Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, March 12, 2015
Dow Stock Index Embrace of Apple Reveals New Paths to Profits / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Michael E. Lewitt writes: The announcement last week that Apple Inc. (Nasdaq: AAPL) would replace AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T) in the venerable Dow Jones Industrial Average's 30 top companies reflects an important trend that investors can play to their advantage. Today, I'll tell you how.
Previously, the biggest shake-up of the Dow came in September 2013 when Goldman Sachs, Nike, and Visa knocked out Alcoa, Bank of America, and Hewlett-Packard.
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Thursday, March 12, 2015
Stock Market Staying Mostly Oversold.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
When playing this very silly game you look for changes from the trend that was in place. We have spent a long time watching just about every attempt at selling being bought up quite rapidly. The bears banging their heads in frustration as the market refused to sell. It spent a long time basing but then made a final leg higher that has now seemingly come to an end. Four gap downs still open and counting. No gap ups to counter. The technical damage quite serious for the bulls to have to overcome.
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Wednesday, March 11, 2015
What Stocks Bubble? Here’s How We’ll Keep Riding the Nasdaq Rally / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
Michael A. Robinson writes: Early last week, the Nasdaq Composite Index – the bellwether for U.S. tech sector – eclipsed the 5,000 level for the first time in 15 years.
The bears would have you believe this is proof that we’re living through another tech-stock “bubble” – and that a collapse like the dot-com debacle of 2000 is close at hand.
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Tuesday, March 10, 2015
Britain EU Exit ‘BREXIT’ Poses Risks To London Property, FTSE and Sterling Asset / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
- Political uncertainty beginning to impact bond and property markets
- UK bonds and stocks at all time record highs and ‘bubbly’
- FTSE looks overvalued and ripe for sharp correction
- “Air of caution in the run-up to the general election” hits London property
- City of London has most to lose from Brexit
- Brexit may isolate UK – “North Korea option” – or lead to strong, independent UK, like Hong Kong
- Real diversification remains only “free lunch”
Tuesday, March 10, 2015
Stock Market Low Hybrid Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The late technician George Lindsay wrote that his concept of Middle Sections was his first original idea on the stock market and was his best. He called it his "prize way of calculating time in the market". Using them in combination with his other unique concepts enabled him to forecast the highs and lows of bull and bear markets (See George Lindsay's An Aid to Timing, SeattleTA Press, 2012).
My own work with middle sections has evolved into what I call a "Hybrid Lindsay" forecast. It is a combination of Lindsay's middle section model and short-term intervals combined with traditional cycle analysis.
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Tuesday, March 10, 2015
Financial and Commodity Market Forecasts Pro Services Full FREE Access / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Hello,
Our friends at Elliott Wave International have only done this once before, and the response was overwhelming.
From March 10-17, they are "opening the doors" to their entire line of Pro Services -- free for one week -- during: Pro Services Open House
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Tuesday, March 10, 2015
Debt Bomb Going to Explode - Market Crash in September 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Renowned precious metals analyst David Morgan is out with a new book called “The Silver Manifesto.” In a chapter called “The Debt Bomb,” Morgan lays out the biggest problem and the biggest reason to own precious metals. Morgan contends, “Basically, the United States have exported our inflation to every other country. So, for them to stay competitive, they are required to weaken their own currencies for what is called competitive advantage. It simply means if they don’t print . . . their currencies would become too strong, and they would not be able to export. In order to keep trade flowing, these other countries are basically required to do what the U.S. government does, and that is export a great quantity of un-backed paper promises that are impossible to pay back.
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Tuesday, March 10, 2015
Stock Market Short-Term Rally Off Of Oversold...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
We came in to today with the short-term, sixty-minutes charts mostly oversold. Barely above 70 RSI on the Nasdaq and small-caps stocks, but in the mid-twenties on the RSI's on the S&P 500 and Dow. Bull markets don't stay oversold for too long, unless a more severe selling is upon us. That has yet to show its hand, thus, no shock that we saw the market head higher slowly, but surely, throughout much of the day. No great thrust, but a nice move upward throughout most of the day. By the time the day was over those short-term index charts were no longer oversold.
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Tuesday, March 10, 2015
More And More Americans Look To Protect Their Wealth Offshore / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
Frank R. Suess writes: Every time you think the US establishment can do no more to threaten the freedom and livelihood of the very Americans who contribute the most to the prosperity of the country, they increase the heat in the furnace by a notch with more cheap money and debt, additional laws and higher taxes. America, the land of the free, as it was rightfully referred to in the past, and certainly a beautiful place in so many ways, is in the process of destroying the very foundation it was built on.
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Monday, March 09, 2015
Stock Market Internals Deteriorating Despite the Bounce / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX appears to be nearing the end of its retracement and may have one more probe to 2080.00 before turning down.
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Monday, March 09, 2015
Preparing For Financial Disaster / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
The other day, I overheard a conversation among a group of concerned Californians. They were having a debate about how they might be prepared for the next really big earthquake.
Most folks living in the North Ridge area, and where I am located in northern California, are certain that the ‘big one’ will hit some day. There are probabilities based on geological historic data. Based on that data, we know it will happen, we just don’t know when. Consequently, the majority do nothing about it.
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Monday, March 09, 2015
Thematic Investing Train Leaves The Station / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
The finance sector is always ready to entertain some new theory. The latest is thematic investing, which can mean just about anything. A handful of asset managers and consultancies have think pieces telling institutional clients how to make this work. Do a Web search to read them yourselves. I poked around a number of reputable sources tracking thematic investing to see what's missing from the discussion.
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Monday, March 09, 2015
Stock Market Pull Back Expected: What's Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last week I wrote that I believed that the 20 week cycle low would take the S&P 500 to near 2008/09 by March 6. We closed Friday at 2071 and look likely to go lower into next week. As it stands now, I believe I was 4 trading days off in my calculations. The ideal 100 trading day low is due Thursday March 12 right on the Bradley turn (we never know whether a "Bradley Siderograph" turn will be a high or low). Seldom is the 100 trading day cycle low ideal either because it has a tolerance of about 15% either way.
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Monday, March 09, 2015
Stock Market Correction Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market
Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which ultimately indicate the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, March 09, 2015
Dangerous Idiots Are On the Prowl, Stalking Your Money / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Michael E. Lewitt writes: I often find myself thinking we are living in the golden age of American idiocy.
With the advent of social media, we are exposed to discourse that is often best left unsaid, from actresses discussing their colonic purges to sports talk hosts engaging in tasteless rants on Twitter.
But the idiocy is not confined to social media and is especially rampant in the investment world.
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Sunday, March 08, 2015
Stocks, the Fed and the 'Real Economy' / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
An astute patron who shall only be identified as il greco asked a particularly interesting question at the tail end of a long email today.
Here is my answer.
I do not believe that the Fed has 'given up' on the real economy.
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Sunday, March 08, 2015
Strong Economy But the Stock Market Can Still Crash Anyway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
A growing economy is not necessarily bullish -- see for yourself
Editor's note: You'll find a text version of this story below the video.
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Saturday, March 07, 2015
Stock Market Pullback Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The market started the week at SPX 2105. After a rally to SPX 2118 on Monday the market had gap down openings three of the next four trading days. By late Friday the SPX had traded down to 2067, then ended the week at 2071. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.55%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.80%, and the DJ World index lost 1.70%. Economic reports for the week were slightly biased to the negative again. On the uptick: personal income, the PCE, auto sales, ISM services, payrolls, plus the unemployment rate and trade deficit improved. On the downtick: personal spending, ISM manufacturing, construction spending, the ADP, factory orders, consumer credit, the WLEI, the monetary base, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get reports on Retail sales, the PPI and Consumer sentiment.
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Saturday, March 07, 2015
Hot Jobs...Fear Of Rate Hikes... Hits Stock Market Hard..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
It was a very interesting day for the stock, market because it received the type of great news no one wanted to hear. Sometimes good news is not good for your bottom line. It's nice to see a lot of jobs added, well above what was expected. While it is true that many of the jobs added were of the lower paying type, it was still good to see anything on the positive side of job creation. Now the problem. Too many new jobs equates to a few raising rates. The market doesn't want any part of that. It doesn't want folks to have alternative places to go with their dollars. Then real question ultimately will be whether this is the beginning of a rate hike cycle. A full cycle or will it be a onetime situation with the Fed needing a lot more information before making hikes more of a regularity. She is a dove and won't shock the market, but in the end it's not about her.
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Saturday, March 07, 2015
SPX Stocks Index Closes at the Lows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
This is beyond my expectation.
SPX did not bounce into the close. At the end of the day it challenged Intermediate-term support at 2069.17. This may be the end of sub-Minute Wave (i) of Minute Wave [iii]. There were a lot of squiggles at the end, so it is difficult to say whether it completed the Wave (ii) retracement or not. If so, it was severely truncated.
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