Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, April 26, 2016

Cyber Fraud At SWIFT – $81 Million Stolen From Central Bank, Digital Gold / Stock-Markets / Cyber Crime

By: GoldCore

Swift, the vital global financial network that western financial services companies, institutions and banks use for all payments and transfer billions of dollars every day, warned its customers yesterday evening that it was aware of cyber fraud and a number of recent “cyber incidents” where attackers had sent fraudulent messages over its system and $81 million was apparently stolen from a central bank.

Tuesday, April 26, 2016

Stock Market Holding Up...Bears Simply Have Nothing.....Fed On Deck... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market tried once again to sell today, but again the selling was nothing to talk about. The market was down decently during the trading day, but the buyers, as usual, stepped back in with authority and kept the losses quite small. The market is trying to unwind overbought oscillators with the normal, no-price depreciation set-up, which is basically all we ever see. That's classic bull-market behavior. Seven year's worth for the most part. Nothing has changed. It really is the same old. In fact, this newsletter is the same old. There's never really anything new or interesting to talk about. Any time we try to swell, the buyers come in, etc. No sustained selling other than very brief periods for seven full years with no end on the horizon. Buyers are trained to step in and buy every time we sell some.

Monday, April 25, 2016

Parameters for a Stock Market Sell Signal-in-the-making / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX bounced off both Short-term support and the rally trendline. At the time of the bounce, support was at 2077.37. There appears to be one more probe, possibly to 2088.00 to complete the retracement from today’s decline.

Friday’s bounce appears to be a 37.7% retracement of Wave (i). I wonder what happened to those 80-90% retracements?

An aggressive sell signal may be given once the trendline and Short-term support, now at 2078.20 are crossed. Further confirmation may be had at the mid-cycle support line at 2072.14.

Monday, April 25, 2016

Is July 5th the Next Stock Market Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The chart below shows a repeating pattern of 115 trading day tops on the S&P 500 virtually shadowing the 100 trading day cycle to cycle lows. The 100 TD lows can run anywhere between 85 and 115 trading days. This low is commonly referred to as the 20-week low. The 20-week low is half of the dominant 9-month low that usually runs about 40 weeks .

Monday, April 25, 2016

Stock Market S&P 500 Below 2,100 Mark - Uptrend Reversal Or Just Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Monday, April 25, 2016

Stock Market Dangerous Divergence / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: James_Quinn

The chart below would appear to be in conflict with the results of a recent Gallup poll regarding stock ownership by Americans. The ratio of household equities to money market fund assets is near a record high, 60% above the 2007 high and 30% above the 1999 internet bubble high. The chart would appear to prove irrational exuberance among the general populace.

Sunday, April 24, 2016

Stock Market Upside Objective Reached / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The beginning of a lengthy correction may be underway!

SPX Intermediate trend: Potential rally top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

Sunday, April 24, 2016

The Dow Jones is a Catalyst for Misplaced Stock Market Optimism / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Dylan_Waller

The Curious Recovery of the Dow Jones

After delivering stellar gains after America’s economic recovery in 2008, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has stalled, with a 1 year decline of 0.19%.   A further examination of the components of the Dow Jones, and most importantly how stronger performing components have replaced some of the sub par links, reveals that its strong benchmark of success after 2008 has been a catalyst for misplaced optimism for America’s stock market. Its current mediocre performance is further troublesome, as one can holistically examine a flurry of sell offs this year  in multiple sectors, such as the energy, biotechnology, and banking sectors. The Dow Jones stands as a misleading rosy shaded picture of how America, and most specifically its stock market, has recovered and continues to prevail.  Weak fundamentals can easily be seen by examining areas of America’s economy, particularly areas the middle class is most vulnerable to, as well as the stock price losses experienced in other crucial sectors of America’s economy.  A list of 30 companies is certainly too small of a sample size to holistically represent America’s stock market, yet I think the modifications and strategic exclusion of vulnerable areas makes the impact of its distortion of reality much stronger than one would initially assume.

Saturday, April 23, 2016

Stocks Bull or Bear Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2081. On Monday it dipped down to SPX 2074 and then started to rally to new uptrend highs. By late Wednesday the SPX hit 2111, and then started to decline. By Friday morning the SPX hit 2081, then bounced to end the week at 2092. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.55%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.10%, and the DJ World index gained 0.70%. Economic reports for the week were mostly positive. On the downtick: building permits, housing starts and the Philly FED. On the uptick: existing home sales, the FHFA index, leading indicators, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, Q1 GDP and the PCE. Best to your weekend and week!

Saturday, April 23, 2016

Stock Market No Real Selling....Most Indexes Strong....Nasdaq Lagging / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The Nasdaq has been lagging for the entire year and that's simply because of the higher P/E's associated with those four-letter stocks. In a declining-global environment within a forced fed-bull market the majority of the big money doesn't want to get caught in a bad, Nasdaq earnings report, and get slaughtered so that big money plays it safe and goes to the lower P/E, higher-dividend world. The result is under performance in the Nasdaq, and out performance in the S&P 500 and Dow. The Nasdaq got hit by a threesome of bad reports last night. Google Inc. (GOOG), Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) and Microsoft Corporation (MSFT). All three hit hard today. That trio, which is very heavily weighted, took the QQQ's down very hard today, although there was the usual strong move off the lows as the day wore on. The bull market was very much intact with zero signs of topping out, although there was some technical damage on the Nasdaq.

Friday, April 22, 2016

USD/JPY may be losing its influence on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The USD/JPY influence on the SPX may be waning. ZeroHedge reports, “Kuroda, we have a problem. Following rumors overnight, USDJPY is obediently being bid (Yen weaker), with its biggest day since January and pushing above 111 (highest in 3 weeks). Normally this would be all the US equity needed to spike ignorantly to new highs... but it's not...

Friday, April 22, 2016

Market Bubbles, Bubbles, Toil and... Pop / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Doug_Wakefield

"Prosperity is like a Jenna tower. Take one piece out and the whole thing can fall." That's a direct quote from John Williams, the President of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank in a speech a few weeks ago. - US Recession Data Shows It's a Very Short Road to Capital Controls, Simon Black, March 15, 2016

Thursday, April 21, 2016

Harry Dent: Stock Market 70% Crash By Late 2017 – Gold $400-$800 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

FRA Co-founder, Gordon T. Long  is joined by Harry Dent to have a detailed discussion about the state of the global economy and how investors can be prepare themselves for the turmoils to come.

Harry S. Dent, Jr. is the Founder of Dent Research, an economic forecasting firm specializing in demographic trends. His mission is “Helping People Understand Change”. Using exciting new research developed from years of hands-on business experience, Mr. Dent offers unprecedented and refreshingly understandable tools for seeing the key economic trends that will affect your life, your business, and your investments over the rest of your lifetime.

Thursday, April 21, 2016

Stocks, Dollar, Oil and Gold - What a Difference a Couple of Months Makes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gary_Savage

My what a difference a couple of months makes. Several months ago everyone was convinced that stocks were starting a protracted bear market. Many expected it to be even worse than the last one in 2008/09.

A couple of months ago everyone was calling for 110-120 on the dollar index.

A couple of months ago everyone knew that oil was going to the low 20’s or even into the teens.

Thursday, April 21, 2016

Stock Market Highest Since Early November - Will It Continue Even Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Thursday, April 21, 2016

Stocks Bear Market 2016 Illusion Persists Despite Dow Targeting New All Time High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The so called great stocks bear market of 2016 that apparently began following the Dow's May 2015 all time high of Dow 18,351, has seen bear market rhetoric reaching its most fever pitch as the Dow bottomed out in late August 2015 at Dow 15,370, and then again more recently in January of this year. So how has this so called bear market been progressing? A bear market heralded by even those who may have been bullish from time to time.

Thursday, April 21, 2016

US Presidential Election Candidates Confirm: No Stock Market Crash This Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Clif_Droke

A CNN Money article this weekend provided contrarian investors with a moment of clarity.  “Trump and Cruz predict stock market ‘crash’” the headline proclaimed.  Contrarians couldn’t find a more emphatic statement of mainstream bearish capitulation than that.

The market opinions of high-profile public figures are always as fascinating as they are instructive.  Most public figures have only an elementary grasp on the financial markets; this is doubly true for politicians and political candidates.  In instances when these figures make public predictions about the market it’s almost a guaranteed contrarian bet that they’ll be wrong.

Thursday, April 21, 2016

Stock Market Sloppy-Choppy, Topsy-Turvy Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a topsy-turvy day today as they were up and down more times than ocean waves during a bad storm. They opened to the upside, went down and then up several times, until they had a strong rally to resistance at about 4560 Nasdaq 100, pulled back mid-afternoon, rallied back to that level, took it out by a point, but couldn’t maintain. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 was making higher-highs all day, reaching 2111, not confirmed by the Nasdaq 100. In the afternoon in the last hour, they sold off pretty sharply, gave back a big chunk of the gains, but still managed to close slightly positive.

Thursday, April 21, 2016

Stock Market Can't Sell....Froth Ramping Quickly... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

The market is in the zone. No sellers. It tries to sell, but simply can't. The S&P 500, after gapping up early, fell back about a ten handle. Once it goes red the buyers come rushing back in. Complacency at its finest. And how strange that we opened higher since last night the futures were hit down after Intel Corp (INTC) reported a very weak yearly outlook on top of twelve thousand layoffs. The stock was down 3%, only, of course, to come rocking back today. As usual the futures recovered, and the market said sorry bears. There doesn't seem to be anything that can hit this market lower. Think about it. Most of the big names thus far have had very poor reports. The market doesn't care. Even if that stock falls the market simply rotates away.

Wednesday, April 20, 2016

Stocks or US Dollar About to Enter a Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Michael_Pento

The first month and a half of 2016 were brutal for the U.S. equity market, as the major averages plunged over 10%. The culmination of the decline came on Feb 11th when the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 1.6%, and the S&P 500 decreased 1.2%. Since then, the market has managed to hobble back to its 2015 closing level, leaving major averages relatively flat for the year.

But to understand where the market is heading from here we need to recognize what caused the selloff in early 2016 and what led to the recent rebound.