Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Moral Hazard and the Aggregate Wealth Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Mack_Frankfurter
The largest financial bailout in United States history, which some traders are starting to call the ‘Securitized Housing Investment Trust' (hint: think acronym), is causing an existential crisis amongst those who hold to purest free market ideology. Senator Jim Bunning, Republican of Kentucky, echoed this sentiment when he said, “The free market for all intents and purposes is dead in America .” These ideologues doth protest too much, methinks. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Historic Week: US Government Avoids Financial Armageddon / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: NewsLetter
September 22nd , 2008 Issue #27 Vol. 2Dear Reader,
The financial markets aptly ended a tumultuous week with record busting rallies as Hank Paulson at the US Treasury suspended the FREE MARKET so as to prevent a collapse of the financial system. The two triggering events for the turnaround in stock markets were
a. The SEC banning of short-selling of 799 financial stocks.
b. The US government announcement of the intention to buy up bad bank debt, where the initial outlay will cost the US Tax payer 700 billion.
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Wednesday, September 24, 2008
Which S&P P/E Ratio Are We Talking About? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Richard_Shaw
Business news about earnings and P/E ratios is frustrating and flawed. If you listen to and read enough reports, you find wide variances in the numbers. Why?
It's all about the “E”. Nobody has trouble figuring out the “P”, but the “E” has many possible meanings:
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Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Stock Market Meltdown –Watching Rome Burn / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Steve_Selengut
Both presidential candidates want to crucify SEC Chairman Cox for failing to control our creative financial institutions. But rumor has it that Congress specifically excluded the devilish derivatives from SEC purview. Let's fire the right bunch of "poips" for a change! Scary markets are brought about by many factors, some normal, and some not so normal. It's often helpful to look backwards before getting too paranoid about the present. The S & L crisis of the early 80s might be an appropriate starting point.
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Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Financial and Economic Collapse has Begun! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: David_Vaughn
I believe I remember vividly that I wrote at the beginning of this decade around 2002 or 2003 that it would be under President George Bush's watch that the financial collapse would begin in earnest.
It is a historical fact that the few years following 1929 witnessed the addition of 10,000 or so new millionaires in the US . I suppose these were those out of debt and who had prepared for the events of those days. Those days are now repeating themselves once again in our humble generation. Our nation today is definitely hurtin' for certain. And the blood is running in the streets!
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Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Bailouts Will Not End the Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Sharon A. Daniels writes: The Dow first brushed up against the 1,000 level when I was just a kid, and by the time it closed above 1,000 for good, I was old enough to have kids of my own.
The entire period of the late '60s, the full decade of the 1970s, and even the first few years of the '80s, was one long and painful secular bear market in stocks. This period was basically a "lost decade-and-a-half" for investors.
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Tuesday, September 23, 2008
ETF's Hit Harder by Credit Crisis Volatility than Indices - Yorba TV Show / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Last week was one of the most volatile weeks seen since 1987. On Tuesday's show I warned that it was not a good place to go short, since my model suggested a rally by the end of the week. A look at the chart showed a bullish wedge being formed (see the chart). Usually a bullish wedge will retrace its total decline, which means that it may still rally up to 1300 to 1320. However, I would not put my hopes too high on that possibility. The move after that should be much more bearish.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Credit Crisis Analysis and Conclusions / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: John_Mauldin
This week we look at a very solid piece of analysis on the world economy from my friends and London business partners Niels Jensen and Jan Wilhelmsen of Absolute Return Partners ( www.arpllp.com ). I find it is quite useful to read the considered opinions of those from outside the US and particularly from people who have developed keen insight from years in the trenches. Niels and Jan are certainly in that category. The world economy is clearly out of balance and they point out where some of the opportunities and problems lie. I think you will find this edition of Outside the Box quite useful. If you care to, you can write them at info@arpllp.com . Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
Dead Zombie Banks Rise From Their Financial Graves / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: V_Clark
The Return of the Mutant Flying Pigs -
Things are getting curiouser and curiouser. This Friday, in a new financial landscape dreamed up by Salvador Dali in collaboration with Troma films, the banking dead were rising from their graves and financial stock zombies were seen stumbling through the trading day with the disjointed, uncertain gait of trauma victims being forced to take a long march when they would rather take a nice ride on a gurney.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
Paulson's Bold Bailout Plan Supportive of a Stock Market Bottom / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Trust me, I'm from the government and I'm here to help. In essence, those words are exactly what Treasury Secretary Paulson is saying in laying out the bailout of the banking system. He would have rein over hiring of managers to purchase the debt and be able to do so as needed without oversight from any other part of government. While desperate times require desperate measures, this might be a bit too desperate. The limit on national debt will be raised by nearly $1 trillion and gives the Treasury the authority to buy up to $700 billion in mortgage related assets. While there are few worries if the plan works, the proposal severely hamstrings the government to act on any other issue that may come up and is likely to increase government borrowing over the coming two years from sources that are already up to their eyeballs in our paper.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
Deleveraging Delusions, Denial, and Disorder / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Captain_Hook
When first conceptualizing this piece I thought long and hard on an appropriate title. The first one that came to mind was ‘Deer In The Headlights – Desensitized To Risk'. And most certainly, this title does capture the essence of what has happened to the vast majority of the investing population. Through years of propagandized conditioning sponsored by corporate America, its self-serving financial institutions, and the governments they have put in place, the media has been used to desensitized investors to the risks associated with the financial markets, debt (excessive borrowing), and a fiat currency system designed to enslave the unwary. (i.e. and serve the elite.) Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
The Fed and Government Have NOT Erased Investor Fears... / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Marty_Chenard
As you may recall, last Friday we mentioned that, "The big problems have not been erased. We still have rising unemployment, a credit crunch, a recession, and a weak economy that many analyst expect to weaken further." ... and, "My point is that, if we do get an upside rally, it will still be an up move in a Bear Market. Before anyone gets exuberant, investors need to see if Institutions will back a rally, and that did not happen yet in yesterday's (Thursday's) short covering rally. " Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
Paulson Will Morph Toxic Banks into Toxic US Dollars / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Michael_Swanson
This Doesn't Have to Happen - On Thursday right before CNBC reported on rumors of the bank bailout plan, Ben Bernanke was meeting with lawmakers and selling the plan to them. Inside a conference room that is part of Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi's office he was meeting with the Congressional leadership. According to the Washington Post he told them that if they don't pass the plan "it will be nothing short of disaster for our markets." He claimed that stock market would crash and money market funds would get wiped out.
In a conference call with Republicans on Friday Bernanke said, "many of your constituents hold money in money markets — those funds are losing money" and now the "critical issue is what do we do about these bad assets clogging up our credit system.”
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Monday, September 22, 2008
Paulson's Lies Keep Escalating: What YOU Can Do About It / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis Bailouts
By: Mike_Shedlock
Somehow Paulson has gone from "Our banking system is a safe and a sound one" (See You Know The Banking System Is Unsound When.... ) to Paulson telling Congress “That we're literally maybe days away from a complete meltdown of our financial system, with all the implications here at home and globally.” Inquiring minds may wish to consider a recap of things that have happened since Paulson made his "Our banking system is a safe and a sound one" speech.
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Monday, September 22, 2008
Financial Markets Stabilize After Recent Beatings / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Regent_Markets
Traders, investors, and financial journalists must have been glad to reach the end of a week that will surely go down in the history of financial markets. The FTSE closed the week just 66 points down which the S&P 500 actually managed a small profit. Homeowner, the closing figures do not even begin to tell the whole story with the FTSE trading in a 521 point range and posting its best one day rally in history on Friday.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
Irony: Fed Decisions To Undermine U.S. Banking System? / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
By: David_Haas
Let's start with an important quote gleaned from an excellent article in today's Washington Post which describes the Fed's massive and unprecedented bailout plans that are intended to rescue the entire financial system from further implosion:
“The program announced this morning runs the risk in the long run of profoundly changing the nature of our financial system and, specifically, undermining the nation's banking system,” wrote American Banker's Association President Edward Yingling.
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Monday, September 22, 2008
Stock Market Cycle Projections and Turning Points / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
Long-term trend -
The Dow Jones Industrials may be deviating from their typical decennial pattern in an election year. Important cycles going into the Fall could be the reason for this, but one also has to consider the possibility that the downward pressure from the 120-yr cycle, which is due to make its low in 2012-2014, has begun to take effect and that October 2007 was the top of the bull market. This is not yet confirmed and remains only a possibility.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Last week's action suggests that the intermediate trend correction may have run its course, but a test of the low is quite probable.
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Sunday, September 21, 2008
Historic Week: US Government Avoids Financial Armageddon / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The financial markets aptly ended a tumultuous week with record busting rallies as Hank Paulson at the US Treasury suspended the FREE MARKET so as to prevent a collapse of the financial system. The two triggering events for the turnaround in stock markets were
a. The SEC banning of short-selling of 799 financial stocks.
b. The US government announcement of the intention to buy up bad bank debt, where the initial outlay will cost the US Tax payer 700 billion.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, September 21, 2008
Americans Suckered into Bailing-out Investment Banking Drug-pushers / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Alex_Wallenwein
POOF! Ashes to Ashes, Debt to Dust Question: What happens when you destroy a negative? Is that a bad thing, or a good thing?
Answer: It depends on how good of a liar you are. If you can get everybody to believe that the negative is something of positive value, its destruction will be seen as a catastrophe.
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Sunday, September 21, 2008
Credit Crisis Week's Events / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
By: Money_and_Markets
Jack Crooks writes: I applaud you if you've made it through this past week with only a few scratches and bumps in your trading account. I know for a fact that plenty of traders got their lunch handed to them.
Thanks to what I call the "visible hand" theory of central banks and the U.S. Treasury, times like these make it even harder to get positioned and stay positioned without being whipsawed.
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