Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, June 29, 2017
Stock Market Correction May Complete Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX futures are mildly positive this morning. In addition, the quarter end and the Cycles Model are positive for at least another day. That suggests Wave [c] may complete near the Cycle Top today in an expanded flat correction, dominated by a very long Wave [b].
The Summer quarter end is usually positive. As mentioned earlier, early short entries are usually subject to draw-downs. The VIX and Hi-Lo have not made sell signals, yet. Thus, only partial positions have been recommended. That will change very soon.
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Wednesday, June 28, 2017
Stock Market Direction Update and What I Have Been Up To... / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: David_Petch
I had a number of people email requesting what I have been up to (did I die, am I ill) so here it is...Back in April 2016, after being a part of TreasureChests for 13 years I decided to hang up my pen and pursue other things. As many know or do not know, TreasureChests is shutting the doors at the end of this month. It was a pleasure working with Captain Hook and we still keep in contact on a regular basis to discuss what is going on with the stock markets. Since I have been busy the past year with a side project that is morphing into something bigger, I miss not writing…so here is an update.
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Wednesday, June 28, 2017
Is the Tech Stock Market Bloodbath is Finally Here? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Graham_Summers
Tech is ready to implode.
The NASDAQ ETF (QQQ) has broken its bull market trendline. Even worse, it has failed to reclaim this line despite a strong bounce. This is a MAJOR warning that the upwards momentum is gone.
The next leg down should be a doozy (the target is the red circle on the chart below).
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Wednesday, June 28, 2017
Is the Stock Market About to Post a Major Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Graham_Summers
The market has been sending “topping” signals for weeks now.
They include:
1) Fewer and fewer companies participating in the rally.
2) High yield credit, which leads stocks, rolling over.
3) Weakening momentum.
4) Dwindling volume.
5) Market leaders (the big 5 Tech) beginning to correct.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Charts Show Why Emerging Markets Will Be an Essential Part of Your Portfolio Going Forward / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
By: John_Mauldin
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : A major theme at the 2017 Strategic Investment Conference was the shift in economic power from developed markets to emerging markets (EMs).
For example, in 1960, the combined GDP of China and India made up only 5% of global GDP; today, it’s 30%.
In 1970, the G7 bloc made up half of global trade; now it makes up just 30%. It’s no wonder emerging markets are growing at almost three times the rate as the G7.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Former Lehman Brothers Trader: I Bet My Reputation That Stocks Bubble Will Pop In A Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : It wasn’t always this way. We never used to get a giant, speculative bubble every 7–8 years. We really didn’t.
In 2000, we had the dot-com bubble.
In 2007, we had the housing bubble.
In 2017, we have the everything bubble.
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Stocks At Record Highs: Market Sentiment Still Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Stock Market Running Out of Steam / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.
SPX Intermediate trend: An ending-pattern appears to be forming.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, June 26, 2017
Crude Oil Trade & Nasdaq QQQ Update / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Plunger
I would like to put out a short update on the oil market and my view of the QQQs being a proxy for the Hi-Tech end of the market. With the hard sell off in the oil market of this week this would seem a logical place to give it a rest and for a short seller to step over to the sidelines for a while. Anytime the market has gotten itself to this level of being oversold we have seen a rip to the upside.
One of the keys to being a successful short seller is to know when its time to press ones bet. Extended moves to the downside come from oversold levels and I am going to show you why I believe we may have further to go to the downside before this current move is over.
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Saturday, June 24, 2017
US Stock Market Correction Could be Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2433. After a gap up opening on Monday, and a new all-time high to SPX 2454, the market pulled back to 2431 by Wednesday. After a rally to SPX 2442 on Thursday the market pulled back to 2431 again on Friday. Then ended the week at SPX 2438. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.15%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.95%. Economic reports for the week were slightly positive. On the downtick: weekly jobless claims and the WLEI. On the uptick: existing/new home sales and leading indicators. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the Q1 GDP update and the Chicago PMI.
Saturday, June 24, 2017
The Swiss National Bank Owns $80 Billion in US Stocks—Here’s the Catch / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
Switzerland is a small country of just 8 million people, but they make an outsized impact on economics and finance and money.
Because Switzerland is considered a safe haven and a well-run country, many people would like to hold large amounts of their assets in the Swiss franc. This makes the Swiss franc intolerably strong for Swiss businesses and citizens.
So the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has to print a great deal of money and use nonconventional means to hold down the value of their currency. Their overnight repo rate is -0.75%.
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Friday, June 23, 2017
Risk measurement? Volatility doesn’t cut it / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Submissions
Henrique Schneider writes: Almost every investor and almost every portfolio use volatility as an indication of risk. There’s nothing awfully wrong with that. But some investors and some portfolios reduce risk to volatility. And this is a serious error, since gauging on volatility is myopic, misinformed and revenue-averse. Why?
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Friday, June 23, 2017
Hedgers Net Short the Euro, US Market Rotates; 2 Horsemen Set to Ride? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
In line with our bullish forward view on USD, behold the very bearish state of the Commercial Hedger positions in the Euro (courtesy of Sentimentrader). Recent historical data speaks for itself. It appears a decline in the Euro is imminent (which, in market terms means ‘relax, it could be a while yet’ ).
Friday, June 23, 2017
Warning: Oil Crash Is Just Days Away From Triggering a Debt Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Graham_Summers
The Oil collapse is about to trigger a crisis in junk bonds.
Oil has been going straight down for weeks now. As we write this, black gold is below $43 a barrel, down 16% from its levels a month ago.
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Friday, June 23, 2017
Did Central Banks Just Pull the Plug On Another Credit Bubble? / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Graham_Summers
Last week the NY Fed downgraded its economic forecast for 2Q17 to just 1.9%. Even worse, it is now forecasting 2017 total growth to be a measly 1.5%.
Yes, 1.5%.
There is a clear trend to this chart… and it’s NOT up.
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Friday, June 23, 2017
SPX and NDX meet Fib and Cycle Requirements / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
You may be interested to know that the current (or should I say past) Cycle took exactly 17.2 hours of elapsed time from top to top. It also made a mere 47% Fibonacci retracement.
The next move is a break of the Broadening Wedge trendline that, when triggered, forecasts a decline beneath the Brexit low at 1991.00.
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Thursday, June 22, 2017
FAANG Is Now a Textbook Example of an Overheated, Unsustainable Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
Technology stocks suffered from a little anxiety attack in the markets last week.
It didn’t last long and really wasn’t all that serious. (Yet.) It was nothing worse than what everyone called “normal volatility” 10 years ago.
But the lack of concern it generated this time is not bullish. More than a few investors seem to think that “nowhere but up” is somehow normal.
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Thursday, June 22, 2017
More Stock Market Fluctuations Along New Record Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Wednesday, June 21, 2017
Stock Market SPX Making New Lows / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The bounce back made a 32.7% retracement which is a little suspect. However, we are now seeing an impulsive move to deeper lows. This may be a Wave (b) of the correction and could see a bounce back, but the further it goes, the less the probability of being a correction. It has crossed Short-term support at 2433.69, but may hesitate or bounce. A continued decline verifies the impulse.
Wednesday, June 21, 2017
Stock Market Is Headed for a “Minsky Moment”—It Can Happen Quickly, Too / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
Economics has a lot of overused themes and phrases. One of them is highly relevant today yet forgotten by many.
It’s “Minsky moment,” the point at which excess debt sparks a financial crisis.
The late Hyman Minsky said that such moments arise naturally when a long period of stability and complacency eventually leads to the buildup of excess debt and overleveraging.
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