Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, May 05, 2014
Stock Market Critical Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Probably tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Monday, May 05, 2014
Stock Market Megaphone Top, Gold, Oil Commodities Down into Mid Year Correction / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Toby_Connor
So far my 2014 expectations are playing out pretty much as planned, with a few adjustments. With the threat of war in the Ukraine I think the final bubble phase in stocks is now off the table. I doubt we can get the euphoric buying pressure necessary to generate a parabola as long as tensions in Eastern Europe continue to escalate. No bubble phase in stocks = no capitulation phase in gold. The Ukraine event was a game changer.
Monday, May 05, 2014
Stock Market Choppy Earnings Season but the Bull Remains Firmly Intact / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Christopher_Quigley
It was a choppy earnings season but despite its volatility the bull trend remains very much intact.
The Dow Transports and Dow Industrials both are trending upward with higher highs and higher lows and both indices are in congruence. (Though it must be noted that the Transports Index is significantly stronger than the Industrials). In addition The VIX remains at historically low levels and the Advance/Decline line shows no sign of any technical stress what-so-ever.
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Sunday, May 04, 2014
Elliott Wave Analysis of Dow Stock Index 5th Wave Terminating Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: WavePatternTraders
The trend from Oct 2011 is likely in its final stages, it appears wave [5] could be a possible ending diagonal so we are monitoring a potential bearish wedge shape, the RSI appears to be confirming the advance being a 5th wave terminating rally.
Once completed we are looking for opportunities to sell the DOW either by selling the market directing via the YM (e-mini futures) or potentially buying puts.
Sunday, May 04, 2014
Is it Time to Sell Australia Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: WavePatternTraders
XJO
I had initially suspected a major peak was in place back in April 2013, with a potentially completed pattern it looked like that forecast was starting to work, but nothing tends to be that simple these days, the decline from the 2013 peak started to look very corrective, so I had to abandon the call for a peak and look for alternatives ideas that would suggest a move higher, even if a marginal new high.
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Sunday, May 04, 2014
Stock Market Elliott Wave Primary III Still Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market made some progress this week. Thanks to the two gap up openings early in the week, and no surprises from the FED or Q1 GDP. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.95%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.35%, and the DJ World index was +1.10%. Economic reports for the week remained positive. On the uptick: pending homes sales, ADP, Chicago PMI, personal income/spending, PCE, ISM manufacturing, construction spending, auto sales, Payrolls, factory orders, and the WLEI. On the downtick: Case-Shiller, Q1 GDP, the monetary base, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week we get reports on ISM services and Consumer credit, plus Congressional testimony from FED chair Yellen on Wednesday.
Saturday, May 03, 2014
Stock Market Friday Failure ...But Still Nothing Bearish..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
The market received the news it was looking for this morning. The market was right near the breakout on both the S&P 500 and Dow with great news to move it on through. Didn't happen. The futures blasted up showing a breakout, but they failed as the pre-market period wore on. We gapped up a bit, but the day was not to be kind to the bulls with regards to that breakout. The S&P 500 came within six points of its old high before falling. The Dow came close as well before selling as the day wore on, while the Nasdaq got within a few points of back testing its 50-day exponential moving average. That too was the sell off point. To sum it up, the Nasdaq failed below its 50's, while the S&P 500 and Dow failed at horizontal breakout prices.
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Friday, May 02, 2014
How Bubbles Burst In A Global Market / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Raul_I_Meijer
More curious numbers every day. An increase of 288,000 jobs in the BLS report’s Establishment Survey, but a decline of 73,000 jobs in the Household Survey; an additional 988,000 Americans left the labor force for an all time high of 92 million not in the labor force, as the Labor Participation Rate moved towards lowest since January 1978 and the Birth/Death model added 234,000 jobs. This is where I think: you tell me.
Thursday, May 01, 2014
Three Ways to Profit from an Exhausted Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: DailyGainsLetter
George Leong writes: When I’m looking at the screens each day, I notice there’s some selling capitulation occurring that makes me think back to 2000, when the technology stocks imploded.
Now, while I doubt we are seeing a repeat of 14 years ago, you have to wonder about the mad dash to the exits for many of the high-momentum technology stocks along with small-cap stocks. The small-caps are under threat, with the Russell 2000 down nearly eight percent in 2014 so far and close to five percent in April alone. Watch as the index is just above its 200-day moving average (MA).
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Thursday, May 01, 2014
Markets Offering High Risk Low Reward? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Submissions
Rajveer Rawlin writes: Lets look at the following charts:
The Dow long term chart shows a broadening top megaphone pattern, we are near the top of this pattern and a triple top could be underway in the daily chart
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Thursday, May 01, 2014
The Stocks Bull Market That Won't Quit....For Now...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Last night and this morning's pre-market offered up opportunities for the bears to do some real technical damage due to a one-two punch from earnings last night, and a terrible Goodrich Petroleum Corp. (GDP) report this morning before trading began. Express Scripts Holding Company (ESRX), Panera Bread Company (PNRA), eBay Inc. (EBAY) and Twitter, Inc., the most important earnings for the evening, all bombed out on their reports. All fell very hard after those numbers were reported. Four for four on the downside, and not just down a little bit but down between four and thirteen percent.
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Wednesday, April 30, 2014
European Stock Markets Cliff Ahead? / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: John_Mauldin
By Dirk Steinhoff
(This article originally appeared in World Money Analyst)
When Kevin Brekke, managing editor [of World Money Analyst], contacted me last week, I knew it was time again to survey the investment landscape. This month, I will focus on Europe and its decoupled financial and real-economy markets.
Globally, the last two years were marked by booming stock exchanges of developed markets, disappointing bond markets, and devastation across the precious metals markets.
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Wednesday, April 30, 2014
The Boy In The Bubble / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Raul_I_Meijer
That’s how I feel these days, or I should say these years. Since the name of this site comes from Paul Simon’s song by that title, it comes easily. Funny enough, I watched one of the Making of Graceland docs on Sunday night, and then on Monday morning read that the grand small 70-year old songwriter has been arrested because his wife’s mother had called 911 for a domestic disturbance situation. Given that Edie Brickell is about a foot taller than Simon, that made me smile. All the more so because in the documentary he’s talking about how he’s not good at writing angry songs, and that’s why Graceland came out the way it did, instead of being filled with loud protests against the injustices of South Africa. But, he said, outside of my songs, I’m very capable of expressing my anger, and I do get angry. Got ya, Paul.
Wednesday, April 30, 2014
Inflation? MEH! Rising Interest Rates? MEH! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Jonathan_Davis
I wrote, here 2 weeks ago, how Government Bond yields have been falling and look as if they will continue to do so. This suggests the Bond markets forecast, at least, falling inflation and, possibly, outright deflation.
Why might they think this?
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Wednesday, April 30, 2014
Japan - Gyver & Guffin / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: John_Mauldin
This week’s TTMYGH revolves around “Macs.” The first is a man-turned-verb who was capable of extricating himself from seemingly hopeless situations, armed with an array of tools seemingly singularly unsuited to the purpose; and the second is an ingenious, though ultimately futile, plot device which has been used by everyone from Welles to Hitchcock to Tarantino.
Though at first blush it’s hard to see a link between the two, in today’s world there are Angus MacGyvers everywhere, beetling away with duct tape and Swiss army knives, trying to extricate themselves from completely hopeless situations; and if they are to succeed before the credits roll, they must rely upon one very important thing: the suspension of disbelief by their audience.
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Tuesday, April 29, 2014
Hybrid Lindsay Anticipates a Stock Market Drop This Week / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Ed_Carlson
Last week's Commentary showed a forecast for an expected high in the Dow near Monday, 4/21/14. Last week's high came on Tuesday, one day later than expected. This week I will attempt to use my "Hybrid" Lindsay model to forecast the next low in the Dow. The Hybrid Lindsay model is my own approach to forecasting intermediate highs and lows which, as far as we know, Lindsay never published any forecasts. This model draws heavily on the work of George Lindsay.
Tuesday, April 29, 2014
Stock Market Pop-n-drop Tuesday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
Yesterday evening as I looked at the SPX, it appeared complete, as the retracement had gone 61.8% as of the close. However, the Wave structure of the retracement was 3-3-3, when it should have been 3-3-5. This morning it appears that the 5th wave may go to thew top of Wave (iv) at 1877.02 or the 78.6% retracement at 1877.63.
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Tuesday, April 29, 2014
Stock Market S&P 1,880 or Bust Again – China’s Melting Away! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
What total BS this market is.
NDX fell all the way to 3,480 yesterday but finished the day at 3,556, recovering 76 points (2%) in two hours. Hey, a few more days of gains at that rate and we'll be well over the 1999 highs – GO MARKETS!!!
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Tuesday, April 29, 2014
Stock Market - Finally Some Bullish Signs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,850, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bullish, and our short-term outlook remains neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bullish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, April 28, 2014
Why A Stock Market Collapse Would Be A Good Thing / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Raul_I_Meijer
I’m not going to argue here that a market collapse would be a positive thing no matter what, because the implications of a true collapse would be so deep and widespread that they’re too hard for anyone to oversee. But having said that, truth finding and price discovery are crucial for a functioning economy, and there is not a shred of truth left in the markets nor is it possible to discover anything about any price as a free market would have set it. And that means there’s no trust or confidence left in markets, there’s only a shaky trust in authorities propping them up. Neither of which can last forever.