Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, July 28, 2014
Stock Market One FINAL High? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - One final high needed to produce the start of an intermediate correction.
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Sunday, July 27, 2014
Stock Market Breakout Doesn't Hold... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
When anything breaks out, whether it's a stock or a single index or the entire market, you need to get a follow-through with power. Not only that, when you break out, you need to power through on the day you actually do so. We broke out over 1985 on the S&P 500, but only by a little more than a point. It held the next day but only added one additional point. A red flag to be sure. Yesterday it all fell apart with a big gap down due mostly to two earnings reports. Visa Inc. (V) and Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), one froth and one not froth, took it on the chin as both had warnings. AMZN on bigger than expected losses, and V on future growth due to a slowing global economy.
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Sunday, July 27, 2014
Wall Street Shadow Banking: You Can’t Taper a Ponzi Scheme: “Time to Reboot” / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Ellen_Brown
One thing to be said for the women now heading the Federal Reserve and the IMF: compared to some of their predecessors, they are refreshingly honest. The Wall Street Journal reported on July 2nd:
Read full article... Read full article...Two of the world’s most powerful women of finance sat down for a lengthy discussion Wednesday on the future of monetary policy in a post-crisis world: U.S. Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen and International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde. Before a veritable who’s-who in international economics packing the IMF’s largest conference hall, the two covered all the hottest topics in debate among the world’s central bankers, financiers and economists.
Saturday, July 26, 2014
Derivatives Market Species Origins - Abuse, Props and Risks / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
By: Jim_Willie_CB
The topic of financial derivatives is a huge can of worms. The subject has arisen in the financial press much more in the last few years since the global financial crisis turned critical and became a clear case of grand struggle to prevent a veritable collapse. In a loose sense, the derivatives are the scotch tape, bailing wire, band-aids, and chewing gum holding the system together, the glue and adhesive, with rose colored glasses used with a large amount of deception. Another analogy preferred for usage by the Jackass is the floating fabricated foundation laden with vaporous illicit toxic fabric, the phony platform on which insolvent structures lie. That the big banks do not serve well as credit engines or investment crucibles is no surprise. They are insolvent, and their derivative foundation is fractured. It is very difficult to explain how the derivatives serve as foundation. Imagine a spinning wheel, spinning very fast, except that the flat disk has almost zero mass. It spins so fast that it appears to serve as a platform which can support weight. Its floor is mentioned more than seen. It is fake, an illusion.
Saturday, July 26, 2014
Stock Market Manipulation and Technical Analysis / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Anonymous
It is no secret that the markets are manipulated. Periodically, the question is asked if the Dow theory, cycles or any other technical methods can remain valid in a world of extreme manipulation. The short answer is, Yes. While manipulation can have a temporary effect on the market by stretching a cycle, it cannot fix the underlying problem or negate the natural cyclical rhythm of the economy or the market. In fact, history clearly shows that it is not nice to mess with Mother Nature in that the inevitable cyclical ebb and flow will have its way. So, yes, the natural cyclical forces of the market can be extended through manipulative practices, but ultimately such manipulation only serves to make matters much worse in the end. Thus, the efforts to manipulate, control the market and the economy and even the belief that they can be controlled is a cycle in itself. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, July 26, 2014
China’s Stock Market Finally Looks Like A Buy / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Sy_Harding
Is China’s economy, the second largest in the world, a disaster coming down to a hard landing, which has been the popular forecast for four or five years now? Or is it merely slowing from unsustainable double-digit growth of more than 12% a few years ago, to a more reasonable and sustainable pace?
This week the International Monetary Fund cut its forecast for China’s 2014 economic growth to 7.4% from its 7.5% forecast in April.
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Friday, July 25, 2014
Stock Market Early Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
VIX has completed its pullback to the declining trading channel trendline. This morning it has crossed above the 50-day Moving Average and is on an SPX aggressive sell signal. This would be confirmed above mid-Cycle resistance at 13.54.
Friday, July 25, 2014
Why the Stock Market Is Heading For A Fall - This Time Is Not Different / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: LewRockwell
David Stockman writes: The 2008 Wall Street meltdown is long forgotten, having been washed away by a tsunami of central bank liquidity. Indeed, the S&P closed yesterday at 1,983—or up by nearly 200% from its March 2009 low. Yet four cardinal measures of Main Street economic health convey nothing like a 2X pick-up from the post-crisis bottom.
Thursday, July 24, 2014
Where to Invest: With Macroinvestors or Macroeconomists / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
By: Fred_Sheehan
Stanley Druckenmiller, the justly renowned investor, spoke at the Delivering Alpha conference on Wednesday, July 16, 2014. Quoting Druckenmiller: "As a macro investor, my job for 30 years was to anticipate changes in the economic trends that were not expected by others - and therefore not yet reflected in securities prices. I certainly made my share of mistakes over the years, but I was fortunate enough to make outsized gains a number of times when we had different views from various central banks."
Thursday, July 24, 2014
Stock Market Clear and Present Danger Zone / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: DeviantInvestor
Ding, Ding, Ding! The bell tolls, not for the 1%, but for the remaining 99% in Europe, the UK, Japan, and the US.
What Danger Zone? The powers-that-be must find a way to keep the masses under control, raise taxes, enrich themselves and monetize the debt. The result will be currency devaluations, blood, inflation, distractions (such as downed airliners and new wars), banker bonuses, continued payoffs to politicians, and so much more.
Thursday, July 24, 2014
Instability is the New Normal? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Axel_Merk
Once upon a time, there were safe havens in this world, places where investors could hide when the going got rough. If you believe this fairy tale world will persist, pinch yourself. In our assessment, not only are there no safe havens left, but instability may be the new normal. Is your portfolio ready?
Thursday, July 24, 2014
S&P 500 Record Intraday and Closing Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short.
Key indexes around the globe are exhibiting little volatility in the wake global conflict. The Nikkei and Dow closed the day down 0.10% and 0.16%, respectively. The Eurozone’s STOXX 50 was up 0.12%.
The S&P 500 took center stage for US indexes, setting new intraday and closing records despite ongoing tensions in Europe and the Middle East. The index opened higher, quickly sold off to its -0.05% intraday low and then rallied to a record intraday high, up 0.29%. After a minor lunch-hour dip, it spent the afternoon in a narrow trading range to its 0.18% gain for a record close.
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Thursday, July 24, 2014
S&P Stock Market Breakout...Barely... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Which means it's not really officially on breakout in my world. I want a breakout at least half, if not a full, percent above the necessary price. That said, it's so impressive that this market could break out on any level considering the global tensions we're facing, along with the insane amount of froth that's out there. Shows you just how strong bull markets can be. They don't need much, if any, excuses to try higher. They simply go on their merry way as the bears know the odds are usually stacked against them, especially when the Ms. Yellen has had her say about rates and where they're going.
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Wednesday, July 23, 2014
A Big Stock Market Investment Mistake You Don't Know You're Making / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
By: DailyWealth
Dr. David Eifrig writes: Buy American.
It's a patriotic investment idea.
After all, you keep your money invested in American businesses. And many of the best companies in the world are based in the United States.
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Wednesday, July 23, 2014
Stock Market Final Thrust Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
Yesterday I commented that the final Wave needed to have 5 lesser waves in the last thrust. This appears to be it. The target for this wavelet is 2000.00 in the SPX. Round numbers appear to have a psychological attraction and this is no different.
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Tuesday, July 22, 2014
Will Argentina’s Debt Crisis Rock the Global Financial Markets? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Clif_Droke
One of the recurring headlines adding to the “wall of worry” is the battle between U.S. hedge funds and the Argentina government over payment of the country’s bond debt stemming from the country’s 1998-2002 economic crisis. Pundits worry that a default is imminent and that the country faces a bleak future if fails to pay hedge fund managers $1.3 billion by a court-mandated July 30 deadline. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, July 22, 2014
Stock Market VIX Analysis / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Ed_Carlson
The CBOE Market Volatility index, or VIX, is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices. The VIX moves inversely with equities so that when equities are rising, the VIX is falling and vice versa.
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Tuesday, July 22, 2014
Enough With The Stock Market Bubble Talk Already / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
So much analysis we see and hear lately is concerned with whether the stock market is in a bubble or not. A sampling of headlines in the last month or so:
‘It’s Time to Worry About a Stock Market Bubble.’
‘Five Warning Signs of a Stock Market Bubble’
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Tuesday, July 22, 2014
Stock Market Bears Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
So maybe that means we gap up tomorrow, or maybe someone will finally the initiative and run this thing one way or the other. It is absolutely ridiculous how this market is gapping up, literally, every day. Yet the market goes nowhere as the trend is your turn, and then my turn. Each side is having their single day of action, and then forfeiting it over to the other side the very next day. Unusual to say the least. This type of behavior is often seen at major tops, but you can't be sure if that's what's happening here.
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Monday, July 21, 2014
Stock Market One More Pull Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - One final high needed to produce the start of an intermediate correction.
Read full article... Read full article...