Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, August 26, 2013

Stock Market - Time To Be Defensively Pro-Active / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

We are no fans of the Fed-sponsored stock market takeover, but that seems to be the way of central planners, these days...eliminate free markets and get them to react how it puts central planning and Lying Ben's disastrous QE4Ever in a positive light, no matter that everything else is falling apart.

Sunday, August 25, 2013

The Coming Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Sam_Chee_Kong

One mistake most investors made when building their portfolio is using the bottom-up approach where they tend to concentrate on stock picking without paying attention to the overall market. When you apply the bottom-up approach you tend to ‘not see the forest for the trees’ because you are focusing on the ‘micro side’ of the market. Or put it another way, you concentrate on the companies but miss out on the overall market.

Sunday, August 25, 2013

Stock Market Short Term Stabilization, But Not Out of the Woods Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short. Chris Puplava writes: Given how oversold the market was entering this week it’s not surprising to see some stabilization. The S&P 500 was able to reclaim its 50-day moving average (50d MA) though I don’t think we are quite out of the woods as sentiment and other intermediate technical indicators remain only slightly below neutral levels. One noticeable improvement has been sentiment, which has worked off some of the recent bullish levels and moved closer to levels associated with bottoms as both active money managers and retail investors turn overly bearish.

Sunday, August 25, 2013

Stock Market Bears Draw Blood - 5 Down On The SPY / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: WavePatternTraders

SPY

Last week's article I left readers with the idea of looking for a bounce for wave [iv] and new lows for wave [v].

Saturday, August 24, 2013

Stock Market Downtrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market opened the week flat, made a new downtrend low Monday, retested that low Tuesday, then made a lower low after the FOMC minutes on Wednesday. After that the market rallied for the rest of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, the NDX/NAZ were +1.55%, and the DJ World index lost 0.3%. It is interesting that the DOW has confirmed the downtrend, while the SPX/NDX/NAZ have yet to do so. On the economic front it was another mixed week. On the uptick: existing home sales, FHFA housing prices, leading indicators and the monetary base. On the downtick: new home sales, the WLEI, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week the first revision to Q2 GDP, plus PCE prices, Personal income/spending and Consumer sentiment. Best to your week.

Saturday, August 24, 2013

Financial and Economic Meltdown Coming?! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“Our estimates of prospective risk are surging…

“At present, we have what might best be characterized as a broken speculative peak, in that market internals (particularly interest-sensitive groups), breadth and leadership have broken down uniformly following an extreme overvalued, overbought, overbullish syndrome.

“If you recall, the market also recovered to new highs in October 2007, weeks after the initial, decisive break in market internals at that time. Presently, we’re looking at the same set of circumstances. On some event related to tapering or the Fed Chair nomination, we may even see another push higher. It isn't simply short-term risk, but deep cyclical risk that is of concern.”

Friday, August 23, 2013

Stocks Bear Market Looms / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Zeal_LLC

The US stock markets have enjoyed a dazzling year, levitating to a long series of new record highs.  But this relentless advance has stalled in August, with selling pressure mounting.  Even most of the bulls readily agree that a material selloff is overdue after such a mighty run.  But actually the odds are high this necessary retreat will extend well beyond normal pullbacks or even corrections into a new cyclical bear.

Friday, August 23, 2013

Economic Napalm - Stock Market and Economic Crash to Begin Now! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Ty_Andros

The smell of economic NAPALM is in the air as the central bank printing presses have allowed mispricing, malinvestments and market imbalances to mushroom to EXPLOSIVE levels. Now the money printing is set to slow and some of the insolvent can be expected to fall to their doom as the tide of money recedes.

This has set the stage for a BLACK swan of unknown identity to set off the conflagration. The Black swans are too numerous to mention but we are going to identify a few of them in this edition of fingers of instability.

Friday, August 23, 2013

Stock Market Bedlam Breaks Loose! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

First the NASDAQ broke down at noon, precisely when AAPL fell beneath 500.00 (any coincidence there?).

Virtually all NASDAQ stocks were halted.

Friday, August 23, 2013

NASDAQ Stock Market Trading Halted / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jesse

As I am sure you have heard NASDAQ trading for stocks and options was halted earlier today around 12:23 PM because of a computer trading glitch. It is now scheduled to reopen for trading at 3:25 PM although quite a few stocks are now showing quotes.

Friday, August 23, 2013

When Exchanges Crash Do They Dream of Electronic Sheep / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jesse

When the Exchanges crash and burn, do they dream of electronic sheep?

Well, I cannot say if they dream or not, but you may as well be dreaming of electronic money, if that is where you keep your wealth, and it is lost somewhere in an electronic storm. You are reliant on the integrity of the exchanges and their owners for restitution. Often it works out well, and things go on as normal. But as the dominoes of counterparty risk start falling, it is 'might makes right' as we saw in the mysterious case of MF Global.

Thursday, August 22, 2013

Fed Hits the Markets WE Kill Switch / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Clif_Droke

On Wednesday the Fed released the minutes from its July 30-31 policy meeting. Minutes from the meeting showed that most members of the FOMC agreed that a reduction of the stimulus was not yet appropriate. Only a few thought it was time to “slow somewhat” the pace of the stimulus policy.

Investors continue to fear that the Fed will start to slow its $85 billion monthly asset purchases, with most predicting September as the beginning of the end of the aggressive quantitative easing (QE) program. This fear was manifested beginning in June as foreign investors sold U.S. Treasuries to the tune of $489 billion in that month alone. The annualized rate of Treasury notes and bonds sold over the last three months was $271 billion. In more recent days, Asian currencies have declined as investors fear tighter Fed policy will starve emerging markets of investment funds.

Thursday, August 22, 2013

Possible Stock Market Pop and Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It now appears that Minor Wave 4 is not yet completed. A closer examination of the waves suggests that the bottom at 1400 hours was an impulse, finishing off Minor Wave 3. However, both the rally from that low and the subsequent decline into the close were a-b-c waves. It should come as no surprise that Minor Wave 4 may retest the 50-day moving average before selling off. The Wave structure suggests either a 12.9 hour or 17.2 hour decline may follow, finishing intermediate Wave (1) by Friday’s close or Monday morning.

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Pivot Day for the US Dollar and SPX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The Pre-Market has pushed lower, but not yet breaking yesterday’s low. Having closed just below Cycle Bottom Support/resistance at 1652.76 and failing to levitate back above that level in the Pre-Market suggests that SPX may go considerably lower today. That doesn’t rule out some kind of correction when the FOMC minutes are released at 2:00 pm (1400 hours).

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

The Dow 30 Stock Market Index is the Greatest of All Ponzi Schemes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Wim_Grommen

Beware: The Dow 30’s Performance is Being Manipulated!

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Index – the oldest stock exchange in the U.S. and most influential in the world – consists of 30 companies and has an extremely interesting and distressing history regarding its beginnings, transformation and structural development which has all the trappings of what is commonly referred to as pyramid or Ponzi scheme.

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Stock Market OBV Chart At a Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Brian_Bloom

There is something very odd about the chart below. To understand what, it is necessary to understand how “On-Balance-Volume” charts are constructed.

Basically, if price rises during the day (today’s close is higher than yesterday’s close) then all volume of that day is treated as buying pressure. Vice versa if price end lower today than it ended yesterday. If price does not change, then volume is ignored. (As an aside, because price can be rigged on a Friday, weekly OBV charts tend to be meaningless)

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Stock Market Rebound Amid a Worldwide Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: World markets were in selloff mode before the US market opened. The had Nikkei plunged 2.63%, the Hang Seng 2.20% and the EURO STOXX 50 was down approximately 1.25%, the level it closed at a few hours later. The S&P 500 opened fractionally higher and rose to a narrow 3-point trading range that lasted from late morning until the final 30 minutes of the day. The 0.78% intraday high at 1 PM was essentially reduced by half at the close bell, a gain for the day of 0.38%.

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

Stocks Sell of Begins as U.S. Bonds TLT Consolidates / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

TLT/USB appears to have reached its Minor Wave 5 low and is due for a bounce back to the neckline of its Head & Shoulders formation. I was wrong in declaring that TNX/TYX would continue to rally through September 3. It now appears that yields will consolidate/correct through that date and resume their rise after the consolidation ends. At the moment, I don’t expect the rally to go beyond the neckline shown on the chart. There appears to be too much resistance at the 105.00 level. We’re only talking about a 9-day rally if it wraps up by September 3.

Tuesday, August 20, 2013

Stock Market Three Peaks and a Domed House; the Tri-Day Method / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Ed_Carlson

The work of George Lindsay is predominately concerned with timing turns in the market but he did have at least one method of forecasting price. Specifically, forecasting bear market lows following 3PDh formations. He called this approach the Tri-Day Method and explained it in a series of five supplements to his newsletter from May to September 1959.

Tuesday, August 20, 2013

Stock Market Flash Crash Alert / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has officially crossed its 50-day moving average. Usually Flash Crashes occur after the 50-day is retested from beneath and turns down. A minimal Flash Crash would likely take SPX down to the lower trendline of the weekly Ending Diagonal. From there, SPX may bounce back to mid-Cycle support/resistance at 1567.80. This could be a busy week.