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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 18, 2017

NDX/NAZ Continue downward pressure on the US Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started at SPX 2432. After a decline to SPX 2420 on Monday the market rallied to 2444 by Wednesday. The market dropped to SPX 2419 on Thursday, then rallied to 2433 to end the week. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.3%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 1.0%. Economic reports continue to be weak. On the downtick: retail sales, the CPI, business inventories, import prices, the Philly FED, capacity utilization, the NAHB, housing starts, building permits, consumer sentiment, the Q2 GDP estimate, the WLEI, and the budget deficit widened. On the uptick: the NY FED and jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by leading indicators and more housing.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 17, 2017

Crazy Charging Stocks Bull Market Random Thoughts / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Sol_Palha

In the sphere of thought, absurdity and perversity remain the masters of the world, and their dominion is suspended only for brief periods. Arthur Schopenhauer

The proverbial question for many years has always been; when will this stock market bull end? By every measure of logic and or common sense, this bull market should have crashed years ago. However, it hasn't, and much to the angst of many professionals continued its march upwards against all the odds. We would like to stop here and state that this market is now very close to trading in the extremely overbought ranges.  A market can trade in the overbought ranges for an extended period.  In this instance, we analysed monthly charts, where each bar represents a month’s worth of data. Historically, a market has experienced a correction within 5-10 months from the occurrence of this event. As of yet, the markets are not trading in the extremely overbought ranges on the monthly charts, but they are very close to moving into this zone.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 16, 2017

The Market Effects of Another Interest Rate Hike / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Donald_W_Dony

Yesterday's much anticipated Fed interest rate increase has done little to change the mood on Wall Street.

The FOMC raised the Fed Funds rate by another 25 bps on Wednesday as Fed chair Janet Yellen saw the US economy advancing at a "measured" rate.

This is the 2nd time the Fed has increased rates this year and the 3rd time in as many quarters.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 16, 2017

Here’s the Investing Reason Active Funds Can’t Beat Passive Funds—and It Worries Me a Lot / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017

By: John_Mauldin

I’ve touched on the issue of passive investing quite a few times. But this time, I want to show a few charts that illustrate the extent of the problems that are building up in the passive index world.

It is not just ETFs, but also index mutual funds and the enormous amount of pension and insurance funds, along with many trust funds, that are passively invested directly in stocks. They simply duplicate indexes.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 15, 2017

Counting Down the LAST DAYS of the Stocks Bull Market, at FIVE degrees of trend! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: market topping process ongoing
Wave Structure: Impulsive 5 wave structure, possibly topping in an all time high.
Long term wave count: Topping in wave (5)
Important risk events: USD: Unemployment Claims, Empire State Manufacturing Index.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 15, 2017

The Retail Sector Downfall We Saw Coming / Stock-Markets / Retail Sector

By: Harry_Dent

It’s like a scene out of “Resident Evil.”

Sheets of newspaper scratch along the dusty linoleum floor as the wind beats them into the remnants of a bench… or through the open glass door and into the darkened, empty space beyond.

Escalators haven’t run in decades.

The air itself looks dusty.

Could this really be the future of the American mall?
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Stock-Markets

Thursday, June 15, 2017

With This Extent of Passive Investing, Even a Minor Correction Will Be Disastrous / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017

By: John_Mauldin

Last week, Doug Kass sent around an e-mail comparing today’s markets to Queen’s classic “Bohemian Rhapsody.” I know that seems odd, but it was actually a good fit.

The point is that, like the song says, “Nothing really matters” to whoever is buying stocks these days.

They just keep buying and pushing prices higher. Stock prices do go higher in a bull market, and sometimes, as the end approaches, they make value investors very uncomfortable.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 14, 2017

Ultra-low Stock Market Volatility #ThisTimeIsDifferent / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Axel_Merk

We increasingly see claims low volatility in the markets may be structural. Even as we agree that some of the analyses we see make good points, we are concerned we may be setting ourselves up for a major shock. Let me explain.

Before getting into the details about the current environment, let me make some general observations. In my experience, complacency, with its cousin low volatility, is the best bubble indicator I am aware of. Perceived safety gets investors to pile into investments that they later regret. When it happens on a massive scale, major market distortions may be created that can lead to financial crises. And as the tech bubble that burst in 2000 shows, even if there is no systemic risk, the unwinding can be most painful to investors. In 2008, however, the perception that home prices always had to rise had become engrained in highly levered, yet illiquid, financial instruments, causing the unwinding to bring the global financial system to its knees. In our assessment, however, make no mistake about it: assuming for a moment the next crash won't take down a major bank, doesn't imply it cannot wipe out much more of your wealth than you ever anticipated.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 14, 2017

US Dollar Acceleration Phase is Dead Ahead! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: N/A. USD: CPI m/m, Retail Sales m/m, Crude Oil Inventories, FOMC Statement, Federal Funds Rate, FOMC Press Conference.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 14, 2017

Here’s Why Market Deregulation Will Be Bad For Stocks / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation

By: John_Mauldin

BY PATRICK WATSON : Deregulation was one of President Trump’s top campaign promises. Expectations for it helped spark a post-election stock rally that boosted highly regulated sectors like banking and biotech.

I’ve thought all along people expected too much. Presidents don’t get a magic wand on Inauguration Day, and they can’t bring on major change just by talking about it.

Now, formerly bullish investors and business leaders are starting to curb their enthusiasm.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, June 14, 2017

Stock Market Tech Shakeout! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.

SPX Intermediate trend: Correction over. May be heading for about 2500, or fall slightly short of it.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 13, 2017

How One Forecasting Tool Defied the Stocks Bull Market Naysayers / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: EWI

Three compelling Elliott wave charts lay it all out

The Elliott wave model often indicates a stock market outlook that's at odds with the sentiment of the crowd.

But, that's okay. The crowd is usually wrong at major market turns.

For example, two years ago on May 9, 2015, the bull market was six years old
and the third longest in history. A few days earlier, CNN Money said:

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 13, 2017

Goldman Sachs Crashes Tech FANG Stocks! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Last Friday June 9th, 2017, Robert Bouroujerdi, a Goldman Sachs analyst, “warned that the $600 billion outperformance by the 5 biggest tech stocks known as ‘FAAMG’ — Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft and Alphabet — had contributed about 42 percent of all stock market gains over the last year. Goldman worries that the boom has created an “valuation air-pocket,” similar to the ridiculously high valuations for tech stocks during the Dot-Com boom.”

Goldman Sachs comments “market’s over-reliance on FAAMG for growth and appreciation has created positioning extremes, factor crowding and difficult-to-decipher risk narratives.”

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 13, 2017

Stock Market Long-term Elliott Wave View / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I am sending the charts in landscape to capture as much detail as possible. Wave [5] has been a stretch of 506 days, approximately 2.8 times the time of Wave [1]. By stretching, it gave us 17.2 years from high to high in this Super Cycle.

Wave [5] was 636.10 points, while Wave [1] was 347.61 points. Wave [5] was 2.81 times the size of Wave [1] in days.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 13, 2017

Manipulated and Made-up Markets / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: Michael_Pento

The economic ruse that is run by Communist China is growing bigger by the day. The formula behind what has been the Great Red Engine of global growth is really very simple: Print new money and funnel it through the state-owned banking system in order to entice businesses and individuals to incur a debilitating amount of non-productive debt.

Historically speaking, countries that have utilized this ersatz form of economics have suffered a currency and bond market crisis. But the command and control government of China always seems to be one step ahead of the laws of economics; and has been able to defer the inevitable day of reckoning due to its large currency reserves.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 12, 2017

3 Charts That Show How Stock Market is“Enormously Overvalued” / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

Last week in Outside the Box (my free newsletter for investors), Jim Mellon shared some good advice on picking stocks in the Age of the Index Fund. Jim said,

[C]ommitted investors should make a list of companies that they really like, know about, and want to own—at the right price. If the shares of those firms are too high, put in limits, possibly 20–30% below current levels, and wait. Don’t let cash burn a hole in your pocket—let the stocks come to you, and don’t chase.

Within a day of publishing Jim’s piece, my friend Vitaliy Katsenelson’s quarterly letter to clients landed in my inbox, and I thought it would make a good follow-up to Jim’s article.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, June 12, 2017

India Stock Market Nifty-NSE Next Warning Area for Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: ElliottWave-Forecast

In June 2015, we mentioned that Nifty-NSE from India was in a warning area for the bulls and a larger correction was expected to take place. Over the next 12 months, Nifty lost 25% dropping from a high of 9119.20 on 3.4.2015 to a low of 6825 on 2.29.2016. However, as we keep mentioning World Indices trend remains up and dips are nothing more than buying opportunity in the right areas, so this dip in this Indian Index was another buying opportunity in the blue box between 7459 – 6721.
Nifty-NSE buying area down from 3.4.2015 peak

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, June 12, 2017

Will Technology Stocks Sell-Off Drive Stock Market Lower? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Paul_Rejczak

Our intraday outlook is now bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 12, 2017

Active Trader Predicts Stock Market Vix Spike & Nasdaq Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Chris_Vermeulen

A potential increase in risk may create massive opportunities for investors.

Throughout our ongoing analysis of the US markets, metals, energy and other market sectors, one thing we have seen over and over is that markets can, and often do, develop longer term trends than most people believe are possible or believable.

Recently, numerous analysts have been warning of potential “critical crashes” and “deep retracements” because of the fear that this rally is nearing some type of end cycle.  We believe the charts tell the story of the investor sentiment and that, at some point in the future, these predictions may become true – but not today.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 11, 2017

Stock Market Bubble Watch: We’ve Passed 2007 and Are Closing In on 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Graham_Summers

We continue to see articles and comments in the financial media proclaiming that stocks are not in a bubble.

The people claiming this are either delusional or intentionally lying.

Most people would argue that Warren Buffett knows a thing or two about investing. He’s possibly the single most famous investor of all time and is widely thought to be one of the greatest, if not THE greatest investor in history.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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