Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, April 20, 2007
A Bleak U.S. Stock Market Picture, Especially for Foreign Investors! / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Money_and_Markets
Mike Larson writes Picture this: You're a U.K. fund manager sitting in an office tower in the "City," London's equivalent of Wall Street. It's 3:00 p.m. on Friday, another gloomy April afternoon that's not cold enough for snow and not warm enough to signal that summer's right around the corner.
You're sitting in your cube, staring at your portfolio of Dow stocks. You could really use a pint right about now. "Will the weekend ever get started?" you wonder aloud.
Sure, your U.S. stocks have been doing okay lately. But you bought them with British pounds, which keep rising in value relative to the buck. If you tried to cash out right now, your gains would be almost completely wiped out by the lousy exchange rate!
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Thursday, April 19, 2007
End of the Financial Markets Boom – Dow Jones Headed for 3000 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Paul_Lamont
“In a bull market and particularly in booms the public at first makes money which it later loses simply by overstaying the bull market… The big money in booms is always made first by the public-on paper. And it remains on paper. ” – Edwin Lef èvre, Reminiscences of a Stock Operator . 1923.
To the investment community the sell-off in February came as a complete surprise. Readers of our report understand what is happening. In our article on October 17 th of last year, titled Credit Extreme Emotion ;
“As a result, financial institutions will come under severe strains as the credit bubble bursts. The rise of mortgage defaults will signal the beginning of this deflationary spiral. Unfortunately, interest rate markets are setting up homeowners for this exact scenario. ”
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Thursday, April 19, 2007
China's Shanghai Index Is Falling "On Schedule" to Effect All Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Marty_Chenard
China, Shanghai 180 Update: Yesterday, we warned our paid subscribers with the following: "Day traders and short term traders should be extra cautious today and tomorrow ." It is now "tomorrow" ... and this morning, the Shanghai 180 fell 6.93% before a small retracement that took it to a 4.25% loss for the day.If you recall, we posted this expectation last week, warning members that the Bow Tie Pattern was repeating 100%. The exact, first down day should have been Wednesday, and instead it was off by one day. In spite of being 1 day late, we warned that the probability of falling today was extremely high because the Shanghai 180 had a Doji Star on Tuesday, and a Spinning Top on Wednesday ... both were candlesticks that typically precede a downside reversal. *** See the chart below, and the previous postings, including last week's analysis and warning.
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Thursday, April 19, 2007
Are We Ready for Another Yen Carry Trade Stock Market Plunge ? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Christopher_Laird
With the Asian markets all down heavily last night, and the Yen strengthening again, I thought to talk about another possible Yen carry related market sell off.
China bubble trigger
A month or so ago, Premier Wen of China said that their manufacturing and financial bubbles were unsustainable and out of control. This was in light of recent financial tightening in China, increasing reserve requirements for banks to over 10% now, and raising interest rates moderately. It is important to realize that China is determined to do something about their financial bubbles.
Thursday, April 19, 2007
Free Access to Elliott Wave Internationals Premium Financial Forecasting Service has Started! / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Nadeem_Walayat
We at Market Oracle have been able to secure FREE exclusive access for all readers of the Market Oracle website to Elliott Wave.com's premium Financial Markets Forecasting services without any obligation as of now !.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 19, 2007
Rubber Another hot natural resource investment! / Stock-Markets / Articles
By: Money_and_Markets
Larry Edelson writes: Gold is soaring … the price of oil is on fire … virtually every natural resource under the sun is rallying again, just like I told you they would .
And the portfolios in my Real Wealth Report are on fire, too. Year-to-date, our open positions are up more than 10% — in less than four months! I'm about to recommend taking profits on some positions, and then I'm going to issue some new trades.
More on that and the recent action in gold and oil in a few minutes. First, I want to tell you about another commodity that is exploding higher, but that few investors are profiting from. I'm talking about natural rubber .
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Wednesday, April 18, 2007
Free Access to Robert Prechters Financial Market Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Nadeem_Walayat
One of the most recognised experts in the field of elliott wave theory is Robert Prechter, who's work on understanding and applying elliott wave theory to forecasting of financial markets, now spans more than 30 years.
We at Market Oracle have been able to secure FREE exclusive access for all visitors to the Market Oracle website to Elliott Wave.com's premium Financial Markets Forecasting services without any obligation starting today at 1pm EST.
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Tuesday, April 17, 2007
Financial Markets Wrap - US Economy, Bonds, Currencies and Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Douglas_V_Gnazzo
Economy
The Reuters/University of Michigan's preliminary index of sentiment declined to an eight-month low of 85.3 in April from 88.4 a month earlier.
Producer prices increased 1% in March. The core rate remained unchanged. The U.S. Trade deficit narrowed to 0.7% in February.
Producer Prices were up 3.2% year over year. March Import Prices were up 2.8% year over year. March's Fiscal Deficit jumped 12.9% to $96.27 billion.
The G7 meet this weekend to determine the course of world affairs. Let's hope they get it right, as it is quite a bit of responsibility to lay on a group of just seven men, but alas that's how it's done. They are sort of a counsel of Elders, if you will. And who is El?
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Tuesday, April 17, 2007
The Ultimate ETF Investment Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
By: Money_and_Markets
Tony's busy planning his next trip to China. So we've asked Dan Ascani, Executive Vice President of our separate affiliate, Weiss Capital Management, to give you some new insights into his specialty — ETFs.
Dan knows ETFs like the back of his hand. He is a pioneer in the development of mutual-fund and ETF models. And now he's created what could be the ultimate ETF portfolio. Here's his report …
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Tuesday, April 17, 2007
Nolte Stock Market Notes - Emulating Janus look towards Earnings / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Like the Roman god, Janus, the markets are looking both forwards and backwards – hence the reluctance to put on a big show and rally strongly to new highs. Also, a reason for the swoon mid-week as the Fed indicated that they remain concerned about inflation and that rates may still be increased in the future. Many would believe that inflation figures are backward looking and that the Fed should be more concerned with housing and the issues surrounding the sub-prime loan market (a forward looking item), the reported inflation figures from the producers indicated that inflation remains relatively tame. Spurred by a good start to the earnings season, stocks generally rose as investors hoped companies have talked down their earnings to such a low level that even a snake could hurdle “expectations”.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 17, 2007
A look at Stock Market Psychology / Stock-Markets / Trader Psychology
By: Clif_Droke
The past five days were bullish, overall, for the stock market. That isn't surprising given the level of bearish sentiment we saw in last week's AAII investor sentiment survey. This week's AAII poll, released Thursday, showed a slight increase in bullish sentiment (41%) over bearish sentiment (38%). That's not enough of a disparity between the bulls and the bears to cause any overt worries in the immediate term, but it's enough to slightly increase our caution.
The still rising dominant internal momentum indicator for the NYSE, the 200-day HILMO index, should act as a strong underlying support for anything unusual that gets thrown at this market in the coming weeks. The interim trend remains bullish.
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Monday, April 16, 2007
Elliott Wave Theory and Financial Market Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Elliott wave theory in the hands of experienced professionals, has time and again shown itself as an important indicator of future trend, a road map that is constantly adjusted in the light of unfolding price action.
If you have been following the various articles on Elliott Wave theory at the Market Oracle website, you will have experienced the usefulness of elliott wave theory in projecting targets both in terms of price and time with also clear examples of how unfolding price action adjusts the wave count expectations.
In a recent lengthy article (16th April), one of our contributors Joseph Russo illustrated this in his unfolding analysis of Gold over several months, and how at each stage Elliott Wave theory gave important clues in terms of probable price action, as well as how to interpret price action that deviated from the probable road map.
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Sunday, April 15, 2007
Stocks & Commodity Markets Elliott Wave Analysis - Future's So Bright ! / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Dominick
Since I didn't write an update last week, I will go back to the April 1 st update to review where we had left off. In that update I had stated:
“This week, we might have the same situation, but on a smaller degree. Has the market topped out in a second wave retracement on March 23rd, or are we about to set a huge bear trap to finally get that run to new highs that sets up the classic capitulation?
As we've basically nailed these last two swings, we think we have the correct possible patterns and are waiting for a bit more price action to confirm. It might only take another day or two. I believe we will have a decent move within the next 20 points that we are ready to trade.”
Saturday, April 14, 2007
Weekly Stock Market Technical Analysis Report - 14th April 2007 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Mike_Burk
The good news is-
• The S&P mid cap index (MID) hit an all time high Friday.
• Next week is seasonally one of the strongest weeks of the year.
Short Term
Last Wednesday the MID ended its 2nd consecutive string of 8 consecutive up days for the year. You have to go back to April - June 2004 to find a similar performance. Following the late June 2004 string of 8 consecutive up days the index made an intermediate term high about a month later.
What has been defining this market is a lack of sellers.
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Wednesday, April 11, 2007
Is it Time to Double Up on Brazil in your BRIC Portfolio? / Stock-Markets / Brazil
By: Michael_K_Dawson
BRIC is becoming a fairly common acronym amongst investors. The term was coined in a research paper by Goldman Sachs in 2003 to describe an economic block composed of Brazil, Russia, India and China. The combination has the potential to be larger than the G6 in US dollar terms by 2050. Since the paper's release, investors have been scrambling for ways to leverage this theme. Last fall, Claymore introduced the first BRIC ETF (EBB).
Before the Claymore ETF, the easiest way to invest into the theme was to use country specific ETFs. In the past, I have used EWZ (Brazil), TRF (Russia), IFN (India) and FXI (China) to capture the trend. An advantage of the country ETF approach is the ability to specify your own weighting for each country versus being locked in to Claymore's weighting.
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Wednesday, April 11, 2007
Special China Stock Market Update - Another Shanghai Index Correction Due? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: Marty_Chenard
Most of you know that I spend at least 15 hours a week on new research or exploring new market patterns. I found something very unusual going on in the Shanghai Index, unusual enough that I thought it was important to share it with you ...
Will the Shanghai 180 Index correct within 4 days and take our markets down with it?
This morning, we made a very interesting observation about the Shanghai 180 Index. The Shanghai is an index that we are watching pretty closely due to its correlation with our Feb. 27th. market drop.
I will show you two Shanghai 180 charts this morning with a very interesting pattern.
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Tuesday, April 10, 2007
The Yen Carry Trade Means New Rules for Global Investing in 2007 / Stock-Markets / Yen Carry Trade
By: Gary_Dorsch
Jesse Livermore, widely regarded as one of the greatest stock market operators of all-time, considered himself a humble student of the market until his last day in 1940. “I study the market, because it's my business to trade. In the forty years which I have devoted to making speculation a successful business venture, I am still discovering new rules to apply to that business,” he once remarked.“Experience has taught me the way a market behaves is an excellent guide for an operator to follow. Observation gives you the best tips of all, and the behavior of a certain market is all you need at times. You observe, and then experience shows you how to profit by variations from the usual, that is to say, from the probable.” Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 09, 2007
Financial Markets Wrap - US Economy, Bonds, Currencies and Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
By: Douglas_V_Gnazzo
March ISM's factory gauge came in at 50.9 down from 52.3 the previous month. It remains just barely above the important 50 level. Most of the internal figures were weak as well.
The new orders index fell to 51.6 from 54.9. The Production Index fell to 53 from 54.1 and the Employment Index fell to 48.7 from 51.1. Even the Prices Paid Index fell to 65.5 from 69.
The ISM's non-manufacturing index fell to 52.4 in March, the lowest level in almost four years. Not the best of reports.
The Labor Department reported the jobless rate fell to 4.4%. Employment increased 180,000 that followed an 113,000 rise in February.
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Monday, April 09, 2007
Nolte Notes - Wall Street Hops on Jobs Data and PMI / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Save for the still frigid upper tier of states, spring has sprung! (I'll save the frozen robin jokes) A bit of celebration was also in the economic numbers released on Friday, as the employment situation is looking much better – good for stocks, bad for bonds. While the guess may have been too low, the actual number added to payrolls was still not huge.
With all the monthly revisions, the average twelve-month gain has been falling for a year, after peaking at a rate well below those of the past 45 years. Many will argue that 125k in new jobs is the same as 250 is years past miss the point that the decline in jobs in 2002 was in line or larger than past job losses. Wage growth continues at roughly a 4% clip, a concern, but it merely matches prior peaks since the early 80's.
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Monday, April 09, 2007
Stock Market Severe Correction Commentary - Don't Listen to the Talking Heads / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Clif_Droke
Watch the market!
I ran across an interesting article in the Financial Times on Wednesday. It caught my eye because of the headline: “Fund sells ahead of severe ‘correction'”. Here's what the article had to say:
“A leading UK fund manager has sold off around half the equities in the portfolios he oversees in anticipation of an imminent and severe market correction. Ken Murray, the founder and chief executive of Blue Planet Investment Management, has revealed he has offloaded equities and cut the gearing on the firm's portfolios to zero in the belief a U.S. economic recession is set to wipe more than 20 percent from the value of global stock markets.
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