Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Another Yo-Yo Day For Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

A lacklustre, see-saw day of modest gains for the blue chip Dow, while the Nasdaq felt some pain. A near term sell-off back to the mid-low 800s for the S&P 500 is still very much on my mind, but while this is very tradable, I do not think that it is the start of a big sell-off to fresh lows; that will come when the data turns and there are no signs of that yet. This, I feel, is about a month away.

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Current Stock Market Rally Within Supercycle Stocks Bear Market Part 2 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Bob_Bronson

Continued from Part 1 - GDP Continues To Accelerate Its Decline
The Commerce Department recently revised gross domestic product (GDP) downward for the fourth quarter of 2008. It shows the nation’s output of goods and services declined at a 6.3% annual rate, adjusted for inflation, from the previous quarter. It is clear confirmation that the recession is accelerating. Real GDP declined at the sharpest rate since 1982, while nominal GDP (no inflation adjustment) declined at the sharpest rate since 1958. The biggest hit to GDP came from the 4.3% annualized drop in consumer spending, the largest component of GDP. Business and residential investment also had large declines, and the deepening global recession took a toll on U.S. exports.

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Current Stock Market Rally Within Supercycle Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Bob_Bronson

Confirming our long-standing forecasts:
• Notwithstanding normal fluctuations in economic data, the U.S.-led global recession continues to accelerate to the downside.
• GDP, corporate earnings, house prices, and auto sales are still dropping sharply.
• Efforts to replace the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency have begun.
• Bob Bronson wins a 10-year bet on calling the Supercycle Stock Bear Market

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Money Markets Mayhem Continues! / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Money_and_Markets

Nilus Mattive writes: Although Wall Street has been partying like it’s 1999 or 2007 or some other happy time, I recently saw yet another stark reminder that our recent financial crisis did in fact just happen … and that the dangers were real and long-lasting and still far from over.

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

More Stock Market Headwinds to Worry About / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Guy_Lerner

On the way into the office this morning, I was listening to CNBC radio on Sirius Satellite. In that 7 minute drive, I think I heard the word "inflation" about 15 times. With year over year CPI virtually at zero, I am not sure what the worry is all about. This is the reality. Inflation is low.

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Cash Starved Companies Will Swamp the Bear Market Rally with New Shares / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: MoneyWeek

Everyone's getting very excited about all these 'green shoots' all of a sudden. George Soros reckons that the "economic freefall has stopped, the collapse of the financial system has been averted".

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Stock Markets Don't Like Mondays / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

So too far, too fast, was the verdict, or was it simply the proximity to key chart levels, like this year’s high at 944 on the S&P 500 that did the damage? Either way, the optimists will still see this as base building and the pessimists will view it as a sign of a stalling rally. A chunky give back day as investors frowned on the prospect of rights issues by four banks (Capital One, KeyCorp, US Bancorp & BB&T) to repay the TARP and worries that like Paulsen before Treasury Secretary Geithner his more a slave to Wall St than a servant of Main St America with news of a last minute shady deal to dilute the stress tests (reducing the amount of capital the banks have to raise) making then less credible.

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

Stock Market-Long-Waves Say...Negligible Risk of Major Reversal Before Dow Crosses 10,000 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Andrew_Butter

At Davos, Professor Nouriel Roubini declared that US banks were insolvent. On 14th March he declared that the incipient US stock market rally was a "dead-cat-bounce-sucker-rally" that would be overturned by the terrible economic prospects.

Last time I looked the Dow was almost 30% up on 9th March, which puts it well out of normal dead-cat-bounce territory (the "bounce" is typically dictated by how far they fall (http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article9749.html)).

Tuesday, May 12, 2009

ETF's Directional Vectors Chart / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds

By: Richard_Shaw

In the physical world, movement has two key properties: Direction and Magnitude.  If we think of price patterns shown on charts in a physical world way, we can assign Direction and Magnitude to each chart.

Monday, May 11, 2009

Stock Market S&P 500 Index Rolling Price Returns from 1926 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Richard_Shaw

This chart presents the 12-month rolling price return of the S&P 500 from January 1926 through April 2009.  It also shows the 3-year, 10-year and 83-year averages of the 12-month rolling price return.

Monday, May 11, 2009

Is the Financial Crisis Really Over? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009

By: John_Mauldin

It has long been my contention that we are entering an extraordinary period of time in which using historical analogies to plot market behavior is going to become increasingly problematical. In short, the analogies, the past performance if you will, all break down because the underlying economic backdrop is unlike anything we have ever seen. It makes managing money and portfolio planning particularly challenging. Traditional asset management techniques just simply may not work. Buy and hope strategies may be particularly difficult to navigate.

Monday, May 11, 2009

What You Can Learn from the Greatest Stock Market Rally Ever / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Q1_Publishing

The Great Reflation has begun.

All of the massive fiscal and monetary stimuli start to hit the markets. They’re starting to hit the economy too, although to a much lesser extent. And the bulls are off and running. It’s the Great Reflation.

Monday, May 11, 2009

Making Profits From Stock, Forex and Bond Market Trading Cycles / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Uncommon_Wisdom

Larry Edelson writes: These days, it seems like many investors have forgotten that it’s ok to try and make some money. Almost everyone I know is playing it ultra safe instead. But with interest rates so low, you’re making less than 1 percent a year on your savings!

Monday, May 11, 2009

Stock Markets See Blooming Gardens Not Just Green Shoots of Recovery / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: PaddyPowerTrader

Like the energiser bunny with rechargeable batteries, the rally just keeps going, kicking sand in the face of the naysayer “it’s a suckers rally” bears. For all the earlier criticism, the not so stressful stress tests have relieved stress because the extensive lead time to raise the equity is beneficial and will allow much of it to come from earnings retention. In addition, equity dilution is less than feared and risk of losses above the preferential shares in the capital structure now appears very remote.

Monday, May 11, 2009

Bargain Investments to Buy on the Next Market Correction / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009

By: Uncommon_Wisdom

Sean Broderick writes: The market rally has gone on a lot longer than I thought it would. In fact, there are some signs of real strength — signs that this rally has further to run. Does that mean the big, bad bear is dead? Don’t pin your hopes on it. There are fundamental problems that our economy will be working out for years to come.

Sunday, May 10, 2009

Stock Market Crash Necessary to Boost Weak U.S. Dollar and Treasury Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Clive_Maund

When The Rose Tinted Glasses Fall Off... We are going to start this article with a premise, which is that the bond market and the dollar are much more important to the powers that be in the US than the stock market. Two months ago the stock market was plumbing new lows and the end of the world was nigh. Now, instead, you walk down Wall St and everything is smelling of roses. Unfortunately, however, there is a massive storm threatening to break that will necessitate the immediate sacrifice of the stock market, and especially those mugs who have been taken in by the recovery hype being doled out by the media and have been buying the market in the recent past.

Sunday, May 10, 2009

U.S. Dollar and Stock Market Will Show Real Stress Test Results / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Money_and_Markets

Bryan Rich writes: In times of stress you can’t rely on normal conditions to hold. In fact, reactions to stress can be quite the opposite … completely unpredictable.

It’s no different in financial markets.

Sunday, May 10, 2009

It Takes Bulls to Make a Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Articles

By: Guy_Lerner

The "Dumb Money" indicator now shows that there are too many bulls. From a contrarian perspective, one would think that this is bearish for prices as there are too many believers in what pundits are calling the next bull market - "hey you, your missing the train... your missing a generational buying opportunity". But in reality, it takes bulls to make a bull market. So higher prices and excessive bullish sentiment have occurred together in the past, and this dynamic is generally the norm in a bull market as the data shows. On the other hand, the bulls - or newly bullish let's say - should be careful what they wish for as excessive bullish sentiment can also herald an intermediate term top in a bear market.

Sunday, May 10, 2009

Investors Celebrate Bank Stress Test Results By Buying Risky Assets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

One of the definitions of “stress” offered by the Merriam-Webster dictionary is “bodily or mental tension resulting from factors that tend to alter an existent equilibrium”. Well, any bodily or mental tension investors might have been suffering from as a result of financial factors were shrugged off on Thursday with the announcement by US regulators that ten of the nation’s largest banks had to add a total of “only” $74.6 billion in equity following the completion of stress tests. However, whether this will indeed restore the equilibrium remains to be seen.

Sunday, May 10, 2009

The Stock Market "Bull or Bear" Debate Will Be Resolved Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: The_BullBear

The transition from the Fear trade to the Inflation trade is in progress.

SUMMARY

Markets are nearing a resolution which is graphically illustrated by the relationship between the 50 and the 200 EMA. Fundamentally, the economic news flow will either continue to support the recovery thesis or we will see renewed deterioration. The author's expectation is that the fundamentals will continue to show gradual improvement and the markets will manifest this with a bullish crossover of the 50 and 200 EMA.