Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, April 08, 2014

Deviant Gold Q&A / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

Based on questions, opinions, and rants from several websites, these are some typical questions and my answers:

Tuesday, April 08, 2014

Gold Miners Index: Domed House and Three Peaks Chart Pattern / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Trader_MC

The Miners Index has made a perfect Domed House and Three Peaks Chart Pattern. This pattern, discovered by a stock market analyst, George Lindsay, can be found in multiple timeframes. On the following charts you can see the model of the Lindsay’s Domed House and Three Peaks Pattern, as well as the current chart of the Miners Index (HUI). You can notice that the HUI Index has made a perfect Domed House and Three Peaks Pattern during these last ten years.

Tuesday, April 08, 2014

What Gold Stock Insider Trading Tells Us / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: The_Gold_Report

Despite the recent big gains in gold stocks, company insiders and institutional investors are still 2.5 times more likely to be buyers than sellers. According to Ted Dixon, co-founder and CEO of INK Research, this shows that those in the know are still quite bullish, despite the pullback in March. In this interview with The Gold Report, Dixon names the top insider buyers by dollar amount and by volume and explains how investors should interpret this data.

The Gold Report: The price of gold fell more than 6% in March. To what do you attribute this?

Tuesday, April 08, 2014

What’s Abuzz About Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Frank_Holmes

Recently I visited the breathtaking city of Hong Kong to speak at the seventh-annual Mines and Money conference, Asia-Pacific’s premier event for mining investment deal-making and capital-raising. During my time in Asia I had the additional privilege of addressing the audience of the Asia Mining Club, alongside my good friend Robert Friedland, Executive Chairman and Founder of Ivanhoe Mines.

Monday, April 07, 2014

Cheap Oil Could Be a Big Problem / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Investment_U

Steve McDonald writes: According to a recent Barron’s article, the huge shale oil and gas reserves in the U.S. and and worldwide will give a huge boost to the U.S. economy and drive oil prices down to as low as $75 in the next few years.

It only makes sense. According to optimistic estimates, the U.S. could be energy independent by 2020. That means a huge reversal of the status quo.

Monday, April 07, 2014

Chinese Gold Demand Renewed Estimates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Geopolitical and market background

I have been revisiting estimates of the quantities of gold being absorbed by China, and yet again I have had to revise them upwards. Analysis of the detail discovered in historic information in the context of China’s gold strategy has allowed me for the first time to make reasonable estimates of vaulted gold, comprised of gold accounts at commercial banks, mine output and scrap. There is also compelling evidence mine output and scrap are being accumulated by the government in its own vaults, and not being delivered to satisfy public demand.

Monday, April 07, 2014

Gold Market Quarter-end Distortions / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

The gold price continued the previous week's fall into Monday, which was the end of the first quarter of 2014. Since then having reached a low point of $1278 in New York trading, gold rallied to a high of $1294 on Tuesday before weakening on Thursday morning.

The biggest influence was not stories and announcements, but the market-makers' attempts to reduce their exposure by the quarter-end. This can be clearly seen in the chart of gold and open interest below.

Monday, April 07, 2014

Gold and Silver Markets Phase III Annihilation.... Are You Serious? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Rambus_Chartology

We’re going to do something a little different for the Weekend Report this week. I would like to give the spotlight to Sir Plunger for his most excellent work on the Phase 3 for the PM stocks bear market. It deserves to be read by the members of Rambus Chartology and the general public at large. I just want to thank you Sir Plunger for all the time, research, and energy it takes to put together something like your Phase 3 bear market outlook for the precious metals stocks.

As most of you know, Plunger is our resident expert on market history.

Saturday, April 05, 2014

Power Of Elites More Important Than China’s Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

Being successful in trading has a lot to do with finding the developing "story" behind the price structure of a market. We had good results in February because we keyed into some very important pieces of market information that would lead to a likely result for the direction of price, or what we call "the story of the market." We had less success in March because the focus was more on trying to catch up to the story, where being just a step or so behind is not as rewarding, even resulting in loss.

Saturday, April 05, 2014

Gold Bear Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

It’s been a while since we looked at Gold in a vacuum. We’ve focused on the gold stocks as they have led the sector. We covered Silver last week. Gold is more interesting because in its current state its more difficult to draw a strong conclusion. One could look at the evidence and go either way. Today Gold is back above $1300. Is this the start of a run to and past $1400? I don’t know. My gut says more range bound activity is ahead.

Friday, April 04, 2014

Contrarian Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold stocks have lapsed back to despised status after late March’s sharp selloff.  Thanks to their strong 2014 rally before that, traders were slightly warming to this abandoned sector.  But despite the rekindled extreme bearishness, gold stocks remain the greatest bargain in all the stock markets.  Their prices are still absurdly undervalued relative to gold which drives their profits, fantastic buys for brave contrarians.

Friday, April 04, 2014

If Reflation Is Here, Then Gold Is Your Ultimate Hedge / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldSilverWorlds

Today’s market situation shows similarities with the reflationary periods of 1897 to 1914 and 1933 to 1939. As we all know, they ended in inflation and war. We are currently in a highly deflationary environment, and the banks are fighting this by pumping up trillions of liquidity in the system, hoping for a sustainable recover. At the same time, however, strongly opposing forces are at play destabilizing the whole globe (think of the Middle East, Africa, Ukraine).

Thursday, April 03, 2014

Gold and Silver 6 Degrees of Separation as HFT Goes Mainstream / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

A recent 60 Minutes television show interview revealed the long established electronic trading mechanism used to front run and carry out price management and profit schemes across trading seconds. In the wake of the interview, one cannot help wonder how many degrees of separation exist between public awareness of this and its connection to futures and precious metals price manipulation. 

Furthermore, for all the pomp and circumstance surrounding this bombshell, one also wonders why a tightly controlled media would set this red herring free into a public holding a dwindling institutional confidence.

Thursday, April 03, 2014

What Investors Need to Know About Gold Right Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Graham_Summers

Warren Buffett once noted, Gold doesn’t do anything “but look at you.” It doesn’t pay a dividend or produce cash flow.

However, the fact of the matter is that Gold has dramatically outperformed the stock market for the better part of 40 years.

Wednesday, April 02, 2014

Speculations Reversed - Gold Price Stealth Rally 2014 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Peter_Schiff

So far, 2014 has been a paradoxical year for gold. Many investors aren't even aware that it has rallied almost 8%. On the rare occasion that the financial media mentions the yellow metal, it is only in the context of comparing the recent rise to last year's decline.

In spite of this overwhelming negative sentiment, gold is experiencing a stealth rally as one of the best performing assets of the year. Let's look at some important metrics of the most under-valued sector in this market.

Wednesday, April 02, 2014

Gold and Silver Time for a Breather? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion short speculative positions in gold (half), silver (half) and mining stocks (full) are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Generally, everything that we wrote in our previous alerts remains up-to-date - precious metals are likely to move lower in the coming weeks - and the thing that we would like to emphasize today is that even if we see an upward correction, it will likely not be anything more than just that - a correction. Let's take a look at the mining stocks chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).

Wednesday, April 02, 2014

The Rise of a Euro-Chino-Russian Superpower / Commodities / Metals & Mining

By: The_Gold_Report

Stephan Bogner, mining analyst with Rockstone Research and CEO of Elementum International, views the crisis in Crimea as the beginning of a larger global power shift east of the Atlantic. In this interview with The Mining Report, Bogner details what these shifting power dynamics will mean for the commodities market. And take heed—gold and silver may continue to make gains, but uranium, potash and rare earths are the true wave of the future.

The Mining Report: In his recent interview with The Gold Report, Robert Cohen said that now that Crimea has joined Russia, the crisis in Ukraine has run its course, which is why the price of gold has dropped. As a European mining analyst, do you agree with Cohen's assertion?

Tuesday, April 01, 2014

Energy and Resources Boom Investing / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Frank_Holmes

Commodity returns vary wildly, as experienced resource investors can attest and our popular periodic table illustrates. This inherent volatility can spell opportunity for the nimble investor who can look past the mainstream headlines to identify hot spots. Our global resources expert, Brian Hicks, CFA, identified four we believe are revved up for a resources boom.

Tuesday, April 01, 2014

BoE Tells RBA: Don't Release Gold Bar Details (FOI Request) / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Submissions

Bullion Baron writes: Two months ago I wrote a Freedom of Information (FOI) request to the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Here is the crux of my email:

 This is a request under the Freedom of Information Act.

I request that a copy of the following documents [or documents containing the following information] be provided to me: An inventory (bar) list forming the 80 tonnes official Gold reserves (stored with the Bank of England), including details which identify the individual bars by refiner, weight, finesse, serial number and any other identification recorded for audit purposes.

Tuesday, April 01, 2014

Global Gold Manipulation Update - MAP Wave Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Marc_Horn

This commodity is perhaps the most misunderstood and has the most disinformation spread (with the possible exception of silver).

The most common misconceptions are possibly;

1 - Gold is "real money" - This shows a total lack of understanding of what money actually is, and what gives it value!
Money simply is a medium of exchange where users have confidence that it will retain value and be universally accepted for the exchange of goods and services.