Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

Stock Market - Lindsay’s Long Cycle and Post-Election Years / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Ed_Carlson

Stock Trader’s Almanac has been parsing equity market returns during the various years of the Presidential Cycle for decades; election years, pre- and post-election years, and mid-term years. The goal is to help equity investors to know when to expect highs and lows in the market based on what year of the cycle they happen to be interested in.

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

Stock Market Crash - Smart Money Is Leaving the Building / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

Japan continues to dominate the economic news. The latest move concerns Prime Minister Abe’s new economic policies to cut corporate taxes. He also announced plans to run a shakeup at Japan’s political ministries.

This is “Plan B” for Abe who has found that his policy of “Abenomics” or pushing the Bank of Japan to print even more money has failed to stimulate Japan’s economy.

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

U.S. Treasury Bonds Break Down, Stocks and Commodities Not Far Behind / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The big news of the morning is the breakdown of the Treasury Bond market. TLT broke the prior low at 105 and triggered a potential Head & Shoulders neckline with a target at 82.88. There are two noteworthy items about the formation on the chart. The first is that Minute Wave [c] is shorter than its counterpart Minute Wave [a]. Second, this comes after a very short 17-day rally off the bottom of its last Master Cycle in Minute Wave [a]. This clearly indicates that the downside forces are much greater that the positive ones. Treasuries are in a hurry to make further lows.

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

Stock Market Probable Pop-n-drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The Pre-Market tells us that the market may open positive. Retail sales had a slight miss, but not enough to “all off the taper.” Expect overhead resistance at 1694.16, or possibly the Broadening Wedge trendline. The market may turn negative after that.

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

A Surprising Way to Play a Europe Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Frank_Holmes

U.S. Global’s Portfolio Manager Tim Steinle is usually soft-spoken and mild mannered, so our ears perked up when he recently belted out “Europe is Rocking!”

After a lengthy period of stagnant growth and lackluster results, the gradual crescendo of improving economic data that’s been coming out of Europe lately certainly commands attention.

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

Malaysia's Stock Market and Economy Disconnect / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Sam_Chee_Kong

For the past two decades or so the financial markets have been through tremendous changes. From the open outcry system where stock prices took minutes to arrive are now available on real time in most online systems offered by brokers. What used to be an advantage for those who have access to quicker stock market information is no longer applicable as speed of execution has levelled across all online platforms. Due to the boom in the internet connectivity and the ease of delivery of information through emails, blogs and chat rooms investors are now faced with what is called ‘information overload’. It is a situation where there is more information than we know what to do with it.

Tuesday, August 13, 2013

Reasons to Fear Major Stock Market Correction During the Fall / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Michael_Pento

I generally shy away from making time-specific economic and stock market predictions simply because they are extremely difficult to accurately pinpoint. During 2006 I warned about a coming real estate collapse that would cause a severe recession in 2007. Back in January of 2009, I urged investors to start buying the stock market because I felt the majority of the selling was behind us.  In general, making such predictions is a dangerous game and should be avoided in most cases because odds are very low you’ll be correct on both the prediction and the timing.

Monday, August 12, 2013

Japan's Econcomy Stalling, Quadrillion Yen Stimulus Not Enough / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Japan's economy is already stalling.

Japan’s economy slowed more than forecast in the second quarter as businesses cut investment, undermining gains in consumer and government spending that helped reduce deflationary pressures. Q2 GDP rose an annualized 2.6%, down from Q1, when it rose 3.8%, the Cabinet Office reported today in Tokyo. The median of 32 estimates by leading Economorons was for a 3.6% gain.  While consumers continue to propel Japan’s rebound, companies have yet to commit to the Abenomics project, paring capital spending for a sixth straight quarter. 

Monday, August 12, 2013

Stock Market Enters Period for Major Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: David_Banister

Market close to confirming new correction. 1685 support is KEY!

The SP 500 has been on a tear since late 2012 with the SP 500 bottoming at 1266. The rally though we have been charting out as part of a “Primary wave 3″ uptrend for this Bull market cycle from March 2009, and we are likely entering a Major correction or what we would label “Major wave 4″. Since the 1266 lows, we have had Major Wave 1, 2, and now 3 completed at 1710. We are entering Major wave 4 which should correct 23-38% of the entirety of Major wave 3, which was 444 points.

Monday, August 12, 2013

Important Stock Market Warning Signs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

George Leong writes: With the summer months drawing to a close, it has been a somewhat warm few months for the stock market with the S&P 500 and Dow recently at record highs.

Yet we are now seeing a pause, which may or may not be an indication that the current stock market rally has fizzled out after sizzling higher on the charts. Now, I would not be surprised to see a five-percent (or more) stock market correction.

Monday, August 12, 2013

European Stock Market Looks Stronger – But Don't Be Fooled / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Money_Morning

Tara Clarke writes: A few economic reports over the past two weeks have fueled optimism that a Eurozone recovery will trigger bullish performance in the European stock market.
abb euro market

The German Economy Ministry released a report on Friday saying that economic activity has increased notably in Q2, supported by both private consumption and investment in building construction.

Monday, August 12, 2013

Stock Market Significant Correction Decision Time / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

Current position of the market

SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014.  However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend –  SPX May be in the process of forming an important intermediate top. Confirmation is needed.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Monday, August 12, 2013

Financial Markets – Preview for Week Starting 11th August 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Submissions

John Allen writes: Major Events of Last Week
The stock markets continued to slump last Friday by registering their worst weekly trading performance since June. For example, the US major indices struggled on the last day of the week typified by the Dow Jones Industrial Average crashing by almost 73 points; the S&P slipping lower by nearly 7 point and the NASDAQ dropping by almost 10 points.

Sunday, August 11, 2013

Effects of Malaysia Credit Squeeze on the Housing and Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013

By: Sam_Chee_Kong

Malaysia’s current Household debt problem is not the result of our government’s recent policies to encourage private expenditure. In actuality the current debt problem has been accumulated from the past 15 years. The history of Malaysia’s Household debt can be traced back to 1997 where the household debt to GDP was only 39% then. This was also the year Malaysia is engulfed by the Asian Financial crisis.

Sunday, August 11, 2013

Analysing Marc Faber's Stock Market Crash Forecast / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: Thursday on CNBC, Marc Faber made front headlines across the web calling for a 1987-style crash in the stock market. Faber cites a strong rally in the face of lackluster corporate earnings growth and weakening market breadth to characterize the backdrop to 1987, and says we have a similar outcome today.

Given the enormity of the crash that occurred then, and the fear that many investors have for such a repeat event, let’s take a look at the comparisons between now and then and see how close they match up.

Sunday, August 11, 2013

Banking and Financial Collapse - We Can’t Take the Chance / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013

By: John_Mauldin

What would it have been like to be in the decision-maker's seat at a central bank in the midst of the crisis in 2008-09? You'd know that you won't have the luxury of going back and making better decisions five years later. Instead, you have to act on the torrent of information that's coming at you from every quarter, and none of it is good. Major banks are literally collapsing, the interbank market is almost nonexistent, and there is panic in the air. Perhaps you feel that panic in the pit of your stomach. This week we'll perform a little thought experiment to see if we can extrapolate what is likely to happen in when the next crisis kicks in.

Saturday, August 10, 2013

The Euro-Zone Crisis Will Be Back Very Shortly / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Graham_Summers

The financial media continues to talk about how Europe is saved.

It’s odd that somehow everything is starting to look so much better now than Angela Merkel is up for re-election in Germany. Could it be coincidence that the worst Crisis in years suddenly went away right as the women with her finger on the “bailout” button needed to convince German voters that she’s doing a great job?

Saturday, August 10, 2013

Stock Market Uptrend May Have Topped / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started off with a gap down on Monday, rallied back to within one point of the uptrend high, and then did not recover for the rest of the week. Disappointing after last week suggested some more upside potential. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.30%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.80%, and the DJ World index lost 0.4%. Economic reports for the week had a slight positive bias. On the uptick: ISM services, the WLEI, the monetary base, and the trade deficit improved. On the downtick: consumer credit, wholesale inventories and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week, a busy one, will include Industrial production, Retail sales, the CPI/PPI, reports on Housing and Options expiration. Best to your week.

Saturday, August 10, 2013

Key Hot Market Sectors Ready to Launch / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: DeepCaster_LLC

Key Sectors and Subsectors are poised to launch up in the next few weeks or very few months, depending on the sector.

Others will languish or crash.

However, very few of the Sectors poised to launch up soon are multi-year holds, because the Developing Trends in the Economy, Markets and Central Bank Policy (see our Forecasts) will likely not allow that.

Saturday, August 10, 2013

Stock Market Withdrawal From Stimulus Addiction Will Be Difficult / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Sy_Harding

Markets around the world panicked in May when Fed Chairman Bernanke hinted that the Fed could begin dialing back QE stimulus as early as at its June meeting. Oh no! That June meeting was only a month away. The FT World ex-U.S. Index plunged 13% over the next four weeks. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index (19 countries) plunged 14%. Even the S&P 500 in the U.S. declined 6% to the June 22 low.