Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, January 29, 2016

US Mint Gold Bullion Coin Sales / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Recent years have seen countless claims that gold and silver prices have to head far lower, implying demand is low or supply is high.  But the actual data continues to prove this false, showing precious-metals bearishness is rooted in sentiment and not fundamentals.  One fascinating microcosm of gold and silver demand comes in the form of the US Mint’s sales of its popular American Eagle bullion coins.

When American investors buy physical gold and silver bullion, it’s often in the form of these American Eagle 1-ounce coins.  They have a really interesting history.  Back in the early 1980s, foreign national gold coins led by South Africa’s famous Krugerrand were soaring in popularity.  The US Congress didn’t want the States to be left out of the prestigious national-gold-coin business, so it finally acted in 1985.

Friday, January 29, 2016

The Fed’s Normalization and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The Fed hike is not the end of the world. The U.S. economy experienced many tightening cycles. Actually, many analysts are citing past rate hike environments as a guide to the future. However, three things make this tightening cycle (if there are more hikes at all) unique. First, the U.S. central bank increased interest rates when the economy is actually decelerating and the manufacturing sector is in a recession. This makes new hikes less probable, while increasing the odds for the U.S. recession in the new year. Both effects are fundamentally positive for the gold market.

Friday, January 29, 2016

Sugar Commodity Trading Sweet Tooth Pay Day! / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Chris_Vermeulen

On Wednesday Jan 27^th I wrote an article that gave you a picture perfect trade setup. The trade is on sugar or the SGG sugar ETF. As of this writing sugar is now over 10% in our favor from the original entry and trading at short term support.

This is a critical level to lock in partial profits and move your stop in the money for the balance of the trade to be safe. I just want to keep following up with this trade as many followers are in this trade with me.

Friday, January 29, 2016

US Stock Market & the Gold Sector Analysis / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

To review our stance, which is years along now, the gold sector is not going anywhere until it becomes widely accepted that developed stock markets, including and especially those in the US, are in bear cycles.  We have also drawn analogies to the Q4 2008 event that took place in what felt like a nanosecond compared to today’s long, drawn out process.  For this reason, a better ‘comp’ has been the 1999 to 2001 time frame.  That was a process as well.

Friday, January 29, 2016

Gold and Silver Price Manipulation: Can It Be Empirically Verified? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Dr Brian Lucey, Dr Jonathan Batten and Dr Maurice Peat have just published some interesting research looking at the thorny issue of whether there is manipulation of gold and silver prices.

Thursday, January 28, 2016

FOMC Dovish: Gold to Go Higher and Stocks to Bounce / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Bob_Kirtley

The worsening of financial conditions this year led markets to price in rates to remain unchanged at the January FOMC meeting, with many speculating the Fed to deliver a dovish statement. This has now been realised. Language used described that the FOMC recognised that economic activity had slowed and that inflationary pressures and expectations had “decline further”. As a result, it will now take an improvement in financial market conditions for the Fed to hike again at their next meeting, which is in March.

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Sugar Commodity Sweet Holiday Trade Is In Play & In The Money! / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As traders we are always on the hunt for new trade ideas poised and ready for big moves. And back on Dec 17^th 2015 I shared a sweet trade idea publicly on my blog and other financial websites.

If you want so see much more detailed charts and analysis from Dec 17^th visit my blog page as it paints a clear picture: http://www.thegoldandoilguy.com/a-sweet-trade-setup-for-the-holiday-season-tis-the-season/

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Will Crude Oil Prices Rebound in 2016? 60 Reasons Why Investors Should Hang On / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Inventories will continue to rise, but the momentum is slowing.
The following are some observations as to how we got here and how we're gonna get out.

9 reasons why oil has taken so long to bottom:

1. OPEC increased production in 2015 to multiyear highs, principally in Saudi Arabia and Iraq where production between the two added 1.5 million barrels per day (mb/d) to inventories after the no cut stance was adopted.

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Which Energy Companies Being Added to US Global Funds in Anticipation of an Oil Rebalance? / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: The_Energy_Report

There are still winners in the energy space, but you have to move quickly. In advance of the rebalance U.S. Global Investors CEO Frank Holmes is expecting toward the end of 2016, he and analyst Samuel Pelaez point to the sectors taking advantage of opportunities, including refiners, midstream MLPs, low-cost producers, airlines and chemical companies. In this interview with The Energy Report, they name their favorites and outline the fundamentals that will make 2016 look a lot different than the year that just ended.

The Energy Report: In a recent Frank Talk, you quoted BCA Research with a prediction that oil markets will rebalance in 2016. What is that based on?

Wednesday, January 27, 2016

Gold and Silver - There's Something Worse than Having a "Losing Position" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

David Smith writes: here's something worse than giving up at the bottom...

There's something worse than watching prices fall as you continue to add on the way down...

It's giving up "three feet from gold," when if you had just stuck it out a bit longer, things might have turned your way.

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Gold Price Revaluation Coming To $22,000 Per Ounce? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Hugo Salinas Price,  Mexican business magnate, investor, and philanthropist and the president of the Mexican Civic Association for Silver, writes today that gold will soon return to its traditional role in the international monetary system.

The current melt-down of the world’s debt bubble is likely to continue in the course of the next months and Salinas believes that the salvaging all debt and derivatives might require a gold price as high as between $22,000 and $50,000 per ounce.

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Dovish Fed to Send Gold Higher / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Sam_Kirtley

Gold and US real rates have long had an inverse relationship. Gold rallied to all-time highs while monetary policy was being made historically accommodative through quantitative easing. Then, as these measures were reduced and the Fed moved towards the beginning of a new tightening cycle a bear market in the metal began, leading the metal to almost halve from its prior highs.

Tuesday, January 26, 2016

Gold Remains Weak In This Disinflationary Environment / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: InvestingHaven

Gold is struggling. Gold bulls will tell you that the yellow metal is doing great, as it has gone up since the start of the year, while stocks and most other commodities have come down. That is obviously only part of the story. As fear among investors has exploded in recent weeks, one would expect gold’s fear trade character to manifest itself. So far, the fear trade has been contained.

Monday, January 25, 2016

Gold Price May Lead Gold Mining Stocks – Latest Research / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Dr Brian Lucey and Dr Fergal O’Connor have just published some interesting research on the correlations of the gold price and gold mining indices.

Sunday, January 24, 2016

High Food Pricing Killing Benefits of Low Energy Prices / Commodities / Food Crisis

By: Richard_Mills

Lesson Learned

One of the places the decline in the Canadian dollar is most evident is in our grocery stores.

The University of Guelph's Food Institute estimates the average Canadian household spent an additional $325 on food in 2015 with meat rising 5% and fruit and vegetable prices rising between 9.1-10.1%.

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Gold And Silver - Chart Facts Are Market's Message / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Michael_Noonan

We keep reiterating that one need not be expert, nor even conversant, in reading a chart to be able to read and appreciate how charts "talk" and reveal very clear information. Opinions are of no consequence, regardless of how strong or otherwise "informed" one is about a market.

A fact is something upon which people of diverging opinions can agree, at least within reason. Each of the following charts contains facts, and it has always been our position that the market has its own message[s] contained in price volume behavior that has a convincing element of reason, no matter what the skill level of one's ability, or lack of, to read a chart.

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Will Crude Oil Prices Rebound in 2016? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Oilprice.com recently spoke with Carl Larry, Director of Oil and Gas at Frost & Sullivan, a consultancy that conducts research on oil and gas markets, to get his thoughts on the state of oil in 2016.

Oilprice.com: I saw that you were on Bloomberg in December, and you said that you thought oil would go to the low $30s per barrel, which was a good call at the time, before OPEC would sort of relent. Do you see any chance that OPEC can actually coordinate any production cuts?

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Gold Could Lose Safe-Haven Bid as Equities Rebound / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold and Silver have held up well during the recent selloff in equities. From December 28 through Wednesday the broad NYSE lost 10.4% while the S&P 500 lost 9.6%. Precious Metals gained strength during that period. Gold advanced 3.0% while Silver gained 1.7%. Gold relative to the NYSE broke its downtrend and touched an 11-month high. Gold relative to global equities (excluding the US market) reached a 2-year high. Precious metals have clearly benefitted from the equity selloff but therefore figure to lose strength as the equity market begins a relief rally.

Saturday, January 23, 2016

Gold Will Go to $5,000 In Next Cycle... Best Time in History to Buy Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jeff_Berwick

Ed Bugos is one of the most renowned gold mining analysts in the world, with billionaires often consulting with him on prospective mines.

He’s also one of the most reclusive.  While he has been writing online since the early 2000s, he has never been recorded in an interview.  Until now!

Friday, January 22, 2016

Gold Stocks Absurd Price Levels / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold stocks remain the pariah of the investment world.  Despite gold’s strong early-year gains, the stocks of its miners have slumped to new secular lows.  This whole forsaken sector continues to languish at fundamentally-absurd price levels, an extreme anomaly that is long overdue to start unwinding.  The gold miners will be bid massively higher to reflect their impressive profitability even at today’s dismal gold prices.

Just this week, the flagship HUI gold-stock index plunged to a major new secular low.  On Tuesday as gold merely slid 0.3%, the HUI plunged 5.6% to 100.7.  This was an astounding new 13.5-year secular low, reeking of capitulation since gold’s price action certainly didn’t justify such a disastrous reaction in its miners’ stocks.  That left already epically-bearish gold-stock sentiment even worse, which is hard to believe.