Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, September 08, 2015
China Buys 16 Tons Gold In August – Dumps $94 Billion / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Given the strong demand fundamentals, particularly out of China, gold should go higher but as ever there is a risk of selling in the futures market leading to weakness in the short term as traders follow momentum and ignore fundamentals.
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Tuesday, September 08, 2015
Silver and Deflation / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
How does silver perform during deflation? Which is better during a deflation – silver or gold? The answers will depend on quite a few things as well as what definition of deflation one uses.
If you look at monetary history, then you will find that we have moved from periods where mostly real or tangible assets like gold and silver acted as monetary claims on goods and services in the economy, to today where mostly credit or debt claims (fiat currencies like the US dollar) act as monetary claims on goods and services. Therefore, we have moved from a real asset-based monetary system to a debt-based monetary system.
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Tuesday, September 08, 2015
The Default Next Move For Crude Oil Price Is Downwards, And Here's Why / Commodities / Crude Oil
As traders, investors and pundits, we all like to think that what we do is akin to a science. We believe that by working harder and being smarter we can give ourselves an edge, that enough research will reveal to us the next move, either a long term trend or an intraday blip on a chart, and that we can profit from that knowledge. Usually, especially over longer time spans, we are correct in that assumption. Sometimes, however, no amount of fundamental or technical analysis will help.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 08, 2015
Can Big Cap Gold and Silver Stocks Go Any Lower ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
In this I’m going to take an indepth look at some the individual precious metals stocks so we can see where they’re at from a short to long term perspective. We’ll start by looking at some of the more important big cap PM stocks as the precious metals stock indexes can’t have a significant rally until this group is ready to run. Anything can happen in the very short term but the further you go out in time the less likely the big trend is going to change on a dime.
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Monday, September 07, 2015
$GOLD (Gold - Spot Price) and Gold Sentiment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Just like always traders are ultra bearish when they should be getting bullish, Gold is 30 days into its daily cucle and due to bottom any day. Possible on a final dip after the employment report.
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Saturday, September 05, 2015
Oil Stocks - Interim or Major Reversal? / Commodities / Crude Oil
In the second half of August, Chinese equities have been under heavy selling pressure as a fear over China's slowing economy and worries that Beijing may allow the Yuan to continue to depreciate have weighed on investors' sentiment. Moreover, disappointing economic data fuelled that fears, which resulted in a sharp decline on China's stock market. In less than two weeks, the Shanghai Composite declined from (almost) 4,000 below the next psychologically important barrier of 3,000, hitting fresh 2015 lows.
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Friday, September 04, 2015
Gold and Silver Final Flush Beginning / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
While turmoil in global capital markets may ultimately benefit the precious metals sector, it certainly is not an immediate catalyst. As global markets have weakened in recent days so too have precious metals and precious metals companies. The gold miners are nearing recent lows ahead of conventional markets while the recoveries in Gold and Silver appear to be reversing. This could be the start of a final flush that marks the end of the bear market.
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Friday, September 04, 2015
Will The Government Confiscate Your Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
DAILY PRICES
Today’s Gold Prices: USD1125.00, EUR 1009.87 and GBP 737.95 per ounce.
Yesterday’s Gold Prices: USD1130.05, EUR 1005.88 and GBP 739.63 per ounce.
(LBMA AM)
Friday, September 04, 2015
Gold-Silver Ratio in Gear / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
Now that the US stock market has gotten in sync with the rest of the world in its ups and downs, it also joins the rest of the world in generally (and loosely; it’s not a minute-by-minute relationship) being inverse to the Gold-Silver ratio (GSR, AKA the “metallic credit spread” –Hoye).
Here is the daily view of the GSR, showing a gap up and spike that came with the stock market’s big disturbance and a consolidation down that has come with its relief bounce. This is a bullish chart and so, it is a short-term bearish chart for US and global stocks. GSR broke out and is bullish while above the MA 50’s, MACD and RSI are positive and AROON is trend up.
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Friday, September 04, 2015
What IF Gold is Just in a Great Big Bull Consolidation Pattern ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
The gold charts which are showing gold is at a critical level right here. Below is the daily chart for gold that shows its comb triangle / H&S consolidation pattern. I have shown you on the precious metals indexes the same combo consolidation pattern. The only real difference is the PM stock indexes reached their respective price objectives while gold has yet to reach its. So there is a big divergence between the Pm stocks and the metal. This counter trend rally that started at the August low finally ran into some serious resistance as shown by the red circle.
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Thursday, September 03, 2015
Marc Faber Warns “No Safe Assets Anymore” So “Focus On Precious Metals” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
DAILY PRICES
Today’s Gold Prices: USD1130.05, EUR 1005.88 and GBP 739.63 per ounce.
Yesterday’s Gold Prices: USD 1140.00, EUR 1010.73 and GBP 746.46 per ounce.
(LBMA AM)
Thursday, September 03, 2015
Crude Oil Price Sinking or Rebounding? / Commodities / Crude Oil
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No speculative positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Tuesday, crude oil reversed and declined sharply as weak Chinese data weighed on investors' sentiment. As a result, the commodity approached support levels, but will they encourage oil bulls to act in the coming days?
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Thursday, September 03, 2015
How OPEC’s Attempt to Save Face Affects the Crude Oil Market / Commodities / Crude Oil
Well, that somebody is OPEC, and there is much more behind this development, leading to today’s discussion.
In its monthly report released on Monday, OPEC indicated it is now willing to discuss production levels with other non-OPEC countries. This is the first indication that the low crude oil price environment has been creating serious problems inside the cartel.
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Thursday, September 03, 2015
Crude Oil Price Forecast 2015 and 2016 - Video / Commodities / Crude Oil
The crude oil price has relentlessly trended lower all year to an unimaginably low price low of $37 of just a few days ago, falling from $100 a year ago. The severe bear market has not only caught many market commentators off guard but has had a devastating impact on several major economies that are heavily reliant on high oil prices such as Russia, the gulf states, and other emerging markets reliant on their energy sector tax revenues to finance state spending and of course Britain's very own Scotland that a year ago was toying with idea of committing social and economic suicide (independence referendum).
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Wednesday, September 02, 2015
Gold Coin Sales Surge 306% YoY In August, Silver Sales More Than Double / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
strong>DAILY PRICESToday’s Gold Prices: USD 1140.00, EUR 1010.73 and GBP 746.46 per ounce.
Yesterday’s Gold Prices: USD 1141.90, EUR 1012.23 and GBP 744.10 per ounce.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
OPEC Divorce And Self-Destruction Thanks To Saudi Crude Oil Strategy? / Commodities / Crude Oil
"If you are the world's leading energy economy, you produce energy, that's what you do."
"A government can stay irrational longer than it can stay solvent."
"Even in the short term, you're dead, if you commit suicide."
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Silver Price Set To Start 70s Style Rally? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
In terms of gold, silver is currently better value than at the beginning of the bull market in 2001. In November of 2001, when silver bottomed, the Gold/Silver ratio was about 66 compared to 78 today. In other words, gold has actually outperformed silver since the beginning of this precious metals bull market.
It is actually the historical norm for gold to outperform silver for most part of a bull market, except for the very last part. For example, this happened in the 70s, when gold was up on silver from the beginning of the bull market (let's say about 1971) until almost the very end (about October 1979). So, during an almost ten-year bull market, silver only overtook gold about three months before the end.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Is Crude Oil Price Bouncing Into Recovery? / Commodities / Crude Oil
The global economy has $57 trillion more debt now than it did at the last bubble peak in 2008. The energy sector alone has $248 billion in junk bond debt – some of the riskiest debt there is!Entire industries have been built upon this credit-fueled bubble, driven by the easy-money policies of central banks around the world.
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Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Gold Price Up 3.5% In August, Stocks Fall 6% to 12% / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015
DAILY PRICES
Today’s Gold Prices: USD 1141.90, EUR 1012.23 and GBP 744.10 per ounce.
Yesterday’s Gold Prices: Bank Holiday in UK
Friday’s Gold Prices: USD 1,125.50, EUR 998.23 and GBP 730.99 per ounce.
(LBMA AM)
Tuesday, September 01, 2015
Crude Oil Price Forecast 2015 and 2016 / Commodities / Crude Oil
The crude oil price has relentlessly trended lower all year to an unimaginably low price low of $37 of just a few days ago, falling from $100 a year ago. The severe bear market has not only caught many market commentators off guard but has had a devastating impact on several major economies that are heavily reliant on high oil prices such as Russia, the gulf states, and other emerging markets reliant on their energy sector tax revenues to finance state spending and of course Britain's very own Scotland that a year ago was toying with idea of committing social and economic suicide (independence referendum).
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