Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, March 07, 2013
Is China the Biggest Bubble in Human History? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Bill_Bonner
Dow up 125 points yesterday, to a new all-time record.
Why? What's behind it? The economy is not so hot. Why the red-hot stock market?
China is back in the news. A new report from CBS's "60 Minutes" documents the extent of the ghost cities in China – miles and miles of empty highway, office towers, apartments and malls. Analysts are talking about the biggest real estate bubble in history!
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Thursday, March 07, 2013
Gold Pivot Points and the Dow's Future / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
The Dow reached an all-time high of 14,253 on Tuesday and naturally, the financial press drew lots of attention to this fact. Conspicuously absent from the media attention, however, was a complete lack of enthusiasm. The perma-bull cheering section was eerily quiet as widespread apathy was evident. This continues a trend of muted investor psychology which, from a contrarian standpoint, is refreshing given how far the market has come since November.
Thursday, March 07, 2013
Stock Market Inching Higher on Dull Volume / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. Today was another day with little economic news other than the 8:30 AM ADP private jobs report that surprised to the upside with an estimate of 198K new jobs. The S&P 500 rallied at the open and hit its intraday high less than 30 minutes later, up 0.35%. It reversed directions in a fairly narrow channel to its intraday low, off 0.11%, shortly after 12:00. An afternoon rally lost steam at a level just below the morning high. In the final hour of trading the index essentially bounced off its opening price 15 minutes before the close, rising to a 0.11% gain for the day … fractional, but still a new interim high.
Wednesday, March 06, 2013
First Record Dow High, Then Record Gas And Grocery Prices / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: Jeff_Berwick
Gary Gibson writes: Ben Bernanke must have been smirking and nodding smugly all day yesterday. The Dow hit an all-time high at 14,286 and closed at 14,253.77. What's even more impressive is that this is double where the Dow stood just four years ago. And it only took five and a half years and previously unmatched amounts of new money creation to do it.
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Wednesday, March 06, 2013
Stock Market Final Spike Top? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is preparing for what may be its final probe at the Broadening Top trendline before a reversal today. At the moment,, the top appears to be near 1547.00. If the top comes in the first hour, it may be shorter. Later in the day, a bit higher.
Today is day 275 in the aging Master Cycle. The Master Cycle low may come rather quickly. There is only 1 nest of 37,000 SPX put contracts at 1450.00, so there may be little fear of a decline into options week.
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Wednesday, March 06, 2013
Stock Market Final Stages of Rally Wave Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: David_Banister
Over at our TheMarketTrendForecast.com service we have been projecting a potential rally pivot at 1552-1576 for many weeks now. The recent drop to 1485 although harrowing, was a normal fibonacci re-tracement of the last major rally leg to 1531 pivot highs. We believe that this 5 wave advance 1343 pivot lows is nearing an end based on mathematics and relationships to prior waves 1-3.
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Wednesday, March 06, 2013
Dow Stock Market New All Time High, Exponential Inflation and Multiple Technological Revolutions / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market has continued to confound the academic proponents of the the debt deflation mantra who have in perfect perma bear style been banging their heads continuously against a four year stealth bull market that has marched all the way to an new NEW All Time Closing High of DJIA 14,253.77.
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Tuesday, March 05, 2013
This "Rocket Fuel" Will Send Stocks Higher Than Anyone Believes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: As of this year, we've been handed the playbook...
We know the plays. We know what the other team is going to do. And we know how they're going to do it – almost exactly.
As I showed you yesterday, when interest rates are low, stocks tend to increase in value. Based on history, with interest rates this low, stocks have room to climb nearly 100% from today's levels.
Tuesday, March 05, 2013
The Inflation Secrets Your Broker Won’t Tell You About / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: Graham_Summers
The US Government and the US Federal Reserve downplay the threat of inflation. There are two primary reasons for this:
1) Acknowledging higher inflation would mean both revising GDP growth much lower (last quarter’s FDP growth would have been negative 1% if you accounted for the real increase in costs of living).
2) One of the primary arguments the Fed uses for why it can print hundreds of billions of Dollars without hurting consumers it because inflation remains “contained” or “transitory.”
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Tuesday, March 05, 2013
Dollar and Bonds, Why Deflation Wins! / Stock-Markets / Deflation
By: Robert_M_Williams
Yesterday I discussed the possibility that the US economy has slipped into a deflationary morass and I seemed to have touched a nerve. As a result I want to continue discussing the idea that deflation, not inflation, now has the upper hand in the US economy. We all know that the Fed has been easing since 2009, and it recently raised the bar to include US $85 billion/month in bond purchases. As a result the Fed balance sheet is now filled with US $3.078 trillion in assets of dubious quality. I maintain that little or none of that liquidity has filtered out into the real economy, you and I, and as proof I told you to look at this chart of the Velocity of Money:
Tuesday, March 05, 2013
Striking Similarity to the 2000 Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
I thought I would share what my Cycle Clock is revealing. Essentially it is telling me that the fractal in the SPX is very similar to that of the SPX/NDX in early 2000. While there are many differences, I am referring to the striking similarities in the highs and lows of these two separate fractals.
The high on February 19 matches up precisely with the high on March 24, 2000 in the SPX. Likewise, today’s high also matches up with the April 10 high, just before the 4-day decline into the April 17 low.
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Tuesday, March 05, 2013
Stock Market Consolidation Nearing End, Selling to Resume With Enthusiasm / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Sideways consolidations are no fun, but they tend to break hard once they are over. It appears that the SPX is in the final throes of consolidation, so don’t get caught unprepared. It may go a bit higher, but the level to watch is today’s low at 1512.29. Once below that, the selling should resume with more enthusiasm. The VIX is finding support at its 50-day moving average, so even though its is at its daily low, it appears that the turn is also near.
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Monday, March 04, 2013
Stock Market Could Be Starting the Best Three-Year Run We've Ever Seen / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: I believe the stock market could rise 95% in the next three years. But if you position yourself correctly, you could make much more than that...
This isn't just hopeful thinking on my part. It's based on rational thought... backed up by a mountain of data and experience from my lifetime of investing.
Monday, March 04, 2013
Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: “The warnings are out there, but no one is listening, they just don’t want to know.” / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Garry_Abeshouse
“The warnings are out there, but no one is listening, they just don’t want to know.”
I can’t think of a better introduction to these pages than the single sentence directly above. Denial is easy. Ignoring history is easy. But evading the financial iceberg that lies in wait for the unwary is going to be hard. In fact nothing about economics and financial markets is easy. Fragmented by opinions, emotions and fraud, ignored by denial and distorted by time, much of economic history lies there just beneath the surface ripples, “representing all the sins we never had the courage to admit to and the all the lies we were never forced to face”.
Monday, March 04, 2013
Stock Market Ending, Major Top Approaching / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Darah_Bazargan
The individual stocks of the equities market are no longer keeping pace with the broad averages. A vast number of these stocks have faltered because the trend itself has become ever more selective. What initially started as a robust, broad based rally is now narrow; and can only be supported by a handful of stocks.
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Sunday, March 03, 2013
Gold, Crude Oil and Stock Market SPX Trade Setups / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past year my long term trends and outlooks have not changed for gold, oil or the SP500. Though there has been a lot of sideways price action to keep everyone one their toes and focused on the short term charts.We all know that if the market does not shake you out, it will wait you out, and sometimes it will even do both at the same time. So stepping back to review the bigger picture each week is crucial in keeping a level trading/investing strategy in motion.
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Sunday, March 03, 2013
The True Cost of the Current U.S. Federal Reserve Easy Money Stance / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: InvestmentContrarian
Sasha Cekerevac writes: Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke testified in front of Congress and faced a barrage of questions and criticisms regarding the central bank’s monetary policy initiative.
There are a growing number of critics voicing their concerns over the current monetary policy path set forth by the Federal Reserve. These critics aren’t only independent analysts such as myself, (I have been writing articles on the topic for some time now, including the article “Current Monetary Policy Unsustainable”), but economists who have worked closely with the Federal Reserve in the past.
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Sunday, March 03, 2013
U.S. Stock Market Uptrend May be Ending / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another volatile week, as volatility has picked up since the SPX closed at 1531 a week ago tuesday. Since that close the SPX traded to 1497 last thursday, 1526 on monday, 1485 on tuesday, 1525 on thursday, and 1501 on friday. Two percent swings in a matter of days, when during most of February we were barely seeing 1.5% swings in a week. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.40%, and the NDX/NAZ were +0.35%. Asian markets were +0.9%, European markets were -0.4%, and the DJ World index was flat. On the economic front positive reports outnumbered negative reports 12 to 5. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, FHFA housing index, new/pending home sales, consumer confidence/sentiment, Q4 GDP, Chicago PMI, personal spending, PCE prices, ISM manufacturing and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: durable goods orders, personal income, construction spending, new home prices and the WLEI. New week we get reports on ISM services, the FED’s Beige book, and monthly Payrolls. Best to your week.
Saturday, March 02, 2013
Fifty Trades of Grey - Investment, Temptation, Addiction, and the Cost of Money / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: John_Mauldin
I get so much broker research that I must admit I don’t usually read it or do so really fast. But the headline above caught my eye, and the piece turned out to be such a fun read, as well as truly thought-provoking and insightful, that I’ve made it today’s Outside the Box. The personalization of a “relationship” with the Fed gives us a decidedly delicious way to think about QE!
Saturday, March 02, 2013
The Stock Market Pullback / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Jack_Steiman
The pullback was on. The market was falling very hard a few minutes after a small gap down had occurred. This was a follow-through, something we hadn't seen in a long time, from yesterday's late selling once the negative divergences kicked in. The Dow fell one-hundred points very late in the day yesterday, and, thus, one would have had to expect a follow-through today. So once it came on this morning, the question was how deep was this going to go. The Dow down over one-hundred points and then the much anticipated ISM Manufacturing Report came out thirty minutes into the trading session. The number was a shock and it was spectacular!Read full article... Read full article...