Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, June 25, 2009
Status Quo Fed FOMC Meeting Disappoints The Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Not much to report from the trenches where traders were a tad bemused by the more confident but still diligent Fed FoMC statement. While there was comfort from the assurances that deflation was no longer seen as a major threat and they intend to keep rates close to zero for an extended period of time, there was some surprise at no hint at an exit strategy or any thought of buying more bonds to keep a lid on mortgage rates (which had been on a sharp upward drift of late).
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Thursday, June 25, 2009
Financial Crisis, : and the Winner Is… GOLDMAN SACHS / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
The king to the banker did say
Tis I who ride you this day
This day it is true the banker did say
But tomorrow tis I who ride you
News of Goldman’s Sachs’ triumph arrived when Reuter’s newswire reported on June 22, 2009: “Goldman Sachs on pace for record bonuses”. At a time when the US is struggling with the greatest financial crisis since the 1930s, Goldman Sachs has triumphantly weathered the crisis. That should be no surprise for Goldman Sachs created the crisis in the first place.
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Thursday, June 25, 2009
Honest Money Gold & Silver Report - Market Wrap / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
State of the Nation
From 2005 to 2009, the U.S. debt has increased $14 trillion dollars, while GDP went up a bit less than $2 trillion. It now takes over $7 dollars of new debt to “create” $1 of GDP “growth”. In 2006 the ratio was less than $5 dollars. Soon, it will be double that amount.
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Thursday, June 25, 2009
U.S. Financial System, The Audacity of CHANGE (Part 1) / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Ever since (finally) acknowledging the problems within the real estate and banking industries, several historic actions have been taken by Washington, Wall Street, the Federal Reserve and the U.S. Treasury – all in desperation.
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Wednesday, June 24, 2009
S&P 500 UltraShort ETF (SDS) at Channel Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Since yest. 's high, the UltraShort S&P 500 ProShares (NYSE: SDS) has declined from near the top of its June price channel (59.50-60.00), to the bottom of the channel in the vicinity of 56.40. The low today so far is 56.50. Purely from a technical perspective, my question is whether or not the decline will hold around the channel support line, or if the line will break-- on the way towards a "gap-filling" expedition down to 55.60? The fact that today is "Fed Day" adds some intrigue and uncertainty to the situation.
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Wednesday, June 24, 2009
Prescription to Chinese Pharma Industry Stock Market Profits / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
Tony Sagami writes: I was raised in a small, rural farming community in western Washington, and my parents knew most of the people in town on a first-name basis. It was a slice of Mayberry RFD heaven.
The policemen in my town routinely gave me a ride home, if they saw me walking home from baseball or basketball practice. The firemen would let my friends and me sit on the fire engines and ring the siren. We could stop by the barber shop and get a piece of free penny candy even if we didn’t get a haircut.
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Wednesday, June 24, 2009
Stock Market Flat Ahead Of The Fed Interest Rate Decision / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Investors paused for breath yesterday before the FOMC meeting announcement tonight at 19.15. Volumes remained low with traders uncertain how the meeting would impact monetary policy down the road. The questions that have to be answered are 1) will the Fed commit to keeping policy loose over an extended period, and 2) if so, will investors be heartened by the expected continuous flood of cash, or will they begin to be concerned over inflation. For equities, this seems like a no-win situation.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Not Finished / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The aggressive rally which propelled the S&P 500 upward 35% from March to June appears to be only half of the bigger picture. Long-term models for the index indicate that the S&P 500 trades on an approximate 7-8 month cycle. The complete movement is from March to October. July represents the mid-point of the cycle.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2009
Seasonal Factors Influence Summer Stock Market Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
As we wind our way into the summer duldrums, much has been written of seasonal factors. "Sell in May and go away" is an often heard refrain, and this bit of market lore suggests market underperformance during the summer months and early fall. Like most things market related, there is some truth to this dogma, but of course, there are always exceptions.
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Tuesday, June 23, 2009
When Economic Green Shoots Are Dandelions / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Stocks haven’t seen one of those Boomtown Rats Monday routs for quite a while, breaching the key 50 day and 200 day moving averages around the 900 level on the S&P 500 yesterday. Risky assets of every persuasion sold off on Monday and the more cyclical the asset, the weaker the performance. US equities saw notable weakness across energy, financials and basic materials. Commodities were part of the lead here, with energy hardest hit.
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Monday, June 22, 2009
Financial Markets Are like a Soap Opera / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The financial markets are beginning to resemble a soap opera rather than the economic landscape. The daily drama of early losses, wiped out by the end of the day or the breathless rise in oil prices or even the on again, off again love affair with the dollar or gold (you pick!). But too, like a soap opera, you can walk away for a couple of weeks and pick up right where you left off, never feeling as though you missed much.
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Monday, June 22, 2009
Will Institutional Investors Start Selliing Stocks ??? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
We often discuss the NYA Index because that is where the big Institutional Investors do most of their trading due to the volume of their transactions.
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Monday, June 22, 2009
An Outrageous Stock Market Prediction / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
“We are at the base building period for the next bull market. What I see happening is perhaps this continuing till the end of the year, and then a break out.”
That’s what Mark Mobius, who manages $20 billion for Templeton Asset Management and who was recognized as one of the “Ten Best Investors of the 20th Century,” told investors a few weeks ago.
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Monday, June 22, 2009
Stock Market History Repeats - Rhyming And Reason / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Will history repeat in terms of the widely followed stock market comparisons that many now put against present conditions. As you may know, often, when a system that is used to forecast financial markets becomes too popular, changes in outcomes occur despite previously tight correlations. And it could be argued we are at such a juncture now, as new services are cropping up everywhere in this regard. Still however, this does not preclude similarities being maintained, as despite speculator-induced differences that may be present today, these exercises are measurements in human behavioral extremes, which history has taught us generally tend to be bounded by similar measures.
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Monday, June 22, 2009
Stock & Commodity Markets Bullish Trends and Significant Corrections / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
We were recently asked by a client, "If you see signs of a possible new bull market, why are we still sitting on so much cash?" It can be answered by using a fence analogy. We have been taking some smaller positions while maintaining a relatively high cash position in order to play both sides of the fence:
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Monday, June 22, 2009
Stock Markets Ended Last Week With A Whimper / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Markets started last week on the back foot, with most major indices off the pace for the first three days. Later in the week, strong performances from the financial sector helped markets trim the losses. All major equity indices bar the Shanghai Composite were off as doubts about those elusive much hyped but little seen green shoots resurfaced. The FTSE 100 finished down 2.79% on the week at 4335, while the Dow Jones finished down 2.97% at 8530. In Europe, the DAX lost 5.13% to end the week at 4825.
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Monday, June 22, 2009
The Battle Rages On Between Stock Market Bulls and Bears / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
And doing it's very best to make sure neither camp gets a whole lot of satisfaction. The market is continuing to dance the dance between the 50 day exponential moving average on the bottom and the 200 day exponential moving average at the top. It does appear at times that we'll have a clear cut winner. It looked for a long time as if the bulls were going to have an easy time of getting above those 200's on the S&P 500 and Dow because price was right there for the taking and because the Nasdaq had already made the move thus let's get the whole party to the table. It just didn't happen. A breach above but when it got there, the market was extremely overbought and the Macd wasn't printing a good divergence.
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Sunday, June 21, 2009
G2: A Tale of Two Countries, U.S. and China Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
The United States and China are referred to now as the G2; whose twists and turns dominate world economic dialogue, and perhaps outcomes. They are a study in contrasts economically, politically, demographically, socially, in terms of national balance sheet, GDP growth, government roles in business, and more. A side-by-side comparison of the charts for two proxy funds (SPY and FXI) is also a study in contrasts.
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Sunday, June 21, 2009
Stock Market Fundamental and Technical Indicators Convergence / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It is interesting to see how close the institutional S&P 500 forecasts for 2009 come to the price level possibilities suggested by the S&P 500 chart. Maybe fundamentals and technicals are converging on an idea, or maybe the institutions use technical indicators more than one might expect.
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Sunday, June 21, 2009
Stock Market Rally Remains a Debt Induced Fictitious Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
As we pen this brief, equity markets deliberate near term direction as they levitate from a hyper-thrust of massive (save our monopolies) intervention in tandem with a crumbling currency.
Share prices are attempting to recover from what is without doubt, an outright failure of long-term fundamentals and stewardship by every practical measure.
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