Wednesday, July 15, 2020

Is it Time To Dump Gold Stocks? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2020

By: Submissions

As a contrarian and long-term holder of Goldcorp. (now Newmont), the latest push higher in the price of gold begs the question: is now the time to sell? The concern, for the uninitiated, is that after the price of gold moves powerfully higher there is an uncanny tendency for forces to mysteriously align and push prices powerfully lower. These “forces” (excuse the conspiratorial flare), have been known to short paper gold contracts in seemingly unlimited quantities, and, according to some, with the implicit backing of the Federal Reserve…

Conspiracy or not, it is obvious that the paper-traded price of gold can have an impact on the physical price of gold and/or the sentiment of those that buy and sell precious metals. After all, just as “$1,800+ gold!” attracts attention, like it did today, so too can headlines like “COMEX gold suffers historic crash!”. In other words, while record inflows into gold ETFs this year are certainly noteworthy, the informed contrarian knows that record inflows can quickly lead to record outflows.

Wednesday, July 15, 2020

Retail Stock Market Traders & Investors Squeezed to Buy High-Risk Assets Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Yes, we certainly live in interesting times.  This, the last segment of our multi-part article on the current Q2 and Q3 2020 US and global economic expectations, as well as current data points, referencing very real ongoing concerns, we urge you to continue using common sense to help protect your assets and families from what we believe will be a very volatile end to 2020.  If you missed the first two segments of this research article, please take a moment to review them before continuing.

On May 24th, 2020, we published this research article related to our super-cycle research. It is critical that you understand what is really happening in the world as we move through these major 21 to 85+ year super-cycles and apply that knowledge to the data we have presented in the first two segments of this research post.  Within that article, we quoted Ray Dalio from a recent article published related to his cycle research.

“In brief, after the creation of a new set of rules establishes the new world order, there is typically a peaceful and prosperous period. As people get used to this they increasingly bet on the prosperity continuing, and they increasingly borrow money to do that, which eventually leads to a bubble. As prosperity increases the wealth gap grows. Eventually, the debt bubble bursts, which leads to the printing of money and credit and increased internal conflict, which leads to some sort of wealth redistribution revolution that can be peaceful or violent. Typically at that time late in the cycle, the leading empire that won the last economic and geopolitical war is less powerful relative to rival powers that prospered during the prosperous period, and with the bad economic conditions and the disagreements between powers, there is typically some kind of war. Out of this debt, economic, domestic, and world-order breakdowns that take the forms of revolutions and wars come new winners and losers. Then the winners get together to create the new domestic and world orders.”

Wednesday, July 15, 2020

SPX about to Challenge 8/08 High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Having rallied well past a .618 retracement of the decline into March 2020, it is time to consider the possibility that the retracement was only an interruption of the bull market which originated in 2009.

Intermediate trend – Still in an uptrend since March

Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Wednesday, July 15, 2020

How to Grow Huge Fruiting Magical Indoor Grape Vines at Home UK / Personal_Finance / Gardening

By: Eliza_Walayat

Who says you can't grow grapes in the North of England? Find out how it's done in our latest gardening video.

Monday, July 13, 2020

Stock Market Dow 30k before End of 2020? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Looking at the way the Dow has behaved to date in the wake of the the Great Corona Crash of 2020.

Monday, July 13, 2020

Credit Market Investments Turned Into End-User Risk Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Continuing our research from Part I, into what to expect in Q2 and Q3 of 2020, we’ll start by discussing our Adaptive Dynamic Learning predictive modeling system and our belief that the US stock market is rallied beyond proper expectation levels.  The Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) modeling systems attempts to identify price and technical indicator DNA markers and attempts to map our these unique price setups.  Then, it attempts to learn from the past DNA markers and apply that learned price behavior to future price DNA markers.  In this manner, it learns from the past and applies that knowledge to the future.

Monday, July 13, 2020

Investors Are Going All-In on This Coronavirus Proof Industry / Companies / Investing 2020

By: Submissions

Monday, July 13, 2020

5 Vital Insights That You Can Gain From Instagram Trackers / Companies / Social Media

By: Submissions

The uses of Instagram has evolved today much beyond imagination. Today, it is one of the most powerful marketing tools that businesses seek to leverage.  

Today, most businesses seek to derive important insights to set straight their business expansion plans. And before venturing on Instagram for promotional activities, they usually adopt an Instagram tracker to dig deeper and find out more about their target audience and the market dynamics.

Sunday, July 12, 2020

Stop Believing The 'Economy' Is The Same As The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: Avi_Gilburt

There are so many fallacies perpetuated and regurgitated throughout the market, yet there is so little time to appropriately address them all.

Of late, almost all the “analysis” or comments you read or hear is based upon a superficial understanding of the market propagated through “common-speak.” And, that is exactly why they all seem to be so confused:

“The stock market is confusing a lot of people right now. It seems simple: news is bad, there's a pandemic for the first time in generations, people are dying, and the economy has taken a beating for the ages. Stocks should go down, right? But they're not. They've recovered so much of their March slide that they've produced the shortest bear market in history. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was in a bear market for just three days.”

Sunday, July 12, 2020

Spotify Recealed as The “Next Netflix” / Companies / Internet

By: John_Mauldin

By Justin Spittler : A sleeping giant tech stock has awoken. It’s already handing out monster gains. And as I’ll show you today, it’s just getting warmed up.

In fact, it won’t be long before this stock is mentioned in the same breath as hall-of-famers like Netflix (NFLX), Facebook (FB), and Google (GOOG). That’s right. The next great tech stock is growing up before our eyes.

I don’t say that lightly. Within a few years, this company should have over a half billion users and be worth hundreds of billions of dollars.

Sunday, July 12, 2020

Getting Ahead of the Game: What Determines the Prices of Oil? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Dylan_Moran

Oil is a commodity that plays an indisputable role in the global economy. At the start of the 20th century, the oil industry went into mass production, thus giving birth to what we refer to as the modern era of oil consumption. Gradually, coal was starting to take a backseat to it and oil became the world’s #1 fuel source and the undisputed king of commodity trading.

To this very day, this remains unchanged. The only question is, what drives the prices of oil?

Saturday, July 11, 2020

The Big Short 2020 – World Pushes Credit/Investments Into Risk Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

One thing is very certain right now – we live in very interesting times.  As the world rushes head-first into the 21st Century, it appears one of the most pressing issues before all of us is to navigate the risks and opportunities that continue to stack up ahead of us.  Within the first 20 years of this century, the global markets have experienced many shifts and big price rotations.  Emerging markets, Oil, Technology, Bio-Tech, Miners, Metals, Currencies, Cryptos – we can look at all of these on a longer-term basis and see a boom cycle and a moderate bust cycle event.

The current trends suggest global investors are pouring capital into the US technology stocks which is what is driving the NASDAQ to new all-time highs.  We published this article in late June suggesting a parabolic top pattern may be setting up in the global markets – which may be very similar to the DOT COM peak in 1999~2000 explained here.

Saturday, July 11, 2020

The Bearish Combination of Soaring Silver and Lagging GDX Miners / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Silver is moving up quite shortly today, which sounds bullish, until one realizes that silver tends to be particularly strong right before the precious metals market tops. And you know what’s the other thing that quite often happens at the tops, in addition to silver’s temporary strength? Miners tend to underperform. What did gold miners do on the last trading day of the previous week?

Friday, July 10, 2020

Stock Market: "Relevant Waves Vs. Irrelevant News" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020

By: EWI

The stock market is a fractal -- i.e., a self-repeating form at all degrees of trend. Meaning, without the time or price labels, you can't tell if you're looking at a 2-minute chart or at a monthly one.

What's more, stock market trends unfold in repetitive and recognizable price patterns.

What's more, these patterns -- Elliott wave pattens -- emerge regardless of the news.

Friday, July 10, 2020

Prepare for the global impact of US COVID-19 resurgence / Politics / Pandemic

By: Dan_Steinbock

Recently, the US has suffered a series of COVID-19 surges. The escalation won’t stay in America. It is likely to cause collateral damage worldwide. 

In early June, U.S. states began to exit from the lockdown measures, even though the epidemic curve had not been adequately flattened. On July 4th, the White House sought for a “return to normal” with a celebration at Mount Rushmore, where President Trump, who has recently associated himself with far-right “white power” extremists, gave a bizarre speech warning about a “new far-left fascism.”

Friday, July 10, 2020

Golds quick price move increases the odds of a correction / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: readtheticker

Every market corrects, maybe profit taking, maybe of allowing those who missed out, to get in!

The current open interest on the gold contract looks to high after a very fast price move, it looks like 2008 may be repeating. A quick flushing out of the weak hands open interest may take place before a real advance in price takes place. The correction may be on the back of a wider sell off of risk assets (either before of after US elections) as all assets suffer contagion selling (just like 2008).

This blog view is a gold price correction of 10% to 20% range is a buying opportunity. Of course we may see a very minor price correction but a long time correction, a price or time is correction is expected, we shall watch and wait.

Friday, July 10, 2020

Declaring Your Independence from Currency Debasement / Currencies / Fiat Currency

By: MoneyMetals

Precious metals markets kicked off trading for the third quarter by posting modest declines across the board. 

However, the technical bigger picture for gold and silver still looks strong after the metals recorded impressive gains in Q2.  Gold finished out the quarter trading at its highest level since 2012. That has bulls anticipating new all-time highs for the monetary metal in the near future.

Even though gold is outperforming the stock market in 2020, it isn’t getting much attention from the Wall Street-centric financial media. We suspect public interest in precious metals will begin to surge once gold hits a new record and trades over $2,000. Then the media will be forced to start paying more attention to the sector.

Thursday, July 09, 2020

Tech Stocks Trending Towards the Quantum AI EXPLOSION! / Companies / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is Part 2 of my extensive analysis (Part 1) that concludes in a detailed 15 year stock market trend forecast (Machine Intelligence Quantum AI Stocks Mega-Trend Forecast 2020 to 2035!). The whole of which has first been made available to Patrons who support my work.

• Why Investors Should Buy Deviations against the Bull Market Highs
• The AI Mega-trend - Moores Law is NOT Dead!
• QUANTUM COMPUTERS
• The Quantum AI EXPLOSION!
• Capitalising on the AI Mega-trend
• AI Stocks Mega-trend
• Formulating a AI Stocks Mega Trend Forecast
• AI Stocks Mega-tend 15 Year Trend Forecast Conclusion
• Dow Quick Technical Take
• Getting Started with Machine Learning
• Black Lives Matter Protests To trigger 2nd Covid-19 Wave?

So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Thursday, July 09, 2020

Gold and Silver Seasonal Trend Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2020

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold, silver, and their miners’ stocks suffer their weakest seasonals of the year in early summers.  With traders’ attention normally diverted to vacations and summer fun, interest in and demand for precious metals usually wane.  Without outsized investment demand, gold tends to drift sideways dragging silver and miners’ stocks with it.  Feared as the summer doldrums, sometimes unusual catalysts short-circuit them.

This doldrums term is very apt for gold’s summer predicament.  It describes a zone in the world’s oceans surrounding the equator.  There hot air is constantly rising, creating long-lived low-pressure areas.  They are often calm, with little or no prevailing winds.  History is full of accounts of sailing ships getting trapped in this zone for days or weeks, unable to make headway.  The doldrums were murder on ships’ morale.

Crews had no idea when the winds would pick up again, while they continued burning through their limited stores of food and drink.  Without moving air, the stifling heat and humidity were suffocating on these ships long before air conditioning.  Misery and boredom were extreme, leading to fights breaking out and occasional mutinies.  Being trapped in the doldrums was viewed with dread, it was a very trying experience.

Gold investors can somewhat relate.  Like clockwork heading into most summers, gold starts drifting listlessly sideways.  It often can’t make significant progress no matter what trends looked like heading into June, July, and August.  As the days and weeks slowly pass, sentiment deteriorates markedly.  Patience is gradually exhausted, supplanted with deep frustration.  Plenty of traders capitulate, abandoning ship.

Thursday, July 09, 2020

Facebook and IBM Tech Stocks for Machine Learning Mega-Trend Investing 2020 / Companies / AI

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This analysis will now seek to update potential buying levels for AI stocks during Q2 of where stocks could trade down to in terms of technical support levels during the anticipated general stock market correction of about 15% that should be imminent.

Top 5 AI Stocks are all primary, the ordering of which is arbitrary for instance of the 3 Google, Amazon and Microsoft it's a toss up of which comes first. For instance If I was compiling the list today then I would likely put Amazon at No1 ahead of Google. So keep in mind that the rankings are more in terms of primary, Secondary and Tertiary rather than their number order.