Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, February 01, 2011

Pavlov’s Bulls, the Importance of Asset Class Bubbles for Value Investors and Why They Occur / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: John_Mauldin

My long-time readers are familiar with Jeremy Grantham of GMO, as I quote him a lot. He is one of the more brilliant and talented value managers (and I should mention, very successful on behalf of his clients). He writes a quarterly letter that I regard as a must-read. In fact, anything Jeremy writes is a must-read. This week’s OTB is a little longer than most, but it is actually two separate parts, which can be read at different times – but you want to take the time. He makes his predictions for the year in the first part, and gives us some valuable insights into the stock market in the second. The first part reads quick. Think through the second part.

Tuesday, February 01, 2011

Beware When Stock Markets Enter Irrational Exuberance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: readtheticker

Thank god markets are emotional, how else would we get fantastic over bought and under bought prices. The only trick for the investor is to know when prices are considered to be within a period 'irrational exuberance'. Some use RSI and Stochastic, others use sentiment readings of confidence, option call put ratios and standard deviations from a long term moving average. Many of these tools have false readings and hence a combination is preferred when forming an opinion and unfortunately that normally end in a confused state of mind for the investor.

Tuesday, February 01, 2011

Stocks Rally Off Oversold 60's... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Jack_Steiman

Keep in mind, we're in a bull market, thus, it's not easy to keep the market down once the shorter time frame charts hit oversold conditions. In a bull market you rarely stay oversold for any length of time. It's 30 RSI, or close, and then another rally up, although it may not be a very strong one once the overall picture says some selling is warranted.

Tuesday, February 01, 2011

Stock Market Ending Diagonal Dead Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Gordon_T_Long

We appear to have a 'rolling top' with broad based weakening analytics and cascading warning signals. This behavior is often seen near major tops. The Friday 01-28-11 sell-off is the initiation of a short term correction and consolidation before we put in a final new high as part of this final topping formation and long term right shoulder construction pattern.

Tuesday, February 01, 2011

Egypt Million Man March Leaves U.S. Stock Market Vulnerable Short-Term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Since large institutional investors (hedge funds, pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, etc.) are the primary drivers of asset prices, it pays to keep an eye on them. The market’s ‘big boys’ seem to be focused on this Dow Jones News Service report:

Tuesday, February 01, 2011

What Kind of Stock Market Correction Is This? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Steven_Vincent

It's widely accepted that stocks are in a correction at this time. The question remains: "what kind of a correction and how long and how deep will it go?". My analysis has been and continues to be that we are in the initial stages of a bull market (in Elliott Wave terms SPX is currently in Wave 3 of a five wave bull run). While this conclusion needs to be checked and reevaluated on an ongoing basis against market action, particularly during any corrective mode, at this juncture I see no evidence that indicates a major trend change in progress. I'm approaching this decline as a pullback within an uptrend and will be working to identify a good entry point for a long position. At the same time I will be working to identify a set of criteria that would cause me to cash out of profitable long positions and consider reversing to the short side.

Tuesday, February 01, 2011

Stock Market Charts Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Profit_Confidential

George Leong writes: For the fourth consecutive day, the DOW broke above 12,000 intraday on its chart, but failed to hold on. I feel it will just be a matter of time before the index will close above 12,000. The last time the DOW closed above 12,000 on its chart was June 19, 2008.

The S&P 500 is also at a critical point on its chart and broke above the key 1,300 level intraday on Thursday before closing below. A strong break at 1,300 could propel the index towards 1,400.

Tuesday, February 01, 2011

Small-cap Tech Stock Returns Excellent, But Have You Missed the Boat? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Profit_Confidential

Mitchell Clark writes: One very good trend that I’m seeing this earnings season is a strong resurgence in business conditions among small-cap technology companies. This strength is occurring in the semiconductor industry as well as in the networking and telecommunication sectors. It’s a good sign for the domestic economy and business outlooks are improving.

Tuesday, February 01, 2011

Dow Jones Gold Ratio: Make Money from this All-Important Indicator / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: If you are a stock market investor or a gold investor, or both, today’s PROFIT CONFIDENTIAL is a must-read. Why? Because, by the time you are finished reading this issue, you could very well be convinced long-term that the stock market is going down and gold is going up. And you can make a lot of money from these moves.

Monday, January 31, 2011

Why I'm buying US stock index and commodities dips; Gold final move is close / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: John_Hampson

January saw US stock indices advance in the face of persistently overbought indicators and some negative divergences.

Investors Intelligence sentiment readings, bullish percent index, ISEE equities only index, distance from 200 day moving average and the VIX volatility ratio all hit readings that historically have meant overbought and a likely market pullback.

Monday, January 31, 2011

Stock Market Trend Regression to the Mean / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Toby_Connor

All markets are subject to the forces of regression. Newton's basic laws of motion; Action and reaction.

At current levels both the S&P and Nasdaq 100 are stretched further above the 200 day moving average that virtually any other time in the last 10 years.

Monday, January 31, 2011

Fed Stays the Course as Egypt Unrest Rattles Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Money_Morning

Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks swaggered through the first four days of the past week with their usual devil-may-care attitude, then tripped into the final three hours on Friday amid scenes of civil unrest in Egypt. At the final count, the Dow Jones Industrials closed down Friday by 1.4%, the S&P 500 fell 1.8%, the Nasdaq fell 2.5% and the Russell 2000 small-caps sank 2.5%.

Monday, January 31, 2011

Between Monetary Policies, Where are Markets Heading to 2011? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Submissions

Jaroslaw Suplacz writes: Mutual relations, which characterize markets (to others these may be economic aggregates) allow us to define likely tendencies in specific areas. Firms use these to make strategic decisions regarding the scale and place of production/provision of services, way of financing, the way settlements with clients are done, the costs of introducing new products to the market etc. Investment banks and funds by the following defined steps and by making their own assessments allocate both their own investments and those entrusted to them.

Monday, January 31, 2011

Short-term Stock Market Top May Be Forming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and if they make their lows when expected, the secular bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until about 2014-2015.

Long-term trend -In March 2009, the SPX began an upward corrective move in the form of a mini bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend.

Monday, January 31, 2011

Dow Theory Stocks Bear Market Rally Update and Values / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Tim_Wood

At present, we have a Dow theory non-confirmation in place that began in mid-January. According to Dow theory, we must operate under the assumption that the previously established trend is still intact until it is reversed with a move above or below the previous secondary high or low point. In this case, a downside trend reversal would require a move below the previous secondary low point. Until such time, the primary trend change that occurred in conjunction with the March 2009 low still remains intact. Now, as for non-confirmations, they serve as warnings of a possible trend change. Non-confirmations do not mean that a trend change is inevitable, because it is possible that the non-confirmation can be corrected. It is also possible that the previous secondary high or low point will not be penetrated.

Monday, January 31, 2011

Dow Jones Stock Market Index Reverses at 12,000 Target, Correction Starts / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Dow achieved the long standing limit target of 12,000 early week and afforded traders / investors plenty of opportunity to bank profits on the rally to Dow 12k that began late November that can only be described as market trending higher on autopilot with very little reaction against it.

Sunday, January 30, 2011

Stock Market Top at Technical Resistance? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: JD_Rosendahl

For the past few months, I've been calling for some kind of stock market top, with January 2011 as my preferred time frame. From the July 2010 lows to Thursday's close was a Fibonacci 144 days. Friday's minor new high might be the top I'm looking for.

For the past couple weeks I kept saying the market could test the 1,300 to 1,310 levels as part of that top. And last Thursday, Art Cashin said to watch the 1,303-1,304 resistance area: Watch S&P's New Resistance Are: Art Cashin

Sunday, January 30, 2011

Time is Ticking for World Stock Market Indices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: MarketTimingCycles

The time is ticking away for World Indices to correct for a medium term correction in a possible longer-term uptrend. Last week we mentioned: "A short-term top in World Indices has likely been set. In last two articles we mentioned we expected a top to be formed around January 18th - January 21st 2011, with the FTSE100 and S&P500 as an example.

Sunday, January 30, 2011

Creative Art of Bullish Excuses, Stock Market Still Good to Go, Hook Has Been Set / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Mike_Shedlock

While reading more on the Egyptian riots in a Bloomberg article, I found this nice quip on global equity prices.

Sunday, January 30, 2011

Stock Market Crash Warning, FTSE World Equities BubbleOmics / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Andrew_Butter

Intriguing to see John Authers’ chart in an article about the “Carry Trade” in this weekend’s Financial Times, had all the hallmarks of classical BubbleOmics.