Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, January 22, 2013
2013 - The Permanent Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
As the Global financial crisis rises to intense levels MAIN STREAM investors and the public at large sit on the buffet table for the predator classes known as Bankers, Crony Capitalists, special interest elites and leviathan government. The depression continues to unfold in REAL terms; nominally it APPEARS we are recovering. If you DISCOUNT OFFICIAL government ministry of truth statistical lies and Keynesian illusions created by unsound money. Developed world economies and living standards WILL continue to TUMBLE into the abyss. There is no avoiding this OUTCOME.
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Tuesday, January 22, 2013
Signs of Stock Market Correction in the SPX, RUT & DJIA is Near / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The great market prognosticators have by now came out with their 2013 predictions about financial markets. It seems to me to be a fool’s game to try to predict what financial markets are going to do in the future.
I want to be clear in stating that I do not know what is going to happen in the future. I do not know where the S&P 500 Index is going to trade tomorrow let alone 6 months from now. Most market pundits simply will not admit to this fact.
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Tuesday, January 22, 2013
New Record-Highs Everywhere with Stocks—Gold Almost Ready to Move / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
There is no uniformity to business conditions in both the U.S. economy and the rest of the world, I’m making a conscious effort to attribute less weight to the major stock market indices and more to individual companies and their specific business conditions. I hate to say it, but the main stock market indices can be quite misleading, and one company can skew the index (like Apple Inc. [NASDAQ/AAPL] when it was at its high).
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Tuesday, January 22, 2013
These Popular Delusions Could Cost Investors Fortunes in 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
The markets are closed today in observance of Martin Luther King, Jr. day.
With that in mind, we’re stepping back from our usual daily analysis of the markets to address the big picture for the investment landscape in 2013.
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Tuesday, January 22, 2013
Stock Markets Continue to Defy Gravity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the severe correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX. The structure has been altered by the fiscal cliff resolution rally.
Intermediate trend: - SPX made a top at 1474 and is engaged in an A-B-C intermediate correction.
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Monday, January 21, 2013
The Most Important Investment Report You'll Read This Year / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Dear investor,
Consider yourself warned.
The global market outlook is far less rosy than the emperors-minus-their-clothes would have you believe.
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Sunday, January 20, 2013
Time to Put on the Stock Market Bear Suits? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
In previous reports I have spoke at length about expectations for the US markets to push higher above their respective September 2012 highs.I have been looking for the DOW and SPX to push higher as we had seen many other European and US markets take out those September 2012 highs, so I felt it was only a matter of time before we saw others play catch up.
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Saturday, January 19, 2013
Stock Market Making A Run For The Trend Line..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
The market made the move over 1470 on the S&P 500 this week and now it appears it will use that level as support on any back test to unwind overbought conditions. It tried quite a few times over a two-week handling period to get through, but finally made it yesterday. Actually, it was a shorter amount of time than usual in a handle. We saw the market work off overbought conditions on the short-term sixty-minute charts today early on, but as the day moved along, once things cooled off a bit, the buyers came in again. It was a decent day even when you had stocks like Intel Corporation (INTC) and Capital One Financial Corp. (COF) warn on their earnings reports. There's just not much out there to hurt the markets right now other than unwinding phases from overbought.
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Saturday, January 19, 2013
Waiting for the Stock Market to Show its Hand / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
For the week ending January 18, 2013, the SPX was up 0.9%, the Russell small caps were up 1.4% and the COMP was up 0.3%.
Tech is starting to underperform large caps. There were also a few instances during the week where small caps also underperformed large caps though on the week RUT did outperform.
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Friday, January 18, 2013
Don't Make the Investing Mistake of Lifetime / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013
Shah Gilani writes: I wrote an article for Money Morning on Tuesday entitled: "The Great Rotation Makes Stocks a Generational Buy."
The story drew several comments from readers - some in agreement, others... not so much.
For instance, reader Mike W. wrote in quoting the article:
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Friday, January 18, 2013
Stock Market Forecast for 2013, The January Effect / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Matthew Carr writes: Can we know where the market is headed before the year even gets underway?
That’s always the question, isn’t it?
At the start of the year, there’re all kinds of predictions about where the market is going to head. All the big, bold predictions come out. And we’ll see articles that discuss indicators like “Where January goes, the market follows…”
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Thursday, January 17, 2013
The Real Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
It seems pertinent that only the indexes that one can leverage in quantity with futures - the S&P and Nasdaq - have risen over the past half year. Maybe this selectivity is for technical reasons, but there might be another explanation. Institutions, not the public, have driven the rally, and they can borrow billions of dollars from banks to leverage their bets.
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Thursday, January 17, 2013
Stock Market Possible And Probable Outcomes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Socialism is a philosophy of failure, the creed of ignorance, and the gospel of envy; its inherent virtue is the equal sharing of misery…– Winston Churchill
Today I want to focus a bit on the not so subtle changes we’re seeing in the United States. Almost forty-seven million Americans are now on food stamps and it’s a common site to see people using them to pay for groceries in supermarkets. As a teenager growing up in the US it was something that you just didn’t see, ever. Now students, senior citizens and the underemployed use them as if it were just part of the every day struggle. Recently I read that for every American that holds a job there are 1.1 persons receiving some sort of government aid. It doesn’t take a genius to figure out that the math just doesn’t add up.
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Thursday, January 17, 2013
Stock Market New Interim High – Signs of Exhaustion? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Courtesy of Doug Short. Like yesterday, the S&P 500 fell at the open and hit its intraday low, off 0.32%, in the first 15 minutes of trading. The index zigzagged to a modest mid-afternoon intraday high, up 0.11%, before falling back into the red. The final hour of trading was a game of tag with the opening price. The index closed essentially flat, but in fact it set a new interim high, 0.02% above the previous interim high set yesterday.
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Thursday, January 17, 2013
Stock Market S&P 1470...1470....1470.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
A number drilled in to our skulls, which gets tested every day, it seems, but never breaks through strongly. That's not bad, however. Think about the headaches facing the market this morning. The World Bank saying growth will slow globally in 2013. Exactly what a market normally doesn't need, if it intends to break out over key resistance. That news along with a few other smaller items hit the futures to the tune of 7 on the S&P 500. We did open lower, but, once again, the bulls came in and wouldn't allow for the S&P 500 to fall too far away from the magical level of 1470. We seem to get above it by a point or two but have yet to forcefully burst out.
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Thursday, January 17, 2013
Stock Market Cyclical Trend Forecast 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
As we forge ahead into the year 2013, I wanted to post an article going over the complete yearly forecast path, as suggested by the various time cycles that I track - and also with other indicators such as seasonal patterns, the Bradley indicator, and also the post-election 'presidential cycle' pattern in stocks.
With the above said and noted, the projected path for 2013 looks somewhat similar to that seen in 2012, though with a larger percentage correction being expected in the second-half of the year - primarily due to the position of the larger 180-day, 360-day (18-month) and four-year cycles. In- between, there should the normal up-and-down gyrations along the way, ideally with a peak in here in January ideally giving way to a low in February, prior to returning to strength again into late-Spring or early-Summer, setting up for that important top with the 360-day wave.
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Thursday, January 17, 2013
What Investor Confidence Is Telling Us About the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Sasha Cekerevac writes: There are various measures to determine investor sentiment regarding the general market. The most obvious is to take a look at a broad index, such as the S&P 500, and see where it’s currently trading. Because price is truth, the market does not lie. If people are bullish or bearish, their actions in buying and selling shares within the S&P 500 will be translated into corresponding price moves.
However, it is interesting to look at corollary indications to determine how strong the underlying trend really is. Investor sentiment is extremely difficult to predict, as is anything in life. While the future is unknown, by understanding the strength of current investor sentiment, we can help form a picture about what the future holds for the S&P 500.
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Tuesday, January 15, 2013
The Great Rotation Makes Stocks a Generational Buy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
Shah Gilani writes: The greatest investing mistake you'll ever make is the one you may be about to make.
If you're not gearing up to get fully invested in 2013 and reap what will be generational rewards, you have no one to blame but yourself.
This is what you've been waiting for. This is your time. Here's how to do it and why.
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Tuesday, January 15, 2013
Technical Traders Charts for Dollar, Stocks, Gold, Oil and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Yesterday’s trading session played out exactly as posted in the morning chart update. Today will be a different story from the looks of it as the dollar index looks to be putting in a bottom and that has the SP500 down 0.40% this morning. It may trigger our first entry point to let long stocks today.
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Tuesday, January 15, 2013
The State of the Global Financial and Commodity Markets 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
Dear investor,
Consider yourself warned.
The global market outlook is far less rosy than the emperors-minus-their-clothes would have you believe.
- Global stocks are near multi-decade, technical price junctures.
- Regional economies recently said to be "recovering" are now slipping back into recession.
- Despite a multi-year rally in stocks, the AP reported on Dec. 27 that mainstream investors are selling shares at breakneck pace. "It's the first time ordinary folks have sold during a sustained bull market since relevant records were first kept during World War II."