Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, December 08, 2013
Why 401K Stock Investors Should Move to Cash / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement
Actively Monitor 401k Designations
The stock market is so corrupt, such a gamed enterprise it is comical and is no place for 401k type investors to have their life savings and only retirement funds at risk with the lunatics and absolute corruption of the US stock market.
I am an experienced market participant so I know all the tricks from the inside, and even I am fooled by Wall Street shenanigans from time to time, and I have seen it all and have historical data and sophisticated tools that the mom and pop investor has absolutely no ability to access.
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Saturday, December 07, 2013
Stocks Rise On Peachy U.S. Jobs Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Stocks rose sharply on better-than-expected Nonfarm Payrolls report.
What happened to all the fear about the taper?
The tape will be painted into the year end. There are a lot of hedge fund and trading desk bonuses at stake.
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Saturday, December 07, 2013
Jobs, Jobs and More Jobs.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market was keyed in to this report for many reasons, some of them for the wrong reason and some for the right reason. The wrong reason is worrying about tapering. Tapering is good news, and only fools will sell when that becomes a reality. The good reason is clear. More jobs means more people who aren't struggling. That should be ultimately what it's all about. The Jobs Report came in at two-hundred thousand new jobs created versus the consensus of a hundred and eighty thousand expected. Not too hot so folks weren't too unnecessarily worried about tapering. On the other hand, it was strong enough to show the economy is improving. Goldilocks report, and with it the futures rocked, fell, and then blasted up again. It was strong all day, and is set up to possibly break out again, although that's still unclear.
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Friday, December 06, 2013
Stock Market Pop-n-Drop Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Good Morning!
The action this morning may be clarifying the Elliott Wave structure. It also sets up the SPX for a Minute Wave [c] pop to 1797.64 – 1800.00.
The Monthly Employment Situation Report is bringing Tape talk back…big time.
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Friday, December 06, 2013
Stock Market Short Term pull-back Developing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
It is highly probable that a short-term correction is developing in the markets.
The price point to watch on the Dow Industrials is 15750 and on the Transports it is 7100. If these levels hold solidly over the next few days then we will more than likely have a year-end rally. However, if they break over the next week or so the Industrials could quickly fall by 1000 points to the October lows.
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Friday, December 06, 2013
The Mother of All Bubbles? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Michael Lombardi writes: As I often harp on about in these pages; economic growth occurs when the general standard of living in a country gets better. You can’t say an economy is improving when a significant portion of the population is suffering. You can’t claim there’s economic growth when the poverty rate is increasing. You can’t say the economy is improving when personal incomes and savings are declining.
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Thursday, December 05, 2013
Will the Least Loved Stocks Bull Market Throw a Taper Tantrum? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
It’s been dubbed the “Least Loved” Bull market in history. The US-stock market rally is now 57-months old, and over this time period, the S&P-500 index has climbed a “wall of worry,” rising +170% from its March 9th, 2009 low, and hitting an all-time high, above the 1,800-level. But only this year, did it begin to earn the grudging respect of smaller retail investors. They’ve plowed $175-billion into equity funds so far this year, after withdrawing $750-billion in the previous six years. The “Least Loved Bull” now ranks as the fourth biggest percentage gainer in history. If it can manage to avoid a -20% swoon over the next three months, it would become only the sixth Bull market to celebrate its fifth birthday.
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Thursday, December 05, 2013
Fiat Currencies, Debt, Liquidity Become Credit and Credit is Debt / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2013
Perceptions of FLOWS have now taken control of the global financial market. Investors must carefully consider where the Risks are looming and rapidly growing.
In the new world dominated by Fiat Currencies and Debt, Liquidity has become Credit and Credit is Debt.
Credit and Debt are often used interchangeably as simply the opposite sides of the same coin, but there are important differences and the distinctions are critical to understanding when this game will end and why.
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Thursday, December 05, 2013
Is U.S. Inflation Running at 7.7%? / Stock-Markets / Inflation
Michael Lombardi writes:
Can you believe this?
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports the U.S. economy experienced deflation in October. The Consumer Price Index (CPI), a widely followed government measure of inflation, declined 0.1% in October.
The Producer Price Index (PPI), which measures the change in prices that producers pay, also declined in October—by 0.2%, continuing its slide from September when it declined 0.1%. (Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics web site, last accessed December 2, 2013.)
Thursday, December 05, 2013
Stock Market Bears Came Oh So Close.....Sentiment Out Of Control... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
But they didn't get it done. It looked good for them. They had the S&P 500 well below the 20-day exponential moving average, but they just couldn't keep it below far enough to give them some confidence going forward. The problem being each time the S&P 500 got to 30 RSI on the 60-minute short-term chart it bounced hard. The bears ultimately needing to keep the market oversold for an extended period of time to get that break down below the 20's and head lower with force. It shouldn't be hard, one would think, when markets get complacent, but the bears haven't been able to accomplish anything yet. You know they will in time because there's no other alternative. Sentiment will get unwound in time.
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Wednesday, December 04, 2013
Russia Investment Opportunities, Stocks Selling at Deep Discounts / Stock-Markets / Russia
Kim Iskyan writes: Last month, I caught up with an old friend in Moscow.
My friend is a banker. He has lived in Russia for 10 years... and he has seen all kinds of economic swings in what was the old Soviet Union. He has also seen an extraordinary turn of events...
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Wednesday, December 04, 2013
German DAX Stock Index And AUDUSD Look Weaker / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Traders, the stock market is looking weak for the last 24-48 hours. We have seen DJIA, S&P500 and NASDAQ all down between 0.2 and 0.6%. The similar pattern was also seen during Asian session with NIKKEI and HSI down 2.17 and 0.76%. German DAX also reversed significantly lower in this week so it seems that stocks are turning slightly bearish but most likely only for another correction. On German DAX daily chart I see wave four unfolding back to 8970/80 region.
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Wednesday, December 04, 2013
Stock Market Indices Uptrends Are Intact / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short. This is an update of the bullish trend in stocks that I have been monitoring for some time. First let me say I fully understand the macro-headwind of enormous debt. I’m also aware some argue there remains excessive leverage and risk-taking in the economy, poor demographics (e.g. large generation retiring), and less than stellar growth, which is often referenced by those in disbelief of the current rally. I also understand that weekly economic reports are often contradictory to this stock market rally. But one thing remains quite clear — the trend is up until it isn’t (Thanks Yogi).
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Tuesday, December 03, 2013
Inflation - Gasoline $1/Gallon / Stock-Markets / Inflation
My children will never let me forget this: while on a Carter-era family vacation to Florida, I pulled into a gas station and abruptly drove off, announcing, "I'll be damned if I will pay $1/gallon for gasoline." With each passing mile on I-75, the prices got higher and I became even more frustrated. Finally, I had no choice but to pay the price because the car was running on fumes. Then I watched the kids snicker in the backseat as I pumped the gas.
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Tuesday, December 03, 2013
Stocks & Bonds Party - The Madness of Crowds and Looking Like An Idiot / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
IF you can keep your head when all about you Are losing theirs and blaming it on you, If you can trust yourself when all men doubt you, But make allowance for their doubting too; - opening stanza to Rudyard Kipling's, "If"
So, let's say you're a prudent person who has concerns that our economy isn't 'recovering' as robustly as you'd like.
Perhaps you still remember the speed and depth of the 2008 credit crisis' arrival, and its toxic impact on asset prices, jobs, and overall trust in the financial system. Maybe you took notes during the preceding tech and housing bubbles and their aftermath. If so, you likely swore that "Never again!" would you put your wealth at risk during such obvious times of public mania.
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Tuesday, December 03, 2013
Stock Market Sell Signals Abound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Good Morning!
The NYSE Hi-Lo index went negative this morning and exceeded its two prior lows. This confirms the sell signal in SPX.
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Tuesday, December 03, 2013
Investors Borrowing Like Drunkards to Buy Stocks Again? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Michael Lombardi writes:
This morning we learned sales for this year’s Black Friday weekend declined for the first time since 2009. I have been warning my readers for months that falling consumer confidence would result in a pullback in consumer spending—and that’s exactly what’s happening this holiday shopping season.
According to the National Retail Federation, consumers spent an average of $407.02 from Thursday through Sunday, down about four percent from what they spent last year. (Source: National Retail Federation press release, December 1, 2013.)
Tuesday, December 03, 2013
Stock Market Chart Analysis of SPX, $VIX,UVXY / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Thomas Clayton writes: I have iterated the numerical variables of the Indicators to Synchronize with the Price. As noted the Sell is triggered with a cross below Stoch RSI 0.8, Slow Stoch 80, %B Peak, and MACD fast line impending crossing Below Zero and MACD line Crossing down in this case. The Stoch RSI will lead Slow Stoch for an early warning. Notice the MACD cross below Zero, there is usually and acceleration in Price in that respective direction. The MACD dark blue line is just passing below Zero, If follow through on Tues. Will be a surge down in the $SPX.
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Monday, December 02, 2013
Stock Market Seasonality And The Fed Are A Powerful Combination / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market makes most of its gains each year in its favorable season of approximately October to May. A separate positive influence is the Federal Reserve when it’s providing easy money and low interest rates in an effort to revive a flagging economy.
Those individual influences are so consistent they’ve been memorialized in long time market maxims ‘Sell in May and Go Away’ (to come back November 1), and ‘Don’t Fight the Fed’.
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Monday, December 02, 2013
This Will Change the Way You Think About Investing Forever / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
Dr. Kent Moors writes: We've already made good money playing publically traded oil and gas companies.
125% on Cheniere... 200% on Halliburton... 210% on Western Refining... 542% on Westport Innovations... 300% on Golar LNG...
And given energy's across-the-board potential, our focus on growth isn't going to change.
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