Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, May 18, 2014
U.S. Bond Market Warning to Stock Market Traders / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Investment_U
Christopher Rowe writes: The 10-year Treasury note just fell to a seven-month low and is a hair away from an 11-month low. This week’s chart compares the S&P 500 to the Treasury rate for a 10-year period.
The chart shows the 10-Year Treasury Index (^TNX). Move the decimal one space to the left to get the current interest rate. EXAMPLE: TNX is at 29.50 when the “10-Year” pays 2.95% interest.
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Saturday, May 17, 2014
Sayanora ¥, Konichiwa Nikkei San / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jonathan_Davis
In 1989 The Nikkei index touched just short of 40,000.
Today it’s around 14,000.
There is an almost 100% inverse correlation in the relationship between the ¥ and the Japanese stock market. Thus, as the ¥ rises then the Nikkei will fall. And vice versa.
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Saturday, May 17, 2014
Nasdaq Tech Stock Index Next Surge Higher? Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another week in which a new all time high was sold off. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.3%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.7%, and the DJ World index was +0.2%. Economic reports came in about 2 to 1 to the positive. On the uptick: retail sales, business inventories, the PPI/CPI, the NY FED, housing starts, building permits, the WLEI, the monetary base, plus, weekly jobless claims improved and the treasury ran a surplus. On the downtick: export/import prices, industrial production, the Philly FED, the NAHB index, and consumer sentiment. Next week few economic reports, but we do have the FOMC minutes plus existing/new home sales. Best to your week!
Saturday, May 17, 2014
Biotech Stocks with Upside From a Down Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: TLSReport
A downtrending market is troublesome for investors, but does present interesting opportunities through creation of lower valuations. Finding the right names in the wobbly life sciences environment requires a sharp eye and depth of experience. In this interview with The Life Sciences Report, J.P. Morgan Senior Biotechnology Analyst and Managing Director Geoff Meacham, a veteran analyst and cell biologist, brings eight important names to investors' attention and explains why they are still growth stories.
The Life Sciences Report: Geoff, you're a cell biologist by training. What have you brought from that early experience to your career as a sellside analyst?
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Friday, May 16, 2014
Wall Street Says It’s Different This Time / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
It’s a good thing it’s different this time! We know it is because Wall Street says so.
The high-valuation levels indicated by the Shiller CAPE 10 Price/Earnings Ratio mean nothing this time, because things are different than when that indicator’s similar readings in previous periods were accompanied by market tops.
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Friday, May 16, 2014
Has the Stocks Bear Market Returned? Maybe / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Toby_Connor
Following up on my last article it does look like stocks have begun to move down into the yearly cycle low that I was expecting.
The failed breakout was a big warning sign. After a month and a half consolidation there was no reason for the breakout to fail. By the second test of the 1900 level stocks should have built up enough energy to break through and hold at that point.
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Friday, May 16, 2014
Gold, Oil And S&P500 Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Gregor_Horvat
S&P500 has turned bearish in this week and even accelerated lower yesterday. More importantly, prices fell through the channel support line connected from 1803 low, and also moved slightly beneath wave (e) swing low of a wave B triangle. Such price action, especially broken upward channel suggests that market completed a three wave rise from 1803 to 1898. With that said, we assume that market will continue lower now within wave C) that is part of a corrective blue wave (4) that can be a flat.
Thursday, May 15, 2014
How to Manage a Financial Crisis… Before It Happens / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Don_Miller
My wife Jo and I live in Central Florida, and having ridden out a few hurricanes in our lives, we’re as well prepared as we can be for emergencies. We have, among other things, a generator, food, batteries, candles, and a water purification kit.
My wife and I visited Punta Gorda, FL, after the town suffered severe hurricane damage in 2004. After driving one block to the grocery store, we raced out of there with burning eyes and handkerchiefs covering our noses and mouths. We immediately drove back to the motel, changed our clothes, and put what we were wearing in a plastic bag. We’d never seen anything like that before, and it left quite an impression.
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Thursday, May 15, 2014
Stock Market Rampant Deception / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jesse
This is a particularly situation here in the equity markets.
Deception is rampant in the accounting for company numbers. The trading is very 'technical' and the underpinnings of the stock market are as sound as a three card monte game.
Thursday, May 15, 2014
SPX On Its Way Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is on its way, first to the 50-day Moving Average at 1868.64, then to its hourly cycle Bottom at 1860.47. At this rate of decline, we could see this accomplished by the close of the day.
This may be an appropriate level at which to start adding short positions. Further evidence below supports this view.
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Thursday, May 15, 2014
There Are No Markets Anymore / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Raul_I_Meijer
It’s a fun day in finance so far today. Eurozone growth is not going anywhere, but there’s no lack of positive anticipations for the future. Is there ever? Q1 GDP in the Netherlands actually shrank to the tune of -1.4%, but they have a great explanation for that. It’s because of – drumroll, wait for it – … the mild winter! The weather can be used to explain anything and everything these days. Where the US economy was hurt by a harsh winter, the Dutch went down because their winter wasn’t harsh enough.
Thursday, May 15, 2014
Stock Market S&P 500 Bounced Off 1,900 Level – Uptrend Reversal Or Just A Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,850, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bullish, and our short-term outlook remains neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bullish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, May 15, 2014
Stock Market False Breakout and Reversal.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
You've heard the expression suck and spit. We have just that folks. For now anyway. The Dow broke out on a closing basis, but it's only thirty stocks. I wanted to see the S&P 500 break out above its old high on a closing basis at 1897. It reached 1902 intraday yesterday, but closed below. Today it fell hard. The Nasdaq cleared its 50-day exponential moving average yesterday intraday as well only to close below. Today it fell hard again. It's not the action you want to see at breakout levels. Small caps are simply terrible.
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Wednesday, May 14, 2014
How the Government and the Fed are Looting Your Accumulated Wealth / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: EWI
Greetings,
We have just obtained an engaging -- and perhaps even an enraging -- new report that chronicles 200 years of ineptitude, 100 years of theft and failure, and 50 years of economic regression by the Fed and the U.S. government -- committed against YOU.
The government and the quasi-governmental bank, the U.S. Federal Reserve, do not want you to read this report we are about to share with you, because it uncovers the devastating impact they have had on the nation's money (YOUR money), as well as the U.S. economy and financial markets.
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Wednesday, May 14, 2014
The True Parasites Of Finance / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Raul_I_Meijer
This morning I saw an article by Barry Ritholtz on Bloomberg that got my few remaining active neurons going (or I think it was them). The title alone, The Parasites of Finance, did that, actually. I sort of knew, since I’ve known Barry’s work at the Big Picture site for quite some time, what he would talk about, and I knew I wouldn’t – fully – agree.
Or rather, it’s like this: I have nothing against Barry, and he does make some valid points in the article, but in my view his focus is too narrow for the title he’s chosen, willingly or not. But then Barry works in finance, and I don’t. For me the parasites of finance form a much larger group than for him. And that is the direct result of government policies, such as the promotion of creative fantasy accounting and the refusal to restructure debt, multiplied by the tens of trillions of dollars of future wealth that have been pumped into the financial system in the form of QE and other stimuli, lest the system collapse on the spot.
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Tuesday, May 13, 2014
Prechter Slams the Fed, Pulls Back Curtain on 200 Years of Government Ineptitude / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: EWI
Recently, Barron's included an article from Robert
Prechter, founder of Elliott Wave International (EWI), the
world's largest financial forecasting firm. It was adapted
from a recent issue of Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist,
the investment letter the famed market forecaster has published
every month since 1979.
Part monetary history lesson, part big-picture market forecast, the full report -- Barron's published only part of it -- uncovers "200 Years of Ineptitude, 100 Years of Theft and Failure, and 50 Years of Economic Regression."
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Tuesday, May 13, 2014
Stock Market VIX Term Structure / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Ed_Carlson
The VIX term structure illustrates, by maturity, market expectations of volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices. The chart (figure 1) below shows the option market's expectation of future market volatility as of last Friday. Currently, the VIX term structure is the steepest it has been in several months. This is a sign of complacency among market participants. Contrarians consider this to be bearish for the equity market.
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Tuesday, May 13, 2014
Dow On Breakout....S&P 500 and Nasdaq At Critical Resistance.....Froth Rising Fast.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
No shock that the area of the market that has the lowest P/E's and the highest dividends broke out first. The Dow has been the safety trade by far and continues to be so. The S&P 500 is a point away. A move over 1897 is the breakout for the S&P 500, and with today's close basically at the highs, it bodes well that it should break out over time. The Nasdaq, however, is also trying for a breakout, but it's quite different than the breakout of the Dow or S&P 500. The Nasdaq is trying to just get through its 50-day exponential moving average and trend line. We close a point above the 50's, but does not mean we have a true breakout yet. Give me at least half a percent if not a full percent, and I'm happier that the move is for real.
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Tuesday, May 13, 2014
The Good, the Bad and the Investor Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
By: Frank_Holmes
The press is demanding the attention of investors more than ever. Whether it was the recent jobs report or last week’s testimony from Janet Yellen, sorting through the market noise is no easy task. Since the world is so interconnected from Facebook to WhatsApp, a spark of news can ignite unfounded fear in an instant. What’s truly significant when it comes to your investments?
Tuesday, May 13, 2014
Stock Market Crash to New All Time High Dow 16,695 S&P1897 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Major U.S. stock market indices continue to confound perma bear rhetoric that has seen virtually every minor correction of the past 5 YEARS as the start of a bear market or worse an always imminent crash that has succeeded in scaring most retail investors out of bull market for its duration. When the reality is that if a crash has been taking place than it has been to the UPSIDE as illustrated by the Dow in the face of this time the "'Top is In' mantra resolving to close up another 112 points at 16,695 marking its 3rd closing new all time high of the year whilst the S&P added 18.17 to close at a new high of 1896.65.