Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, May 14, 2010
Stock Market Freak Out Friday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The Euro fell below $1.25 this morning and the Pound plunged all the way to $1.45 as the new government of the UK gets the fastest "no confidence" vote ever delivered by the financial markets. Keep in mind that only 36% of the people in the UK wanted Conservative leadership. The Labor Party got 29% of the vote and further left Liberal Democrats got 23% of the vote with crazy parties getting 12% of the vote. This is the problem with multi-party systems - MORE than half the people are unsatisfied with the result of almost every election.
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Friday, May 14, 2010
Stock Market Crash Alert, Theory 144 Fibonacci Cycles in Time / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Theory is no substitute for experience and the honed instincts of investors and traders. However, it is reasonable to inquire as to the origins of those instincts. Successful investors and traders appear to recognize subtle patterns and trends in markets ahead of the crowd. They invest and trade accordingly. The new Theory 144 approach to technical analysis is in pursuit of the principals behind the patterns and trends in the stock market.
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Friday, May 14, 2010
Stock Market Rejection At The 20's/50's..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Are we having fun yet?
It sure did feel good for the bulls as we rallied hard off the most recent lows that scared everyone who has ever been associated with the stock market. We went from the end of the world to what a wonderful rally we have going on here.
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Friday, May 14, 2010
Euro Tarp Bailout, Here We Go Again / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
The nearly $1 Trillion bailout by Europe of Greece and whichever countries come next, is like an echo of the US TARP rescue of banks in 2008. It is similar in size, similar in its intention to save the banks from their own bad decisions, similar in making taxpayers eventually pay for the mistakes of the banks, and perhaps similar in other outcomes. One outcome that should be noted is that the US and world stock markets continued to fall for several months after TARP. That pattern may repeat. We need to be prepared for that possibility.
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Friday, May 14, 2010
The Stock Market Fix is in the VIX / Stock-Markets / Volatility
To measure the ongoing success or failure of massive QE "working groups" interventions, all one needs to keep an eye on is the VIX. Readings below 20 suggest, "The FIX is in", whereas readings above 20 diminish the mission control effort to reflate monopoly-saving bubbles.
In effort to maintain control of supreme monopolies, policy makers and monetary authorities have successfully fostered an egregiously false paradigm of ever-rising paper asset values in setting policy and enacting legislation that in effect "FIXES the VIX" to extraordinarily low levels. This fuels rampant speculation, and excessive risk taking without regard for useful gains in productivity and the real economy over the medium or long-term.
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Thursday, May 13, 2010
Is the Stock Market Rebound From the Flash Crash Sustainable?, The Answer Lies in Liquidity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The only thing that matters in this market is liquidity.
As last Thursday’s market sell-off and this week’s rebound have proven, the only real factor driving the markets higher is liquidity.
Thursday, May 13, 2010
Stock Index Traders, Caution On The Long Side IsĀ Advised / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Resistance and overhead supply levels are still in play.
“On The 3rd To 4th Day Watch for a Reversal”
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Thursday, May 13, 2010
S&P 500 Stock Market Trends Forecast for May 2010 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
This is a monthly chart for the S&P 500 showing 20 years of performance. Since this index is the one used by professional traders, it is important to understand how it is performing. This chart is also excellent at defining the longer-term trends for the market.
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Thursday, May 13, 2010
The Day the Free Market Died / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
Following quite a number of requests this brief will deal with my understanding of what transpired last Thursday the 6th. May when just after 2.30 PM the Dow Industrials collapsed by nearly 10% and then suddenly recovered in 11 minutes. The implications of what occurred are far reaching and unless the regulatory issues are resolved we can expect similar “events” of like nature.
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Thursday, May 13, 2010
What ETF Investors Can Learn from the May 6 Flash Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
If you had any doubt that today’s markets aren’t what they used to be, it should be gone after last Thursday.U.S. stocks were already having a bad day thanks to riots in Greece, elections in the U.K., freezing credit markets in Europe and a growing oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. Within a matter of minutes that afternoon, even some blue-chip stocks went from bad to worse to catastrophic. Then, just as quickly, they came back!
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Thursday, May 13, 2010
Capitalism Without Capital / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Volatility is back and stocks have started zigzagging wildly again. This time it's Greece in the hotseat, but tomorrow it could be someone else. The real problem is there's too much leverage in the system, so crises keep popping up one after another. For a long time, leverage wasn't an issue, because there was enough liquidity to keep things bobbing-along smoothly. But that changed when Lehman Bros. collapsed and non-bank funding began to shut down. When the so-called "shadow banking" system crashed, liquidity dried up and the markets went into a nosedive. That's why Fed Chair Ben Bernanke stepped in and provided short-term loans to under-capitalized financial institutions. Bernanke's rescue operation revived the system, but it also transferred $1.7 trillion of illiquid assets and non-performing loans onto the Fed's balance sheet. So the problem really wasn't fixed at all; the debts were just moved from one balance sheet to another.
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Thursday, May 13, 2010
Five Facts You Need to Know About the Financial System / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Let’s connect the dots on the ENTIRE financial system right now.
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Thursday, May 13, 2010
Stock Market Indices Stair-Step Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices continued their rally off last Thursday's spike lows, as the indices opened strongly and rallied and stair-stepped their way higher all day. The Dow closed up another 148.65 to 10,896.91, the S&P 500 up 15.88 to 1171.67, and the Nasdaq 100 up 35.10 to 975.58, all the indices closing near their session highs.
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Thursday, May 13, 2010
Are Gold, Silver and Stock Market Indexes Going Parabolic? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
It’s been an exciting couple weeks in the market with gold now making new all time highs as money floods into this shiny safe haven. It has everyone all worked up wanting to take part or they are riding the rally up already. But the big question is when should some money be taken off the table to lock in gains and lower your overall risk during these crazy times?
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Thursday, May 13, 2010
Stock Market Plays With The 20's/50's........ / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market started out with a bid somewhat higher based on words from Intel Corporation (INTC) late yesterday. They said things look strong for years to come. How do they know that? They probably don't but that's what they said and thus we got a one hundred point reversal in the Dow futures overnight. After gapping up, it didn't take long for more good news to hit when International Business Machines Corp. (IBM) said they see massive earnings heading in to 2015. The stock jumped. The market jumped. The bears jumped. Up we went. The market maintained its bid all day closing right near the highs with solid internals led by technology stocks as a healthy market needs to. A solid day for the bulls but somehow it still feels very uneasy out there and that's probably a good sign overall.
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Wednesday, May 12, 2010
Financial Markets Debt Currency Shock Events and Gold Breakout / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
The events of the last 12 to 18 months have been as shocking as they have been instrumental in reshaping the global financial structures. In fact, the events have pointed out the fracture of the global monetary system and banking systems. The steady stream of events is accelerating in scope and intensity. The fractures are finally being recognized. The key to understanding the continuation of disruptive and chaotic events is the realization that nothing has been fixed, no remedy put in place, no reform agreed upon, no liquidation of impaired bank assets completed, and no work toward a more stable system.
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Wednesday, May 12, 2010
Stocks Up As Gold Hits a Record High / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
U.S. stocks retreated, led by commodity producers, as oil and copper slumped on growing skepticism that an almost $1 trillion European loan package will halt the region’s debt crisis. Occidental Petroleum , Alcoa. and Goldman Sachs lead the market down as the US energy, raw materials and financial sectors that were under most pressure.
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Wednesday, May 12, 2010
Robert Prechter Describes The Stunning Long-Term Stock Market Elliott Wave Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Prechter Describes The "Stunning Long-Term Elliott Wave Picture"By Robert Folsom, Elliott Wave International
Please join me to consider a time in the stock market that lasted just under three years: 32 months, to be precise.
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Wednesday, May 12, 2010
Stock Market Topping Formation Is Taking Shape / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The economy and the stock market usually don’t turn on a dime. Their behavior is more like an oil tanker, needing time and space to change direction.
In the stock market this shift is called a topping process and typically has two characteristics:
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Wednesday, May 12, 2010
Inflation Is A Positive Development for the Astute Investor / Stock-Markets / Inflation
"When you see a worthy person, endeavor to emulate him. When you see an unworthy person, then examine your inner self." ~ Confucius,BC 551-479, Chinese Ethical Teacher, Philosopher
We all pretty much have felt the effects of inflation in one form or another. However, economists and the central bankers choose to define inflation as an increase in price of goods. This is a very clever way to actually hide what they are doing. If they are able to inflate the money supply but keep the cost of certain goods suppressed, mainly those that the average Joe uses everyday, they have more or less won; the simple reason being that the average person has come to view inflation in terms of rising prices.
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