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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Sunday, June 30, 2019

Once Upon a Time There Was a Goldilocks Economy. Will This Story End Well for Gold? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Once upon a time there was a Goldilocks (economy)… Would like to know the end of this story? So let’s read our today’s article – and find out whether it will have a happy end for gold!

There was once a little girl whose hair was so bright and yellow that it glittered in the sun like spun-gold. For this reason she was called Goldilocks. One day she came to a house of Three Bears. They have gone out, but the girl saw the porridge through the window, so she went in.
She first tasted the porridge of the Great, Huge Bear, and that was too hot for her. And then she tasted the porridge of the Middle Bear, and that was too cold for her. And then she went to the porridge of the Little, Small Bear, and tasted that; and that was neither too hot nor too cold, but just right, and she liked it so well that she ate it all up.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Saturday, June 29, 2019

Gold Stocks Decisive Breakout! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks just blasted higher to a major decisive breakout this week!  Driven by gold’s own huge bull-market breakout, the gold stocks surged well above vexing years-old upper resistance.  The resulting new multi-year highs are a game changer, starting to shift long-apathetic sector sentiment back towards bullish.  This will increasingly attract back traders, with their buying unleashing a virtuous circle of gains.

Traders usually track gold-stock fortunes with this sector’s most-popular exchange-traded fund, the GDX VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF.  Launched in May 2006, this was the original gold-stock ETF.  That big first-mover advantage has helped propel GDX to sector dominance.  This week its net assets of $10.5b ran 44.6x larger than the next-biggest 1x-long major-gold-miners ETF!  GDX is this sector’s leading benchmark.

And as recently as late May, neither speculators nor investors wanted anything to do with gold stocks.  GDX slumped to $20.42 on May 29th, down 3.2% year-to-date.  That was much worse than gold’s own slight 0.2% YTD decline then warranted.  The gold stocks were really out of favor, largely ignored by apathetic traders.  What a difference a month makes though, as their fortunes changed radically in June.

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Commodities

Friday, June 28, 2019

Platinum Setting Up For A Big Price Anomaly / Commodities / Platinum

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our clients and followers have been following our incredible research and market calls regarding Gold and Silver with intense focus.  We issued a research post in October 2018 that suggested Gold would rocket higher from a base level below $1300 to an initial target near $1450 almost 9 months ago. 

As of this week, Gold has reached a high of $1442.90 only $7.10 away from our predicted target level.  This has been an absolutely incredible move in Gold and we could not be more pleased with the outcome for our clients, followers, and anyone paying attention to our research posts.

Additionally, many of our clients have been asking us to share our predictive modeling research for Platinum, which has been basing near recent lows recently.  We decided to share our research with everyone regarding the information our proprietary predictive modeling tools are suggesting. 

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Commodities

Friday, June 28, 2019

Silver Awaiting This Key Bull Market Signal / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Hubert_Moolman

Although gold has successfully signaled its bull market, silver is yet to convincingly do so. It may be true that silver follows gold, but the two can diverge for quite some time. So, it is essential that silver gives us a clear bull market signal to confirm that the bull is real.

The following technique could provide a way to track silver until it provides that clear bull market signal.

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Commodities

Friday, June 28, 2019

Gold Stock Launch in the Books; What’s Next / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: Gary_Tanashian

You may know me as the…

…guy.

The guy using the planets of an imaginary gold sector Macrocosm with proper fundamentals that are decidedly not imaginary but rather, are necessary to call a real bull phase or even bull market. By managing a strict set of macro and sector fundamental inputs (to the sound of crickets and little else in the sector) NFTRH and its subscribers had a front row seat to the now obvious gold mining launch as first the fundamentals came in line, followed by the technicals.

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Commodities

Friday, June 28, 2019

Can the Crude Oil Bulls Extend the Sputtering Rally? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

The series of higher oil prices appears to be over as today, we might see the bulls’ power tested. Where can the bears aim realistically and what is most likely to happen next? These are certainly valid questions as the oil price has reached an important resistance and appears hesitating today. Will some geopolitical news come to the rescue? High time to dive in...

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Commodities

Friday, June 28, 2019

Gold Declines As the Fed Dampens Rate Cut Expectations / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

What a week! On Tuesday, gold prices hit a six-year peak of almost $1,440. But they declined since then to almost $1,400. What is happening? We got the Fed speaking… Let’s dive in to the implications of what has been said.

Rally in Gold Ends

As we reported two days ago, the price of gold has jumped above $1,430 after the dovish FOMC meeting last week. However, the rally did not last long. Yesterday, the price of gold fell to a level slightly above $1,400, as the chart below shows. What happened?

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Commodities

Friday, June 28, 2019

Gold Clearly Reverses at Consolidation’s Upper Border / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Quite a few journalists wrote about gold’s breakout in the previous days even though gold made an attempt to break above the key resistance – the mid-2013 high – only today (and it failed). At the same time, when the gold to silver ratio was breaking out in a clear way, many journalists ignored that and emphasized the importance of the resistance at hand. Either way, the focus was not on what was really going on, but on trying to make the reality fit the bullish case for gold. After all, “gold people” have to be bullish on gold all the time, right? Wrong – those, who want their clients to succeed need to stay focused on what is likely to happen based on objective, cold logic and facts, instead of chasing the emotions of the day. And what do the facts tell us?

We have a twofold purpose in highlighting the pitfalls of permabullish emotionality. The first one is to show you how acting on emotions in investing backfires – gold rallied temporarily above $1,440 and in today’s pre-market trading, declined to almost $1,400. And it doesn’t seem that the decline is over. The second one is that we want to emphasize that there is almost nobody else in the gold analysis business that saw that the real resistance and the upper border of the long-term consolidation pattern in gold is at the mid-2013 highs. Many others cheered as gold moved above the previous – less important – highs, and they wrote about a major breakout in gold. These were breakouts, but not the key ones and nothing to call home about given that the highest of the relatively close highs remained unbroken. Please remember the above as gold moves to lower prices. Please also remember that we are writing right now that we will see gold below $1,200 well before we’ll see it above $1,500.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 27, 2019

Silver Price Will Pause Before Going Higher / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Silver will likely find resistance near $15.60 and move slightly lower before another upside price leg takes place.  Both gold and silver have begun incredible price rallies over the past 10+ days and we believe this is just the start of a much bigger price trend. 

We believe Silver, to be one of the absolute best potential trades and investment. It will likely pause just below $15.75, near the First Resistance level, rotate a bit lower (possibly towards $15.15), then attempt another rally towards the $16.50 level.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, June 27, 2019

Precious Metals Expert Rick Rule Shares 'Gold Nuggets of Wisdom' / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: The_Gold_Report

Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable and Rick Rule of Sprott USA engage in a wide-ranging discussion covering Pareto's law, the importance of courage and conviction in investment, copper, mentors and the upcoming Sprott Natural Resource Symposium

Maurice Jackson: Joining us for conversation is legendary investor Rick Rule of Sprott USA. Mr. Rule, welcome to the show. In our interview last month, we addressed a number of topics regarding where and what Sprott USA is focusing their attention on in the natural resource space. And at the conclusion of the interview, Rick, you stated that we should discuss Pareto's law, which is known as the 80/20 law. But you put an interesting perspective on the law that I had not considered. Mr. Rule, expand the narrative on Pareto's law and please introduce us to the concept of the 4%.

Rick Rule: Sure. And actually I'll take a little further than that with your permission. Most people have heard of the 80/20 principle, which suggests that in any sort of major field of human endeavor, 20% of the people engaged in that activity generate 80% of the utility. In other words, 20% of the people do 80% of the work.

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Commodities

Thursday, June 27, 2019

Bonds and Stocks vs Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Richard_Mills

North American stock markets continued to rise on Friday, as more investors took the opportunity to jump into equities on the back of a clear signal from the US Federal Reserve that interest rates are likely heading down. The S&P 500 hit a new record on Thursday, finishing 249 points higher, or 0.9%, to 2,954.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) concluded on Wednesday that it will leave the federal funds rate unchanged, in the 2.25% to 2.5% range. Importantly however, the Fed dropped its pledge to be “patient” on a widely anticipated rate cut, meaning it could be poised to act. Also, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stopped referring to below-target 1.8% inflation as “transient”. Persistent inflation under 2% is a strong prompt for the Fed to raise interest rates, since part of its mandate is to keep inflation at the 2% sweet spot.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, June 27, 2019

The Gold Asteroid That Could Make Everyone On Earth A Billionaire / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: OilPrice_Com

Whether it was the Big Bang, Midas or God himself, we don’t really need to unlock the mystery of the origins of gold when we’ve already identified an asteroid worth $700 quintillion in precious heavy metals.

If anything launches this metals mining space race, it will be this asteroid--Psyche 16, taking up residence between Mars and Jupiter and carrying around enough heavy metals to net every single person on the planet close to a trillion dollars.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, June 27, 2019

GOLD to Fall 10% as Dollar at Support / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Submissions

GOLD has been rising sharply and has hit 1430 highs. Much of the move is on the back of apparent news that central banks are buying Gold.

Falling interest rates (and a weaker dollar) also explain the recent surge into gold. Renewed interest in gold usually happens when investors are looking for alternatives to stocks and bonds (as well as global currencies). Which suggests that they may be losing confidence in the global economy. And reducing exposure to riskier smaller stocks; while prospecting in safer havens like gold.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 26, 2019

Silver Short-Term Trend Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The short-term chart shows an accumulation zone of between $14 and $15, with upper trading zones of $15 to £16.30 and then $16.30 to $17.50. Thus a breakout above $15 would target $16 and then $17.50. Whilst the downside is limited to about $14.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 26, 2019

Gold Continuing To Breakout But Is A Correction Due? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Chris Vermeulen, Founder of The Technical Traders joins me to a close look into gold – what’s driving the move, what the technicals are saying about this fast move higher, and if a correction is due. We also look at the gold stocks, silver, and USD all within the context of gold.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, June 26, 2019

Natural Gas Sets Up Bottom Pattern / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Chris_Vermeulen

In less than two weeks, our prediction that Natural Gas would move lower into our “basing zone”, between $2.00 and $2.20, has come true.  Natural Gas has fallen into our expected basing/bottoming zone and traders should be looking to target low price entries as the extended setup of this base takes place.

You can read our original research post regarding our Natural Gas analysis from June 10, 2019: NATURAL GAS MOVES INTO BASING ZONE

It is our belief that anytime Natural Gas falls below $2.20, or lower, traders should consider jumping into NG related ETFs or NG future as this bottoming zone will likely push NG back above $2.35~$2.40 fairly quickly.  Historically, any price move to levels closer to $2.00 have been very strong support for Natural Gas and this early basing pattern is setting up for an incredible opportunity for traders.

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 26, 2019

Gold Jumps Above $1,400 after Dovish Fed / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Last week was definitely hot. Both major central banks adopted a more dovish stance. Gold reacted positively, jumping above $1,400. What has changed, and what has not? How close are we to an actual rate cut, not only to the speculation of getting one for sure on the next Fed meeting? How will gold like it?

Doves Are Strong Within the Fed

The dovish shift was surprising. Maybe not the direction, but the scale for sure. After all, the GDP is steadily growing, while the unemployment rate is at record lows. While inflation is below the target, it is still above 1.5 percent. Why would the Fed lower the federal funds rate in such positive macroeconomic conditions?

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 26, 2019

After This Confirmation Gold Prices Will Rise Fast / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Hubert_Moolman

A while ago, I wrote about a coming confirmation of the multi-year gold bull market. It has taken longer than expected, but that signal has now arrived, and the bull is very much confirmed.

Here is a gold chart indicating that very important signal

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Commodities

Wednesday, June 26, 2019

Has Gold Price Broken Out Or Not? Technicals And Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Kelsey_Williams

A casual glance at the latest short term chart for GLD would tend to support the notion that, yes, gold has decidedly broken out of its trading range and is headed higher.

Below is a two-year chart of GLD (bigcharts.marketwatch.com) …

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Commodities

Tuesday, June 25, 2019

Gold Price Trend Forcast to End September 2019 - Video / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the final article in this Gold analysis series that concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Gold price into Late September 2019 :

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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