Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, January 22, 2010
Marc Faber Gold, Stocks and Oil Outlook for 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Here is the summary and my thoughts on a trio of Dr. Marc Faber's latest interview where he discussed his 2010 outlook on China bubble, sovereign default risk, stocks and commodities.
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Friday, January 22, 2010
BubbleOmics, The Ancient Art of Spotting Financial and Commodity Market Bubbles Before They Pop / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
George Soros has been playing with bubbles since when I was a baby. The Great Sage once said that “recognizing a bubble is not hard, but figuring out when it will pop is guesswork”.
According to his son he was being economical with the truth. Apparently how his dad tells a “pop” is coming is that his back starts to hurt like crazy, so then he goes out and does things like break the Bank of England.
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Friday, January 22, 2010
Stock Market Support Test Fails, More Selling to Come / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Test Failed
With support failing, our call for a low later this month could come in.
Friday, January 22, 2010
Stock Index Trading System Says Add to Long Positions / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Official signal: SPX Signal - BUY __ __ __ __ (75% Long)
The system is signaling to add to our long position.
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Friday, January 22, 2010
Stock Market Selling Accelerates... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
When sentiment needs correcting, the only way to really do it is to shake the tree. If you get small drips and drabs it is quite unlikely that you'll get scared out of the market. You'll look at every small down move as a buying opportunity. The only way to change that thinking is to make things look bad. Really bad. Scare you bad. To make you think twice about buying those dips and to get to the point where you won't buy the dips. Where your reaction to downside will be I am not touching that. It has to go much lower from here.
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Friday, January 22, 2010
Signs of Global Stock Market Crash and Financial Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
There’s a lot of buzz hitting the contrarian financial news circles around the web regarding recent market weakness and the possibility for the end of the rally which began in March of 2009.
Many contrarian investors have been waiting for the crash that is inevitably to follow the largest US market rally in modern history, and this may be it. We caution our readers, however, that over the last year there have been various false signals, and rather than seeing a crash in the Summer of 2009 or Fall of 2009, stock markets continued to push up, despite abysmal economic fundamentals.
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Thursday, January 21, 2010
Stock Market Set to Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Doug Casey: "Stock Market Set to Crash" (Interviewed by Louis James, Editor, International Speculator)
L: So, what's on your mind this week, Doug? I understand you've had a "guru moment"…
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Thursday, January 21, 2010
Short S&P 500 ETF Confronting Key Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Last week I entered a 50% long position in the single-levered Short S&P 500 ProShares ETF (NYSE: SH) just in case Mr. Market decided it did not like earnings season or the President's agenda.
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Thursday, January 21, 2010
Broad Based Declined Across Financial Markets Except the Dollar, The Big One Could Finally Be Here / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
This week, we are witnessing something that should become fairly "as usual" over the coming months: Broad based price declines in virtually every major asset except the USD.
Gold is down about 3% for the week so far, silver is down about 6.5% for the week, and the USD is up (according to our analysis there really isn't much chance of it going anywhere else for the next while).
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Thursday, January 21, 2010
China Stock Market, Never Short a Country That Has $2 Trillion in Cash / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: The first rule of successful global investing - to paraphrase the words of New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman - is a simple one.
Never short a country with $2.3 trillion in currency reserves.
Thursday, January 21, 2010
Stock Market Bears Get the Ball Rolling / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Today we saw the Dow down as much as 210 points before it rallied off of some oversold 60-minute charts. It finished down 122 points which is still somewhat satisfactory for the bears. They can at least feel as if they did a little damage, although, there has to be some frustration over the fact that they couldn't even close the major indexes below the 20-day exponential moving average. Only when that is accomplished will they get the chance to take this market down to the 50-day exponential moving averages across the major index charts.
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Thursday, January 21, 2010
Stock Market, Gold Meltdown and U.S. Dollar Strength / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
For the past few weeks I have been expecting the market to correct. By looking at the price action on the weekly and daily charts we can see that there has not been any real pullback since November and that is important to note. Without regular market corrections stocks start to become over bought meaning everyone has/is buying them and no real sellers have jumped off the trend. So when the price in an over bought market starts to slide lower we generally see everyone rush to hit their sell buttons. This is what causes the high volume breakdowns similar to the GLD (Gold) breakdown last December.
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Wednesday, January 20, 2010
Stock Market Negative Reactions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The economic data continues to disappoint, although may are looking at the bright side (at least it is not as bad as last year!). However, the bit of “news” that surprised investors was news from JP Morgan as they released earnings data that they will be stashing more reserves away to cover additional loan losses. That took the markets down a peg and increased investors concerns that just maybe the stock market and economy are moving in two different directions.
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Wednesday, January 20, 2010
Stock Market Remains in Sell Mode / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Brown Beats Coakley
What does that mean for the markets?
Wednesday, January 20, 2010
Stock Market Bouncing Off Oversold... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
But the market needs more unwinding. It can do it in two ways, of course. It can move in a base or laterally. Up, down, up, down, etc. The other way is a good old fashioned period of harder selling. One way or the other it should get the job done over the coming days and weeks. We are simply too stretched out here on the medium to longer term time frame charts to continue blasting higher but that doesn't mean we're going to fall apart.
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Tuesday, January 19, 2010
The Secret Formula for This Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
I’m about to share with you the basic outlines for this market rally started March 2009. In no way shape or form am I providing official recommendations or investment advice in this post. I am merely pointing out the obvious trends that this rally has followed.
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Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Is the Stock Market Flashing a “Sell” Signal? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Friday’s decline has got a lot of commentators asserting that the official top is in for the rally that started March 2009. The primary reason for these assertions is that stocks look to have broken the rising channel they entered during this last leg up.
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Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Stock Market Rally in its Final Stages, Elliott 5th Wave? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It’s time for a review of the broader market indices and possible implications for traders and investors: This analysis may prove controversial, but I tend to make big picture calls at critical junctures. This analysis is getting more bearish I realize, as I’ve been bullish since Feb 25th on the markets. I simply look at all the evidence, and instead of burying my head in the sand, I take it all in and plan accordingly. Being a perma-bull or perma-bear is a quick way to under-perform the markets. I try to be nimble and trade/invest accordingly. The next few weeks are likely to be volatile, possibly to the downside a bit. The market may not have peaked quite yet, but it’s feeling like the 8th inning in the game. Below are my thoughts:
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Tuesday, January 19, 2010
U.S. Treasury Bills and the Budget Deficits, Financial Markets Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The 10-year T-note auction showed a bid to cover of 3 to 1, versus a 10 auction average of 2.67%.
We have been told over and over again a weak dollar would build exports and turn our balance of payments deficit down. Well, it hasn’t happened yet.
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Tuesday, January 19, 2010
Smarter Stock Market Investing in Defensive Stocks for Profits in 2010 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: For U.S. investors looking to profit in the near term, the best offense may be a good defense.
"Defensive investing" becomes a mantra for investors who are seeking to navigate periods dominated by high risk, slow growth or excessive uncertainty. Given that the current market outlook probably contains an element of each of those scenarios, a strategy that includes elements of care and caution will make for a wise course of action.