Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, December 09, 2010
Is The Herd Trading Gold and SP500? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past 2 weeks we have seen the market sentiment change three times from extreme bullish to bearish and back to bullish as of today. Normally we don’t see the herd (average Joe) switch trading directions this quickly. Over the past 10 years I found that the average time for the herd to reach an extreme bullish or bearish bias takes between 4-6 weeks in length. It is this herd mentality which makes for some excellent trend trading opportunities. But with the quantitative easing, thinner traded market, and lack of trading participants (smaller herd) I find everyone is ready to change directions at the drop of a hat.
Thursday, December 09, 2010
Stock Market Handle, Handle...Tiring...Appropriate... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
You have to laugh at how these handles can drive you crazy. They take their sweet time playing themselves out, that's for sure. When those measurements were made on the S&P 500, Dow and Nasdaq, I warned you an extended period of time was upon us to unwind and cool things off. From that perspective it has not disappointed. It's well in to its fifth week with seemingly no end in sight. It tried to break through 1228 yesterday, the previous top, but failed due to some very overbought short-term charts. It can move down 3% to 4% at any moment in time just to frustrate the masses further, including your truly.
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Wednesday, December 08, 2010
The Dollar, Failing Euro and Volatile Gold and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Bari_Baig
First we look at the Dollar index. The streets are cheering as the treasury yields have jumped in the past two days therefore giving the green back the boost it needed to snap out from last week’s losing streak but whenever you have extra hype which to us looks like a stampede we shy away from it for one reason, we aren’t strong enough to run with the stampede and more than often it serves us well. The hype is such that as if Green back is going to blow straight off the roof however, that hasn’t happened thus far. The Dollar index as we write is only marginally up 0.21% which hardly depicts anything but the hype.
Wednesday, December 08, 2010
Should U.S. Investors Fear a Japan Deflation Scenario? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Nilus_Mattive
With Ben Bernanke and the Federal Reserve now into their second round of quantitative easing, a lot of investors are becoming increasingly worried about the U.S. “becoming like Japan.”
In short, they’re starting to wonder whether the entire U.S. economy is entering stagnation so deep that all the money pumping in the world won’t get us out of it — the very same condition that Japan has been suffering with since the early 1990s.
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Wednesday, December 08, 2010
Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) Insider Trading? / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: PhilStockWorld
Interview with Larry Doyle at Sense on Cents, by Ilene
Here's the hypocrisy of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority* (FINRA); it dumped a portfolio of Auction Rate Securities* (ARS) before the ARS market froze up in early 2008. People are asking legitimate questions and FINRA is refusing to answer. When FINRA wants its questions answered, it knows how to get the answers through its subpoena power. Why won't FINRA fess up and be transparent about its dealings in the ARS market?
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Wednesday, December 08, 2010
China Stocks FXI ETF On Verge of Upside Pivot / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Mike_Paulenoff
A comparison of the daily charts of the Shanghai Composite, and the S&P 500 shows that each index turned up on November 29-30. The Shanghai turned up after a 50% correction of its July-Nov. advance, and off of its 200 DMA at 2703, while the SPX turned up from its sharply rising 50 DMA after a 30% correction. Both indices are acting very "technical" into year end.
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Wednesday, December 08, 2010
U.S. Dollar, Gold and Stocks Forecast to Go Higher in 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Lorimer_Wilson
Nu Yu writes: Technical analyses of the future direction of the U.S. dollar, the price of gold and the American and Chinese stock markets suggest that the near term pattern for each should be somewhat choppy but with a favorable upward bias for gold and the markets. Let me illustrate my findings with the following charts and explanations.
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Investing 2011, Natural Resource Prices Will Be Key to Profits / Stock-Markets / Investing 2011
By: Money_Morning
Martin Hutchinson writes:
Whether you win or lose on your Americas-related investments in 2011 will come down to a single factor - natural-resource prices.
If the prices of oil, gold, copper and other natural resources are high, the hideous flaws in the economies of a number of the countries north and south of the U.S. border will remain hidden behind, as if by magic.
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Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Stock Market 90 Day Cycle Complete, Technical Warnings Signs Brewing! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jim_Curry
In a prior article from back in November, I pointed out that the technical indications favored that the 90-day time cycle was in topping range - and was thus due for a short-term peak in the markets. However, that top was not to be made prior to the April high of 1219.80 SPX CASH being taken out to the upside. Below is the chart from that article:
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
SP500 and Gold In the Last Stages of the Rally From July / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: David_Banister
The Elliott Wave patterns that I use to forecast movements ahead of time in the SP 500 and Gold for my subscribers have been textbook perfect for quite some time. We can go back to the March 2009 lows and clearly identify 5 waves up to the 13 month initial rally high in April of this year. This was followed by a clear ABC wave 2 pattern to the 1010 lows on July 1st. Right now, the SP 500 is in wave 5 up since July 1st, and that means this is a terminal wave underway before a good sized correction ensues.
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Are Institutional Stock Market Investors in Accumulation or Distribution Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Marty_Chenard
Today will be free member courtesy day, where we show one of the daily charts from our paid subscriber site.
Today, we will answer the question of "whether or not Institutional Investors are in Accumulation or in Distribution". It matters which mode they are in, because you can seldom be successful if you try to invest in the opposite direction.
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Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Inflation Expectations, What’s Doctor Copper Predicting For the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Graham_Summers
Copper is often called Dr Copper as the metal is considered a bell-weather for the world economy due to its close correlation to economic growth (used by many industries, copper typically rallies when the world economy is growing).
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Stock Market Forecast to Consolidate, Euro Hype Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Graham_Summers
Last week’s explosive rally was due to three factors:
- Stocks came perilously close to breaking down so the PPT stepped in
- A bullish falling wedge pattern in stocks
- Euro options expiration/ ECB intervention
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Stock Market Keeps Hanging In At An Overbought Level / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
The market has its head down again. It refuses to pull back decently even when the oscillators say it would be best if it did. The daily charts are not quite overbought except for the mid caps, which are flashing a 70 RSI on that daily chart. The other major index charts are flashing 60's on those RSI's. The 60-minute charts, however, are overbought with RSI's again at 70 and thus you can expect a pullback at any moment, but timing it is virtually impossible with this type of overall momentum carrying through day to day. This is why some exposure is essential at all times. You can't time a pullback in this environment. When the market does pull back you'll be under water a bit but that's fine. We can deal with that. Do not be shocked when it does hit. Right about now it feels like it can't hit, but, of course, it will at some point. Catches you when you least expect it.
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Tuesday, December 07, 2010
Goldman Sachs Delusional World View, Pulling on Global Threads and the SEP / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: PhilStockWorld
"We think the global (and overall European) outlook remains robust."
That’s the word from Goldman Sachs’ Erik Nielson this weekend, who also observes that he was "Possibly deluded by the wonderful vibrancy of California." Deluded indeed seems to be an excellent choice of words with a new report out showing that California leads the nation in a local government pension crisis that has a $3.5Tn hole to fill and will not be sufficient to pay benefits through 2020 along with 5 other states while another 20 states will run out of funding by 2025. Is Nielson just saying anything to herd more suckers into the market by telling the sidelined cash that it’s safe to go back in the water or is he cleverly employing an SEP Field to bamboozle the public?
Tuesday, December 07, 2010
US Treasury Yield Determines Duration Sweet Spot for US Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: ECR_Research
Over the last quarters, stocks predominantly reacted to monetary policy as is clearly visible in the graph below.
Read the lips of Bernanke and make money. This is nothing new, as an old maxim goes: “Give me the sign of monetary policy (plus for monetary expansion etc.) and I will tell you what the stock markets’ direction will be.”.
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Monday, December 06, 2010
Ben Bernanke's Money Pump to Create New Market Bubbles / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Michael_Swanson
This morning global markets are mixed and US futures are down a few ticks before the open. Overnight US Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke announced that he was ready to buy up more bonds and he will undoubtedly formally announce such a decision at the next FOMC meeting next week on December 14th. As soon as he said this Asian markets ticked up a few points in hope that some of the hot money he creates will flow overseas to emerging markets. It probably will.
Monday, December 06, 2010
Big Banks Are Stifling Economic Growth & Taxing Consumers / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
By: Dian_L_Chu
Have you noticed the price of oil lately? It’s $90 a barrel in a dismal economy with unemployment hovering around 10%. The problem with Fed chairman Bernanke`s latest QE 2 initiative is that he has just given more access of cheap money to the big banks.
Monday, December 06, 2010
How to Play Stock Market Uncertainty With an Options Straddle / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
By: Money_Morning
Larry D. Spears writes:
It's often said that the only thing certain in the stock market is uncertainty - and that's certainly been the case this fall.
Since 1950, September has consistently been the worst month for stock performance and October is most notable for the market crashes it has seen - 1929 and 1987, to name two.
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Monday, December 06, 2010
This Stocks Bull Market Has Legs, Bargain Prices Mean Buy Now / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks swept higher over the past week as investors swooped in to pick up bargains lying on the stock exchange floors. It did not matter if they were in Asia, Europe or the United States. If they were down 10% or more in the past month, they were vacuumed up.