Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Stock Market-Long-Waves Say...Negligible Risk of Major Reversal Before Dow Crosses 10,000 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Andrew_Butter

At Davos, Professor Nouriel Roubini declared that US banks were insolvent. On 14th March he declared that the incipient US stock market rally was a "dead-cat-bounce-sucker-rally" that would be overturned by the terrible economic prospects.

Last time I looked the Dow was almost 30% up on 9th March, which puts it well out of normal dead-cat-bounce territory (the "bounce" is typically dictated by how far they fall (http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article9749.html)).

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

ETF's Directional Vectors Chart / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds

By: Richard_Shaw

In the physical world, movement has two key properties: Direction and Magnitude.  If we think of price patterns shown on charts in a physical world way, we can assign Direction and Magnitude to each chart.

Monday, May 11, 2009

Stock Market S&P 500 Index Rolling Price Returns from 1926 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Richard_Shaw

This chart presents the 12-month rolling price return of the S&P 500 from January 1926 through April 2009.  It also shows the 3-year, 10-year and 83-year averages of the 12-month rolling price return.

Monday, May 11, 2009

Is the Financial Crisis Really Over? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009

By: John_Mauldin

It has long been my contention that we are entering an extraordinary period of time in which using historical analogies to plot market behavior is going to become increasingly problematical. In short, the analogies, the past performance if you will, all break down because the underlying economic backdrop is unlike anything we have ever seen. It makes managing money and portfolio planning particularly challenging. Traditional asset management techniques just simply may not work. Buy and hope strategies may be particularly difficult to navigate.

Monday, May 11, 2009

What You Can Learn from the Greatest Stock Market Rally Ever / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Q1_Publishing

The Great Reflation has begun.

All of the massive fiscal and monetary stimuli start to hit the markets. They’re starting to hit the economy too, although to a much lesser extent. And the bulls are off and running. It’s the Great Reflation.

Monday, May 11, 2009

Making Profits From Stock, Forex and Bond Market Trading Cycles / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Uncommon_Wisdom

Larry Edelson writes: These days, it seems like many investors have forgotten that it’s ok to try and make some money. Almost everyone I know is playing it ultra safe instead. But with interest rates so low, you’re making less than 1 percent a year on your savings!

Monday, May 11, 2009

Stock Markets See Blooming Gardens Not Just Green Shoots of Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

Like the energiser bunny with rechargeable batteries, the rally just keeps going, kicking sand in the face of the naysayer “it’s a suckers rally” bears. For all the earlier criticism, the not so stressful stress tests have relieved stress because the extensive lead time to raise the equity is beneficial and will allow much of it to come from earnings retention. In addition, equity dilution is less than feared and risk of losses above the preferential shares in the capital structure now appears very remote.

Monday, May 11, 2009

Bargain Investments to Buy on the Next Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Uncommon_Wisdom

Sean Broderick writes: The market rally has gone on a lot longer than I thought it would. In fact, there are some signs of real strength — signs that this rally has further to run. Does that mean the big, bad bear is dead? Don’t pin your hopes on it. There are fundamental problems that our economy will be working out for years to come.

Sunday, May 10, 2009

Stock Market Crash Necessary to Boost Weak U.S. Dollar and Treasury Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Clive_Maund

When The Rose Tinted Glasses Fall Off... We are going to start this article with a premise, which is that the bond market and the dollar are much more important to the powers that be in the US than the stock market. Two months ago the stock market was plumbing new lows and the end of the world was nigh. Now, instead, you walk down Wall St and everything is smelling of roses. Unfortunately, however, there is a massive storm threatening to break that will necessitate the immediate sacrifice of the stock market, and especially those mugs who have been taken in by the recovery hype being doled out by the media and have been buying the market in the recent past.

Sunday, May 10, 2009

U.S. Dollar and Stock Market Will Show Real Stress Test Results / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Money_and_Markets

Bryan Rich writes: In times of stress you can’t rely on normal conditions to hold. In fact, reactions to stress can be quite the opposite … completely unpredictable.

It’s no different in financial markets.

Sunday, May 10, 2009

It Takes Bulls to Make a Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Articles

By: Guy_Lerner

The "Dumb Money" indicator now shows that there are too many bulls. From a contrarian perspective, one would think that this is bearish for prices as there are too many believers in what pundits are calling the next bull market - "hey you, your missing the train... your missing a generational buying opportunity". But in reality, it takes bulls to make a bull market. So higher prices and excessive bullish sentiment have occurred together in the past, and this dynamic is generally the norm in a bull market as the data shows. On the other hand, the bulls - or newly bullish let's say - should be careful what they wish for as excessive bullish sentiment can also herald an intermediate term top in a bear market.

Sunday, May 10, 2009

Investors Celebrate Bank Stress Test Results By Buying Risky Assets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

One of the definitions of “stress” offered by the Merriam-Webster dictionary is “bodily or mental tension resulting from factors that tend to alter an existent equilibrium”. Well, any bodily or mental tension investors might have been suffering from as a result of financial factors were shrugged off on Thursday with the announcement by US regulators that ten of the nation’s largest banks had to add a total of “only” $74.6 billion in equity following the completion of stress tests. However, whether this will indeed restore the equilibrium remains to be seen.

Sunday, May 10, 2009

The Stock Market "Bull or Bear" Debate Will Be Resolved Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: The_BullBear

The transition from the Fear trade to the Inflation trade is in progress.

SUMMARY

Markets are nearing a resolution which is graphically illustrated by the relationship between the 50 and the 200 EMA. Fundamentally, the economic news flow will either continue to support the recovery thesis or we will see renewed deterioration. The author's expectation is that the fundamentals will continue to show gradual improvement and the markets will manifest this with a bullish crossover of the 50 and 200 EMA.

Sunday, May 10, 2009

Stock Market Rate of Accent is Unsustainable, Something Has to Give / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: Friday, most of the major indices closed at their highest levels since the early March low.

Short Term

Saturday, May 09, 2009

Imminent Global Stock Market Crash to Support U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Global_Research

Continued from Page1 .... Employers are letting up a bit on the mass layoffs they resorted to earlier this year to cope with the recession, but the unemployment rate is climbing because many businesses remain wary of hiring given all the economic and financial uncertainties.

Saturday, May 09, 2009

Agnostic Approach to the Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Jack_Steiman

This weekend we discuss where we've come from and what the possible road map may look like this weekend. Just an overall review of what's taken place since the March 9th bottom and what we can likely expect in the near term. There are a few potential scenarios and I will discuss them in detail here.

Saturday, May 09, 2009

Stocks Bear Market Rally Sparks False Investor Confidence / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tim_Wood

Since the March 6th intra-day low at 6,469.95 the Dow Jones Industrials have advanced 32.79% into their recent high at 8,587.55.   The Transports bottomed on March 9th at 2,134.21 and have advanced 59.70% into their recent intra-day high at 3,408.28.   During this time the S&P 500 has advanced 37.9% and the Nasdaq 100 also advanced some 37.9% into its recent highs.  Then, there is the CRB Index which is up some 20% from its February lows and crude oil, which is now up from its February low some 68%.    Yippee!  Obama has saved the world.   The job numbers were better than expected.  The bear market has ended and the economy is now on its way to recovery.  

Saturday, May 09, 2009

Imminent Global Stock Market Crash to Support U.S. Dollar / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Global_Research

Bob Chapman writes: On Friday the dollar completely broke down, with the USDX collapsing to about 82.5, as monetizations by the Fed became a stark reality. A world stock market collapse could be imminent as a source of dollar support. We wonder how low they will let the dollar go before they collapse the stock markets to chase people back into US treasuries, which have also broken down, with treasury interest rates on the rise despite various Fed purchases of treasuries in the hundreds of billions. So much for the bogus stress tests as things turn much uglier than anticipated by the boneheads in Goldman Sachs South who are attempting to resurrect the Goldilocks Matrix.

Friday, May 08, 2009

The Free Market Did Not Cause the Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: LewRockwell

Thomas Woods writes: In March 2007 then-Treasury secretary Henry Paulson told Americans that the global economy was “as strong as I’ve seen it in my business career.” “Our financial institutions are strong,” he added in March 2008. “Our investment banks are strong. Our banks are strong. They’re going to be strong for many, many years.” Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke said in May 2007, “We do not expect significant spillovers from the subprime market to the rest of the economy or to the financial system.” In August 2008, Paulson and Bernanke assured the country that other than perhaps $25 billion in bailout money for Fannie and Freddie, the fundamentals of the economy were sound.

Friday, May 08, 2009

Stock Market Investors Don't Be Fooled by Inflation / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Peter_Schiff

Strike up the band, boys, happy days are here again! Recently released short-term economic data, including unemployment claims, non-farm payrolls, home sales, and business spending, which had been so unambiguously horrific in February and March, are now just garden-variety awful. With the Wicked Witch of Depression now apparently crushed under the house of Obamanomics, the Munchkins of Wall Street have sounded the all clear, pushing the Dow Jones up 25% from its lows. But the premature conclusion of their Lollipop Guild economists, that the crash of 2008/2009 is now a fading memory, is just as delusional as their failure to see it coming in the first place.