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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Gold Correction Near its End on Converging Signals from Bonds and Currencies / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe springtime corrections are really about done. They have gone on for a couple of months. The extent of the pullbacks have been tested and retested. The long-term trends are just about ready to asset themselves again. Grand deceptions have resumed to attempt to fool the public and the investment community that the worst is over for banks, housing, and mortgage bonds. That is not even remotely true. The deeply wounded banks, the sharply corrected home prices, and the badly damaged mortgage bonds have much more pain ahead. Nothing has been fixed. Many mortgage resets have yet to take place. The New Resolution Trust Corp to facilitate secondary mortgages, to bury dead mortgage bonds, and to renegotiate home loans is not even agreed upon, let alone installed. Its operation will be sometime in 2009 at the earliest.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Odds Favor Short-Term Crude Oil Downtrend / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Frank_Holmes

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYears ago when oil was $30 per barrel, we were laughed at when we suggested that it could trade over $100. Now it seems we were being a bit conservative.

That said, based on statistical tools we use to measure probabilities, we believe oil is currently overbought and due for a short-term correction of $20 to $35 before resuming a longer-term price climb that could well reach $200 per barrel.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Playing the Food Boom for Huge Profits / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry Edelson writes: I'm long 5,000 bushels of corn in the futures market. I bought the contract at $6.22 (a bushel), near corn's record high price.

Why? Because I'm expecting the price of corn to more than double in the next 18 months, to well over $12 a bushel. And I'll be adding more corn to my portfolio when I see the next buy point.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Gold Slips on Queationable Inflation Data / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold was down  $ 3.60 to $8 6 5.40 yesterday  and silver was  down  18  cents to $1 6. 55 . Gold traded flat in Asia and has  risen marginally in early trading in Europe. While the dollar is down today, the dollar's short term bounce may continue and this could put further pressure on gold and result in further consolidation at these levels (the $850 to $890 range). But oil is up more than 0.5% again this morning to over $125 a barrel again and this should result in gold being well supported at these levels.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Commodities Correct after recent Strong Rallies / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Emanuel_Balarie

Grains
Corn fell for the fourth straight day, with the July contract settling 8.25 cents lower at $5.99 a bushel. Improving planting conditions in the U.S. Midwest with forecasts for no major storms before May 21st will accelerate plantings that have experienced extended delays due to wet weather.

Soybeans held firm today after gaining nearly 3-percent yesterday. The July contract settled unchanged at $13.79 ½ a bushel. New crop futures closed higher with the November contract gaining 7 1/4 cents at $13.33 a bushel. Favorable corn planting conditions, strong demand, and a farmer strike in Argentina sent soybeans steady to higher on the session.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Gold & Euros Bounce on Inflation Fears; Ex-Fed Volcker Warns of Return to 1970s Stagflation / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES turned higher alongside the Euro early Thursday, gaining 0.5% after strong economic data dashed short-term hopes of Eurozone rate cuts.

That dented the US Dollar's recent rally and capped Western stock markets.

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Commodities

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Grain Exporting Countries of Africa to Mirror Crude Oil OPEC Boom / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: John_Mauldin

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat countries are truly the have and have nots of the world? Good friend and business partner Niels Jensen of Absolute Return Partners suggests we look at the old equation in a new way? Food and energy resources may be at least part of the definition in the future. In this week's Outside the Box we continue a them I mentioned a few weeks ago: agricultural needs are going to be a new and important force in the world and when coupled with energy may shift the balance of power in the world in strange a different ways.

When, as Niels points out, Afghanistan poppy farmers are shifting to wheat farming, the world is truly a different place. I think you will find the research he has done to be truly worth a few minutes of your thinking time.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Inflation Deflation Chaotic Trend Towards Stagflation / Commodities / Stagflation

By: Christopher_Laird

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeeing the gold market correct, and oil in a speculation mania, and other commodities with speculation, then combining weakening US consumer demand, one wonders what the heck is going on. The markets are in a chaotic battle between inflation and deflation forces.

The USD is rising, from a bottom around 70. It fell for years since 02. At this 70ish number on the USDX (US dollar index heavily Euro weighted) the USD rebounded. The EU is screaming the Euro is too strong. Germany is the only one who is not screaming. Even so, the EU has a much better trade balance situation (on the whole) than the US.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Gold Bounces on Strong Inflation Data / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD BULLION fell at the opening in London on Wednesday, slipping to a 7-session low of $860.50 per ounce before bouncing almost 1.0% as New York opened for business and the US Dollar fell against the Euro.

Wall Street stock futures pointed lower as crude oil dropped 41¢ per barrel to $125.31.

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Commodities

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Gold to Oil Price Ratio Says Gold is Cheap / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold was down  $13.90 to $8 69 yesterday  and silver was  down 43  cents to $16.73 . Gold traded flat in Asia and has fallen marginally in early trading in Europe. But with oil prices rising and inflation pressures increasing internationally, gold will be well supported at these levels.

Momentum traders and short term speculative players continue to exert pressure on the gold market but continuing demand for physical bullion from those with a more medium to long term investment horizon, namely individual investors, pension funds, sovereign wealth funds and indeed central banks in Asia, Russia and elsewhere will ultimately lead to higher gold prices in the medium and long term.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Resource Stocks that are Chinese Takeover Targets / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTony Sagami writes: As I've told you before, I believe the #1 rule for making money in the next decade is to get long whatever the Chinese are buying.

After all, China will need to consume an unprecedented amount of natural resources to fuel its red-hot economy and feed its 1.4 billion people. And in a moment, I'm going to give you four specific areas to target, and the company in each area that looks most like a takeover candidate.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Increase of Chickens Consumption Contributing to Agro-Foods Boom / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Ethanol is beginning of search for alternatives to petroleum based fuels, not the best nor the end of that search. Ethanol is first step in move backwards in biological terms to sun/plant juncture where solar energy is converted to form humans and animals can use. Recently, with exception of corn farmers, ethanol seems to be loosing friends. The “jump to a conclusion without the facts” group is blaming ethanol for high and rising food prices.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Crude Oil Marches Higher on Chinese Earthquake / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The viciousness with which the oil market pivots and reverses in both directions certainly is unnerving- at least to me, anyway. "The market" has totally bought into the idea that supplies are so tight that 500,000 bbls of Nigerian crude oil stuck in port, coupled with increased demand for diesel fuel from the Chinese earthquake region are reasons for nearby crude oil prices to climb from $123 to new all-time highs at $127 (3%) in about two hours of trading! Whether we believe those explanations or not really does not matter, because price means everything, and right now, price is on the march higher once again.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Gold Bounces as Stock Markets Fall on Horrific Data / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES fell to a three-session low early Tuesday, finally bouncing higher from $876 per ounce as European equities slipped alongside crude oil prices and government bonds.

Only base metals bucked the trend as the Dollar ticked higher on the currency markets.

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Gold Underpinned by Surging Inflation in UK, China and Internationally / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

Gold was down 80 cents to $883.90 yesterday but silver was up 36 cents to $17.16. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $877.00, £450.18 and €566.61 (from $887.25, £453.91 and €573.60 yesterday).

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Commodities

Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Commodity Market Summary / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Emanuel_Balarie

Grains - Corn fell over 2-percent today, with the July contract settling 14 1/2 cents lower at $6.14 ¾ a bushel. Improving planting conditions in the U.S. Midwest with forecasts for no major storms before May 21st will accelerate plantings that have experienced extended delays due to wet weather.

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Commodities

Monday, May 12, 2008

Sell Gold Shares in May and Walk Away? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: John_Lee

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHere we are in May, and everyone asks the question, is it time to sell and walk way? Well that depends what you are holding. This article focuses on timing in regard to the junior resource mining equities, for which we use the S&P/TSX Ventures Composite Index as a proxy.

Resource Junior Sector Roller Coaster

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Commodities

Monday, May 12, 2008

Natural Gas Overbought / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Yes, the US Natural Gas ETF (AMEX: UNG) is a roaring bull move off of its 2007 Double Bottom in the low 33 area. Yes, the upmove off of the base area (45.00-34.00) has been powerful to say the least, but it also has fulfilled its measured target zone in the vicinity of 55.00. This does NOT mean that the UNG cannot or will not continue higher; however, when coupled with the glaring daily (and weekly) RSI negative momentum divergences, the fulfilled upside potential of the UNG pattern takes on more interesting dimensions.

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Commodities

Monday, May 12, 2008

Precious Metals Correction to End in May / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Captain_Hook

Neither A Borrower Nor A Lender Be  - And most certainly, don't be a gold producer, as the deck is definitively stacked against you here too. We will get back to this subject in just a minute. But first, let's expand on that title, as it's a beauty given global monetary conditions appear to be progressing into a state of hyperinflation . Neither a borrower nor a lender be – is a line first penned by Shakespeare in reference to important lessons in life, which more recently has morphed into a forgotten mores rooted in lessons learned during hard times – or should I say ‘honest money times.' Honest money times – what the heck are ‘honest money times'? Such a terminology implies government and monetary authorities are attempting to pull a fast one in that they are issuing ‘dishonest money'. How can this be when foreigners accept our currency for manufactured ‘hard items', on top of the fact everybody has access to the information concerning currency debasement policies of the present day governing regime?

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Commodities

Monday, May 12, 2008

Gold Positive Fundementals as Western Economies Face Stagflation Threat / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Mark_OByrne

After last week's more than 3% gain in gold, gold surged to nearly $890.00 in early trading in Asia prior to succumbing to subsequent profit taking. The London AM Gold Fix at 1030 GMT this morning was at $887.25, £453.91 and €573.60 (from $863.50, £434.64 and  €556.74 on Friday).

It is hard to see gold falling significantly this week unless there is a sharp fall in oil prices and strengthening of the dollar – both of which seem unlikely. However, gold has surprised to the downside in recent weeks and further consolidation may be needed prior to challenging $900 again. With oil remaining well bid above $125 and geopolitical risk in Nigeria, Lebanon and Iran still of importance, gold looks likely to be well bid at these levels.

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