Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, May 27, 2013

Stock Market No Confirming Signal for a Top, Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

There is a reason why the trend is the most important consideration when positioning in any market. The number of profitable shorts, as of last week, can still be counted on one hand, at least those who remain amongst the ranks of the devastated ones still trying to pick a top. The most money is lost picking tops and bottoms, but top-pickers are always at odds with that fact. Richard Dennis lost more money trying to buy sugar under 5 cents than he did buying at higher prices on previous occasions. He ranks as a poster child for money lost in bottom-picking, and he was a highly regarded professional player.

Monday, May 27, 2013

Stock Market Rally Takes a Pause / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

After four weeks on steroids, the worldwide rally took step back, a big one for Japan’s Nikkei 225. Seven of the eight indexes on my watchlist posted losses. China’s Shanghai Composite was the one index to show a gain for the week, a rather unimpressive 0.25%. Four seven losers gave back between 1% and 1.25%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng dropped two percent, India’s SENSEX slipped a more dramatic 2.87%, and the Nikkei plunged 3.47%, which, of course, was little more than a rounding error, since it was up 45.6% at the previous weekly close.

Sunday, May 26, 2013

Topping Stocks, Falling Gold, Rising Dollar Adds upto Deflation / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Robert_M_Williams

The big news this week revolved around all the comments coming from different Fed personalities. On Tuesday St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and New York Fed President William Dudley set the table nicely for Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s appearance on Wednesday at the congressional Joint Economic Committee. They clearly stated that the Fed wasn’t yet ready to tighten. What they say matters because one of the main transmission methods for this whole quantitative-easing thing is trickle-down economics — build up the stock market, and let people who own those stocks spend money, and this will supposedly feed the rest of the economy. Aside from that you keep rates as low as possible thereby maximizing the proceeds from mortgage refinancing and providing support for housing and car sales.

Saturday, May 25, 2013

Stock Market Week Of Overall Selling..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

Finally a bit of selling. Nothing to write home about if you're an ardent bear, but at least you have some lower prices this week for the first time in quite a while. The bears didn't do anything in terms of taking out any major support, which will be their goal in the days and weeks ahead, but for now, they've at least stopped the upside bleeding that have their short positions in a lot of pain. The real question for the bears now that we look back on the week that was, is did the Fed Bernanke really say anything relevant to their bearish case, or was the selling really more a function of overbought daily and weekly index charts? The answer to me is clear.

Saturday, May 25, 2013

The Fed’s Hands Are Tied… Right as the Financial System Begins to Crack / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Graham_Summers

The Fed would do well to look at Japan.

Japan’s Nikkei, after rallying over 70% since November, just collapsed 11% in less than two days. Looking at the chart, it’s pretty clear where this thing is heading: the same as the NASDAQ in 2000.

Saturday, May 25, 2013

Stock Market Trend, There’s More To Consider Than Just The Fed! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Sy_Harding

Fed Chairman Bernanke spooked investors with his testimony before Congress on Wednesday by indicating that the Fed could begin to withdraw the punch bowl of stimulus as soon as at one of its next monthly FOMC meetings.

What? The Fed might abandon investors? Might remove the ‘Bernanke put’ and let market forces return to normal? That’s not fair! Since the economic recovery and bull market in stocks began in 2009 we’ve been guaranteed the full force of central bank stimulus to keep them going, with the Fed even rushing in with more stimulus, QE2, Operation Twist, QE3, each of the last three summers when the economy and markets faltered.

Saturday, May 25, 2013

Investor Opportunities from Central Bank Interventions / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: DeepCaster_LLC

“The Fed wants to kill all signs of inflation to hide the damage they're doing to the middle class. First the Fed leaves food and energy out of the CPI, and then they get the Labor Department to lie about the figures. Their last trick -- smash the price of gold and silver. What are they going to do when the bond market (fearful of inflation) collapses? You can't fool all of the people all of the time.”

“Richard’s Remarks,” Richard Russell

DowTheoryLetters.com, 05/20/2013

Friday, May 24, 2013

Japan Stock Market 7% Plunge Was Just a Warning! / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: Wall Street woke up to grim news on Thursday morning (today) - overnight the Japanese stock market, as measured by the Nikkei index, lost a stunning 7.3%.

The sudden drop caught many investors by surprise, as the Japanese stock market had risen 50% - 5,277 points - so far in 2013. The Nikkei plummeted 1,143 points Thursday to close at 14,483.98.

Friday, May 24, 2013

Why Bernanke's Market Manipulation's Are So Brilliant / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: Nothing lasts forever, apparently not even quantitative easing.

On Wednesday, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke threatened to take away the massive punch bowl that's been spiked with easy money juice.

Friday, May 24, 2013

Rising Stock Market Investor Fear / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Brian_Bloom

Typically, volatility rises when emotions run high. Low volatility is associated with investor complacency.

On May 23rd (yesterday in the US), a signal was given on the Point & Figure charts that points to a possible rise in volatility (fear). (Courtesy stockcharts.com)

Friday, May 24, 2013

Stock Market Set Up for a Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

About 77% of all Broadening Wedges do not retest thw lower trendline. The rest will either test the trendline or move back inside the body of the formation briefly. That is why I suggested a retracement to 1645.00. A quick scan of the Fibonacci levels now suggest that a 38.2% retracement may not be out of the question.

Thursday, May 23, 2013

Fed Talk Triggers Stock Market Reversal..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

So today we had Mr. Bernnake speaking in front of Congress and they were asking the usual ridiculous questions about quantitative easing and how long he intended to keep it going, etc. Would he stop soon? What were the parameters he was using to decide when to stop, and so on. He gave perfect answers. He said if things stay bad he'll continue to flood with cash. If things get really good he'll slow down. Send in the marching bands. Wow! Really? The market eventually sold off. Folks on television saying it was due to the Fed "confusing" people with his remarks. Really???? You think that's why the market sold off? Well folks, the reason the market sold off was because it was brutally overbought with sentiment readings getting well into the red-flag area. The market was simply looking for any excuse to sell as there were basically no buyers left.

Thursday, May 23, 2013

Stock Market Back in Dangerous Bubble Territory / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Dr_Martenson

As the global equity and bond markets grind ever higher, abundant signs exist that we are once again living through an asset bubble – or rather a whole series of bubbles in a variety of markets. This makes this period quite interesting, but also quite dangerous.

With equity and bond markets at or near all-time record highs, with all financial assets consistently shrugging off bad – or worse – news as the riskiest of assets continue to find consistent upward bids, we find ourselves in familiar and bubbly territory.

Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Stock Market Nosebleed Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I just wanted to comment on the extremes to which this market has gone. The normal standard deviation used to mark the top of a cycle is 2.0 above the six-month moving average price. Normal market tops will either touch the upper Cycle Top line and almost immediately will be repelled. Thus, I call it Cycle Top resistance. In a very few rare instances the price of the SPX will briefly move above it, but drop back beneath the resistance area quickly.

Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Dow, FTSE, Stock Market Panic, Euphoria, Irrational Rally Continues, What I am Doing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market continues to soar with the Dow closing at 15,387, and the FTSE at 6803, my conclusion as of late March is that the current stage of the stocks rally underway was as a direct consequence of the Cyprus debacle that literally poured gasoline onto the stock market rally fire as for the first time Bank Depositors LOST money (stolen) and not just by a few percentage points, but in real life examples of as much as 85% of their bank balance being stolen. The rally was then further boosted to by the Japanese pouring rocket fuel onto the fire through the policy of Hyper QE Inflation.

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Lookout For A Stock Market Spike High Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Submissions

HighRev writes: When attempting to put shorter term price action into a longer term perspective, I couldn't help but notice the tendency over recent years for markets to put in spike high tops on the intermediate term time frame. I also couldn't help but remember what Alexander Elder said when briefly recounting the origins and historical background of TA in his book Trading For A Living; specifically, on page 70, when commenting on changes in overall market behavior occurring on the generational time frame he said:

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Crash Proof Your Stocks Portfolio - Parallels to 1987 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Axel_Merk

With the stock market seemingly reaching new highs every day, should we worry about a crash that puts an end to the party? If so, how should investors prepare? Let us explain.

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Stock Market A Drop Of Selling... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

For now that's all it is, but the question is will it become more or will it be just another drop of selling that gets bought up by the bulls. The answer to that will be answered to some degree early tomorrow. We will watch those futures overnight and they should give us some insight as to whether we're getting follow-through or not. The bears need to get rocking with some momentum now. The longer they wait to hit the market the faster the bulls react to buying any weakness.

Tuesday, May 21, 2013

Inflation Is The Lifeblood Of A Healthy Economy / Stock-Markets / Inflation

By: I_M_Vronsky

Inflation Is To An Economy What Blood Pressure Is To The Human Body

It is a well-known medical fact that more people die from LOW BLOOD PRESSURE then from high blood pressure.

Therefore, if one accepts the premise that Inflation is to an Economy what Blood Pressure is to the Human Body,  it then logically follows that low inflation rate over a protracted period will eventually and inevitably destroy a heretofore healthy economy.

Monday, May 20, 2013

Stock Market Structure + Cycles + Divergence = Corrrection? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - SPX continues to progress according to its structure. If the count is correct, an intermediate reversal could still be a little ways off.