Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, June 13, 2017
Manipulated and Made-up Markets / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
The economic ruse that is run by Communist China is growing bigger by the day. The formula behind what has been the Great Red Engine of global growth is really very simple: Print new money and funnel it through the state-owned banking system in order to entice businesses and individuals to incur a debilitating amount of non-productive debt.
Historically speaking, countries that have utilized this ersatz form of economics have suffered a currency and bond market crisis. But the command and control government of China always seems to be one step ahead of the laws of economics; and has been able to defer the inevitable day of reckoning due to its large currency reserves.
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Monday, June 12, 2017
3 Charts That Show How Stock Market is“Enormously Overvalued” / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Last week in Outside the Box (my free newsletter for investors), Jim Mellon shared some good advice on picking stocks in the Age of the Index Fund. Jim said,
[C]ommitted investors should make a list of companies that they really like, know about, and want to own—at the right price. If the shares of those firms are too high, put in limits, possibly 20–30% below current levels, and wait. Don’t let cash burn a hole in your pocket—let the stocks come to you, and don’t chase.
Within a day of publishing Jim’s piece, my friend Vitaliy Katsenelson’s quarterly letter to clients landed in my inbox, and I thought it would make a good follow-up to Jim’s article.
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Monday, June 12, 2017
India Stock Market Nifty-NSE Next Warning Area for Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
In June 2015, we mentioned that Nifty-NSE from India was in a warning area for the bulls and a larger correction was expected to take place. Over the next 12 months, Nifty lost 25% dropping from a high of 9119.20 on 3.4.2015 to a low of 6825 on 2.29.2016. However, as we keep mentioning World Indices trend remains up and dips are nothing more than buying opportunity in the right areas, so this dip in this Indian Index was another buying opportunity in the blue box between 7459 – 6721.
Nifty-NSE buying area down from 3.4.2015 peak
Monday, June 12, 2017
Will Technology Stocks Sell-Off Drive Stock Market Lower? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Our intraday outlook is now bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, June 12, 2017
Active Trader Predicts Stock Market Vix Spike & Nasdaq Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
A potential increase in risk may create massive opportunities for investors.
Throughout our ongoing analysis of the US markets, metals, energy and other market sectors, one thing we have seen over and over is that markets can, and often do, develop longer term trends than most people believe are possible or believable.
Recently, numerous analysts have been warning of potential “critical crashes” and “deep retracements” because of the fear that this rally is nearing some type of end cycle. We believe the charts tell the story of the investor sentiment and that, at some point in the future, these predictions may become true – but not today.
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Sunday, June 11, 2017
Stock Market Bubble Watch: We’ve Passed 2007 and Are Closing In on 2000 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
We continue to see articles and comments in the financial media proclaiming that stocks are not in a bubble.
The people claiming this are either delusional or intentionally lying.
Most people would argue that Warren Buffett knows a thing or two about investing. He’s possibly the single most famous investor of all time and is widely thought to be one of the greatest, if not THE greatest investor in history.
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Saturday, June 10, 2017
High Flying NDX/NAZ Hit an Air Pocket / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
An interesting end to a mostly choppy week. The market started the week at SPX 2439. After a tick up to the all-time high at SPX 2440 on Monday, the market pulled back to 2425 by Wednesday. Then after the ECB meeting, the much awaited Comey testimony, and the UK election fiasco, the SPX hit an all-time high at 2446 on Friday. After the high, however, the Tech sector went into freefall, pulling down the SPX to end the week at 2432. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, and the NDX/NAZ lost 2.0%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the downtick: ISM, factory orders, consumer credit, the WLEI and the Q2 GDP estimate. On the uptick: weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, retail sales, and industrial production. Best to your week!
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Saturday, June 10, 2017
Billionaire Jim Mellon: Hoard Cash, Gold And Invest In Biotech Science / Stock-Markets / Investing 2017
My friend and British investor extraordinaire Jim Mellon, who made a large amount of money traveling the world doing real estate, is now focused on thinking about and investing in life extension and its derivatives.
But he's also worried about what happens when a lot of people live longer and how we pay for it. He shares my concern about the demographic bubble that we are already in becoming even worse as we live longer than we expected.
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Friday, June 09, 2017
U.S.Bond and Small Cap Stock Soaring Together? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
U.S. Stock Markets just keep going higher and higher! How much higher will they go? I am FORECASTING another 25% higher for U.S. Stocks! The ‘bullish trend’ from the breakout continues, as expected. Breadth has become strong, once again, including a new all-time high on the SPX Advance/Decline line to match the new all-time high for the SPX. My breath thrust index reissued another buy for the SPX on May 31st, 2017! Once the markets wake up and realize that there will be no U.S. tradewars, they will then begin their assent.
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Friday, June 09, 2017
Good Sized Drop in Equities, Rally in Gold Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Today (June 8) is the 4/16 TD top. The next low is due on June 12. A sudden sharp sell-off in equities (likely June 9) and a rally in gold is due into Monday. My best guess now is that we see a move into the 2380/90’s. GDX could easily move from the 22.90’s (forecasted 2 days ago) into the low 24.00’s.
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Thursday, June 08, 2017
Stocks Trade At Record Highs, Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Our intraday outlook is now bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, June 08, 2017
Constructive Stock Market Consolidation or Potential Topping Pattern? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market had a volatile session, gapping up at the opening, coming down sharply in a 5-wave decline, and reaching the lows by midday. After taking out support they rallied sharply, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 5846 all the way up to 5883. The S&P 500 bounced from 2424 to 2435. A last 10-minute pullback pared back the profits, but they did finish in the positive column, but not with the best technicals.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 37.46 at 21,173.69. The S&P 500 was up 3.81 at 2433.14. The Nasdaq 100 was up 20.82 at 5877.59.
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Tuesday, June 06, 2017
Euro-zone Crisis - Deposit Bail In Risk as Spanish Bank’s Stocks Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
– Deposit bail in risk as stocks and bonds of Spanish bank – Banco Popular – crash
– Banco Popular stock crashes most on record – down 63% this year to 34 euro cents
– Spanish bank tells employees – “Don’t panic”
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Tuesday, June 06, 2017
Big Changes at Bilderberg This Year… A Good or Bad Sign? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
I have just returned from my 3rd Bilderberg conference and… wow, that was different!
The first Bilderberg I attended was in 2015 in Telfs, Austria and the entire town was turned into a military zone. You couldn’t walk five feet without out seeing a police van, humvee, tanks and black helicopters. And, we were tracked, detained and searched constantly.
Last year was in Dresden, Germany and while they did not shut down the entire town, the area surrounding the Bilderberg hotel was clearly a militarized zone and we really couldn’t walk a block without being stopped, searched, photographed and threatened by the police. They even searched our room while telling us when no cameras were near that they were going to physically hurt us.
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Tuesday, June 06, 2017
Stocks or Precious Metals, Which Makes More Sense to Invest in Now? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
"Buy low, sell high," is the most fundamental principal of a great investment strategy in any sector. A deviation from this core principal can be truly costly and downright dangerous.
One might wonder, why state something so obvious as that! This is because many investors wait till it is too late, and a market is in its final stages of a bull market before they finally convince themselves to get in, and by then they are sitting on a ticking time bomb, ready to explode.
The flip side of this, are the investors who let greed keep them trapped in an aged bull market and wait till it is too late before a crash wipes out their entire life savings.
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Tuesday, June 06, 2017
Stock Market Correction Due to Get Started this Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
We’re seeing conflicting calls from the Hybrid Lindsay model and cycles. As cycles can invert we will stick with the Hybrid forecast for a top on/near June 9. A 23-day cycle high is also due on June 9 (chart).
The VIX fell 0.06 points last week closing at 9.75. A cycle low is due June 9 which is a good match for the Hybrid Lindsay forecast for a high in equities then.
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Monday, June 05, 2017
The Last Time We Saw This Trend Was Before The Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
BY JARED DILLIAN : There has been a bit of a buzz about covenant-lite bonds lately. This isn’t really new news. You can see from the chart below that cov-lite issuance has been high for a few years now.
But the old-timers know that when the cov-lite paper comes out, it is usually toward the end of a cycle.
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Monday, June 05, 2017
Asset Diversification Won’t Be Enough In The Next Recession / Stock-Markets / Recession 2018
Investment diversification may not help in the next global recession. Diversifying among asset classes will simply be diversifying your losses.
The entire world is getting ready to enter a period that I call the “Great Reset.” It is a period of enormous and unpredictable volatility in all asset classes. What do we do?
I think that the answer lies in diversifying among trading strategies that are not correlated to each other. And using managers who have a mandate to invest in any asset class their models tell them to.
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Monday, June 05, 2017
Stocks Extend Their Uptrend As Indices Reach New Record Highs Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Our intraday outlook is now bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, June 05, 2017
Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.
SPX Intermediate trend: Correction over. May be heading for about 2500.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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