Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, December 06, 2009
This Stock Market is on Less Footing than in 2007 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
It seems that we have returned to the "olden days" of the bubble era. In fact, the words bubble, gold, bull market, and stocks seem to be popping up on finance web sites all over the virtual stratosphere.
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Sunday, December 06, 2009
Stock Markets Pull Back Off The Top On The Best Possible News / Stock-Markets / Articles
What an interesting day we saw today. An unusual day from many perspectives. We can start with the jobless report that came out 60 minutes before the opening bell. Expectations were calling for nearly 150,000 job losses. We saw only 11,000. You can imagine how much the market loved that report, especially when you add in that the employment rate fell from 10.2% to 10.0%, another nice surprise. Of course, that's a bad number overall but it was better than the market had expected it to be.
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Sunday, December 06, 2009
Gold Fever Boils Over and the Master Forecasters of 2009 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The big news story of the week was the improving Jobs picture in the U.S. which saw the unemployment rate dip back to 10% from 10.2%, triggering a surge in the stock indices early Friday. Last weeks news of Dubai World's debt default hit Emirate stock markets hard this week with the UAE's main exchange in Abu Dhabi down more than 20%.
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Saturday, December 05, 2009
Probability of a Stock Market Crash Is Rising / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
A new ball game?
In the past few weeks, this analyst has been taking the unpopular stance that the US Dollar Index might be wanting to bottom out. The sharp rise on Friday (chart courtesy yahoo.com) may or may not have been the start of a new move but it was certainly not a mild move in currency terms.
Saturday, December 05, 2009
Nasdaq NDX Stock Index Futures Technical Study / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
I was lucky in the order, but I've always been lucky when it comes to killin' folks – Character of William Munny, as played by Clint Eastwood, in the Movie Unforgiven
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Saturday, December 05, 2009
Stock Market Bullish Trend Remains Intact / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Grudgingly, I must admit that the market's upward trend remains in place. However, this remains a very difficult market to make money in while the risk/reward still looks more like a gamble on the long side rather than a solid speculation.
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Saturday, December 05, 2009
Stock Market Positive Seasonal Factors Have Ended, Heading for a Down Week / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
The good news is: • The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit new recovery high last Monday.
Short Term - Seasonality has not been very influential for the past 3.5 years (mid 2006).
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Saturday, December 05, 2009
Stock Market Losing Traction on Lack of Fundamentals / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The employment situation suggests an improvement - The unemployment rate edged down to 10.0 percent in November, and nonfarm payroll employment was essentially unchanged (-11,000), the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. In the prior 3 months, payroll job losses had averaged 135,000 a month. In November, employment fell in construction, manufacturing, and information, while temporary help services and health care added jobs.
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Friday, December 04, 2009
Investment Profit Vehicles for the Intensifying Financial and Economic Storm / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
“A Great Collapse. The U.S. economic and systemic solvency crises of the last two years are just precursors to a Great Collapse: a hyperinflationary great depression. Such will reflect a complete collapse in the purchasing power of the U.S. dollar, a collapse in the normal stream of U.S. commercial and economic activity, a collapse in the U.S. financial system as we know it, and a likely realignment of the U.S. political environment. The current U.S. financial markets, financial system and economy remain highly unstable and vulnerable to unexpected shocks. The Federal Reserve is dedicated to preventing…debasing the U.S. dollar…
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Friday, December 04, 2009
If You Think the Past Decade Was Bad For Stocks, Wait Till You See This / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Robert Folsom writes: The major stock indexes are the wrong place to look.
A well-known business magazine recently published a story with this headline:
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Friday, December 04, 2009
Stock Market Sectors and Bonds for Higher Investment Income Yields / Stock-Markets / Dividends
The Federal Reserve’s policy of pegging interest rates to the floor is having a slew of consequences. It’s driving down the dollar. It’s helping fuel new asset bubbles. It’s leading to the misallocation of economic resources.
And perhaps most importantly for you, it’s punishing savers. By cutting the federal funds rate to a range of zero percent to 0.25 percent, the Fed has forced rates on short-term Treasuries, short-term certificates of deposit, and money market accounts into the gutter. You can’t earn squat on these safe, cash-like investments.
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Friday, December 04, 2009
The Resilient FTSE 100 Stocks Index May be in for Trouble Ahead / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
The Technical Trader’s view:
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Friday, December 04, 2009
Investment Fraud after Investment Fraud, Another Ponzi Scheme Comes to Light / Stock-Markets / Scams
So many thought all the investment frauds would have ended already. However more and more have come to light. One investment fraud which shocked me was Scott Rothstein who I knew from college.
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Thursday, December 03, 2009
Dow Stocks Index Expanding Triangle Bearish Price Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
My most recent in depth analysis of the stock market (02 Nov 2009 - Stocks Bull Market Forecast Update Into Year End) concluded with a projected rally for the Dow from 9712 to the target zone of 10,350 to 10,500, which on subsequent price action was fine tuned to 10,425 (Nov 2009 - Stocks Enter Correction Zone, Gold and Silver Next to Follow? ). This was achieved last week and was followed by a swift drop following the Dubai debt crisis implying that the correction towards the target zone of 9,900 to 9,950 was underway.
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Thursday, December 03, 2009
Using ETFs to Invest in the Middle East / Stock-Markets / Middle East
The Middle East is big news this week with a state-owned company in the tiny emirate of Dubai asking for an extension on debt payments. Markets around the globe are watching intently.
I’m not especially surprised about this …
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Thursday, December 03, 2009
What Can Tell You if Stock Market Risk Levels Are Increasing? / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis
Imagine this ... John is hiking up a 5 mile mountain. After each mile hiked, he notices that he is tiring and that he needs more time to rest.
He just finished his third mile, and he is starting the next mile with less energy ... but he still has energy left. The reality is that with each additional mile hiked, his energy is lessening.
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Thursday, December 03, 2009
Relentless Upmove in the Stock Market is Fiction / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Publisher of the Wellington Letter, Bert Dohmen, offers his insights about the stock market, economy and safety assets like gold and the US Dollar in his December 2009 issue.
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Thursday, December 03, 2009
How Should You Invest in 2010? / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
2010 is fast approaching. I have had conversations with colleagues..and the issue that was brought up so many times was 2007-2009 just a fluke or the beginning of something more serious. As usual… I told them to their discern I do not know the future. However in all reality… if we ran our personal households how the central banks and banks ran their portfolios we would be living on the street and I feel there will be a price to pay.
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Thursday, December 03, 2009
Global Currency Warfare, Financial Markets Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
This past week was one of utmost turmoil in world markets. In the midst of an American holiday, Dubai faced bankruptcy for some $100 billion. Another unsuspected untoward event. The exposure of the Dubai event coming as it did could have been discovered at any given time, thus, we question the timing. We can understand why the London market was off some 300 Dow points, but exposure to Dubai was very limited in Europe, the US and in Asia. Could it have been an excuse to take down the US and European markets and gold and silver? We do not know, but we have come to question everything that happens.
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Wednesday, December 02, 2009
Stock Market Trend, Nothing Bearish Here.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It is stunning to me to listen to so many who have gotten bearish here. Any selling, especially in a leading stock such as Apple Inc. (AAPL) over the past two days, gets the bears rocking and coming out of the closets. Look, I know there are no guarantee's here as the market could fold over at any time without warning, but I just don't see anything that says things are deteriorating. Not at all. Look at today's advance-decline line on a flat day. Very strong across the board with advancers easily overwhelming the decliners.
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