Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, March 27, 2017
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Sunday, March 26, 2017
Gold and Silver Weekly Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets, noting a tug-of-war between support and resistance.
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Sunday, March 26, 2017
Major Supply Shortage: Critical Minerals Igniting Cobalt Bull Market Mania / Commodities / Metals & Mining
Collapsing oil prices are only the beginning as fossil fuels are turning into a historic relic, says Kenneth Ameduri, chief editor of Crush the Street. He discusses two commodities whose demand he expects to skyrocket as the world shifts to cleaner energy.
Elon Musk is at the forefront of this movement with his innovations that are turning fossil fuels into a historic relic. Some say oil's true price per barrel with the "supply glut" that exists and the innovations in the battery space is $20 per barrel.
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Saturday, March 25, 2017
Technicals for Gold Mining Stocks Remain Weak / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
Last week we wrote that precious metals should see upside follow through but to be wary of the 200-day moving averages and February highs before becoming excited. The metals did follow through as Gold gained 1.5% and Silver gained 1.9% (for the week) but the miners disappointed. GDX gained only 1.1% while GDXJ finished in the red as did junior silver companies (SILJ). As spring beckons, the gold stocks are showing relative and internal weakness.
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Friday, March 24, 2017
Silver Mining Stock Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
The silver miners’ stocks have had a roller-coaster ride of a year so far. They surged, plunged, and then started surging again last week on a less-hawkish-than-expected Fed. Such big volatility has spawned similar outsized swings in sentiment, distorting investors’ perceptions of major silver miners. But their recently-reported fourth-quarter operating and financial results reveal the true underlying fundamental realities.
Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports. Required by securities regulators, these quarterly results are exceedingly important for investors and speculators. They offer a clear snapshot of what’s really going on fundamentally, in individual silver miners and this small sector as a whole. There’s no silver-stock data I look forward to more.
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Friday, March 24, 2017
This Single Model Explains Crude Oil Price Swings / Commodities / Crude Oil
BY JARED DILLIAN : One of the things we learned when oil collapsed a couple of years ago—something I’ve written about previously—was that there was a positive feedback loop embedded in declining oil prices.
Basic economic theory would tell you that as the price declines, so does oil supply. But the opposite turned out to be true. The rice went down, and people pumped more!
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Thursday, March 23, 2017
Gold Prices See Seventh Day Of Gains After Terrorist Attack In London / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
– Gold prices higher seven days in row – best gains since Brexit
– Gold spikes to three week high after terrorist attack in London
– Global stocks fell yesterday after attack in London
– Stocks resilient today and start day flat
Wednesday, March 22, 2017
Peak Gold – Biggest Gold Story Not Being Reported / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
– Peak gold – Biggest gold story not being reported
– Gold ‘Mining Zombie Apocalypse’ caused miners to slash exploration budgets
– Decline in gold production at world’s top 10 gold mining companies – Byron King
– “No new big mines being built in the world today” – Glencore CEO Glasenberg
Wednesday, March 22, 2017
An OPEC Oil Deal Extension Isn’t As Simple As It Sounds / Commodities / Crude Oil
It’s been six months now that oil prices have been reacting to OPEC, first to the possibility of an agreement, and then to the production cut deal itself, forged by OPEC to rebalance the market. The deal--initially aired as ‘an agreement to agree on a deal’ in September and signed at the end of November—will likely impact the market for at least the next six months.
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Wednesday, March 22, 2017
Potential Bottoming Patterns in Gold and Silver Precious Metals Stocks Complex... / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
There is a combo chart for the PM complex I've been following, on the short term 10 month daily look, which shows a potential H&S bottom forming. I put a neckline symmetry line on the charts to get a feel for where the low for the right shoulder may form. Some are fairly parallel to the neckline like GLD, SLV and the HUI with GDXJ and SIL being the most unparalleled. The CDNX is showing the most weakness as it probably has to do with some of the small cap energy companies.
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Tuesday, March 21, 2017
The Demise of the Gold and Silver Bull Run is Greatly Exaggerated / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
A few analysts are once again beating the drums for much lower gold and silver prices - supposedly just around the corner. They mistake the testing of a recent breakout for a turnaround in the main trend. In the process they are sowing confusion. Here are some charts that show the main trend, along with reasons why the price of gold and silver is on track for a sharp rise, thanks to bullish fundamentals.
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Tuesday, March 21, 2017
How to Protect Yourself from the Looming Pension Crisis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Stephen McBride : Having jumped from one job to another early in life… and with those jobs being across many continents, I haven’t really given much thought to my pension. Looking at the numbers, it seems I’m not the only one. Over 50% of Americans aged 25–34 have no retirement savings. Then again, given the current state of the pension system, it may be a prudent move.
A 2015 from the National Association of State Retirement Administrators estimated that public pension funds are around $1 trillion in the red—but the problem gets worse.
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Monday, March 20, 2017
Crude Oil Price Decline Continuation / Commodities / Crude Oil
I like this Crude oil decline, and to date, it has been a picture perfect Cycle’s development. Members of The Financial Tap were already tracking that expectation in advance, and positioned well to take advantage. But that big decline, which started on March 7th took many by surprise, judging by the extreme (Long) positioning seen with the COT report. And if you were not already short before the move began, the speed of the decline made it nearly impossible to establish a new position thereafter.
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Monday, March 20, 2017
Physical Metals Demand Plus Manipulation Suits Will Break Paper Market / Commodities / Metals & Mining
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Craig Hemke of the TF Metals Report. Craig runs one of the most highly respected and well known blogs in the industry and has been covering the precious metals for close to a decade now, and he puts out some of the best analysis on banking schemes, the flaws of Keynesian economics and evidence of manipulation in the gold and silver markets.
Craig, it's great to have you back and thanks for joining us again today and, how are you?
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Monday, March 20, 2017
Precious Metals : Who’s in Charge ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
In this report I’m going to update some charts I posted back in November of last year before the PM complex bottomed in late December. What I was showing back in November were many of the H&S tops that were breaking down in an impulse leg to the downside. The lows in December of last year is where they bottomed and began a counter trend rally that took prices back up to the February 2017 highs. From a Chartology perspective all we’ve had so far was a backtest to some of the necklines at this point in time. Maybe it will end up being more, but for now the backtests are holding resistance.
I would like to start with one of the more important ratio charts which compares Gold to the US dollar. During the bull market years this ratio chart built out a parallel uptrend channel that was a thing of beauty. In 2000 this ratio started to build out an inverse H&S bottom which reversed the bear market to a bull market. For the next 11 years this ratio built out one consolidation pattern on top of the next, which is bull market action. Even the crash in 2008 built out a H&S consolidation pattern which launched the rest of the bull market into the 2011 high.
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Monday, March 20, 2017
Gold and Silver 200-Day Moving Averages / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
The precious metals complex enjoyed a strong week mostly due to a post-Fed explosion on Wednesday. Although gold stocks sold off to end the week, they finished up almost 5% for the week. Gold gained 2.4% on the week while Silver gained 2.9%. The miners enjoyed massive gains following the previous two rate hikes and that has some optimistic about a repeat scenario. However, the miners and metals need to prove they can recapture their 200-day moving averages before we become optimistic.
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Monday, March 20, 2017
Gold and USD Cycles : A Roadmap / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Monday will be day 6 of Gold’s third Trading Cycle (TC) out of the December 2016 Yearly Cycle Low (YCL). Next week’s price action will be critical in determining if we will see a higher high in this Intermediate Cycle (IC) or just a secondary high that will set the IC downtrend line into the next IC Low. Based on my cycle work, I do believe the Gold Bull has resumed, however, the transitions from Bear to Bull markets are typically epic battles that take time to play out.
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Monday, March 20, 2017
Gold and Silver Markets Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver sectors.
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Friday, March 17, 2017
Front Seat In Shanghai China Gold Market: Jig Is Up / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
Something big is afoot in the Shanghai Gold market. It seems that we are at the door of the RESET finally, with China being betrayed by the USGovt and USFed in concerted collusion. The attempt to reduce the USDollar while maintaining ultra-low bond yields seems the final straw. The inference is made that the jig is up finally, and a significant turning point is upon us.
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Friday, March 17, 2017
Gold Cup – Horse Racing’s Greatest Show, Gambling and ‘Going for Gold’ / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
– Gold Cup at Cheltenham – Most important event on horse racing calendar
– Gold Cup trophy contains 10 ounces of gold
– Today’s prize is worth over £9,000 in gold terms
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