Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, February 26, 2010
How Hot Money is Wrecking the U.S. Banking System… / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
Shah Gilani writes: When the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) released its list of "problem banks" this week, 702 institutions holding $402.8 billion in assets were found to be in trouble.
That's the longest list in 17 years, and it's only going to get worse. In fact, regulators are expecting the number of troubled lenders to grow at an accelerating rate this year. They claim that an uptick in commercial-real-estate losses will serve as the key culprit.
Thursday, February 25, 2010
Prepare for Slim Pension Annuities / Stock-Markets / Pensions & Retirement
Barclays Capital recently published its annual Equity Gilt Study. The paper includes data for asset returns in the United Kingdom back to 1899 and in the United States since 1925.
In the February 12, 2010 edition of the Financial Times, columnist John Authers wrote a summary of Barclays' conclusions. In Authers' words: "Barclays chose to look at how the bubbles of the past 10 years developed. Economic factors do not much help.... Rather, these bubbles were driven by shifts in the demand for equities and other assets - and these, in turn, were driven by demographics." Barclays misses the elephant trumpeting in the middle of the room. It is no wonder the People are still dazed by the world's financial meltdown.
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Thursday, February 25, 2010
Stock Market Volatility Rises as S&P 500 Nears March Low / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Probability models (Monte Carlo) suggest that there is a 70% chance of the next key low developing in March for the S&P 500.
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Thursday, February 25, 2010
Jim Rogers is now taking YOUR questions on DearCEO / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
We have watched every video of Jim Rogers on the internet, and are always puzzled why interviewers ask the same questions over and over again - not uncommonly within the same interview. We are also surprised that not many investors know who Jim Rogers is - even our “analysts” friends who work in investment banks have not heard of Jim. For those who have never heard of Jim Rogers, here is a 6 minute compilation video of Jim Rogers - I promise you it is worth your time!
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Thursday, February 25, 2010
Gold, Silver and Stock Market Indices on the Verge of Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
This week has been playing out as we expected. Last week we saw the market rally on light volume into a resistance zone on the daily chart. Light volume rallies are always a warning sign, much like the “Calm before a Storm”.
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Thursday, February 25, 2010
What’s So Special About This Nasdaq Stock Index Chart? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It's the NDX 100 Index off the 2007 peak. Does anything jump out at you? It shouldTake a good look:
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Wednesday, February 24, 2010
Stock Market Bullish Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
These are usually sharp but short lived, well see if that happens here.
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Wednesday, February 24, 2010
Stock Market Correction or New Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Jon D. Markman writes: With U.S. stocks down about 5% from their 2009-2010 rally peak, investors basically want to know one thing: Is this just a correction, or are they looking at a potentially long bear market?
That's no small question. U.S. stocks could be experiencing one of three scenarios at present. They could be:
Tuesday, February 23, 2010
The Inflation Mega-Trend Ebook Download, Forecasts For Economy, Stocks, Gold, Emerging Markets... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The worlds economies swim in an ocean of inflation that is punctuated by occasional ripples of deflation which is illustrated by the perpetual upward curve of general prices as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Inflation in the long-run impacts on virtually all commodities and asset prices. The Inflation Mega-Trend ebook contains in-depth analysis for the aim of generating accurate forecast trends for Inflation, Interest rates and the Economy for 2010 and beyond, the implications of which have been further applied towards generating key financial market and investment trend projections. DOWNLOAD NOW -FREE - (Only requirement a valid email address).
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Tuesday, February 23, 2010
Using Elliott Wave Theory to Interpret Stock Market Price Action / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
Same Day. Same Event. Same Market. Different Story!
"There is no group more subjective than conventional analysts." -- Robert Prechter. February 23, 2010
By Vadim Pokhlebkin
Elliott wavers sometimes hear the criticism that patterns in market charts can be "open to interpretation." For example, what looks like a finished 1-2-3 correction to one analyst, another analyst may interpret as 1-2-3 of a developing impulse, with waves 4 and 5 on the way.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2010
Marc Faber Outlook for the Stock Market and Gold for 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Despite risk of a stimulus driven crack-up boom, however Marc is bearish on the stock market, but does not think that they will collapse because the Fed will again massively monetize and support equity prices.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2010
Stocks Pullback From Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Becalmed US equities closed little changed overnight, with modest gains in financials offset by modest losses in the energy sector. In truth there has been little news for the market to trade off. On the negative side of the ledger, the Dallas Fed manufacturing index looked more like its NY Fed counterpart than the upbeat Philly Fed survey released last Thursday. Of particular note was the very sharp pull-back reported in new orders. By contrast the Chicago Fed’s National Activity Index rose in January with the three-month average now at its highest level since July 2007. This index is now back at levels that would typically point to an economy growing at a trend-like rate of growth.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2010
Stock Market Last-Hour Rollover Dampens Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The stock market indices started off on a slightly weak note, but most of the stocks we follow and traded today had very good sessions.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2010
A Five-Step Guide to Financial Debt Crisis Contagion / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis
I am in Tampa meeting with Raymond James Chief Investment Officer Jeff Saut, who graciously took us out on his boat yesterday in what I am told was the first good weather Florida has had in months. I need to get out like that more. It was good to take a weekend away with no computer. But I am back at it today, with your Outside the Box arriving on schedule.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2010
Stock Market Consolidating... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It's important for markets to consolidate a strong move whether that move was higher or lower. When you get a quick move up such as we had, you get some very overbought short-term 60-minute oscillators. These short-term charts tend to being to unwind their oscillators fairly quickly once they get oversold or overbought. This last move up caused some very elevated MACD's, stochastics and RSI's. The inevitable move lower had to come and today we saw a drop of that take place late in the day. Nothing much to talk about although it should sell a bit more. Unwinding can take place with more of a lateral move.
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Tuesday, February 23, 2010
Ignore the Illusion of Economic Spring, Stock Market Crash This Year / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Never mind that fruit trees are blossoming all over the Northern Hemisphere. It doesn't matter that Punxsutawney Phil of Pennsylvania saw his shadow on February 2. We're in for a lot more of a long, harsh Winter—a real whopper in terms of the Kondratieff cycle that the Longwave Group's Ian Gordon has become expert at analyzing and interpreting. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Ian pulls no punches about the dreadful times ahead as economies wring out decade's worth of accumulated debt. The only gleams shining through in his dreary forecast: ample opportunities in precious metals equities.
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Monday, February 22, 2010
What Chinese Malls Tell Us about the Economic Reality / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Investor expectations are decidely bullish right now, and many people expect an economic turnaround this year. What do the underlying economic conditions suggest? The Chinese mall "The Place" demonstrates the contrast between investor hope and economic reality.
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Monday, February 22, 2010
The Shanghai-SPX Relationship and Charts of the Week / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The first chart I will explore today is the relationship between gold and oil and the dollar. The daily chart of spot gold versus spot euro/dollar shows a normal relationship, at least at first glance, with gold and the euro, as priced in dollars, moving in the same direction.
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Monday, February 22, 2010
Where’s the Investing “Big Money” Headed Now? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: The remarkable week that just concluded actually began on February 12, which was two Fridays ago. Stocks plunged in the opening minutes of trading that morning as investors' faith in the global economic recovery was shaken. In China, policymakers again tightened monetary policy in a fight against rapid credit growth and fast rising asset prices. In Europe, which is plagued by concerns over the bailout of deeply indebted Greece, a report showed economic growth slowing dramatically.
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Monday, February 22, 2010
Falling Debt Dynamite Dominoes, The Coming Financial Catastrophe Part2 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
The Collapse of Iceland - On October 9th, 2008, the government of Iceland took control of the nation’s largest bank, nationalizing it, and halted trading on the Icelandic stock market. Within a single week, “the vast majority of Iceland's once-proud banking sector has been nationalized.” In early October, it was reported that:
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