Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Saturday, June 01, 2013

Stock Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Caldaro

This past holiday shortened week can best be described as choppy until late friday. The SPX started the week at 1650, rallied to 1674, dropped to 1640, rallied to 1662, and ended at 1631. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.15%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.20%, and the DJ World index was -1.20%. Economic reports remained positively biased with six rising, four declining, and two unchanged. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, pending home sales, consumer confidence/sentiment, the Chicago PMI, and the monetary base. On the downtick: Q1 GDP, personal spending, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. Unchanged were personal income and the PCE. Next week, a busy one, we have the monthly Jobs report, ISM and the FED’s beige book.

Saturday, June 01, 2013

Stock Market Getting More Violent....Difficult..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

When markets want to do something, there's really no one to stop it from doing so. Suddenly you'll see news that used to be a positive not be a positive any more for the short-term. Long-term is a very different story, but short-term the news stops becoming relevant. Most traders don't understand it. They see a strong report and naturally follow the path of least resistance, and thus, buy stocks. The market initially goes higher which makes sense, but then suddenly falls. Frustrates them. They're not used to it at all. A real change of character. Traders don't do well emotionally with changes in recent character. It makes them less trusting. And that's the whole point.

Saturday, June 01, 2013

Essential Market Knowledge for Maximizing Real Investor Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“Since its inception in 1913, The Federal Reserve Board has been responsible for almost 95% devaluation of the U.S. Dollar. All this has been achieved through its ability to continually inflate the money supply.

And, between 1985 and 2005, the Federal Reserve Board has increased the money supply by five times. This extraordinary money creation is merely the catalyst for debt creation. In a fiat money system, money is debt…there is absolutely no way this money can ever be repaid except by continued inflation. But, now that the credit bubble is blown up, inflation is no longer an option; bankruptcy looms.”

“The Federal Reserve…What Has It Done For You Lately?”

Ian Gordon, December 29, 2007, www.axisoflogic.com

Friday, May 31, 2013

Stock Market Copper Metal Price Disconnect / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Zeal_LLC

Anybody halfway attuned to the markets knows that copper has been a 21st-century rock star.  No longer just a boring industrial metal, copper is a flamboyant asset that has made fortunes for investors and speculators.  It’s soared a staggering 662% from its 2001 low to 2011 high.  And still today in the $3.25 region copper is nearly four-fold its 20-year pre-bull-market average.

Copper’s journey has of course played out under an umbrella of structurally strong fundamentals, but by no means has it been a lucid and linear trek.  Copper is a commodity after all, and volatility comes with the territory.  Over the last dozen years it’s seen wildly exuberant uplegs as well as crushing selloffs.

Friday, May 31, 2013

NYSE Margin Debt Hit New Record, Surpasses 2007 Peak / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: Is it just me, or have investors completely abandoned the concept of risk and reward?

The reality of the situation is that the key stock indices are treading in shark-infested waters and the risks are piling up daily. I see bearish signals all over, but the theme among investors, even conservative investors, continues to be “keep buying.”

Thursday, May 30, 2013

Stock Market Pop and Drop Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

This morning I had a chance to review the Elliott Wave structure of the SPX and found an error which allows for a higher correction to be finished this morning. With the Pre-market positive, it appears that the SPX will challenge the lower trendline of the Broadening Wedge one final time.

Thursday, May 30, 2013

What Japan's "Lehman Brothers" Moment Means to You / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market

By: Money_Morning

Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Japanese markets suffered an elevator shaft-like failure late last week, dropping 7.32% in the single largest decline since the horrific March 2011 earthquake and tsunami. Global markets followed suit but recovered.

This is the third-largest economy on the planet in the fastest-growing region in the world.

Thursday, May 30, 2013

Stock Market Partying Like the Great Gatsby? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: InvestmentContrarian

George Leong writes: Wall Street reclaimed its merry ways on Tuesday as the Dow surged over 200 points in the first hour of trading, while strong small-cap buying pushed the Russell 2000 up over two percent to above the 1,000 level for the fourth time since its initial break on May 20.

All I can say, folks, is enjoy the stock market ride.

Thursday, May 30, 2013

Stock Market Preview of What Will Happen as Feds Pull Back on Money Printing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: InvestmentContrarian

Sasha Cekerevac writes: There’s nothing a market hates more than uncertainty. Investors, both large and small, build a model from which they can then generate an investment strategy. The greater the uncertainty, the more difficult it is to come up with an investment thesis.

Over the past few years, the Federal Reserve, through its aggressive monetary policy stance, has tried to reduce uncertainty and bring confidence back to the stock market. But due to the long period in which there has been a lack of volatility, this has brought complacency into the market—a dangerous situation for investors.

Thursday, May 30, 2013

Stock Market Needed Selling...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

That's what the market needed and that's what it got today. Some selling that helped unwind things at least a little bit and every little bit helps when you have a combination of events that tells us the market could use a break. We had overbought RSI's on the daily index charts. We had elevated oscillators such as those MACD's and stochastic's. We had a high number of bull- to-bears coming in to this week. Some selling would help things on many fronts for the bigger picture bull market. This began last night when the futures were quite nasty heading in to the pre-market hours.

Wednesday, May 29, 2013

What Was Behind the Stock Market’s Massive Breakout? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

Something big happened at the beginning of the year—Wall Street gave up on Washington.

I’ve been trying to figure out how this incredible stock market action started at the beginning of the year. Things were trending fairly normally, and then institutional investors just started buying—blue chips first, a little break in February, then blue chips again, with a broadening out into the NASDAQ.

Wednesday, May 29, 2013

Japan’s Big Money Printing Gamble / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market

By: Investment_U

Carl Delfeld writes: Before this year’s sharp upturn, Japan’s economy and stock market had been going nowhere fast for a long, long time.

Let’s put things in perspective.

In 1990, when I was head of Japan equity sales for Robert Baird & Co., the market value of Japan’s stock market was at its peak – roughly 50% the value of all world markets combined.

Wednesday, May 29, 2013

The Dow Could Easily Correct to 14,000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: DailyWealth

Predicting a stock-market correction is a rough business these days. The Dow Industrials seems to add a few hundred more points each and every week.

It makes sense to expect a market correction. No stock, commodity, or sector runs higher without taking a break. That's just how the market works. But if stocks do sell off, how much can we expect from a natural, healthy market decline? Today's chart provides a clue...

Wednesday, May 29, 2013

Stock Market Bubble - Not So Sweet Sixteen / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Doug_Wakefield

"In the spring of 1720, Isaac Newton stated, "I can calculate the motions of the heavenly bodies, but not the madness of people." On April 20, accordingly, he sold out his shares in the South Sea Company at a solid 100 percent profit of £7,000. Unhappily, a further impulse later seized him, an infection from the mania gripping the world that spring and summer. He reentered the market at the top for a larger amount and ended up losing £20,000. In the irrational habit of so many of us who experience disaster, he put it out of his mind and never, for the rest of his life, could he bear to hear the name South Sea." [Manias, Panics, and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises, Fourth Edition (2000), Charles P. Kindleberger, pg 31]

Wednesday, May 29, 2013

The Stock Market is Very Expensive! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: John_Mauldin

Vitaliy Katsenelson is a modern-day American success story, the kind we need more of. He grew up in Murmansk, in the extreme northwest corner of Russia, north of the Arctic Circle and close to the Finnish border. He says he barely escaped a career in the engine rooms of Russian Navy vessels when his family wrangled a visa to emigrate to the US in 1991.

He finished high school here, knocked out a BA in finance at the University of Colorado at Denver, and followed up with an MS in finance and his CFA.  At that point, a local Denver firm, Investment Management Associates, snapped him up; and before long he was one of the two principals in the company, alongside Michael Conn.

Tuesday, May 28, 2013

Stock Market Bounce is Nearly Finished / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I am coming of an unbelievably busy weekend. After spending two days helping our friends prepare their duplex at Lake Charlevoix for the summer season, we came back to host my wife’s 87 year-old mother and family on Sunday. Aunt Betty (age 84) and uncle Al (age 94) decided to visit their sister on Monday and a dozen cousins decided to come as well to make a family reunion out of it. We hosted 26 guests yesterday and were completely exhausted by the end of the day. Suffice it to say there will be no Weekend Update this weekend.

Tuesday, May 28, 2013

Stock Market Bubble: Wait for it to Pop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Toby_Connor

I'm going to start off today and show you what Fed policy has given us over the last decade and a half. What the Fed has accomplished has been one bubble after another.

Tuesday, May 28, 2013

Stock Market Correction In Progress / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - SPX continues to progress according to its structure. If the count is correct, an intermediate reversal could be on the way, but this may also be only a short-term reversal followed by new highs.

Tuesday, May 28, 2013

Japan Stock Market Investing - It's Not A Bet If You Can't Win / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market

By: Submissions

The reactions to the $314 billion, 7.3% plunge in the Nikkei last week were, let's say, for the best part amusing. The army of experts and analysts stood at the ready to name the external factors that made it happen (by the way, that army seems to have grown a hundredfold or so over the past 5 years, or is that just me? So where's the added quality?). Some blamed it on something Bernanke did or did not say, some on the Dow's drop (0.5%?!) the day before, and others on weakish China's manufacturing numbers. Very few addressed Japan's own internal issues. But that's still where Japan's problem lies, and what can and will lead to more of that volatility.

Monday, May 27, 2013

Economic Prosperity - You Can't Print, Borrow, ZIRP, QE, or OMF It / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Bill_Bonner

Gold rose $24 per ounce Thursday. The Dow fell 12 points.

The smart money is using this dip to buy gold.

Why?