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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 05, 2013

VIX Master Cycle Low Means Falling Stock Prices Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

For most of the year, I believed that the March 15 low was the low for the year. It may remain the low for 2013, but a possibility exists that it may not be.

Let me explain.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 05, 2013

ObamaCare and Inflation to the Stock Markets Rescue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Michael_Pento

The market averages continue to set record highs, as investors are forced by the Fed into stock market speculation due to artificially-suppressed interest rates. But neither our central bank nor corporate measures deployed solely to increase earnings per share while ignoring revenue declines (see IBM's announcement of a stock buyback) can hide the fact that the underlying economic growth is deteriorating.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 04, 2013

Stock Market Pop-n-Drop? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

TNX is pulling back from its impulsive high this morning. The pattern may not be complete to the upside, but there certainly is room for a short reprieve from time to time. The Cycles Model suggests that Treasuries may decline through Thanksgiving before a turn higher.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 04, 2013

How to Become Your Own Central Bank / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013

By: Money_Morning

Central banks may have foolish policies, but central bankers are no dummies.

They know exactly what they're doing. They even comprehend a few of the implications, too.

Which is why it's interesting that some American central bankers have suggested doing away with the debt ceiling altogether.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 04, 2013

Have We Reached the Stocks Bull Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - SPX initial top in place.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 04, 2013

SP500, NAS Stock Market New Highs v Your Individual Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

Markets tend to rally during the last two months of the year, but like the indexes, that is a statement of averages, and averages do not always tell the whole story. It is not a secret that the Lying Ben schemers have been responsible for propping up the volume- deficient, individual-investor-absent stock market. What is of critical importance for any investor is to measure his/her portfolio against the overall market.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 03, 2013

Easy Money, Excess Liquidity, Anatomy of Market Bubbles and Crashes / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: John_Mauldin

John (Note to readers: A small number of readers reported receiving a blank email of today's Thoughts from the Frontline, and so we decided to resend the letter in order to ensure that all readers were getting it.)

The difference between genius and stupidity is that genius has its limits. – Albert Einstein

Genius is a rising stock market. – John Kenneth Galbraith

Any plan conceived in moderation must fail when circumstances are set in extremes. – Prince Metternich

You can almost feel it in the fall air (unless you are in the Southern Hemisphere). The froth and foam on markets of all shapes and sizes all over the world. It is an exhilarating feeling, and the pundits who populate the media outlets are bubbling over with it. There is nothing like a rising market to help lift our mood. Unless of course, as Prof. Kindleberger famously cautioned (see below), we are not participating in that rising market. Then we feel like losers. But what if the rising market is … a bubble? Are we smart enough to ride and then step aside before it bursts? Research says we all think that we are, yet we rarely demonstrate the actual ability.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 03, 2013

Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week by making new all time highs everyday until the FED concluded its FOMC meeting. Then after hitting SPX 1775 earlier that morning the market pulled back for the rest of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.15%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.30%, and the DJ World index was -0.60%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced negative ones 9 to 6. On the uptick: industrial production, capacity utilization, Case-Shiller, business inventories, the CPI, the Chicago PMI, ISM manufacturing, the monetary base and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: pending home sales, retail sales, the PPI, consumer confidence, the ADP and the WLEI. Next week we try again for Q3 GDP (est. +1.9% to 2.4%), monthly Payrolls and PCE prices.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 02, 2013

Explanation for the Upward Tilt of US stock PE Ratios / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of  writes: One of my whip-smart readers, Cathy Leow, wrote in a really interesting take to explain the gradual and undeniable upward tilt for the PE ratios of US stocks in recent years. Cathy was formerly an economist and then a grains trader, she's been analyzing and investing in the equity markets since 2005.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, November 02, 2013

Stock Market Ends Week Fractionally Off its All Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: The S&P 500 began the month with a daily gain of 0.29%, snapping a two-day decline and salvaging a small weekly gain of 0.11%. The high point of the week, and I mean literally, was Tuesday’s all-time closing high at 1,771.95, a level that was briefly surpassed shortly after Wednesday’s open, which was the first of the modest two-day mid-week slump. Today’s economic news was light, although the 10 AM better-than-expected ISM Manufacturing report assisted the index in reaching its 0.52% intraday high about 5 minutes later. Next week will bring us some major economic updates, most notably the first estimate of Q3 GDP, Personal Incomes and Outlays and the Employment Report for October.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 01, 2013

It’s Still Too Early To Worry About the Fed Tapering / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Sy_Harding

Fed tapering will be a legitimate worry in a few months, but should not be yet.

Analysts and economists have been concerned for almost five years now about how Fed Chairman Bernanke would ever be able to manage a successful exit from the Fed’s massive QE stimulus efforts.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 01, 2013

Fiat Monkees and Golden Beatles / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: John_Mauldin

By Grant Williams

Madness!! Auditions. Folk & Roll Musicians-Singers for acting roles in new TV series. Running Parts for 4 insane boys, age 17-21. Want spirited Ben Frank's types. Have courage to work. Must come down for interview.

On September 8-10, 1965, this ad appeared in the Hollywood Reporter and Daily Variety, as two aspiring filmmakers, Bob Rafelson and Bert Schneider, inspired by what was to become one of the best and most influential musical films of all time, set about trying to cast the leads in a television show about four crazy kids living the rock 'n' roll lifestyle that the protagonists in the aforementioned film had made so appealing to the masses.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 01, 2013

Essential Investor Strategy for Profit & Protection / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“Facebook creates less business value than any other digital marketing opportunity ... [so] ... Don’t dedicate a paid ad budget for Facebook…

“We asked 395 executives from the US, the UK, and Canada how satisfied they were with the business value they get from 13 different online marketing sites and tactics. You’d expect a site boasting the largest audience and the biggest collection of data to fare well. But we found that Facebook offered less value than anything else on our list .... The least valuable tactic within Facebook? Those paid ads onto which Facebook has shifted focus.”

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 01, 2013

Huge Cracks In US Financial Fortress, Petro-Dollar Final Death Throes / Stock-Markets / US Dollar

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Many analyst writers choose the Black Swan analogy to describe deeply ominous events in progress, with little forward notice. The analogy simply does not fit anymore, as an armada of black swans is more appropriate, spotted on regular and frequent sightings. The Jackass preference is to describe a series of major cracks in the financial fortress that defends the USDollar system and its decrepit USTreasury Bond shuttle buggy. The vehicle is overloaded with supply and bereft of investors, upheld by a printing press, explained by pure heresy. Its derivative coil on the undercarriage axel system is broken from the overdone leverage and hidden machinations. The integrity of the USD/USTB brand name was cast off the American coat of arms along with the Lehman Brothers killing to save Goldman Sachs, the adoption of Fannie Mae to conceal the fraud, and the AIG to contain the derivative payouts. The October Hat Trick Letter explains the Wall Street saga behind the scenes on the GSax rescue, managed by the USDept Treasury office. The US financial fortress died in September 2008, when the Jackass made the USGovt debt default forecast. What has happened in the following long five years has been an incredibly prolonged and desperate attempt, its creativity recognized, to extend life support to a corpse beset by necrosis and sclerosis, whose blood has turned toxic, lacking any oxygen (capital). The US nation has lost its way, no longer capable of comprehending capitalism. Its policy initiatives actively destroy precious capital on the banker altar, celebrating the dark side with celebrations of fire. The emaciated body economic is being prepared to be handled by the JPMorgue for processing.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 01, 2013

Stocks Secular Bull and Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: Was the March 2009 low the end of a secular bear market and the beginning of a secular bull? Without crystal ball, we simply don’t know.

One thing we can do is examine the past to broaden our understanding of the range of possibilities. An obvious feature of this inflation-adjusted is the pattern of long-term alternations between up-and down-trends. Market historians call these “secular” bull and bear markets from the Latin word saeculum “long period of time” (in contrast to aeternus “eternal” — the type of bull market we fantasize about).

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 01, 2013

QE Causing Bubbles in Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: InvestmentContrarian

Sasha Cekerevac writes: As most readers know, I have been calling for a reduction in the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing (QE) program for some time. My worry has been that the current level of quantitative easing is not doing much to help Main Street, and it is building potentially dangerous risks to our economy over the long term.

I’m worried about the future of this country, and yes, even my investments. I don’t want my hard-earned wealth to disappear due to mistakes made by the Federal Reserve in continuing to pump quantitative easing.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 31, 2013

Protect Your Money From U.S. Debt Crisis / Stock-Markets / US Debt

By: EWI

Dear Reader

Ever heard of a wedding crasher? You know -- that distant “cousin” who shows up uninvited, hangs around the open bar all night, chugs down double-everythings and falls on his butt on the dance floor -- all before mysteriously vanishing and leaving his night of indulgence on the father of the bride’s tab.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 31, 2013

How Can We Have Record Bad Loans And Record Excess Liquidity At The Same Time? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013

By: Raul_I_Meijer

We can read these days that Spain has come out of its recession. The Bank of Spain reported last week that GDP expanded by 0.1% in Q3. But in a country with 26% unemployment and 55% youth unemployment, such statements are devoid of any real meaning. They're mere technicality niceties. Because if anything screams recession, it's those kinds of unemployment numbers. Moreover, where do you think that 0.1%, even it you would take it seriously, came from? It's really not that hard. Spain’s return to growth is due to a 15% fall in labour costs since the 2008 financial crisis. In other words: the rich side of the economy gets to look good at the expense of the poor side. A global phenomenon.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 31, 2013

Who Needs God, When We Have Money Printing Bankers / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Doug_Wakefield

The snooze button; what a great invention. When you have awakened from a deep sleep, and know you can get ready in less time, just hit the snooze button. You know it will still awaken you for your test or to get ready for your 8:00 flight, but in the meantime, you can enjoy a few more moments of precious sleep.

However, if you keep hitting snooze and fail to look at the time, you can also awaken to find that the extra sleep has now placed you in a position where you missed the final exam or your flight. The rewards for a few extra moments of sleep have suddenly become very costly.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 31, 2013

Inflation Stealth Taxes Consume Stock Market Gains and Retirement Plans / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Dan_Amerman

What if bottom line investment results for a nation as a whole were very different than the great majority of investors understood? What if most long term investment plans were based on what could be quite easily shown to be "bad information"?

These questions may seem a little difficult to accept, because clearly, with the continuous stream of news, commentary and analysis about investment markets that are available 24/7 in newspapers, magazines, blogs and cable business news – such a discrepancy couldn't exist.

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