Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, September 02, 2009

Does September Equal Stock Market Sell? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

It doesn’t take much to spook investors on the first day back in school. After a stonking ISM number that 2 months ago would have been worth a triple digit gain, we end up the day off 2% (led by a 5%+ dump in financials) on some vague rumour of a “West Coast Bank” in trouble, hedge funs collapsing, (Cererbus, who have big holdings in GMAC and Chrysler, formally denied that some of their funds were in trouble), chatter of Wells Fargo doing a rights issue to repay the TARP (very unlikely and later denied) and a rather sobering outlook of what the “new normal” may be like from the bouffant Bill Gross of PIMCO. And this down move came in the heaviest traded volume since May 7th, with the VIX ratcheting up to levels not seen since early July.

Wednesday, September 02, 2009

Overbought Stock Market Being Evaluated / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Paul_J_Nolte

Will the cure be worse than the disease? Good news was everywhere last week, as housing looks to be turning, consumers did well with the cash for clunkers program and confidence is high (even though incomes failed to rise). Unfortunately the equity markets remained subdued while bond yields fell. The coming week is the usual beginning of the month heavyweights of employment and data from supply management reports on manufacturing and services.

Wednesday, September 02, 2009

Stock Markets Turning Lower / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Frederic_Simons

In our last newsletter, we have been reflecting about the possibility of a nearing turning point in the markets. Yesterday, the stock market declined on significant volume despite good economic news. This is definitely no good news for bulls. Having breached the red sell line on the longer term charts, stock markets tumbled lower. 

Wednesday, September 02, 2009

Financial Stocks on Tsunami Watch / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks

By: David_Urban

After seeing quite a large rally from the March lows the market appears to be extended and indicators (stocks above 200 day moving average, market PE, bullish/bearish %'s) are signaling some rough seas ahead.  While stock could conceivably move higher there are a few reasons why I am bearish at the present time.

Wednesday, September 02, 2009

Stock Market Down Move has Potential? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jay_DeVincentis

Potential?

The markets sold off hard on Tuesday, this move has potential.

Wednesday, September 02, 2009

Strengthening Yen Spells Trouble for the Carry Trade and S&P500 / Stock-Markets / Yen Carry Trade

By: Donald_W_Dony

The Yen Carry Trade has provided an enormous source of capital for traders around the world. The strength or weakness of the Japanese currency played a vital role during the last bull market and the present bear equity down turn. Though the longer-term picture for the Yen appears favourable for a continuation of the carry trade, the recent month-over-month relationship between the S&P 500 and the Yen is turning against the index.

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Stock Market Speculative Disaster / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Paul_Lamont

On February 28th in Panic Selling Will Lead to a Sharp Bounce we stated, "investors should be positioning themselves for a countertrend rally…We do not expect that this is the ultimate low, merely a level that will support a multi-month bounce. This reflationary bounce will be much stronger (and possibly last longer) than any other rally we have seen since October 2007. Its purpose is to put to rest the widespread fear currently in the market…This temporary bottom will support a sharp bounce into the fall.”

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Legendary Investor Betting on Another Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

Having studied under two legendary value investors Max Heine and Michael Price, Winters has a long history of producing outsized gains: before he was 40, he was overseeing some $35 billion in assets as Chief Investment Officer for Franklin Templeton Advisors. During this period (2001-2004), David outperformed the S&P 500 by an average of 10% a year.

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Stock Market Investors September Warning / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Money_Morning

William Patalon III writes: When the "Great Crash" came in 1929, it came in October. So, too, did the infamous "Crash of '87." And last year, during a tortuous October that led to even lower lows in the months to come, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index lost 19% of its value in just 30 days.

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Daily Stock Market Trend Indications / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Mark_McMillan

Note that if your broker had trouble finding shares to borrow so you could short TLT, you can take a long position (buy) shares of TBT. It is a 2x Inverse TLT ETF meaning that it should move approximately twice what TLT will, but in the opposite direction. So, you can buy half as many shares of TBT to approximate shorting shares of TLT.

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Stock Market Forecast S&P500 1400 by End 2010, and 400 by 2014 / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: Lorimer_Wilson

Merrill Lynch Asia (Bank of America) strategists Sadiq Currimbhoy, Arik Reiss, and Jacky Tang suggest that the S&P 500 could soar another 40% by December 2010 before it collapses completely based on a unique comparison with the Nikkei 225. (Before you reject this possibility out of hand please read the entire article.)

Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Stock Market Heading Lower or Bear Trap? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Jay_DeVincentis

Interesting Start

The markets initial move is lower, but is it the start of a large move lower, or a bear trap?

Monday, August 31, 2009

History Repeating Towards Dollar, Bonds and Stocks Crashing in Unison / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Captain_Hook

Many are now talking about how the markets appear to be managed these days, and these people are now taking conspiracy theories in this regard far more seriously. And without a doubt the Fed and Treasury are working overtime to keep the bubbles afloat, the bubbles in both equities and debt. The key in this regard for now is keeping interest rates low, however this will not be enough forever if revenues keep shrinking in the face of rising costs. Sooner or later, foreigners will see the US has no hope of honoring it’s debts short of hyperinflation and continued acceleration in monitization efforts (particularly in debt markets), and will begin pulling sufficient assets out of American markets to send market interest rates past the margin consumers can handle.

Monday, August 31, 2009

Major Financial and Commodity Markets Turning Point Dead Ahead (Part I) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: The_BullBear

Major Financial and Commodity Markets Turning Point Dead Ahead (Part I)

A Transitional Period in Intermarket Relationships Will Likely Give Way to New Secular Trends

THE BULLBEAR MARKET REPORT

A pullback to support in equities is likely and could set up a long term buying opportunity. The US Dollar has begun a stealth, technical Bull Market. The Bull Market in commodities is arguably over.

Monday, August 31, 2009

Robert Prechter Warns Financial Crisis Worst is Not Over! / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009

By: EWI

Dear reader,

Our friends over at Elliott Wave International (EWI) are offering Bob Prechter’s recent 10-page market letter, free. It challenges current recovery hype with hard facts, independent analysis, and insightful charts. You’ll find out why the worst is NOT over and what you can do to safeguard your financial future. Learn more.

Monday, August 31, 2009

Stock Market System Neutral with Bearish Bias / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Angelo_Campione

The system remains on a Neutral signal (with a bearish bias).

Just as day is followed by night, so too will the current enthusiasm be followed by a decline (and probably within the next few weeks). Apart from September being a traditionally weak period, there are growing signs that the market is unable to sustain its upward movement.

Monday, August 31, 2009

New Stock Market Sell Signals for SPX and NDX / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Angelo_Campione

Official signal: SELL Signal on SPX __ __ __ __
SELL Signal on NDX __ __ __ __

Sunday, August 30, 2009

Stock Market 6 Month Counter Trend Rally Ending / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that much lower prices lie ahead. This will not be a straight-down decline, but a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.

Sunday, August 30, 2009

Trading Dow Jones ETF IYJ / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Patrice_V_Johnson

Welcome to The J.E.D.I. Way.

LONG-TERM TREND (> 1YR) OF THE MARKETS: UP

Sunday, August 30, 2009

Stock Market Investors Still Climbing A Wall of Fear / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: MarketTimingCycles

Many of the major world indices are highly correlated and move in tandem following a move in the same direction and forming a similar pattern in time, at least in 60-70% of the observations. There is quite some research done and available on the Internet on this stock market “synchronicity” phenomenon. In the current bullish counter trend since March 2009 many of the world indices are moving in tandem, nicely following a similar path and pattern in time. This stock market synchronicity phenomenon can be an aid in pinpointing the likely target in time or price for stock markets to change direction in the near future.