Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, June 29, 2013
Stock Market SPX Kiss of Death / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
SPX made an irregular Wave [b] below support this morning with a retest of support-turned-resistance. A turn-down here is literally the “kiss of death” for the rally. In this case, we would not want to see SPX retesting the 50-day moving average, since it is still rising. However, the Short-term resistance and Lip of the Cup with Handle formation serve as a proxy.
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Friday, June 28, 2013
Federally Funded Stock Market – Jawbones and Asses / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Wheeeee, what a ride!
The Federal Reserve giveth and they taketh away and they giveth again, and taketh some more. Remember when the markets were ruled by sales and profits? Me either… As Dave Fry points out, the key turning point came on Wednesday, when usually bearish Lacker said he didn’t see the Fed as “anywhere near cutting balance sheet size” and “maybe markets got a little bit ahead of us on QE." He is also “fine with FOMC tapering QE now” or at any time evidently, but he’s a team player.
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Friday, June 28, 2013
You Can Still Make Big Money in This Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: This weekend my family and I were checking out a local bookstore when I came across a magazine called The Intelligent Optimist. I would have bought it but I doubt it’s any good. (That’s a joke. Think about it.)
But a long-term investor is an intelligent optimist – and in this market, that’s not any easy thing to be.
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Thursday, June 27, 2013
SPX Turns Whilst Gold GLD ETF Burns the Buy-the-Dippers / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
SPX had the pop-n-drop, as suggested. It stopped at the final double resistance area as well. Something needs to jolt investors out of their reverie, since the outlook is overwhelmingly bullish. I don’t expect equities to linger at their highs.
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Thursday, June 27, 2013
Stock Market Pop-n-Drop? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Sometimes analyzing very short-term charts can be misleading. For example, an a-b-c formation often subdivides so that Wave a also is an a-b-c. That is what appears to have happened at yesterday’s close.
The hourly charts often show the most granularity, since they also show support and resistance, while smaller degree charts only show wave structure.
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Thursday, June 27, 2013
Fed or Fundementals Driving Stock Market Moves? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Gary Gately writes: What's driving the stock market - the Fed or company fundamentals?
The answer, of course, depends whom you ask.
Has most or all of the growth in the market over the past few years been due to the Fed's massive QE easy money stimulus?
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Thursday, June 27, 2013
Marc Faber Forecasts 30% Stock Market Crash, Says Buy Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Dr. Marc Faber, the Swiss fund manager and publisher of the 'Gloom, Boom and Doom Report' always enjoys illuminating the Wall St. talking heads and displaying his awesome command of numbers, dates and predictions.
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Thursday, June 27, 2013
How to Profit From the Fed-Induced Stocks and Bonds Sell-off / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Alexander Green writes: The markets have reeled in reaction to news that the Federal Reserve intends to end its $85 billion-a-month bond-buying program by the middle of next year.
Let’s take a look at why this is happening and how you should play it now.
For the past several years, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has helped goose the economy (and stock and bond markets) by keeping short-term rates near zero and – through the Fed’s bond-buying program – long-term rates artificially low.
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Thursday, June 27, 2013
Going Dark! Economic Cycles Point Downward, Stocks Bear Markets / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Unsustainable trends can survive much longer than most people anticipate, but they do end when their “time is up” – at the culmination of their time cycles. Examples of these trends include deficit spending, exponential debt increases, overpriced bond markets, and unbacked paper currencies, to name a few. For perspective on how and when these trends could change direction, we analyzed more than 20 different cycles. They nearly unanimously point to tectonic shifts in the months and years ahead. We have been warned!
At this point, we have enough confirmation to accept that the precious metals crash – starting in April of 2013 – was the first warning of what is coming globally.
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Wednesday, June 26, 2013
Japan Nikkei Stock Market Today Parallels Dot-Com Bust - The Sock Puppet Kabuki / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
The Japanese stereotype of excessive courtesy is being confirmed by the actions of prime minster Shinzo Abe who is giving the world a free and timely lesson on the dangers of overly accommodative monetary policy. Whether or not we benefit from the tutorial (Japan will surely not) depends on our ability to understand what is currently happening there.
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Wednesday, June 26, 2013
US Dollar Holds the Key for Stocks and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
The weekly chart below (courtesy stockcharts.com) is significant for two reasons:
1. The US Dollar is “supposed” to move inversely to the gold price.
2. It is showing a broadening (megaphone) formation against a background of a collapsing gold price.
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Wednesday, June 26, 2013
Changes in the Chinese Economy That Will Alter Your Investment Strategy / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Sasha Cekerevac writes: We are all aware that the global economy is still relatively stagnant, running below optimal gross domestic product (GDP) levels. Specifically, the Chinese economy is not only experiencing a slowdown in growth, but also a liquidity crunch.
One of my concerns regarding the Chinese economy over the past couple of years has been the rampant increase in credit and loose lending standards. Because the Chinese economy has become such an integral part of the global economy, if imbalances within that nation aren’t addressed, this will lead to further speculative boom-and-bust cycles.
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Wednesday, June 26, 2013
Stock Market Ready for Liquidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
George Leong writes: I advise you to look at buying stocks—but not quite yet; the time for buying hasn’t arrived. Just like a fire or liquidation sale at a retailer, the best buying opportunity in the stock market is when the discounts are at their heaviest. We’re not at that point yet.
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Wednesday, June 26, 2013
5 Ways You'll Lose Money in the Next 5 years / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Richard Moyer writes: We live in strange times. There are unimaginable amounts of money at stake, and someone is going to lose big, and that someone could be you. Here are the biggest risks that I see on the horizon.
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Tuesday, June 25, 2013
Warning China’s “Lehman” Moment Could Cause Another 2008 Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
The global Central Banks are in damage control mode.
The big story here is China, which is fast approaching its “Lehman” moment with interbank liquidity drying up rapidly and overnight rates are soaring.
As I’ve warned Private Wealth Advisory subscribers before, China’s shadow banking system equal to over $18 trillion (more than 200% of China’s GDP), so this could be the mother of all bubbles bursting.
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Tuesday, June 25, 2013
Kress Cycle Market Deflation Pressure Increases / Stock-Markets / Deflation
To many observers, deflation was a thing of the past in the wake of the QE3. The Fed’s asset purchases, which drove down bond yields to record lows, were thought to have tamed the global deflationary problem once and for all. What they didn’t count on was the floodtide of deflation breaking through the dikes and barriers carefully constructed by the world’s central banks.The increasing deflationary pressure is most visible in Europe and Asia but will soon wash up on U.S. shores in the near future. A general deflationary trend is already visible in equity markets in several major countries, a consequence of the final descent of the 120-year Kress cycle. As that cycle approaches its final bottom in late 2014 we can expect to see an increase in some of the problems we’re just starting to see right now in the global economy.
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Tuesday, June 25, 2013
Gold Miners, Natural Gas, SP500 Trades for July – Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
This video shows potential big money making trades for July for Gold stocks, natural gas and the stock market.
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Tuesday, June 25, 2013
China Stock Market 400-Point Flip-Flop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The worst is now past.
That's the word from an HSBC economist after the PBOC's Ling Tao assures the bank will keep money-market rates "within reasonable ranges." The People’s Bank of China has provided liquidity to some financial institutions to stabilize money market rates and will use short-term liquidity operation and standing lending facility tools to ensure steady markets, according to a statement posted to its website today. It also called on commercial banks to improve their liquidity management.
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Tuesday, June 25, 2013
Why the Stock Market Is Doomed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
One of the myths of economics is that markets are rational. Theories are based on this assumption, and the belief that markets are rational fuels the argument against regulation. The market response to the Federal Reserve’s June 19 statement that it will taper off its bond purchases if its forecast comes true is unequivocal proof that markets are irrational.
The Federal Reserve’s statement that it “currently anticipates that it would be appropriate to moderate the monthly pace of purchases [of bonds] later this year” depends on a very big if. The if is the correctness of the Fed’s forecast of moderate economic growth and employment gains.
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Tuesday, June 25, 2013
S&P Stock Index Trying To Hold On To 1576..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
We closed at 1573, thus, that really is a hold for now. It doesn't look too promising in terms of holding too much longer but the bulls did fight back some today from the breakdown. The S&P 500 fell hard and lost 1576 with force but again, did manage to come back late and hold for the most part. The reason we most likely held wasn't anything bullish in nature. The reality is it was most likely caused by oversold short-term charts on the S&P 500. Dow and Nasdaq. In addition, some leading stocks, which have been crushed recently, hit 30 RSI on their daily charts and that hasn't happened in a very long time. This brought in some bottom fishers expecting a bounce off of oversold not seen in some time.
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