. In reality, Trump supporters have far more often been the victims rather than the instigators of political violence.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 20, 2016

It's Rally Time for Gold and Silver Equities / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: GoldCore

Precious metals expert Michael Ballanger discusses the uptick in gold and silver miners and the Deutsche Bank gold bullion settlement.

One of the more striking developments in the bizarro world of gold and silver trading has to be yesterday's settlement between Deutsche Bank and a class-action group that alleged that the bullion banks (DB, Scotia and HSBC) were manipulating the physical and Comex silver futures market since 2007; what is laughable and disgusting is the size of the settlement—$38 million. It's like Lee Harvey Oswald being charged with "Assault with a Deadly Weapon" and winding up with a misdemeanor. Then again, it is really no different than Libor-rigging or the sub-prime mortgage fraud or more recently the Wells Fargo scam.

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Commodities

Thursday, October 20, 2016

Gold Bull Market Still Intact, But... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

The gold bull market is still very much intact. In fact, it appears that the all-time high could be taken out real soon.

However, on the chart there is an obstacle that the gold price has to overcome. Another failure at this obstacle, and we could have a bigger drop than the one of a few weeks ago.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Gold doesn’t care who wins the US Election / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Founder, USAGOLD and author of The ABCs of Gold Investing – How to Protect and Build Your Wealth with Gold

“Gold prices have enjoyed a hefty climb so far this year as the market continues to guess the pace and timing of the next U.S. interest-rate hike, but the battle for the U.S. presidency is set to take center stage as Election Day nears. And it doesn’t matter if Republican Party nominee Donald Trump or Democratic Party nominee Hillary Clinton moves on to be the next president of the United States—gold is likely to come out a winner, George Milling-Stanley, head of gold investment strategy at State Street Global Advisors.” –– Myra Saefong/MarketWatch/10-19-2016

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Attention Please: Phase Two of the Gold and Silver Train Now leaving the Station. All Aboard? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Peter_Degraaf

Phase One began in January 2016, and slowed down from July until early October.  (Charts in this commentary are courtesy Stockcharts.com, unless indicated).

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

GDX Gold Stocks Chart of the Day / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Savage

GDX has now completed a weekly swing barring a complete reversal the rest of the week. This deep into an intermediate decline a swing stacks the odds heavily in favor of the correction being over. The metals should now rally for the next 3-4 months.

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Commodities

Wednesday, October 19, 2016

How Will the Election Outcome Impact Precious Metals? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

By Clint Siegner writes: Metals investors wonder what this presidential election will mean for gold and silver markets. Since Nixon closed the gold window in 1971 and the years of price inflation that followed, presidents have largely ignored gold, the Federal Reserve, and other issues related to sound money. Today, the devaluation of the Federal Reserve Note – the explosion of debt and the eternal deficits which enrich bankers and the political class at the expense of the rest of us – is getting harder to ignore.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Tesla, Apple and Uber Push Lithium Prices Even Higher / Commodities / Lithium

By: OilPrice_Com

After more than tripling in price this year, Lithium is no longer that dull commodity we take for granted in our consumer electronics: It’s the commodity powering the next, undeniable energy revolution. The tight supply picture emerging as electric cars, mega-batteries and massive energy storage solutions become the cornerstones of our lives could be on the edge of turning new lithium explorers into the next barons.

Lithium now appears to be at a crucial moment in time: The moment when profits in the industry begin to elevate market valuations, and when consolidation starts to boost gains for all those junior explorers who have been scooping up land in the world’s lithium sweet spots.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Silver Price Discovery – It’s Still a Fixing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Absurdities continue in the world of derivative or electronic or paper silver. In what will someday be viewed as the monumental public relations miracle that it is, the silver fix has been transplanted into just another body riddled with cancer.

Below I’ve collected and commented on one of the most prevalent stories characterizing the announcement.

The essence of this is moderately transparent. The banks need to avoid more public relations disasters. They are certainly in for enough as it is.

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Commodities

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Silver, Debt, and Deficits – From an Election Year Perspective / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

It is an election year. We should anticipate 8 years of upcoming trauma, following nearly 8 years of “hope and change,” after 8 years of “no nation building,” after 8 years of “I did not have sexual relations with that woman.”

Examine the official US national debt in 8 fiscal year increments (10/1/84 – 9/30/92 etc.) using linear and log scales.

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Commodities

Monday, October 17, 2016

This Past Week in Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: The_Gold_Report

Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in gold and silver markets, noting COT data is showing signs of a bottom.

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Commodities

Monday, October 17, 2016

December Might Be the Next Buying Opportunity in Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: John_Mauldin

By Jake Weber, Garret/Galland Research

There’s no doubt gold has had a good run in 2016. Its recent selloff has caused it to give up most of its post-Brexit gain. Still, the yellow metal is up nearly 20% on the year. And a new buying opportunity may be on the horizon.

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Commodities

Monday, October 17, 2016

Gold Prices Set For Further Losses Amid Rising Rate Hike Likelihood / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: AnyOption

After briefly crossing back below the critical $1250 per troy ounce level again on Friday, gold are once again poised to experience an extended period of losses on the back of rate hike speculation.  Even though Wall Street was not pleased by the latest jobs figures reported earlier in the month, expectations are for inflation to continue trending higher, adding to the case for the Federal Reserve to raise rates in December.  While there are still significant developments that could derail the possibility between now and November, namely another slowdown in US fundamentals, the external risk factors that emerged over the summer have since tapered.  The US dollar continues to reflect this sentiment, increasing the probability of tighter monetary policy and improving opportunities in fixed income investments, reducing the value of holding gold as a hedge.

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Commodities

Sunday, October 16, 2016

More Good News For Gold Bugs: The Bottom Is Getting Closer / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: John_Rubino

In the latest gold and silver commitment of traders (COT) report (click here for an explanation of what this report involves), paper players made big strides in bringing the market back into balance — and setting the stage for an eventual rebound.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 15, 2016

The Gold Manipulators Not Only Will Be Punished, They Have Been Punished / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

I have not gone off the deep end and joined the “community” of boosters, promoters, pompom waving cheering squads and general cult figures who you can just tell not only want you to adore gold, but in some cases need you to act on your adoration and buy gold or gold stocks.  Read into that what you will, but the history of investors burned by the pitch, which tugs at peoples’ morals, sense of right and wrong and plain old common sense, is a long and storied one.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 15, 2016

Gold is Oversold on Misplaced Expectations of a 2016 Rate Hike / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jason_Hamlin

Gold investors know that the metal has been under pressure due to expectations of a FED rate hike in 2016. Many believe that an increase in the FED funds rate would support the dollar and send prices for precious metals lower. This has been a key driver of the decline in the gold price to support at $1,250, the 200-day moving average.

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Commodities

Saturday, October 15, 2016

Gold Stocks Corrections in Bull Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The gold stocks are clearly in correction mode. The large caps (HUI, GDX) have corrected 30% while the juniors (GDXJ) have held up well in comparison by correcting the same amount. Given a number of factors (the size of the previous advance, the recent technical damage, stronger US$ index and rising yields) the gold stocks should continue to correct and consolidate in a larger sense. To gauge a potential path forward we present a new analog chart and compare the current correction to those from past markets.

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