Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, September 15, 2015
How to Profit from Oil’s M&A Cycle / Commodities / Oil Companies
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com 
Dr. Kent Moors writes: The continuing swoon in crude oil prices combined with a rapidly advancing crunch in energy debt has once again ushered in expectations of a merger and acquisition (M&A) cycle among oil companies.
The first indication that such a cycle is underway came a week ago… in Australia.
One of that country’s leading oil producers proposed a merger with another in what would be one of the largest energy M&A deals ever seen “Down Under.” Woodside Petroleum Ltd. (OTC:WOPEY) announced an all-stock deal valued at more than US$8 billion (A$11.64 billion) for Oil Search Ltd. (OTC:OISHY). The merger would create one of the dominant players in the Australian market. Oil Search initially rebuffed Woodside’s offer but talks continue.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
Silver Price Route to $50 and Beyond / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Hubert_Moolman
The Dow has been the biggest obstacle to a rise in precious metals, due to it sucking up a lot of the available value on global markets. There will be no significant silver and gold rally while we have a rallying or a "close to its high" Dow.
The Dow is up about 2.52 times from its low during the 2008/2009 crash. Based on the fact that silver has its great rallies when the Dow is weak (see here); it is no surprise that silver's performance during roughly the same time has not been what is expected during a bull market. Silver is only up about 1.7 times from its low in October 2008.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
Ted Butler: The Coming Silver Shortage / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldSilverWorlds
From the very beginning of my epiphany 30 years ago about a silver price manipulation on the COMEX, was the unavoidable conclusion that if prices were artificially depressed as I believed, then at some point a physical shortage must develop. If the price of any commodity were set too low for too long a period of time, then the dynamics of the law of supply and demand would eventually crimp supply and encourage demand to such an extent that a physical shortage must develop and end the manipulation.
Monday, September 14, 2015
Silver Coins and Bars – “Potential From Today’s Levels Remains Enormous” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
Silver has had a rough year, slumping to major new secular lows. After sliding on balance for years now, even the diehard silver bulls are losing faith in their metal.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
Why Commodities And Precious Metals Are True Contrarian Opportunities / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: SecularInvestor
Investors tend to make ‘contrarian’ investing choices too early in the cycle.
Basically, the price of an asset can be trending higher, lower or sideways. When an asset is declining in price, it remains in a downtrend until proven otherwise. The chance of a trend change is much smaller than the trend continuing. In other words, being ‘contrarian’ is difficult, and the pitfall is that an investor may be too early with his contrarian call.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
Gold Price and HUI Stocks Short Term Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Dan_Norcini
Maybe - based on today's price action in both the metal and in the mining shares (HUI) but only short term.
The shares were actually a bit more convincing than the actual metal, which is something one would like to see anyway if they are looking to be bullish.
The HUI opened lower, promptly fell apart but then began gradually climbing back up off the worst levels of the session as the day wore on. By the time of the close, they had managed to eke out a small gain.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
Gold and Silver Psychological Warfare vs the Big Picture / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Rambus_Chartology
Tonight we'll look at the precious metals complex and see how this game of psychological warfare looks from a Chartology perspective. I know many are disappointed by the short covering rally at the end of today's trading but this is how markets work. They do everything they can to throw you off the trade and just when you think you have it figured out it will change again. The big question is did this short covering rally change the bigger picture? If one just looks at the very short minute charts they will see the end of the day rally as being pretty significant but the further you go out in time the less it affects the appearance of the chart.
Monday, September 14, 2015
Gold and Silver Sector Very Low Risk Trading Setup at Possible Sector Bottom... / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Clive_Maund
It looks like we are really going to see some fireworks late this coming week, right after the Fed make their much anticipated announcement about whether or not they will raise interest rates. They had better get on with it and do their miniscule rate rise this time, because if they don't and start making bleating noises again about doing it at some point in the future, their already tenuous credibility will vanish. There is a fair chance that they will do it, because although they would like to keep the stockmarket elevated, they will quite happily sacrifice the stockmarket to save what to them is much more important - the dollar and the Treasury market. If they do announce the rate rise it is thought likely that the stockmarket will tank, because the Fed has never done a single rate rise, it has always run a cycle of rate rises, and the psychological impact of the 1st rate rise for 9 years will therefore be big, especially because they have used the prospect of this rate rise for a long time to goad the market into driving the dollar higher and higher, like a donkey following a carrot on a string, to the great cost of emerging markets.
Sunday, September 13, 2015
Coffee Commodity Price Downtrend Continues / Commodities / Coffee
By: Austin_Galt
The coffee price is now down in an area with potential for a low to be put in. However, until there are signs of price turning back up more downside has to be favoured.
Let's revise the weekly and monthly charts.
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Saturday, September 12, 2015
Lumber Looking Lousy / Commodities / Lumber
By: Austin_Galt
Lumber is looking pretty lousy at the moment hitting new yearly lows recently. Price has been trading as laid it in previous analysis so let's update the situation using the monthly and weekly charts.
Friday, September 11, 2015
Gold Mining Stocks Fundamentals / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
In the previous post Steve Saville talks about the “true” fundamentals of gold, i.e. the ones that actually matter as opposed to the ones that make a good story. In this post, let’s review something that is related but different; gold mining fundamentals.
While we (NFTRH) have been noting gold’s negative fundamentals for years (especially the status of the yield curve and a thus far ironclad confidence in the Federal Reserve and indeed, relative confidence in global central banks), gold mining sector fundamentals have been on an up-swing. Gold’s fundamentals are generally what we have been calling macro fundamentals and the things that matter to mining operations are sector fundamentals.
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Friday, September 11, 2015
Silver’s Vexing Slumber / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
Silver has had a rough year, slumping to major new secular lows. After sliding on balance for years now, even the diehard silver bulls are losing faith in their metal. But despite its vexing slumber, silver’s price-appreciation potential from today’s levels remains enormous. Between radical underinvestment and very-high speculator silver-futures shorting, silver is poised to see massive buying as gold recovers.
Silver has proven very disappointing in 2015. Late last year, it was battered down near $15.50 as gold plunged into the $1140s on extreme futures shorting. That looked to be a decisive low, as silver spent the next 8 months forming a strong technical base around $16. But unfortunately in early July, silver fell to new lows near $15 as gold was crushed by an epic futures-shorting attack. Silver was collateral damage.
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Friday, September 11, 2015
Gold And Silver - Markets, People Never Change / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Michael_Noonan
The events unfolding around the world, or perhaps better expressed, events unraveling at such a rapid and confusing pace can only be a prelude for the disastrous consequences that inevitably will follow. While it may be hard to reconcile, all of this has been orchestrated by the global elites who fully intend to create as much havoc and destruction as possible, the Problem. They then monitor the Reaction, now around the world and not just confined to specific countries and regions, and what everyone is seeing is chaos, but it is an intended chaos that will lead to a Globalist's Solution.
Friday, September 11, 2015
Gold Price Slides Again as Expected / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Briefly: In our opinion, short (full) speculative positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward point of view.
Gold, silver and mining stocks declined once again yesterday, but this was not surprising to those who followed our analysis. We moved to the short side many days ago and the profits have just increased. Will they increase even more?
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
China Allows Gold Bullion as Collateral / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldCore
China’s Shanghai Gold Exchange said it will allow physical gold to be used as collateral on futures contracts from September 29, according to a statement posted on its website this morning as reported by Reuters.
Physical gold will be permitted to be used for up to 80 percent of margin value, according to the statement.
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
Why Central Banks Are Pressing Investors To Hold Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: GoldSilverWorlds
Claudio Grass writes: It has been nearly three years since we published our first Outlook Report in December 2012. Since the beginning of our publication, we have focused on different aspects of the gold market and have analyzed what moves the gold market. In this article, we would like to re-examine some of the topics that we had previously discussed and analyze whether any of our assumptions have changed.
Thursday, September 10, 2015
Gold’s Fate in the Hands of The Janet Yellen / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: Bob_Kirtley
US Monetary policy has played its part and had an impact on many aspects of the financial markets including the precious metals sector. We have been through a period of Quantitative Easing whereby trillions of dollars were printed in an attempt to boost the economy after the great financial crash of 2008. The markets were then weaned off the money supply through a strategy known as tapering which gently brought about the end of money printing. Over this period gold prices have had a roller coaster ride reaching a new all-time high of around $1900/oz before falling back to the current level of around $1106/oz.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, September 10, 2015
Retail Silver Market Has Seized Up - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: David_Morgan
Silver expert David Morgan says prices of the white metal may be low, but demand is huge. Morgan explains, “I did a survey of many of the top wholesalers and retailers in the country and came to the conclusion that the retail side of the market has basically seized up. One of the biggest mints in the U.S. is backlogged about 4 million ounces. You have two other main government mints that are basically on halt and not producing, or trying to catch up. You have huge premiums in the silver bar market and extremely high premiums in the silver bag market, or what is referred to in the industry as junk silver. Dealers are paying $5 above spot to source silver bags. What that equates to for the cost of silver is about $19.25 an ounce, and we are in the mid-$14 range for an ounce of silver. So, obviously, there is a huge demand that cannot be met with the current supply in the retail market.”
Thursday, September 10, 2015
How Politics Make for Strange “Oil Fellows” / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: I have decided to write a long prelude today to a discussion that will conclude in the next edition of Oil & Energy Investor. There is something quite significant afoot. But in the process of describing what is happening now, I need to travel back, first personally some several decades, and then over a century earlier in literature.
When you read this I happen to be in Europe on one of those new high-speed trains. The conveyance may be a recent change, but the terrain whisking by my window is only too well remembered from an earlier life. This had at one time been a quite personal stage for some very high-risk objectives.
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Tuesday, September 08, 2015
Crude Oil, Silver, Gold and Real Money / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
I’m not convinced!
- Supposedly crude oil prices will stay low for a long time and perhaps drop into the $20’s. The Internet is filled with reasons explaining why crude oil prices will drop. A few are:
- Saudi Arabia is a swing producer and will provide what the world needs, regardless of price, because Saudi Arabia needs the revenue and employment for its people.
- Iranian oil will soon hit the market and provide even more supply.