Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, June 16, 2016

Stocks Fluctuate Following Recent Decline - Bottom Or Just Pause Before Another Leg Down? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,120, and profit target at 2,000, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, June 16, 2016

Fed Does Nothing As Expected.... Stock Market Nowhere As Always....Brexit on Deck... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market, for the most part, has been trading down lately due to the uncertainty the Euro zone is facing once next Thursday comes and goes. That's when we find out if Britain stays or goes out of the Euro zone. Fear of them leaving has the market mostly on the down side with the banks the most vulnerable and overall taking the hardest hits lower. They rebounded from very oversold today but they have the most risk ahead of and after the vote. If the vote is to stay they should have quite a rebound higher, but again, the unknown is having a very short-term adverse-affect for them, and, thus, the market overall. The banks are also vulnerable because, as we saw today, Fed Yellen is once again in no rush to raise rates, even though they badly need to do so. If rates stay down, and Brexit is a negative, the banks are in big trouble. Yellen is totally dependent on future Jobs Reports, with regards to deciding when to raise rates one more time for 2016.

Wednesday, June 15, 2016

During the Next Financial Crisis, Entire Countries Will Go Bust / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Graham_Summers

For seven years, the world has operated under a complete delusion that Central Banks somehow fixed the 2008 Crisis.

All of the arguments claiming this defied common sense. A 5th grader would tell you that you cannot solve a debt problem by issuing more debt. Similarly, anyone with a functioning brain could tell you that a bunch of academics with no real-world experience, none of whom have ever started a business or created a single job can’t “save” the economy.

Wednesday, June 15, 2016

Alignment Of The Dow, Interest Rates, Debt and Silver Cycles Will Deliver A Fatal Blow / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

Since the inception of the debt-based monetary system (with its fractional-reserve banking), the banks have been playing a nasty game of Russian roulette. The only reason that the system has not blown-up is because the relevant cycles have not adequately lined up to deliver a fatal blow.

They have been allowed to play it long enough, and it now appears that the fatal blow will be delivered soon (just like Russian roulette when you play it long enough). The coming Dow crash is the likely trigger that will deliver this blow.

Wednesday, June 15, 2016

Stock Market Bounce May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX may have met its match with the Broadening trendline at a 35% retracement. The peak came at 10:13 am, just 7 minutes over the 30.1 hours required to complete the Cycle.

Wednesday, June 15, 2016

How to Invest for Brexit Report / Stock-Markets / EU_Referendum

By: EWI

Dear reader,

If you follow Europe's major financial news networks, you're no doubt inundated by all the rumor and conjecture surrounding the Brexit referendum -- it dominates the headlines.

Back across the pond, the Washington Post calls it the "most important vote in Europe in a half-century."

Wednesday, June 15, 2016

Stock Market Short of the Decade? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has completed two impulses down. Wave [i] ended at 2088.30. The second impulse ended at 2064.18. If it is Wave [iii], then Wave 1 may end near 2035.00 to 2040.00, a bit short of our initial target. The second impulse has filled its only gap this morning, so it is not acting like a Wave [iii]. That suggests something else is going on.

If this is a {i]-[ii], (i)-(ii) combination, then Wave (iii) may be a multiple of the two combined waves (56.37 points).

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

Stock Market Sell Off Coming! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

This “distortion” between “risk” and “return” has created a “bubble” effect in all global equity classes. I informed my subscribers to exit the SPX on November 25^th, 2014 and to enter cash. Their equity risk exposure was reduced to zero. Momentum oscillators are now extremely overbought and are very clearly trending bearish.  I wait for confirmation before entering any new long SDS and long VXX positions.

This week (Tuesday) there is another FOMC meeting. The news of this monetary policy will be released on Wednesday, June 16^th, 2016. Expect choppier price going into the meeting and shortly thereafter.

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

QE - The Good, Bad & Ugly / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Axel_Merk

Are we better off with "QE", the ultra-accommodative monetary policy pursued by major central banks around the world? Is it "mission accomplished" or are we facing a "ticking time bomb"? Are extreme characterizations even warranted to describe the unconventional monetary policy of recent years, and what are implications for investors?

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

Stock Market, Gold Miners Forecasts Update / Stock-Markets / Articles

By: Brad_Gudgeon

I had an alternate I posted a few weeks ago that suggested that the S&P 500 would fall to 1995/96 by June 17, then rally strongly into month’s end.  Today’s market action suggests that the alternate is the likely choice going forward.

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

Germany Stock Market DAX H&S Break Leading ? / Stock-Markets / Germany

By: Joseph_VanDerveer

Simple daily chart for the last year on the The German Stock Index "DAX" which comprises 30 German blue chip stocks.

Notice the price fib. retracement from early Dec. high to Mid. Feb. low was hit first at the 50%, then 61.8%, then follows a lower high, and lower low. This may lead to lower prices in the near future.

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

Stocks Bears Defending 2100+ Pivot Still No Real Selling Ahead Of Fed And Brexit... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

Nothing has changed for nearly two years now, and I say that with a sense of sadness to everyone who plays this incredibly difficult game. Long-term lateral consolidations of this length can be looked at two ways. First is when a stock or index moves laterally for a long time it usually continues the trend in place. However, there is another side to see. If the consolidation is too long, nearly two years, you have to start wondering if the market is slowly turning over.

Tuesday, June 14, 2016

Stock Market Caution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Marty_Chenard

Well, the Banking Index (the BKX) is holding its up trending and support for now, but its longer term trend is showing a down trending channel.

The pressure is on with the 30 Relative Strength reading coming in at 50.54 (or 00.54 on our CRSI indicator).

At the same time, the Accelerator and the Timing indicator are showing down moves, so we could see trouble at this time. Be very careful now.

Monday, June 13, 2016

Stock Market Uptrend's Reversal Or Just Short-Term Downward Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 2,000, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, June 13, 2016

Former Fed President: All My Very Rich Friends Are Holding a Lot of Cash / Stock-Markets / Investing 2016

By: John_Mauldin

BY TONY SAGAMI : If you put together a list of the world’s most brilliant, most famous investment experts… they were all at John Mauldin’s Strategic Investment Conference last month.

My head is still spinning with all the information and investment ideas I heard at the conference, but the consensus among the majority of speakers was that things are going to get ugly.

Monday, June 13, 2016

Stock Market Correction Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

According to my read, the stock market as measured by the S&P 500 is about to enter roughly a 12 to 13% correction. A few weeks ago, I wrote about the dates July 5th and November 29th as being possible important cycle lows for the stock market this year.

Monday, June 13, 2016

Stock Market Overhead Resistance Prevails / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: A lengthy correction is most likely underway!

SPX Intermediate trend: Overhead resistance appears to have prevailed and turned prices short of making a new high.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, June 12, 2016

NYA/TLT 2y, Weekly Chart & Analysis - Bearish View / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Joseph_VanDerveer

Chart below shows a comparison of up-trending TLT and down-trending NYA.  I would like to point out the two TLT spikes and lows in the market indicated by the 2 gray vertical boxes.  With that in mind, TLT looks to be breaking to the upside with a weekly close higher then previous and mid channel resistance.

Saturday, June 11, 2016

US Rapidly Approaching Recession, Best Stocks Trade Setup in 8 Years is Back! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The US is now rapidly approaching, if not already in a recession.

The media likes to talk about unemployment. But the unemployment rate is so gimmicked to make the economy look strong, that even THE FED had to create its own employment metric.

When even the Fed calls out data for being phony, you know it’s complete fiction.

Saturday, June 11, 2016

US Equity Uptrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started off at SPX 2099. On Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday the market moved higher, without dropping below SPX 2099, and hit SPX 2121. Then on Thursday and Friday the market pulled back to SPX 2090, before ending the week at 2096. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.25%, and the NDX/NAZ were -1.0%. Economic reports for the week were light and mixed. On the downtick: investor holdings, consumer credit/sentiment. On the uptick: wholesale inventories, plus weekly jobless claims and the budget deficit improved. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, and Industrial production.