Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, November 23, 2010
Why was Euro’s rally short lived? And Other pairs / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Now, the Irish bailout package seems to be a “limited relief”, to us market had plenty of time to observe and then act accordingly before the markets opened around the world as Ireland went to IMF on “Sunday”.
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Tuesday, November 23, 2010
Ireland's $130 Billion Bailout When Irish Banks are Ailing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
$130 Billion!
That's how much money Ireland will be getting in the bailout package they said they didn't need as recently as Friday. I just want to make it perfectly clear that I also DO NOT need a bailout of tens of Billions of dollars so whatever you do - DON'T give me a bailout this weekend. Let's hope that works! The U.K. and Sweden may contribute bilateral loans, the EU said in a statement. Irish Finance Minister Lenihan declined to say how big the package will be, saying that it will be less than 100 billion euros but Goldman Sachs said yesterday the government needs 65 billion euros to fund itself for the next three years and 30 billion euros for the banks.
Monday, November 22, 2010
S&P 1200 Remains Too Difficult... For Now.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
And that's not bad news at all. The market could definitely use more to refresh. A longer time to pause to sell off slowly but gradually. Enough time to unwind those oscillators from neutral to oversold on those daily charts. The longer we sell off slowly the more sentiment will erode. The market wouldn't be best served if we just flew up here. Won't happen in all likelihood, but anything is always possible.
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Monday, November 22, 2010
Fibonacci, Elliott Wave Theory and the Stocks Bull Market, Gold Top / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
There are a number of well known technicians and fundamentalists who believe and continually write about and talk about a long term bear market in the stock indexes that has much further to go. There are long term charts that may be telling us that a bear market in the S & P 500 and the D. J. I. A. ended in March 2009. A third chart may be telling us that a fifth and final wave in the long term bull market in stocks that began in 1913 is underway. It appears to have begun at the bottom in March 2009. Thirty four years is the key number.
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Monday, November 22, 2010
Stocks, Dollar, Gold and Crude Oil 2010 Year End Targets to Watch / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
A couple of weeks ago I gave you my updated shorter-term market maps for the Dow Industrials, gold and oil.
Today — for the first time ever — I am going to release my critical longer-term year-end signals for the same markets that I want you to be aware of.
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Monday, November 22, 2010
FDIC: 903 U.S. Banks in Trouble, What to do … / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
Martin here with an urgent update on the next phase of the banking crisis.
Just this past Friday, the government released new data showing that the FDIC’s list of “problem banks” now includes 903 institutions.
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Monday, November 22, 2010
Investing Strategy for Switching from Bonds to High Dividend Paying Stocks / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
This is a follow-up to last week's letter suggesting that the best days for bonds are behind us for a while, and that reduction of bond positions is in order. We have been replacing bonds in managed accounts with high quality, above average dividend stocks with long histories of paying and growing dividends, and shortening duration among the substantially reduced bond positions we hold.
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Monday, November 22, 2010
Can the Stocks Bull Market Continue as Uncertainty Recedes? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks rose briskly in the second half of last week as investors cheered the return of General Motors Co. (NYSE: GM) shares to the Street and the return of Irish budget officials to the debt negotiating table. It's amazing how quickly people forget what a horrible company GM was and what a mess Dublin has made of governance. In a twinkling of an eye, all was forgiven. Must be a bull market.
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Monday, November 22, 2010
Federal Reserve Actions and Their Economic and Market Consequences / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It is generally accepted that the recent financial crisis was brought about by excessive borrowing due to cheap and easy credit, and this excessive borrowing increased the risk in the financial system as market participants leveraged up to the hilt. Therefore it appears to be somewhat hypocritical to claim that the best action to take after such a crisis is to lower borrowing costs and make credit more accessible. This essay will explore the recent quantitative easing actions by the Federal Reserve, the repercussions of these actions and what implications similar policies may have on the financial markets and the global economy going forward.
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Sunday, November 21, 2010
Chinese Stocks, Is Red China Rolling Over? / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
I have begun to cash out of many of my positions and take profits in anticipation of a flat to down US market until the end of December. Both tax selling and the taking of profits coupled with uncertain outlooks in communist China and in the PIGG portion of Europe suggest less upside reward than an undeniably strong technical market trend might suggest at this point. Better to be early than late is my motto.
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Sunday, November 21, 2010
Global Inflation Watch as Gold and Silver Hit Good Support, QE2 Aimed at Breaking Stocks Higher / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
“Pure truth, like pure gold, has been found unfit for circulation because men have discovered that it is far more convenient to adulterate the truth than to refine themselves.” - Charles Caleb Colton
There is so much going on out there that it’s difficult to pick a starting point. China, Ireland, quantitative easing and even Greece pop in and out of the news like a cork bobbing around on rough seas. One day everybody is selling everything due to deflationary fears and the very next day they are buying everything because of the threat of inflation. Then the next day deflation back on the tip of everybody’s tongue…
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Sunday, November 21, 2010
The Sum of All Fears for Investors / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The Sum of All Fears (2002) is a dramatic movie about a nuclear detonation outside of Baltimore, Maryland during the Super Bowl. The plot is riveting. I can still see the face of Morgan Freeman (CIA Director William Cabot) as he recognizes the unthinkable, that a stolen nuclear device is about to remove Baltimore from the face of the planet. Freeman scrambles to leave the Super Bowl with the President and Secret Service but it is too late. It is...too late.
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Sunday, November 21, 2010
Stock Market Moving Along Laterally To Down In Good Fashion...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Which really means that the market has now traded for two weeks within a range that should last for many weeks more if not a bit beyond that. This is what is normal and takes place once you make your measurements on all the key index daily charts. This is also what happens when you add in the fact that we were massively overbought for quite some time indeed. Months to be honest. A lot longer than you usually ever see. This tells me that although healthy, this market will need an extended period of time basing out before trying to move appreciably higher once again.
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Sunday, November 21, 2010
SPX Retraces 50% of Decline, VIX Another False Break? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
FDIC Keeps a Low Profile. - The FDIC Failed Bank List announced three new bank closures this week.
Three Potentially Disastrous Outcomes From Ben Bernanke's QE 2 Wager (ZeroHedge) Ben Bernanke has made a very dangerous bet.
The Fed’s Quantitative Easing 2 announcement of $600 billion in additional Treasury purchases is literally a “bet the farm” move. True, the Fed had already engaged in an unbelievable amount of bailouts both known and unknown. However, the Fed’s previous moves were all made when 1) the world financial system was teetering on the brink of collapse and 2) other countries were engaging in similar practices.
Saturday, November 20, 2010
Marc Faber on China Interest Rate Hike and Still Expects Stock Markets to Fall / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Marc Faber discusses China interest rate hike for the fifth time this year as inflation surges. Inflation hits people all over the world, official CPI do not reflect real cost of living increases, which is worse in emerging markets as per capita income is lower. Real chinese inflation is running at about 10% per annum. Still expects stock markets to fall, no new imminent high.
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Saturday, November 20, 2010
Global Stock Markets SPX, DJW, FTSE, TSX, BSE, and HSI Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
The equity market started the week by extending the pullback, and then rebounded to end the week nearly unchanged. Economic reports for this past week were mostly positive. On the negative side were the NY FED index, weekly MBA mortgage applications, housing starts and weekly jobless claims. The BEA leading indicator led the positive economic reports, along with retails sales, the PPI/CPI, the Philly FED, industrial production, business inventories, building permits, and the weekly WLEI. The monetary base and the NAHB housing index remained steady.
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Saturday, November 20, 2010
Stock Market Hindenburg Crash Omen Meets the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Tracking Market Cycles as “Fields” in Price and Time - The rather ominous sounding Hindenburg Omen was the latest in a long line of one-off indicators said to be heralding an imminent global stock market crash. The basic premise of the Hindenburg Omen is worthy of contemplation. Extreme readings in the number of shares reaching new highs and shares reaching new lows simultaneously are the basic concept behind this signal of imminent market disaster.
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Saturday, November 20, 2010
Here’s What Stock Market Investors Should Be Watching! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market is in what is usually its favorable season of November to May, when it typically makes most of its gains each year. But it hasn’t been that way so far.
Among other worries, analysts are concerned that the market’s consistent annual seasonality of ‘Sell in May and Go Away (until November1)’ has failed to work over the last two months. The market topped out on schedule in late April and was down 16% by July. This fall it began what is historically the worst three-month period of the year, August, September and October, with a big decline in August, which was the worst August in years. But then, usually negative September and October turned out to be just about the most positive two months of the year.
Saturday, November 20, 2010
S&P 500, Treasuries, Gold, & Dollar are At Key Price Levels / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
Another example of Mr. Market playing games with traders and investors as equities and precious metals took part in a strong rally. Some market prognosticators noted short-term oversold conditions across the board while others discussed the potential for a strong reversal that could potentially take out recent highs. In addition to the regular banter, to the average retail investor the market sure looks rigged when the government decides to sell a large stake in a massive IPO offering and a shaky tape suddenly becomes stronger than garlic.
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Saturday, November 20, 2010
Stock Market Hanging on a Thread as Bernanke Steps up QE2 Stimulus Defence / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
General Motors IPO looks good on day one…
(Bloomberg) General Motors Co., which went bankrupt last year after almost a century on the New York Stock Exchange, advanced in its return to public trading following an initial public offering that raised more than $20 billion.
GM gained 3.6 percent to $34.19 today, after climbing 9.1 percent in the first hour of trading. Its owners, including the Treasury, sold $15.8 billion of common shares at $33 each in the second-largest U.S. IPO on record. The automaker’s $4.35 billion offering of preferred shares and an overallotment option may boost the total to $23.1 billion, more than the $22.1 billion raised by Beijing-based Agricultural Bank of China Ltd. in the biggest IPO of common stock in history.