Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, September 18, 2015

Time to Invest in Gold? Consider These Four Factors First / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Investment_U

Sean Brodrick writes: The market expects gold to go lower as the Fed raises interest rates. That’s because gold pays no interest, unlike bonds. In fact, more than $2.6 billion was wiped from the value of gold exchange-traded products (ETPs) in just three weeks as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s meeting. Ouch!

And in all, since gold entered a bear market in April 2013, a whopping $54 billion in value has bled out of gold ETPs. Holdings in bullion products fell to 1,508.2 metric tons on August 11.

Friday, September 18, 2015

Crude Oil Price Rises 29% in One Week... Here's What It Means / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: DailyWealth

Thursday, September 17, 2015

What Today’s Fed Decision Means for Crude Oil Prices / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: After nine years of historically low interest rates, the Fed is finally getting ready to remove the proverbial punchbowl from the easy-money party.

As it stands, Yellen & Company are only contemplating a mere 25 basis rate hike and even that now seems unlikely.

According to the CME Group’s FedWatch tool, the Fed Funds futures contracts are pricing in a below 25% chance of a rate hike later this afternoon.

Thursday, September 17, 2015

Gold Price Up Before Fed Interest Rate Decision - Myth Of All Powerful Central Banker Continues / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

Gold rose 1.3% yesterday ahead of the Federal Reserve interest rate announcement today. Markets remain divided and uncertain whether the Fed will increase rates by 25 basis points today (1900 GMT).

The Fed last raised interest rates in June 2006, by 25 basis points to 5.25%, shortly after that America’s central bank found itself reducing rates and since December 2008 the Fed’s benchmark interest rate has been set between 0.0% and 0.25%. Gold prices rose in the months after the interest rise and were 23% higher in 2006.

Thursday, September 17, 2015

The Shale Oil Delusion: Why The Party's Over For U.S. Tight Oil / Commodities / Shale Oil and Gas

By: OilPrice_Com

The party is over for tight oil.

Despite brash statements by U.S. producers and misleading analysis by Raymond James, low oil prices are killing tight oil companies.

Reports this week from IEA and EIA paint a bleak picture for oil prices as the world production surplus continues.

Thursday, September 17, 2015

Gold Price Bottom - 90% Of Traders Are Always Wrong At Major Turns / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Savage

For about the last year and a half I’ve been warning that gold was being driven down to test the last C-wave top ($1033). No one believed me.

Thursday, September 17, 2015

Should You Actually Worry About Gold Confiscation? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: MoneyMetals

Guy Christopher writes: Most gold owners are familiar with worries of forced government gold confiscation - that one day black-ops shock teams will toss homes to find that stash of coins and bars.

The sole historical source for the modern fear of "confiscation" was President Franklin Roosevelt's 1933 Executive Order 6102 telling America to cough up its gold in the midst of The Great Depression.

Tuesday, September 15, 2015

The Coming Grand Canyon of Uranium Supply Deficit and Three Ways to Profit by It / Commodities / Uranium

By: The_Energy_Report

A Grand Canyon of supply deficit is opening up in the uranium markets, with 66 nuclear reactors under construction globally and more restarting in Japan. As Russia and China shore up their supply chains in Kazakhstan and elsewhere, the rest of the world could be scrambling for new sources to keep the lights on. In this interview with The Energy Report, Thomas Drolet, head of Drolet & Associates Energy Services, illuminates junior companies in the Athabasca Basin, southern Alberta and South America that could be strategic sources for countries shoring up domestic supply and for majors that need replacement resources.

Tuesday, September 15, 2015

How to Profit from Oil’s M&A Cycle / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: The continuing swoon in crude oil prices combined with a rapidly advancing crunch in energy debt has once again ushered in expectations of a merger and acquisition (M&A) cycle among oil companies.

The first indication that such a cycle is underway came a week ago… in Australia.

One of that country’s leading oil producers proposed a merger with another in what would be one of the largest energy M&A deals ever seen “Down Under.” Woodside Petroleum Ltd. (OTC:WOPEY) announced an all-stock deal valued at more than US$8 billion (A$11.64 billion) for Oil Search Ltd. (OTC:OISHY). The merger would create one of the dominant players in the Australian market. Oil Search initially rebuffed Woodside’s offer but talks continue.

Tuesday, September 15, 2015

Silver Price Route to $50 and Beyond / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Hubert_Moolman

The Dow has been the biggest obstacle to a rise in precious metals, due to it sucking up a lot of the available value on global markets. There will be no significant silver and gold rally while we have a rallying or a "close to its high" Dow.

The Dow is up about 2.52 times from its low during the 2008/2009 crash. Based on the fact that silver has its great rallies when the Dow is weak (see here); it is no surprise that silver's performance during roughly the same time has not been what is expected during a bull market. Silver is only up about 1.7 times from its low in October 2008.

Monday, September 14, 2015

Ted Butler: The Coming Silver Shortage / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldSilverWorlds

From the very beginning of my epiphany 30 years ago about a silver price manipulation on the COMEX, was the unavoidable conclusion that if prices were artificially depressed as I believed, then at some point a physical shortage must develop. If the price of any commodity were set too low for too long a period of time, then the dynamics of the law of supply and demand would eventually crimp supply and encourage demand to such an extent that a physical shortage must develop and end the manipulation.

Monday, September 14, 2015

Silver Coins and Bars – “Potential From Today’s Levels Remains Enormous” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

Silver has had a rough year, slumping to major new secular lows.  After sliding on balance for years now, even the diehard silver bulls are losing faith in their metal. 

Monday, September 14, 2015

Why Commodities And Precious Metals Are True Contrarian Opportunities / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: SecularInvestor

Investors tend to make ‘contrarian’ investing choices too early in the cycle.

Basically, the price of an asset can be trending higher, lower or sideways. When an asset is declining in price, it remains in a downtrend until proven otherwise. The chance of a trend change is much smaller than the trend continuing. In other words, being ‘contrarian’ is difficult, and the pitfall is that an investor may be too early with his contrarian call.

Monday, September 14, 2015

Gold Price and HUI Stocks Short Term Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

Maybe - based on today's price action in both the metal and in the mining shares (HUI) but only short term.

The shares were actually a bit more convincing than the actual metal, which is something one would like to see anyway if they are looking to be bullish.

The HUI opened lower, promptly fell apart but then began gradually climbing back up off the worst levels of the session as the day wore on. By the time of the close, they had managed to eke out a small gain.

Monday, September 14, 2015

Gold and Silver Psychological Warfare vs the Big Picture / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

Tonight we'll look at the precious metals complex and see how this game of psychological warfare looks from a Chartology perspective. I know many are disappointed by the short covering rally at the end of today's trading but this is how markets work. They do everything they can to throw you off the trade and just when you think you have it figured out it will change again. The big question is did this short covering rally change the bigger picture? If one just looks at the very short minute charts they will see the end of the day rally as being pretty significant but the further you go out in time the less it affects the appearance of the chart.

Monday, September 14, 2015

Gold and Silver Sector Very Low Risk Trading Setup at Possible Sector Bottom... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Clive_Maund

It looks like we are really going to see some fireworks late this coming week, right after the Fed make their much anticipated announcement about whether or not they will raise interest rates. They had better get on with it and do their miniscule rate rise this time, because if they don't and start making bleating noises again about doing it at some point in the future, their already tenuous credibility will vanish. There is a fair chance that they will do it, because although they would like to keep the stockmarket elevated, they will quite happily sacrifice the stockmarket to save what to them is much more important - the dollar and the Treasury market. If they do announce the rate rise it is thought likely that the stockmarket will tank, because the Fed has never done a single rate rise, it has always run a cycle of rate rises, and the psychological impact of the 1st rate rise for 9 years will therefore be big, especially because they have used the prospect of this rate rise for a long time to goad the market into driving the dollar higher and higher, like a donkey following a carrot on a string, to the great cost of emerging markets.

Sunday, September 13, 2015

Coffee Commodity Price Downtrend Continues / Commodities / Coffee

By: Austin_Galt

The coffee price is now down in an area with potential for a low to be put in. However, until there are signs of price turning back up more downside has to be favoured.

Let's revise the weekly and monthly charts.

Saturday, September 12, 2015

Lumber Looking Lousy / Commodities / Lumber

By: Austin_Galt

Lumber is looking pretty lousy at the moment hitting new yearly lows recently. Price has been trading as laid it in previous analysis so let's update the situation using the monthly and weekly charts.

Friday, September 11, 2015

Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

In the previous post Steve Saville talks about the “true” fundamentals of gold, i.e. the ones that actually matter as opposed to the ones that make a good story.  In this post, let’s review something that is related but different; gold mining fundamentals.

While we (NFTRH) have been noting gold’s negative fundamentals for years (especially the status of the yield curve and a thus far ironclad confidence in the Federal Reserve and indeed, relative confidence in global central banks), gold mining sector fundamentals have been on an up-swing.  Gold’s fundamentals are generally what we have been calling macro fundamentals and the things that matter to mining operations are sector fundamentals.

Friday, September 11, 2015

Silver’s Vexing Slumber / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

Silver has had a rough year, slumping to major new secular lows.  After sliding on balance for years now, even the diehard silver bulls are losing faith in their metal.  But despite its vexing slumber, silver’s price-appreciation potential from today’s levels remains enormous.  Between radical underinvestment and very-high speculator silver-futures shorting, silver is poised to see massive buying as gold recovers.

Silver has proven very disappointing in 2015.  Late last year, it was battered down near $15.50 as gold plunged into the $1140s on extreme futures shorting.  That looked to be a decisive low, as silver spent the next 8 months forming a strong technical base around $16.  But unfortunately in early July, silver fell to new lows near $15 as gold was crushed by an epic futures-shorting attack.  Silver was collateral damage.