Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, December 30, 2010
2011 Profit and Protection Essentials; Bubbles to Pop and Bullish Sectors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
"The most alarming thing about the state issue is the level of complacency," Meredith Whitney, one of the most respected financial analysts on Wall Street and one of the most influential women in American business, told correspondent Steve Kroft…
"It has tentacles as wide as anything I've seen. I think next to housing this is the single most important issue in the United States, and certainly the largest threat to the U.S. economy," she told Kroft.
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Thursday, December 30, 2010
Five Forecasts for Housing Stocks and Bonds 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: JD_Rosendahl
It's that time of year where we reflect on the year that has past and gaze upon what the next 12 months might bring. Last year at this time, I wrote My 5 Predictions for 2010, and I would like to review those before we get into 2011. Last year's predictions:
Thursday, December 30, 2010
Stock Market Steady As She Goes... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
The market gapped up this morning and became really overbought on those daily charts, but that didn't deter this market from grinding higher throughout the day, although some late selling took prices off their highs. RSI's are really getting up there, but the retail trader is holding things up as they usually do. The market seems to want to fool the masses and try higher in the short-term now that just about everyone says things will fall from overbought once the new year begins.
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Wednesday, December 29, 2010
Gold, Dollar, Euro & China: Four To Tango in 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Dian_L_Chu
For the most part of 2010, the typical image of Europe—one of cultural sophistication—has been replaced by widespread riots, burning cars, large scale strikes over labor reform and unemployment resulting from austerity measures amid a sovereign debt crisis in the region.
Wednesday, December 29, 2010
Trading The S&P 500, Oil, & Gold Without Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: J_W_Jones
The end of 2010 is rapidly approaching and the pundits and commentators continue to make their 2011 market predictions. I for one believe predicting future market moves is a futile endeavor where if you are right one year later you are viewed as a sage; if you are wrong nobody seems to remember or care.
In fact, I try not to read any predictions for fear that it might place a bias in my subconscious. I am a trader and thus have no need for emotions, bias, or opinions when trading. I try to stay away from the media and the pundits as often as possible.
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Wednesday, December 29, 2010
China Stock Indices Must Hold Today's Gains / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Mike_Paulenoff
After making new corrective lows in a press towards a possible 6th consecutive down day, the China Shanghai Composite reversed to close higher today.
So far today the iShares China Equity Index ETF (FXI) is up 70 cents, or 1.6%, from yesterday's close at 42.19, and even more from yesterday's intraday low (and violation of its 200 DMA) at 41.91.
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Tuesday, December 28, 2010
Second Global Financial Crisis Shoe 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Brian_Bloom
Summary: The probability of second down leg in the Global Financial Crisis is rising. Three charts tell the story on a world-wide basis
1. Standard and Poor Industrial Index – 85 Year Chart
2. Volatility Index Chart (of Standard and Poor)
3. Shanghai Index Chart
Tuesday, December 28, 2010
Using International Valuation Standards to Determine the S&P-500 Fundamental Value / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Andrew_Butter
Of late, there has been a lively debate about the “fundamental” value of all sorts of things…stock markets, real estate, gold, oil, toxic assets, and even Treasuries. Often as mot the debate is a manifestation of a newly discovered psychological disorder called “Bubble-Phobia”, which is an irrational fear that prices are disconnected from the “fundamental”.
As with the early psychological breakthroughs of Jung and Freud, for the S&P-500 there has been no shortage of theories, all the way from P/E ratios to Tobin’s “Q’s” and everything in-between.
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Tuesday, December 28, 2010
One Reason to Bet on U.S. Stocks in 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Nilus_Mattive
There are definitely plenty of reasons to be concerned about the U.S. economy — and the broad market — in the year ahead.
But as I prepare my strategy for the coming year, there’s an area that clearly argues for being bullish on stocks in 2011 … and it’s probably not one you’d expect …
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Tuesday, December 28, 2010
Stock Market Drifts Along.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
Retail is allowing for the market to hang in there, but we're still facing overbought conditions along with bad sentiment issues, which is capping the upside for now. The financials are doing well. Goldman Sachs (GS), American International Group, Inc. (AIG), had significant gains today, while Bank of America Corporation (BAC), Wells Fargo & Company (WFC), Citigroup, Inc. (C), JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) had fractional gains, but all did well. That's one of the few sectors holding us up here, but nothing is exactly getting crushed either. Just drifting around more than anything else, which is what happens when upside is minimal, yet the bigger picture internals are still bullish in nature. That's what is really frustrating the bears.
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Tuesday, December 28, 2010
Bumpy Road Ahead for Gold and Blue Chip Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: The_Gold_Report
Steady tailwinds benefited the stock market for most of 2010, but Stansberry & Associates Investment Research Founder Porter Stansberry is bracing himself and his clients for a bumpy ride for equities in the new year, as well as unprecedented instability in muni bonds and Treasuries. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Porter, who's been predicting the dire consequences of unbridled borrowing and continued quantitative easing for some time, recommends utmost caution and conservatism for investors in 2011.
Tuesday, December 28, 2010
Euro and Irish Banks Nationalization, Chinese interest rate hike the Grinch for Equities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Bari_Baig
Almost half of German companies see breakup of Euro region as a real threat and to make things worst Irish High Court has given the go ahead to the government to acquire Allied Irish bank without the consent of the shareholders! Dublin would now be injecting $4.8 billion into Allied Irish bank to raise its stake to 92% from 19% before. This is not the first bank/lender which Ireland has nationalized, it is the 4th lender now and Ireland’s Ministry of Finance had this to say “Allied Irish was Ireland’s largest company by market value in 2007 [which at its peak valued at 21 billion Euros] however, [now] the bank’s market capitalization is at 347 million Euros only and had the government not invested now then there would have been no Allied Irish bank on Jan 1st”. The stock would be delisted from the stock exchanges it is listed on and would be moved to the junior Irish bourse. So, in simple words the Allied stake holders are wiped clean out.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, December 28, 2010
China Syndrome: A Building Bubble This Way Bloweth / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Midas_Letter
The investment world has become obsessed with phenomena that cause catastrophic loss – so much so that a new language has evolved, subjugating old words to new meanings. Melt-downs, for example. Collapse. Bubbles.
Bubble, in fact, is now the word that classifies any asset class believed to be overpriced as a result of investment hysteria. Right now, we have the gold bubble, the silver bubble, more generally, the commodities bubble. The real estate bubble, now burst, precipitated the world financial crisis of 2008, which, according to most financial press, is now over. Strange, that, since unemployment remains rampant, home prices are still at rock bottom, and earnings for any corporation who didn’t get stimulus cash to superficially improve their balance sheet optics, are non-existent.
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Monday, December 27, 2010
Financial Markets Year End Signals, Q&A's / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Larry_Edelson
I hope you had a wonderful Christmas with your loved ones! The holidays are wonderful, and in a few days we have another one coming up — the start of a brand new year.
Now, please be sure you’re watching the year-end signals I gave you in my columns of November 22 and November 29. They’re effective for this Friday’s closing prices for those markets. They are very important and I will be referring to them as the new year unfolds.
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Monday, December 27, 2010
Rising stock prices may be self-sustaining, but rising commodity prices are self-limiting / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: ECR_Research
The upswing in resource prices continues. From a fundamental perspective this is no surprise. As the US, Japan, and Europe pursue an unremittingly loose monetary policy, credit supply to the “real” economy is more or less stagnant. Therefore a lot of capital is available for speculation. In addition, growth rates (and the anticipated returns) in the emerging economic nations outpace those in the West, whereas the former consume relatively high quantities of commodities. Owing to various capital restrictions it has now become easier and cheaper to speculate on buoyant growth in the upcoming economies through the commodity markets. On top of this US growth is accelerating while resources are becoming more popular as an inflation hedge.
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Monday, December 27, 2010
What 2010's End is Saying About 2011's Stock Market Trends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
Stocks rose last week with all the excitement of water turning to ice in the freezer.
I kept hitting the side of my monitor to see if the pixels were stuck -- but no, it was just another one of those low-volume, low-drama late-December sessions that we have come to know and love.
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Sunday, December 26, 2010
Stock Market Extreme Investor Sentiment Persists / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Guy_Lerner
It doesn't take a rocket scientist (or Wall Street analyst ~ a downgrade?) to figure out that investors are extremely bullish on the equity markets. Such extremes in sentiment will usually (85% of the time) lead to better risk adjusted buying opportunities in the future. In other words, the next best time to be a buyer of equities will be when investors are bearish not bullish as they are now. The markets don't have to go down just because everyone is bullish, but if you are a "believer" and buyer at these levels, then you will need to identify a market top and get to the exits before the next guy to extract profits. This is a very crowded trade and identifying the top is a tall order.
Sunday, December 26, 2010
The Stocks Bear Market Will Return In 2011 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Toby_Connor
It's almost impossible to find anyone who is long term bearish on the stock market or economy at this time. In the recent Barron’s poll every single analyst expected a rise in stock prices next year and continued economic expansion.
I think they are all going to be wrong, horribly wrong. I believe next year the stock market will begin the third leg down in the secular bear market. And the global economy will tip over into the next recession that will be much worse than the last one.
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Sunday, December 26, 2010
Stock Market Elliott Wave Trend Analysis Into End of 2010 and 2011 Start / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Tony_Caldaro
It was a productive albeit quiet week of trading in the US. The market made a new bull market high in the opening minutes of trading on monday, made higher highs over the next two days, and closed out the week within two points of the SPX 1259 bull market high. The week’s fourteen economic reports were all jammed into the last two days of trading. Twelve were positive or improving, and only two were flat or lower. The rundown. Weekly jobless claims were flat, and the weekly M1 multiplier declined this week. Q3 GDP was raised to 2.6%, existing/new home sales rose, as did FHFA home prices and weekly mortgage applications. Durable goods orders improved, personal income/spending remained positive, while PCE prices rose, along with, consumer sentiment, the monetary base and the WLEI.
Sunday, December 26, 2010
Stock Market Reaches Eight Month High, Could be Downhill Fast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
After Nearly Two Years Of Searching, TrimTabs Still Can't Figure Out Who Is Buying Stocks
(ZeroHedge) A year after Charles Biderman's provocative post first appeared on Zero Hedge, in which he asked just who is doing all the buying of stocks as the money was obviously not coming from retail investors, today Maria Bartiromo invited the TrimTabs head once again in an interview which disclosed that after more than a year of searching, Biderman still has no idea who actually buying. In response to Bartiromo's question if the retail investor, who left after the flash crash (thank you SEC), Biderman responds what every Zero Hedger has known for 33 weeks: "Retail investors are not coming back to the US…When I was on your show a year ago I was saying the same thing: we can't figure out who is doing the buying it has to be the government, and people said I was nuts. Now the government is admitting it is rigging the market." Cue Bartiromo’s jaw dropping.