Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, February 03, 2011
Danger of E.U. and North Africa Bank Runs 2011 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2011
By: Gordon_T_Long
This is a warning to prepare for potential stealth bank runs cascading from North Africa and Ireland through to EU regional banking centers.
Stealth bank runs are the unrecognized and perilous serpent lurking presently below the European financial surface. They prey on slower moving archaic bond vigilantes and anyone else swimming in these dangerous uncharted waters.
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Thursday, February 03, 2011
Capital Leaving Middle East Looking For Safe Havens In Hard Assets and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Jeb_Handwerger
Last week I warned of a flare-up in Egypt and a reversal in oil and gold. The media are transmitting pictures of street scenes in Egypt that for the most part appear benign. However, riptides of anti-Americanism are squirreling ominously beneath the surface. There are reports that El Baredei is to form a unity government with the Muslim Brotherhood. Business leaders, Westerners, and major shipping companies have rerouted their ships away from Egypt. Egypt has been an ally of the United States for more than 30 years but the new leadership may move the country more extreme. President Hosni Mubarek has been "America's Man" at the cost of over a billion dollars a year. During Mubarek's rule Egypt has been at peace with Israel and the US, yet there is now growing anti-Western sentiment. It is a complex situation loaded with large "Black Swans."
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Wednesday, February 02, 2011
Dow Jones Stocks Index Closes Above 12,000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices started off the month with a bang in an explosive move from the get-go that took them sharply higher all morning and reached the rally highs on the Nasdaq 100 just before noon at around 2329. The S&P 500 at that point reached 1308 and change, which was bettered by just a fraction later in the day, but not confirmed on the Nasdaq 100. In any case, the rest of the day was spent backing and filling, pulling back just a little bit in orderly fashion. They tried to rally late in the session, which put the SPX at new highs, but not the NDX. In the last 10 minutes they rolled back, gave back some of the gains, but still the Dow closed over 12,000.
Tuesday, February 01, 2011
Profit From This Monthly Stock Market Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Sy_Harding
I call it the ‘monthly strength period’, the strong tendency for the market to be up for the first few days of each month. It’s a pattern that’s been around for a very long-time. Norman Fosback first pointed it out in his 1976 book Stock Market Logic.However, few investors are aware of its importance.
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Tuesday, February 01, 2011
Three Latin America Markets to Beat the BRICS / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes:
The stock exchanges of Colombia, Peru and Chile agreed last November to merge their trading, giving international investors access to roughly 600 stocks - more than any single country in Latin America.
Earlier this month, the trio demonstrated just how serious they were, with the Peruvian and Colombian stock exchanges entering into a full-blown merger agreement. These are the three best-run countries in Latin America, with a combined gross domestic product (GDP) of more than $500 billion.
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Tuesday, February 01, 2011
Historical Stock Market Analysis Suggests S&P 500 Top at 1400, then Drop to 400! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Lorimer_Wilson
Based on a unique comparison with the Nikkei 225 and prior mega-bears it seems evident that the S&P 500 should continue its rise to 1400 or so in the first half of 2011 before it collapses completely down to an unbelievably low of 400. Before you totally reject this possibility please read the entire article. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 01, 2011
Pavlov’s Bulls, the Importance of Asset Class Bubbles for Value Investors and Why They Occur / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Mauldin
My long-time readers are familiar with Jeremy Grantham of GMO, as I quote him a lot. He is one of the more brilliant and talented value managers (and I should mention, very successful on behalf of his clients). He writes a quarterly letter that I regard as a must-read. In fact, anything Jeremy writes is a must-read. This week’s OTB is a little longer than most, but it is actually two separate parts, which can be read at different times – but you want to take the time. He makes his predictions for the year in the first part, and gives us some valuable insights into the stock market in the second. The first part reads quick. Think through the second part.
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Tuesday, February 01, 2011
Beware When Stock Markets Enter Irrational Exuberance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: readtheticker
Thank god markets are emotional, how else would we get fantastic over bought and under bought prices. The only trick for the investor is to know when prices are considered to be within a period 'irrational exuberance'. Some use RSI and Stochastic, others use sentiment readings of confidence, option call put ratios and standard deviations from a long term moving average. Many of these tools have false readings and hence a combination is preferred when forming an opinion and unfortunately that normally end in a confused state of mind for the investor.
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Tuesday, February 01, 2011
Stocks Rally Off Oversold 60's... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Keep in mind, we're in a bull market, thus, it's not easy to keep the market down once the shorter time frame charts hit oversold conditions. In a bull market you rarely stay oversold for any length of time. It's 30 RSI, or close, and then another rally up, although it may not be a very strong one once the overall picture says some selling is warranted.
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Tuesday, February 01, 2011
Stock Market Ending Diagonal Dead Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Gordon_T_Long
We appear to have a 'rolling top' with broad based weakening analytics and cascading warning signals. This behavior is often seen near major tops. The Friday 01-28-11 sell-off is the initiation of a short term correction and consolidation before we put in a final new high as part of this final topping formation and long term right shoulder construction pattern.
Tuesday, February 01, 2011
Egypt Million Man March Leaves U.S. Stock Market Vulnerable Short-Term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Since large institutional investors (hedge funds, pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, etc.) are the primary drivers of asset prices, it pays to keep an eye on them. The market’s ‘big boys’ seem to be focused on this Dow Jones News Service report:
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Tuesday, February 01, 2011
What Kind of Stock Market Correction Is This? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Steven_Vincent
It's widely accepted that stocks are in a correction at this time. The question remains: "what kind of a correction and how long and how deep will it go?". My analysis has been and continues to be that we are in the initial stages of a bull market (in Elliott Wave terms SPX is currently in Wave 3 of a five wave bull run). While this conclusion needs to be checked and reevaluated on an ongoing basis against market action, particularly during any corrective mode, at this juncture I see no evidence that indicates a major trend change in progress. I'm approaching this decline as a pullback within an uptrend and will be working to identify a good entry point for a long position. At the same time I will be working to identify a set of criteria that would cause me to cash out of profitable long positions and consider reversing to the short side.
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Tuesday, February 01, 2011
Stock Market Charts Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Profit_Confidential
George Leong writes: For the fourth consecutive day, the DOW broke above 12,000 intraday on its chart, but failed to hold on. I feel it will just be a matter of time before the index will close above 12,000. The last time the DOW closed above 12,000 on its chart was June 19, 2008.
The S&P 500 is also at a critical point on its chart and broke above the key 1,300 level intraday on Thursday before closing below. A strong break at 1,300 could propel the index towards 1,400.
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Tuesday, February 01, 2011
Small-cap Tech Stock Returns Excellent, But Have You Missed the Boat? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Profit_Confidential
Mitchell Clark writes: One very good trend that I’m seeing this earnings season is a strong resurgence in business conditions among small-cap technology companies. This strength is occurring in the semiconductor industry as well as in the networking and telecommunication sectors. It’s a good sign for the domestic economy and business outlooks are improving.
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Tuesday, February 01, 2011
Dow Jones Gold Ratio: Make Money from this All-Important Indicator / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Profit_Confidential
Michael Lombardi writes: If you are a stock market investor or a gold investor, or both, today’s PROFIT CONFIDENTIAL is a must-read. Why? Because, by the time you are finished reading this issue, you could very well be convinced long-term that the stock market is going down and gold is going up. And you can make a lot of money from these moves.
Monday, January 31, 2011
Why I'm buying US stock index and commodities dips; Gold final move is close / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: John_Hampson
January saw US stock indices advance in the face of persistently overbought indicators and some negative divergences.
Investors Intelligence sentiment readings, bullish percent index, ISEE equities only index, distance from 200 day moving average and the VIX volatility ratio all hit readings that historically have meant overbought and a likely market pullback.
Monday, January 31, 2011
Stock Market Trend Regression to the Mean / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Toby_Connor
All markets are subject to the forces of regression. Newton's basic laws of motion; Action and reaction.
At current levels both the S&P and Nasdaq 100 are stretched further above the 200 day moving average that virtually any other time in the last 10 years.
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Monday, January 31, 2011
Fed Stays the Course as Egypt Unrest Rattles Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
Stocks swaggered through the first four days of the past week with their usual devil-may-care attitude, then tripped into the final three hours on Friday amid scenes of civil unrest in Egypt. At the final count, the Dow Jones Industrials closed down Friday by 1.4%, the S&P 500 fell 1.8%, the Nasdaq fell 2.5% and the Russell 2000 small-caps sank 2.5%.
Monday, January 31, 2011
Between Monetary Policies, Where are Markets Heading to 2011? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Submissions
Jaroslaw Suplacz writes: Mutual relations, which characterize markets (to others these may be economic aggregates) allow us to define likely tendencies in specific areas. Firms use these to make strategic decisions regarding the scale and place of production/provision of services, way of financing, the way settlements with clients are done, the costs of introducing new products to the market etc. Investment banks and funds by the following defined steps and by making their own assessments allocate both their own investments and those entrusted to them.
Monday, January 31, 2011
Short-term Stock Market Top May Be Forming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the secular bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until about 2014-2015.
Long-term trend -In March 2009, the SPX began an upward corrective move in the form of a mini bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend.
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