Wednesday, March 22, 2017
Raising the Minimum Wage Is a Jobs Killing Move / Economics / Employment
By: David_Galland
By Stephen McBride: In January, 19 US states raised their respective minimum wages. Washington was among the most generous, hiking by $1.53 (bringing it to $11 per hour). Arizona got an increase of $1.95—their “bottom rung” now sits at $10 per hour.
In all, 4.3 million workers are slated to receive a hike as they earn less than the new minimum wage in their respective states. Well, that’s what’s meant to happen. Judging by the fallout from recent hikes, it seems things aren’t going according to plan.
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Wednesday, March 22, 2017
Potential Bottoming Patterns in Gold and Silver Precious Metals Stocks Complex... / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
By: Rambus_Chartology
There is a combo chart for the PM complex I've been following, on the short term 10 month daily look, which shows a potential H&S bottom forming. I put a neckline symmetry line on the charts to get a feel for where the low for the right shoulder may form. Some are fairly parallel to the neckline like GLD, SLV and the HUI with GDXJ and SIL being the most unparalleled. The CDNX is showing the most weakness as it probably has to do with some of the small cap energy companies.
Tuesday, March 21, 2017
UK Stagflation, Soaring Inflation CPI 2.3%, RPI 3.2%, Real 4.4% / Economics / Inflation
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The implications of sterling's sharp drop in the wake of the Brexit vote were inflationary resulting in an an increase the price of imports and therefore has been exerting upwards pressure on shop prices as suppliers restock at the worse exchange rate that already depressed retailers such as the big supermarkets had delayed fully implementing that is likely to result in a crisis for the retail sector during 2017 that literally faces a perfect storm, that could even result in a Woolworth's moment...
Tuesday, March 21, 2017
Aggressive Stock Market Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has now violated the neckline. This gives us our sell signal in SPX. Confirmation may come with the violation of the Broadening Wedge trendline at 2345.00.
Tuesday, March 21, 2017
The Demise of the Gold and Silver Bull Run is Greatly Exaggerated / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
By: Peter_Degraaf
A few analysts are once again beating the drums for much lower gold and silver prices - supposedly just around the corner. They mistake the testing of a recent breakout for a turnaround in the main trend. In the process they are sowing confusion. Here are some charts that show the main trend, along with reasons why the price of gold and silver is on track for a sharp rise, thanks to bullish fundamentals.
Tuesday, March 21, 2017
SPX turns at the half-Cycle interval / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
This morning’s action may add credence to a 43-hour decline from the 2390.01 top and the probable Master Cycle low on Friday morning, as discussed this morning. The SPX turned exactly at the 21.5 hour interval. Wave [iii] may be underway.
There is no signal from the VIX or the Hi-Lo. They will likely be in place as SPX declines through the neckline.
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Tuesday, March 21, 2017
USD Decline Continues, Pull SPX Down as well? / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
USD futures are still on the move as the dollar declined to a low of 99.59 this morning. We are still looking for the expected master Cycle low, but it is late in coming.
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Tuesday, March 21, 2017
Biotech’s had Especially Good Day on Mixed Stock Market Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started off the day with a little bit of a dip, with lower futures, and then exploded, testing the Nasdaq 100 all-time highs, but could not get through the 5427 area. The S&P 500 rallied sharply as well, but only did 50% of its drop from Friday afternoon, and then both indices rolled over sharply, reaching the Thursday’s lows on the Nasdaq 100 and the gap low on the S&P 500. Late in the day, they rallied, but in the last few minutes backed off again to close mixed on the day.
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Tuesday, March 21, 2017
How to Protect Yourself from the Looming Pension Crisis / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: John_Mauldin
Stephen McBride : Having jumped from one job to another early in life… and with those jobs being across many continents, I haven’t really given much thought to my pension. Looking at the numbers, it seems I’m not the only one. Over 50% of Americans aged 25–34 have no retirement savings. Then again, given the current state of the pension system, it may be a prudent move.
A 2015 from the National Association of State Retirement Administrators estimated that public pension funds are around $1 trillion in the red—but the problem gets worse.
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Tuesday, March 21, 2017
Trump Watershed Budget / Politics / US Politics
By: BATR
You have never seen an attempt to change direction in the Federal juggernaut, as outlined in the Trump budget to revamp discretionary spending. Bob Adelmann of The New American provides an apt appraisal in Trump’s “Blueprint” Budget Is a Policy Statement; Real Budget to Follow. For a full reading of this framework review the White House document. OMB Director Mick Mulvaney, has delivered a bold variation from the normal accommodation to the political careerists and influence peddlers.
Tuesday, March 21, 2017
SPY Flirting With Near-Term Stock Market Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Mike_Paulenoff
On Friday, the SPY closed beneath its 20-day moving average (DMA) for the first time since the Dec 28 close at 224.40, which triggered a very minor bout of weakness for two days into a Dec 30 low at 222.73 (0.93%).
Purely from a technical perspective, when the SPY closes beneath the 20 DMA, the ensuing weakness is dependent on the slope of the moving average (MA) at the time. If the MA is sloping upward, then the likelihood is that SPY will endure just a brief, shallow correction prior to a resumption of the underlying uptrend.
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Tuesday, March 21, 2017
How do Client Acquisition Offers Affect Businesses? / Companies / Business
By: Submissions
When looking to grow a business there are three key things you need to do. Get more clients, get them to visit you more often and get them to spend more each time they visit you. This principal is true for all businesses that's aim is to turn a profit.
The hardest of these three steps to achieve is arguably ‘getting more clients’. One way that a lot of businesses aim to attract more clients is with acquisition offers.
Monday, March 20, 2017
AUDUSD Elliott Wave View : 5 Waves Move / Currencies / Forex Trading
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
AUDUSD ended the correction in Intermediate wave (X) after reaching 0.7486 and then started rallying from there. With today’s new high the pair is showing 5 waves impulsive move from 03/09/2017 low and has already reached the minimum target area for Minutte wave (v) to end. The minimum target for Minutte wave (v) can be calculated as the inverse 1.236-1.618 Fibonacci extension of Minutte wave (iv) which comes at 0.7734 – .07753. Short term, an extension higher can’t be ruled out as there are still 2 other methods for calculating the 5th wave and one method of calculating (v) = (i) gives us a higher target around the equal legs area at 0.7765 – 0.7790.
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Monday, March 20, 2017
Crude Oil Price Decline Continuation / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Bob_Loukas
I like this Crude oil decline, and to date, it has been a picture perfect Cycle’s development. Members of The Financial Tap were already tracking that expectation in advance, and positioned well to take advantage. But that big decline, which started on March 7th took many by surprise, judging by the extreme (Long) positioning seen with the COT report. And if you were not already short before the move began, the speed of the decline made it nearly impossible to establish a new position thereafter.
Monday, March 20, 2017
Stock Market Long, Hot Summer / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Ed_Carlson
It looks like the Dow is due for its first major correction of 2017. While the expected downturn could be “uncomfortable” for many, it is not expected to witness the end of the secular bull market.
Lindsay’s long cycle is expected to count a 15yr interval between point A (10/10/02) and points J or H. That would place the more important high in the period from October’17 until September’18.
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Monday, March 20, 2017
Small Business Survey Says… Ignore the Hard Data at Your Peril / Economics / US Economy
By: Michael_Pento
Surveys of both consumers and businesses show there is an extreme level of confidence regarding future GDP growth. Consumer confidence is now at its highest level since 2001. Small and medium-sized business owners, the driving force of growth in the economy, appear downright giddy; as the NFIB Small Business Optimism Index recently soared to its highest level since 2004.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 20, 2017
Physical Metals Demand Plus Manipulation Suits Will Break Paper Market / Commodities / Metals & Mining
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome in Craig Hemke of the TF Metals Report. Craig runs one of the most highly respected and well known blogs in the industry and has been covering the precious metals for close to a decade now, and he puts out some of the best analysis on banking schemes, the flaws of Keynesian economics and evidence of manipulation in the gold and silver markets.
Craig, it's great to have you back and thanks for joining us again today and, how are you?
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Monday, March 20, 2017
Stock Market Uncertainty Following Interest Rate Increase - Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, March 20, 2017
No Cash ISA Season 2017 / Personal_Finance / ISA's
By: MoneyFacts
Moneyfacts UK Savings Trends Treasury Report data, yet to be published, highlights that the number of ISA products has risen to 311, marking the first time the number of ISAs has stood above 300 since September 2016. The long-term ISA rate has also risen, for the fourth consecutive month.
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Monday, March 20, 2017
Where the Fed Goes, Other Central Banks May Not Follow / Interest-Rates / Central Banks
By: STRATFOR
It has been a busy couple of days for the world's central banks. Since the U.S. Federal Reserve made its decision to hike interest rates, rate announcements have followed from the People's Bank of China, the Bank of Japan, the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of England. This confluence of activity from most of the key guardians of the global economy provides a good opportunity to take stock of where things stand.
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